[Music] good morning everyone and welcome back to wake aake it's your boy Jason and we've got some football to talk about today ladies and gentlemen it's here NF football is here it is week one so we are doing take week here on wake and take we're going to be bringing you all the hits today we're doing busts and values tomorrow we'll get some of my finalized flag plants Wednesday we'll finalize my rankings Thursday we'll of course look at the week since we've got some Thursday night football stuff like that and then Friday we're going to get the final hot takes for the season so it's going to be a great week coming up here on Wake aake great week for the NFL and everything so week one football is here here take out your coffee sit back relax and enjoy the [Music] show oh welcome in everyone glad to see you all in the chat and sorry for delays right when I was about to go live my computer decided it needed to restart I didn't press it it just went blue said your computer needs to restart and even had like a little frowny face it had a little frowny face on the graphic that it gave me and then it restarted but we're here we're here now we're ready to talk some football good morning to you Donald Bach proper 19 all of you guys in the chat thanks for tuning in it's a wonderful holiday here on Labor Day hope you guys are all sitting at home getting cozy watching this show before we get into today's busts and values I did want to cover a couple news stories and of course that's just going to be the I guess not even a couple news stories we'll just go ahead and cover it Ricky peaw unfortunately was involved in a shooting over the weekend uh a robbery attempt actually somebody tried to uh Rob I believe it was a Rolex watch off of him ended up shooting him in the chest Ricky the dog that he is just was able to after being shot apprehend the guy I believe even was able to shoot him with his own gun if I'm not mistaken and uh get him arrested then he walked under his own power to the ambulance and was released from the hospital within 24 hours so Ricky Pier saw total dog energy wish him the best in his recovery uh and and happy to hear that isn't that serious of a bullet wound supposedly it went through his chest completely a completely clean shot and that's why it was able to be uh released so quickly so we'll find out what that means for returning to the football field I'm sure that it's still going to take a little bit of time given it was right in the chest I'm sure it would suck to get hit in the chest after being shot in the chest but I'm no doctor I'm sure that there will be some more updates on this we have of course now two instances recently of players being shot and returning to the the football field fairly quickly Brian Robinson a couple years ago tank Dell this season as well or uh uh yeah this season this offseason he was shot was able to recover really quickly for practice and stuff like that and his was in the leg so uh you know obviously a serious injury something that we don't want to see in our society that we keep seeing and you know it's becoming an issue every single day uh but the very least it seems that this was best case scenario as Pat fenis even says in the chat that the robber ended up being released too after being shot so it seems that the worst case scenario was totally avoided which is the good news in this situation so wish the best to Ricky piol in his recovery and uh I mean yeah I mean I don't really want to bring fantasy into it but I guess this is a fantasy show I guess you kind of have to be a little bit higher on Jacob cowing we were already pretty high on him and he's just yeah gonna have even more opportunity in the actual season to see the field as Ricky psaw was actually trending towards returning week one I would be surprised if he plays week one again I have no idea how this works you know given the fact he was released Maybe he is good but I mean like there's a hole in his body you would assume that that takes some time to heal but again I have no idea no doctors or anyone from the team has revealed a timeline or anything like that all we know is that he's alive recovered out of the hospital and that's really all we can ask for at this time so you know just a little bit of a clap for Ricky peaw for not only recovering quickly but apprehending the suspect and making a situation that could have been so much worse not that bad at all really uh for him and the shooter to be able to survive that that's pretty nice uh and you know hopefully he's not walking around with a with a Rolex and all his ice from now on hopefully you know kind of keeps safe and all that stuff and he can be out there on the field quickly there will be no more Ricky piol disrespect on this show that is uh that's some dog energy again that's some tough stuff to be able to do that you know not only just to survive the shooting but to then have the PE the the mind to just go ahead and apprehend the guy and get him and keep him from getting to anyone else I mean just again good stuff from Ricky wish him the best hopefully he's out on the field soon uh and yeah we'll out we will find out again there's no really information about that at all so we will go ahead and now move on to the topic of today's show busts and values last year we did this and it went really well actually last year we predicted the biggest bust by position and in case you were wondering these were last year's prediction DeShaun Watson at quarterback Darren Waller at tight end Garrett Wilson at wide receiver and Tony Pard at running back all four of those were massive disappointments and I'm honestly pretty proud of myself for I in all four of those busts in fact honestly those might factually be the biggest busts at the position from last season across the board like DeShaun Watson was terrible at quarterback Darren Waller I don't even remember if he ended up seeing the field at all he was awful Tony Pard completely inefficient and did nothing uh and gett Wilson you know just that that one was easy right I mean like obviously Aaron Rogers was supposed to be there but I just you know and then he