the most recent polling data in Arizona is showing some serious competition today we will use a trend line analysis to examine all 10 of the most recent poll findings taken in this crucial swing state Arizona which has 11 electoral votes and will vote for the Democrats in 20120 for the first time since 1996 has been a major player in previous elections with Harris and Trump devoting large sums of money to winning over votes in the Grand Canyon State Arizona is now the focus of attention for the 2020 before contest let's now use trendline analysis to examine each of the 10 most recent polls taken in Arizona please subscribe to our channel before we start so you can get the most recent poll updates right now I'm grateful beginning with the 10th survey which was done with 1,400 registered voters between August 23rd and 26 Beacon research and Shaw and Company research found that Harris had 48% of the vote while Trump had 47% this Was narrowly Won by Harris by only one point in the subsequent survey which was carried out on the same dates by Beacon research and Shaw and Company research among a separate sample of 1,400 registered voters Harris secured 50% of the vote while Trump secured 49% once again Harris is leading by only one point in this survey next in the 8th morning consult survey which had 805 registered voters and was conducted from August 23rd to 27 Harris secur Ed 49% of the vote while Trump secured 47% this survey has Harris ahead of Trump by two points regarding the seventh survey which was also carried out by morning consult on the same dates and had 805 registered voters Harris earned 48% of the vote while Trump secured 48% this poll ended in an exact tie since no Contender was able to take a commanding lead in the sixth morning consult survey which had 77 six likely voters and was conducted from August 23rd to August 27th Harris garnered 49% of the vote while Trump earned 47% this time around Harris was up by two points in the survey continuing Harris earned 48% of the vote and Trump received 48% in the fifth poll which was also done by morning consult on the same dates with a different 776 likely voters this survey also produced an identical tie next har earned 48% of the vote and Trump received 51% in the fourth Emerson College survey which was conducted with 720 potential voters between August 25th and August 25th and August 28th Trump has a commanding four-point advantage in this survey turning now to the third survey which was carried out with 530 likely voters between August 25th and 28 Redfield and Wilton strategies earned 45% of the vote and Trump 46% this survey Was Won by Trump by a mere one point in the second cnns SRS survey which had 682 potential voters and was conducted from August 23rd to August 23rd to August 29th Harris garnered 44% of the vote while Trump earned 49% Trump now has a five-point advantage in this survey in the last Insider Advantage survey which was conducted with 800 potential voters from August 29th to August 31st Harris secured 48% of the vote while Trump secured 49% in the last survey of the day Trump defeated Harris by one point it is evident from an analysis of these poll findings that Arizona's race is very competitive with margins of one point in two surveys and two points in two more Harris has emerged victorious in four polls however Trump also prevailed in four surveys tied in two more and won by a margin of one point in two four and five points in another two this suggests that he is becoming more and more popular in Arizona if we look at Arizona's trend line we can see that Trump had a 1 to two point lead early in the campaign on August 8th but he lost around one point in a single day Harris took the lead with a 1% advantage on August 10th her Advantage shrank to 0.7% on August 20th from her greatest margin of 1.3 points on August 17th but from August 21st to August 28th she maintained her lead in the race 1.2% to 1 .4% Trump began to cut Harris's advantage on August 29th bringing it down to 0.4 points on September 4th he resumed the lead maintaining it at a slim 0.3% Edge until today we can also plainly see that Trump was able to gain a little Edge in Arizona thanks to the support of Robert F Kennedy Jr following his support Trump was able to cut into Harris's advantage and currently leads by the narrowest of margins according to these poll findings Arizona is a very tight contest with Trump and Harris taking separate leads in many surveys in surveys by morning consult Beacon research and Shaw and Company among others Harris has consistently shown her strength in urban and Suburban regions leading by only one to two points but Trump is still very much in the race winning even larger margins in important surveys like CNN SSRS Redfield and Wilton strategies Emerson College and cnns SRS where he leads by one to Five Points a more thorough examination of these findings reveals that Arizona is still a genuine Battleground state with strongholds for both candidates in various Geographic areas the changing demographics of the state especially among younger voters and the Latino population who are more inclined to support Harris's agenda on immigration reform healthc care and climate change are a major factor in her victory in Arizona her steady success in surveys with marginal leads suggests that important cities like Phoenix and Tucson are finding her message compelling however Trump's support base is still strong especially in conservative suburban and Rural regions given Arizona's closeness to the southern border his rhetoric on Border Security Law and Order and economic recovery is particularly appealing to voters in these areas Emerson College Redfield and Wilton strategy surveys where he leads by a wider margin mirror this and show how firmly he has the support of rural voters the fact that many surveys including the two from morning consult are deadlocked highlights how erratic voter opinion is in Arizona these ties show how close the race is to being decided in the state and show that no Contender is in a clear lead right now the findings of the numerous polls show that the race is still very tight and both camps will need to concentrate on increasing voter participation and influencing undecided voters in the last few days before the election according to polling data Trump's support base is still strong enough to keep the election very close even if Harris has an advantage in important Urban and Suburban regions the result in Arizona is probably going to depend on voter participation especially for Harris among Latino voters and younger demographics and for Trump among Rural and elderly people if any campaign hopes to win this state's 11 vital electoral votes they will need to keep wooing undecided voters and concentrate on increasing participation in key areas one important demographic in Arizona that is is expected to have a big impact on this election is the state's expanding Latino population Trump's emphasis on Border Protection continues to appeal to more conservative sectors of the public while Harris's focus on healthc care and immigration reform is striking a chord with these people additionally Arizona is becoming a more competitive Battlefield due to the state's shifting demographics especially with the inflow of younger voters the result will be greatly influenced by voter participation particularly an important met metropolitan areas these figures may change in the few months left before the election but Arizona is still a crucial Battlefield that might have a big influence on the results of the 2024 election as a whole watch any of these videos now to find out another State's most recent polling findings which candidate do you believe will win Arizona in 2024 Trump or Harris post your forecasts in the section below We Appreciate You viewing this video give it a try and become a Global News USA subscriber until we meet again