all right we have four systems out there right now in the tropical Atlantic and the first one which is closest to United States only has a 20% chance of formation within the next 7 days and that's going to go north anyway so not going to affect Florida and then the next one only has a 10% chance and then then one next to that only has a 30% chance and those two really going nowhere anyway but the last one in red has a 90% chance of formation within the next 7 days so that's the one we need to be watching the other three in yellow we don't worry about those whatsoever but the one in red we uh we really need to watch this now the spaghetti models go so far and then do this they just go all over the place some go north some go east some go south I mean some even come back and it's uh it's remarkable really what they did there with the spaghetti model so