ended up getting hurt G Wilson was the biggest bus last year as well at the wide receiver position this year we're not just doing bust this year I decided I might as well also throw a value in there if we're going to have some negativity we also might as well have some positivity and I do want to say that uh this is the toughest episode to do it is tough to predict a player to bust and as you can see from the thumbnail I'm not shying away from studs and in fact that's how you find a bust right you've got to look at the top you know to find these players that are not going to perform at their ADP this year this year I got a little bold this year the these are some top players that I'm deciding I just don't really are that I'm going to coin as a bust we'll talk about it as we get into it you know it's a little loose I think the term for a couple of these players but I mean this year's adps are pretty interesting last year it was pretty easy like deshun Watson Darren Waller Tony perer Garrett Wilson I felt like all of those guys got steamed up for very little reason and was easy to fade this year I mean like we've got we're getting pretty smart as a fantasy Community I mean like I'm looking at this first round Everything feels about right and the second round Everything feels about right for the most part so I really just had to look at the top so before we get into it before we get into the busts and the values why don't we hear a little bit about fast draft but before we hear about fast draft I've got a trivia question for you which college you know to celebrate college football returning this weekend which college has the record for the most points scored in the game the answer coming up after this drafting is the best part of fantasy football right make sure you guys get fast draft there's only a few days left to join those tournaments and it is incredible it's not incredible just because it's fast it's incredible because it's easy and fun it's incredible it's just awesome go get fast Draft today now for trivia the question was what college scor has the record for the most points scored in a game that would be Georgia Tech Georgia Tech scored 222 points against Cumberland in 1916 fun fact about that umland actually disbanded their football team before this uh and Georgia Tech threatened to sue them if they didn't play so they just threw some people out there uh and that's why Georgia Tech was able to score 222 points just absolutely insane could you imagine how many fantasy points that would be if it were the NFL so that's probably gonna be the last college football trivia question we ever have on here but hey Georgia Tech 222 points in a game all right let's go ahead and get into it guys the biggest busts and values at each position we'll start at quarterback Josh Allen is going to be a bust I hate saying it I really do and this one is mostly Vibes you know this is a Vibes pick because I do believe that Josh Allen will still be a topc scoring quarterback and in fact I have a lot of exposure to Josh Allen this season I've been drafting him a lot over the summer in baseball leagues in particular because you know he's a decent value in the fourth round he really is I mean like if you're someone like me who likes to get a Cornerstone at each position when they're drafting you know have someone that could be rb1 have someone that could be quarterback one wide receiver one tight end one then Josh Allen kind of stares you in the face and you want to press that button and it's fair like I said I've been doing it a few times but with that being said I do think that his reign as the consistent overall number one scorer in fantasy number one quarterback by a decent in fact even a wide margin sometimes I think that's finally coming to an end this year I think that it's going to be a closer at the top of the quarterback position than people are giving credit for and I think that those teams that maybe waited to draft quarterback are going to be a lot happier than those that reached for Josh Allen just because there's no wide receiver one in Buffalo anymore you know losing Stefon Diggs is gonna hurt a lot it really is and I know they have Dalton conc khil Shakir they drafted Keon Coleman Yad ya y whatever they're not Stefon Diggs they're just not and I think that they'll be fine enough as a group to be able to kind of make up for it but I just don't think that Josh Allen is going to be able to be Superman game in game out like he has in the past I just don't see it happening I think that when we look at Josh Allen this season we need to look at him more as like a top 10 quarterback as opposed to like a top three and that's fine that there's nothing wrong with that but when you're taking him clearly as the consensus quarterback one you would like him to pretty easily finish as the quarterback one but when you're looking at like Jaylen Herz Patrick momes Lamar Jackson CJ Stroud now like those quarterbacks have just as much of an argument to finish as the top scorer this year as Josh Allen and yet they're going a couple rounds later they're much cheaper to acquire and in fact I feel like they have an easier argument for that Josh Allen losing his number one target right offensive line not getting that much better in fact I think getting worse and then you know they're investing in the in the Run game right with Ray Davis coming in that someone who can actually take away some of these goal line carries from Josh Allen you know things are just not necessarily pointing up for Josh Allen this season if anything if you really look close enough and squint you could see where this is just going to be a down year for Josh Allen and again when I say A Down year for Josh Allen that's still an incredible season and that's why I'm still taking him but when you're talking about a bust it's Josh Allen it's Josh Allen at the quarterback position because he's not gonna be the quarterback one by a decent margin this year it's going to be a lot closer in fact I'm I don't really think he's going to be the number one quarterback this season it's going to be hard for him to do that without a