[Music] the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills will face off in a matchup of two division Rivals the Dolphins are slight favorites minus 2.5 the expected point total for the matchup is set at 48 the Miami Dolphins will face off with the Buffalo Bills tonight and Tu aago byoa is 1 to six against them in his career he said that last year is last year Colin coward makes his pick and discusses the matchup Dolphins versus Bill's recent matchups Buffalo holds a 4 to1 record against Miami in their last five matchups to I in their last five head-to-head matchups Buffalo has compiled 154 points against Miami while allowing only 115 points Miami won 10 games against the spread last season failing to cover seven times the Dolphins went 7 to2 ats's 2.5 Point favorites are more like last season to Miami and its opponent combined to hit the over in nine of 17 contests last season the Dolphins put together a 10 to1 record in games they were favored on the money line last season winning 90.9% of those games Miami went 8 to1 in games had played as a moneyline favorite with odds of minus 142 or shorter 88.9% the Dolphins have an implied money line win probability of 58.7% in this contest Miami's key players of defense to aago voo averaged 8.3 passing yards per attempt second in the NFL and 272 yards per game last year completing 69.3% of his passes on the way to 4,624 total yards first in the NFL 29 touchdowns fifth in the NFL and 14 interceptions in 17 games Tyreek Hill had 1,799 receiving yards first in the NFL and 13 touchdowns first in the NFL on in 19 receptions second in the NFL while being targeted 171 times Raheem mustur rushed for 18 touchdowns last year and totaled 1,2 rushing yards 67.5 per game and 4.8 per attempt that in addition to his rushing stats mustur pulled down 25 passes on 32 targets for 175 yards with three receiving touchdowns he averaged 11.7 yards per game Devon achain scored eight touchdowns on the ground while running for 800 total yards 7.8 per attempt and 72.7 per game a chain also had 197 receiving yards 17.9 per game on 27 catches 2.5 per game he was targeted 37 times with three touchdown receptions dot defense Jordan Brooks intercepted one pass and also had 111 tackles 8 tfl 4.5 sacks and four passes defended for the Seahawks in 2023 do Zack seeler registered 10 sacks in addition to his 11 tfl 63 tackles and one interception over 17 games David long had 110 tackles nine tfl and one sack in the 2023 campaign Jordan puer season stats for the bills last season include 100 tackles two tfl and one sack in 16 games Buffalo betting info Buffalo put together a 7-10 d0 record against the spread last season the bills were winless ads 0 to1 when playing is at least 2.5 point underdogs last season last season six Buffalo Games went over the point total the bills were underdogs in three games last season and 1-1 33.3% of those contests Buffalo was not a bigger Underdog last season than the plus 120 money line set for this game odds makers have implied with the money line set for this matchup that the bills have a 45.5% chance to win Buffalo's key players offense Josh Allen passed for 4,36 yard s last year fourth in the NFL with 29 TDS fifth in the NFL and 18 interceptions he completed 66.5% of his passes averaging 23.3 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt dot on the ground Allen added 15 TDS in 524 yards James Cook averaged 66 rushing yards in 17 games 1,122 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL and scored two rushing TDS cook at added 44 catches 2.6 per game for 445 yards 26.2 per game and four receiving TDS he was targeted 54 times do in 16 games for the commanders last year Curtis Samuel had 62 catches 3.9 per game on 5.7 targets per game for 613 yards and four TDS Dalton concade was targeted 91 times resulting in 73 receptions for 673 yards do defense Terell Bernard put up 6. five sacks to go along with 10 tfl 143 tackles and three interceptions in his 17 games in 2023 do Nicholas marrow put up 93 tackles 12 tfl three sacks and five passes defended for the Eagles Taran Johnson had 98 tackles three tfl and one sack in 2023 at Oliver's production included one in plus 51 tackles 14 tfl 9.5 sacks and three passes defended in 16 games [Music]