Stefon Diggs type type wide receiver it's just it's it's just it's it's really impossible it really is and again I'm not saying that drafting Josh Allen is going to crush your team but I think that a lot of people that waited and got like a Jaden Daniels a Jordan love a Kyler Murray a Trevor Lawrence a Justin Herbert even or the quarterback will talk about as the best value I think that those teams are just going to end up as stronger builds Josh Allen is going to be excellent that's not what I'm trying to say here but he's technically going to be a bust at his at his draft price right I mean when you're taking him in the third fourth sometimes even second round I've seen you're expecting a massive massive year and you're gonna get a massive year it's Josh Allen but in comparison to the other quarterbacks I don't think it's going to be massive enough to be worth the price and just some metrics to throw your way that could kind of help make this argument feel even clearer uh the bills last season they were 29th in protection rate and that led to Josh Allen having the seventh most pressured throws also last year Josh Allen was top five in danger plays and had the second most interceptable passes in the entire league only behind Sam Howell also last year while he was number one in points per game he was not number one in expected points per game he was actually second in expected points per game which shows that there are other quarterbacks out there with similar upsides and while he did lead the NFL in points per game he was actually only fif or he did that because he was fifth in expected points at it he was very very efficient and because and he was efficient because he had 15 rushing touchdowns that led all quarterbacks and was I mean led a bunch of running backs too I mean that was like the third most rushing touchdowns last season or fourth right behind Jaylen Herz no it couldn't be Jaylen Herz he led the NFL in uh or LED all quarterbacks in Rush touchdowns 15 rushing touchdowns is a lot from a quarterback and again they added Ray Davis right like who's someone who can take those carries and you know make sure that Josh Allen can stay healthy and not have to do those on top of losing his number one Target on top of having not that great of an offensive line I just think that we need to view Josh Allen as more of a top quarterback instead of the top quarterback a top quarterback for sure you know like you're not upset you have Josh Allen like don't get me wrong here but I think his days is the clear overall number one quarterback number one fantasy player at least for this season are over unfortunately you know I just it's not sustainable without a true wide receiver one it's just not you know they'll be games right where he where he just goes insane but there will also be some years where games where he doesn't like it when you're asked to be Superman it's going to be very hard to consistently do that uh I I think you know there will be sometimes where the defense is actually able to game plane against this Bills team I know that's hard to say right now but once the season actually gets there we will be seeing it like against the Jets for example they have to do that twice a year the Patriots you know they could be interesting you know say what you want about that team they're at least good in their conference opponents and stuff like that so I don't know I just I don't think Josh would be quarterback one so technically he's a bust now who's the best value at the quarterback position there were a few options that I that I was deciding between and ultimately I decided to go with the quarterback 20 right now Matthew Stafford Matthew Stafford right now I think is being insanely disrespected even I was looking at the adps and everything Matthew Stafford is going after Aaron roders going after Kurt Cousins two quarterbacks who are about the same age you know Kurt Cousins a little bit younger Aaron Rogers a little bit older coming off of Achilles tears and they're going before Matthew Stafford in fact both of those players Kirk Cousins arguably but Aaron roggers the Jets are not as good as the Rams and for the Falcons they're projected better than the Rams but I could easily see this Rams offense looking better than the Falcons offense I mean this is a year where the Rams have upgraded their offensive line Cooper cup is now going to be fully healthy pukan AO is going into year two Jord Whittington their new rookie wide receiver looks pretty special Blake korm was drafted to go alongside Kyon Williams so now we're talking about a more balanced and efficient rushing attack with two really solid running backs this is an upgraded Ram team in fact the defense has gotten worse right so the offense is going to have to put even more pressure on them and we're only two seasons removed from Matthew Stafford being a top five quarterback literally finished as the quarterback five in 2021 he had almost 5,000 passing yards he had 41 passing touchdowns and frankly that rand's offense was worse than it looks to be this year right that was just really Cooper cup when he was able to do that now he has Cooper cup puka nakua a bunch of tight ends Blake korm Kyon Williams maybe Jordan Whittington a better offensive line it looks awesome for Matthew Stafford in this Rams offense it really does and you can get him at a huge discount even last year right with a less than 100% Cooper cup rookie pukaa worse offensive line only Kyon Williams he was still 14th in points per game and finished as the quarterback 15 and again you can get him as the quarterback 20 right now with everything looking better than it did last season and in fact looking better than it did in 2021 when he was a top five quarterback get Matthew Stafford guys like seriously he's an incredible value right now at quarterback 20 and I think it's disrespectful that he's going after Aaron Rogers and Kurt Cousins I just think that's ridiculous I I really really do so Matthew Stafford the best value at the quarterback position right now in fact I don't even think it's that close I was looking at Justin Herbert and I was like ah you know like I think that Justin Herbert is a value but he doesn't have quite the ceiling that Matthew sta like again Matthew Stafford could very easily be a top five quarterback and no one's talking about it and I see someone here say in Jared Goff you know Jared GF pretty solid right another decent value but you know going a few rounds earlier than Matthew Stafford similar upside projection right I mean like Cooper cup and puka deua is quite a wide receiver cor like that's pretty freaking sweet so I think that Matthew Stafford is gearing up for a huge season and not enough people are talking about him get him and Dynasty even get him in redraft for sure but he's looking to me to be the best value at the quarterback position right now and why don't we go ahead and move on to the running back position as the biggest bust at the running back position is gonna be Kyon Williams Kyon Williams does not deserve the rb7 price tag he carries right now he just doesn't I could understand it uh if Blake Korum wasn't drafted but Blake Corum was drafted and for a reason that reason being that he's very similar to Kiron Williams and and in fact better than Kyon Williams in a lot of the same spots that Kyon Williams excels at Kyon Williams is still probably going to have a really really good season he was special last year in only 12 games played he had over a thousand rush yards he had 200 receiving yards and he scored 15 touchdowns again in only 12 games he averaged the second most points per game amongst running backs with 21.3 but things have changed again they've brought in Blake corm okay who does again a lot of the same things Kiren Williams does but better he's more athletic he's more explosive you know he's got a little bit better of a BMI I mean like Blake korm is just a better Kyon Williams and I'm not trying to argue that Blake corm will take over for Kyon Williams what I'm trying to argue here is that kyn Williams isn't going to get bcow usage anymore I really do think that the Rams will be looking at a committee here and it'll it'll it'll of course change as the season goes on like Kiren Williams will probably be a Bellow weeks one through three and then Blake Corum will just steadily you'll see his snapshare increase and increase and increase and increase until they're splitting the damn thing right like a like a 6040 a 5050 even 5545 I'm not sure but Blake korm is too good of a running back to keep off the field especially for a running back like Kyon Williams who just isn't as athletic as Blake corm is he's just not Kyon Williams unfortunately has demonstrated that he can't handle a true workload he got injured a lot last year again only played in 12 games the year before that only played in nine he has injury concerns as well so at rv7 I'm staying away I either want a running back a little bit earlier like saquan and above or I'm just waiting and going zero RB and not drafting a running back in this range but Kyon Williams is not worth it at his price tag unfortunately I know that I'm not the only person saying this I know that this isn't a bold take but at rb7 Kyon Williams is gearing up to be a bust unfortunately uh I again I do think like I think I'm a little bit more bullish on Kyon Williams than a lot of people I still think he'll probably be like a RB 15 16 type of running back but I don't think he'll be top 10 anymore and he's damn sure not going to be a bcow by the end of the year he's going to lose a lot of snaps to Blake corm he just will that's just how these things work we've seen it from the Rams before where you think one guy's the starter and then they're not from cam acres to darl Henderson to Kiren Williams uh it's it's uh it's it's just not worth it at rb7 it's just not you know he doesn't have the true skill set to be worth it at that price with as good of a running back that's behind him in Blake corm I know we haven't seen it yet I know a lot of you guys aren't Michigan fans like I am but Blake corm is excellent he's a very good running back and it's going to be impossible to keep him off the field for twoo long do I think that Blake hm is going to take over from Kiron Williams no but I do think he's going to get a sizable snap and opportunity share to make Kiron Williams not worth his value so biggest bust at the RB position is kirron Williams the biggest value at the running back position this is another one that took me a minute to decide on I was deciding between DeAndre Swift and Brian Robinson who I ended up going with and mostly just because Brian Robinson is cheaper than DeAndre Swift I do want to say while I'm here I think that DeAndre Swift is an excellent value right now at rb19 I actually think he's going to get a lot more usage than people are expecting right now and he's going to score more touchdowns too I mean they are going to lean on DeAndre Swift Caleb Williams is going to check it down a lot to him and DeAndre Swift has the athleticism to take it to the house but he's the rb19 and you have to draft him a lot earlier than you have to draft Brian Robinson who actually they were back-to-back last year backto back rb2 for DeAndre Swift RB 21 for Brian Robinson okay and Brian Robinson goes 10 running backs later he has an rb29 ADP right now and I just think that's ridiculous Brian Robinson is not only a starter in this league he's a Bellow and he's going in the range of handcuff pluses like you can like it's like do you want Brian Robinson or Nick chub are you serious you want Brian Robinson I really don't get it okay we've seen nothing but positive news from Brian Robinson all offseason how much Dan Quinn and Cliff Kingsbury like him we've seen highlight catches from Brian Robinson catching the pass from Jaden Daniels and he's getting opportunity I mean last year in only 15 games played he had 178 Rush attempts he had 7 00 rush yards he had almost 400 receiving yards and nine touchdowns he was 22nd in points per game with 13.2 and this is a better Commander offense now Jaden Daniels makes it better the offensive line makes it better you know the the new coaching staff is better I mean Dan Quinn and Cliff Kingsbury say what you want about them they both have shown that they can have fantasy successes in the backfield Cliff Kingsbury Chase Edmonds and James Connor Dan Quinn Tevin Coleman and Devonte Freeman these are true fantasy backfields under their tutelage and I think that a similar thing is going to happen here the benefit being that Austin Eckler is kind of Dusty Austin Eckler of course is going to limit some receptions for Brian Robinson but Brian Robinson's still going to be leaned on heavily I mean last year Antonio Gibson was there another receiving back and Brian Robinson still had 36 receptions for 367 receiving yards I think that number could go up I think Brian Robinson crosses 40 receptions this year and that's evidenced by Austin Eckler not only being old but they only invested like $4 million in him it was a two-year contract worth up to 8 million only four of it was guaranteed they don't truly trust Austin Eckler and I'm sure there's going to be games where Austin Eckler gets more passes than we want but Brian Robinson's still going to be in there on first and second down and sometimes third like he is going to be a bcow in this offense and he's going to catch a lot more passes than people are suggesting last year he had a thousand allpurpose yards I think this year Brian Robinson actually gets a th rush yards on top of a few receiving like 400 500 receiving yards he had 36 receptions for 367 receiving yards with Sam Howell last year I think that number goes up with Jaden Daniels okay this is just a more explosive offense and again a rookie quarterback when you have a rookie quarterback generally that means that they have to lean on the Run game and so I'm expecting Brian Robinson to look pretty damn sweet this year on top of you know going into a friendly coaching staff I like Cliff Kingsbury and Dan Quinn and what they've done historically with their running backs the fact that they barely invested in the position they only brought in old Dusty Austin Eckler and the fact that Brian Robinson has shown time and time again that he can score his fantasy points to get him at rb29 I think it's almost laughable in fact it is laughable go get Brian Robinson in Dynasty draft him still in redraft go trade for him in redraft if your draft has already happened he's going to well outperform his ADP and be one of the best values at the running back position this year now let's go ahead and move on to the wide receiver position and you guys probably already know it I've talked about it a lot on this show the biggest bust is Tyreek Hill it's Tyreek Hill and I hate saying it I really do it's it's and and this is again kind of a Vibes one similar to Josh Allen right where it's not that I'm saying Tyreek Hill is gonna have a bad year but I just don't think he's worth the price given the risk okay Tyreek Hill is now coming off two straight Seasons with over 1700 receiving yards and massive massive usage and in those two seasons you know every single year in the league Jaylen Wadd has actually had less and less targets and a lot of that comes from health I do think that Jaylen W looks a little healthier this year and I think that Jaylen wad will actually get a normal Target share get you know over 120 130 targets which will come from Tyreek Hill on top of that they added jnu Smith who's fine they drafted Malik Washington who's fine Odell Beckham will come off the puup at some point they invested heavily in the Run game by drafting Jaylen Wright and then like kind of going right back into rahee moer by extending him then of course Devon aan is still there and Tu Tunga Viola has come out he came out just a few weeks ago and said that they were trying to force feed Tyreek Hill to get him 2,000 receiving yards he said that and that's why he was so heavily used I don't think that's going to be the case this year I think that that kind of crashed and burned you can see it in Tyreek Hills game log from the like from like the first half of the Season towards the second half he's also 31 or 30.5 right like he's old and it's not priced in I get that you know you can't really expect players to get hurt but when you're talking about a player that you have to draft in the top three the second overall wide receiver at 30 and a half when you could get Devonte Adams Cooper cup Stefon digs Mike Evans all of those receivers his peers the wide receivers the same age or older or younger even and some of those way later I just have to do that I think that we are mistaken taking Tyreek Hill over Justin Jefferson over Jamar Chase over am mon ra St Brown I mean those are true young wide receivers true Alpha wide receivers that should be going ahead of Tyreek Hill at his age his age and injury history is not priced in like it is for his peers Devonte Adams two rounds later Cooper cup two rounds later Mike Evans three four rounds later Stefon Diggs three rounds later I mean it's ridiculous that you can get older or like just other old wide receivers much later much later and that's my case there you know I'm not saying that Tyreek Hill's going to have a bad year but damn sure not going to have, 1700 yards again and he's damn sure not going to finish as a top wide top two wide receiver like it it's just not going to happen I know that it's hard to say but you have to understand that he's 30 and a half you have to understand that there's other weapons on this team and you have to understand that you can get older wide receivers much much cheaper if you have Tyreek Hill love Stars I'm not sure what you're laughing at I'm not saying that Devonte Adams or Stefon digs are going to outperform Tyreek Hill I'm saying that you could trade Hill for Devonte Adams and Stefon Diggs and I just think that's the big mistake right now how can you price in age injury concern and everything for these other old wide receivers but not for Tyreek Hill I think it's a huge mistake it really is it's a massive massive mistake you do not want to be caught holding the Tyreek Hill bag trade him in Dynasty while you still can and if you drafted him in redraft go get Justin Jefferson plus go get a Monro St Brown Plus go get Jamar Chase plus are you kidding me it's ridiculous the price tag you can get for Tyreek Hill right now not again not saying that he's going to be bad but I'm saying that he's gonna be outperformed by cheaper wide receivers and that you have to price in the risk of drafting a wide receiver at 30 and a half like Tyreek Hill especially with a downgraded offensive line especially with the heavy usage he's had the last two seasons eventually it's going to catch up to him eventually it will and no I'm not worried about Chase holding out I'm not moving on to the biggest value and this one was in the thumbnail so you already know it tank Dell what are we doing what are we doing when adps kind of came out this year when adps came out this year like when when we first started drafting over the summer it was Nico Collins Stefon digs tank Dell kind of back to back to back like they were all like wide receiver 25 26 27 right around that range now Tank's wide receiver 29 Stefon Diggs has moved up to wide receiver 21 and nicoo Collins has moved all the way up to wide receiver 13 something's not adding up here guys something's just not I love Nico Collins I do but but who's the wide receiver that CJ Stout has said Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time and Time Again that he's his favorite take down like we have to listen to that okay guys we just have to C.J strout has said time and time again that tank Dell is his favorite Target he's said that if he were to choose any wide receiver to pick up a first down he would choose tank Dell his first touchdown of the preseason his first pass was to tank Dell it was a touchdown and it was a great touchdown I think that we are too concerned about tankel size he looked incredible last year before his injury I understand he got injured and that's why you know this is priced in like go Jason you got injured last year he's going to get injured again his injury came on a run block he's not going to be doing that again okay it was a freak injury he is very good at football he's DJ Stout's favorite Target and he's the cheapest on the team he is a huge value right now wide receiver 29 my favorite thing is that people saying oh there's just not enough room in the Texans offense something has to give okay sure let's do the math Stefon digs last year had 30% Target share Nico Collins last year at a 23% Target share tank last year had a 22% Target share you add all that up that is only 75% of the targets to these three so you're telling me that they can't consolidate this between the three they totally can 75% and all of those targets outperformed their ADP of where they are right now nio Collins off of only 23% target share was seventh seventh in points per game last year okay tank Dell last year off of a 22% Target share was averaging 15 points per game 18th amongst wide receivers and he's wide receiver 29 right now and he's CJ str's favorite Target do you guys realize that all three of these wide receivers could have a thousand yards like it's not that hard to understand or believe and then the fact remains again that tank Dell is CJ Stroud's favorite Target in PPR leagues you have to be drafting this guy in fact I wouldn't be surprised in fact I fully expect if all three these wide receivers stay healthy over the year that tank Dell will be the the highest scoring one and I don't even think that's a hot take so the fact that you could get him rounds after Nico a couple rounds or a round right after Stephon Diggs I just think it's laughable you need to be getting tanked out right now not just in redraft but also in Dynasty he's cheap to get uh and he's going to be utilized all over they they've tried him on special teams they're they're going to use him a ton in two wide receiver sets probably but even definitely three wide receiver sets I see someone here Mr grapefruit says he'll get some rushing looks I'm sure he will as well tank Dell is an explosive playmaker the Texans know that CJ shroud knows that so look for him to outperform his wide receiver 29 price tag easily a massive massive massive value tank Dell is uh give me one second as my bird has decided to sing before we move on to the tight ends I'm gonna I'm gonna get him out of the room real quick that was quarterbacks wide receivers and running backs finally we've made it to tight end and we're keeping it going the biggest bust at the tight end position is gonna be Travis Kelce and again not saying that Travis Kelce is going to be bad but I checked this morning and he is officially the tight end one in ADP now going ahead of Sam leaport and I don't get it I don't understand it I don't like it I don't want it it's really easy to see that Travis Kelce is declining and not because he's becoming a bad football player but because the Chiefs want to save him this is a Super Bowl contending team okay they don't give a [ __ ] about our fantasy football teams and last year Travis Kelce lost four points per game in terms of the season in 22 he averaged 18.6 last year he only averaged 14.6 and what have the chiefs done this year they've added two really good Target earning wide receivers Xavier worthy in the first round of the NFL draft and Maris Hollywood Brown who of course is going to miss some games which will help but then Rashi rice is also still there you know that and Isaiah Peko is looking like a better pass catcher you know like the thing is the thing that I'm trying to say here is that Travis Kel's still going to have a very high floor but he's not going to have the ceiling he used to have have there is no world where the Chiefs need to throw the ball to Travis Kelce 12 13 14 times like they have in the past you know like he's still gonna have those nine 10 Target games here and there but not at the same clip and rate that he used to right like they just don't have to rely on him in that way and they would rather keep him fresh throughout the season by just giving him six seven Target games and then kind of resting him for the playoffs where they could fully unleash him like they have in the past he's still going to be a valuable Red Zone threat he's still it but he's declined last year 30 less targets 20 less receptions 400 less receiving yards seven less touchdowns four less points per game that's called decline okay that's just declining and it's declining rapidly with the new weapons added with the fact the Chiefs are a playoff contending team there is no reason for them to heavily rely on Travis Kelce like they have in the past will they still rely on him yes will he still be a top 10 tight end yes will he be the number one overall tight end No in fact I don't even think he'll be top three maybe not even top five really when it's all said and done I think he'll be very decent right and I don't mind trading for him in Dynasty if you just want someone to be at your tight end position if you're a competitor but but you have to understand that the Kansas City Chiefs care more about wins than they do fantasy points than they care about yards and Travis Kelce at now 35 years old the number one concern for him and the Chiefs is to stay healthy for the Super Bowl okay I know that you know Rubio says you got to get to the Super Bowl first I understand that but you're not going to make it to the Super Bowl if Travis Kelce gets hurt in week five because you gave him 70 targets over four weeks okay that's just not that's not sustainable for a player his age for a player that's had as many touches as he has throughout his career it's just not the Chiefs will give him the ball a ton but not as much as they have in the past and so I just tight end one is ridiculous I'm sorry I'm sorry it just is he wasn't even he wasn't even a top three tight end last year he was outperformed by Evan Ingram okay so it's just not worth it he's got the floor I'll admit it like he'll be fine but his ceiling is incredibly Zapped it's incredibly Zapped he's not gonna have those 15 Target three touchdown hundred something yard games again maybe early in the season like just to warm him up or whatever but they're gonna Coast him they're gonna Coast him they're gonna Coast him they just will and so just expect it when you have Travis Kelce um that he's not going to be the Travis Kelce of old but it'll still be really damn good is what I'm trying to say here but just not worth the tight end One Price Tag um so anyway now the biggest value and you guys already know where I'm going with this I don't even have to say anything the biggest value at the tight end position is Kyle pittz I mean come on what are we doing here I checked this morning Kyle Pitts is now going after Evan Ingram I was surprised to see that Evan Ingram has been steamed up over the last couple weeks I've kind of taken my pause from drafting I've done so many but but I I mean like it's wild to me Kyle pit is still falling and this is what's weird to me Drake London got like steamed up with the kurk cousin signing like he went up rounds like you sometimes have to draft Drake London in the first round now most of the time the second but sometimes You' got to do it at like the 112 uh and that's just wild to me because Kyle pittz has not gained any of the same Steam and stop calling me a homer stop I'm hating on Drake London I'm hating on him Drake London is not an Al he's not Drake London is not an alpha let me say it again Kyle pittz is Kyle pittz is last year Drake London 80th in Target separation 72th in route win rate 75th in true catch rate only 31st in contested catch rate he's not a Target earner he's not a great route Runner to say the least he'll be good like Drake London will still probably get a thousand yards but when you talk about a matchup nightmare a true Alpha someone that you can build an offense around it's Kyle pittz okay Kyle pittz the 66 245 pound tight end that runs a 44940 yard dash do you understand what type of athleticism that is taller than Drake London heavier than Drake London faster than Drake London that's terrifying for Defenders to match up against and we've seen usage from Kyle Pitt in fact Kyle pittz best season over a thousand yards receiving as a rookie something Drake London has never done okay Kyle pittz is a true stud and last year if it wasn't for the poor quarterback play he would have been incredible he led all tight ends and air yards air yard share average Target distance deep targets unrealized air yards I mean like it is all there for him okay last year was recovering from an injury year before that got injured as a rookie was a top tight end as a rookie with B Matt Ryan throwing him the ball now he gets Kurt Cousins it's incredible stuff Kurt Cousins with TJ hackinson was a match made in heaven T.J hackinson has been top five in points per game the past two seasons over 125 targets over 900 receiving yards and at least five touchdowns and back-to-back Seasons with Kurt Cousins okay Kyle pittz is up for a massive season don't be surprised when he out produces Drake London and don't be surprised when Kyle pittz finishes as the tight end one in fantasy get him on your teams guys incredible value right now as the tight end eight going off the board after Evan Ingram around the range of David and joku and he's only 23 years old he's younger than Dalton King Kade and Trey McBride he's young Kyle pittz is a stud guys I know he's burned you guys in the past but a lot of it was injuries and quarterback play now he's healthy now he's got a great quarterback a better offensive system and he's gearing up to be a true Alpha in this offense Kyle Pitts senior season is here everyone thank you so much for tuning in do we have any questions in the chat what has Pitts done a thousand yards he's had a thousand yard rookie season uh let's see McBride concade and Pitts is the way maybe I think only Pitts is the way Pitts is going to be the League winner I'm not I honestly I am not too fond of Trey McBride this season I know a lot of people are hyping him up but I am in the camp that Marvin Harrison Jr leads the Cardinals and targets call me crazy but I think the rookie that they drafted as high as they did is gonna lead the team in in in targets and I just don't think it'll be McBride I just don't I think McBride will still be really really good but I I'm expecting a huge season from Marvin Harrison Jr like a pukan aola type rookie season to be completely honest with you Mr grapefruit I kind of agree here that Diggs might be the rotational player I agree here they only brought him in for one year and and you know he stoud has already played with Nico and Dell like I think that those are the two and then Diggs will come in every once in a while too but I also think they're going to have three wide receiver sets pretty much every play like they're they're going to be out there in shotgun with all of them lined up running routes consistently uh let's see man you got a Monro the ninth pick congratulations Bobs I don't think or Boss Hogs I don't think that you're going to get inconsistency from these Texans wide receivers I think all three are going to be consistent now you won't have the consistent ceiling but I still think they'll all get at like at least 10 points a game to be completely honest with you um but especially like tank Dell I think he's going to be a lot more consistent than people are giving credit for um let's see how big of a concern is the o line dowr in Miami pretty much a big concern but Tua does also have one of the faster releases in the NFL so it really just depends luckily for them they have a really good run game to kind of keep defenses honest and they also have two wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen waddle who are really really good in short routes and then could just use Yak so I think that the Dolphins will be fine with a bad offensive line because it's a fast offense like they they get the ball out quick uh so I think they'll be fine I mean it'll hurt here and there for sure but I think ultimately they will be okay um let's see that I think is it okay here we go standard scoring Monty London or Pitman at Flex Richardson is my quarterback I'm assuming this is for week one um I mean I guess Drake London right Drake London though Drake London in that bad boy but if not Michael Pitman Rubio says Mahomes will be the number one quarterback maybe maybe that's I just don't think it'll be Josh Allen this year I still think he'll be good but I just don't think he'll be number one cool cool I Aaron Rogers will finish the year higher than cousins I would be surprised I would be surprised PS is a good good take he has two quarterbacks now that'll get him the ball nice Kirk Cousins has always been great for Fantasy famous Jay and you know it you know it don't even lie to me don't even try to trick me don't try to trick me you know he's been a great quarterback in fantasy he was the number one quarterback before getting injured last year like he was a stud he's awesome yes it was stupid to draft Garrett Wilson eighth overall I'm sorry Jim maybe not stupid maybe not stupid that's probably the wrong word but I think that there's probably better better value there I don't know this means communication breakdown as I have heavily been invested in Andre yosis all offseason and have said frequently that I do not believe in Germaine Burton trade Gods episodes wake aake episodes uh tons of times me talking about Yoshi being the guy I won in Cincinnati so uh I wouldn't say I'm finally coming around I would say I've been there I love yosis Yoshi's awesome he's awesome cool I don't think that Pedic will take over from a post Achilles Kirk unless there's an injury but I do like the take I do like the take cool oh Scott this is a fantastic question I actually took the Atlanta defense as my defense at a defense special teams League very last pick of the draft I I'm with you I mean tell me about it they have not only one of the best safeties in the league Jesse Bates Grady jarett's back they traded for Matthew judon they got Justin Simmons I mean the AJ Terrell extended I mean like this is a pretty damn good defense it really is so yeah I like them and what's fun about the Falcons defense is their like a boomer bus defense and I know that that sounds weird but I feel like they're one of these defenses that like always gets like you know they either get shredded or they get like two pick sixes and a kick return like it is wild uh they're like a weird like kind of ceiling type defense for sure they get a lot of those turnovers and stuff like that they're quick to the ball uh and I know that this is obviously a new staff coming in and everything but I like I do like the Falcons defense I think it's they're very sneaky with how cheap they are because I mean they're in the NFC South that is all terrible offenses right so they have eight or six games where they play against Bad teams uh and then they also had the L they have the easiest schedule in the NFL the Falcons do because they were so bad last year so I I yes yes I love the Falcons defense and I'm not a big DST team uh uh player but yeah I I think that that's a a easy easy defense to get and they're so cheap yeah cool I think that's it though so everyone thanks so much for tuning in in fact if you lik this show buy me a coffee buy me a coffee.com jfo wine I appreciate anything lots of hard work goes into the show we've got a great season lined up so make sure you know you keep tuning in and everything for here but also if you like everything that I've brought for you this offseason if you appreciate my my help and you can throw anything even if it's a dollar do it do it I very much appreciate it got to keep the lights on in this place so buy me a coffee if you can everyone thanks so much for tuning in this is another fun episode of wake and take you guys were a great audience as always make sure you hit that like button make sure you subscribe and also check out the Wake aake podcast via the link in the description again have a Magnificent Monday a wonderful rest of your week and I'll see you tomorrow peace from the Pod follow to you I deeply appreciate you tuning in many ask what can I do what can I do to help support the host the research they do the production costs go to playerprofiler.com Dynasty Delux world famous draft kit rankings DFS Dominator and of course data analysis subscribe to any one of those and you support all of us and take player profiler to the Moon