Published: Sep 08, 2024
Duration: 00:08:02
Category: Entertainment
Trending searches: current presidential polls
the 2024 election is now just two months away so let's take a look at the latest polling data and see who is winning the race to the White House starting with the states former president Trump will win Alaska Idaho Utah Wyoming Montana North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas Oklahoma Texas Iowa Louisiana Arkansas Missouri Mississippi Alabama Tennessee Kentucky Indiana Ohio South Carolina Florida West Virginia and finally Maine's second district now for the states kamla Harris will win Hawaii California Oregon Washington New Mexico Colorado Illinois Maine's First District Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut New York New Jersey Delaware Maryland and finally Washington DC now let's turn our attention to the Battleground states where the real fight for the presidency will be decided Arizona the latest polls show Trump and Harris in a dead heat Arizona has become more competitive in recent years flipping to the Democrats in 2020 after Decades of Republican victories moving to Nevada Harris holds a razor thin lead of less than one point Nevada has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 2008 but this narrow margin suggests it's very much in play for 2024 in Minnesota Harrison enjoys a comfortable seven-point lead Minnesota hasn't voted for a Republican president since 1972 making this a significant margin to watch shifting to Wisconsin Harris is up by three points Wisconsin has been a key swing state alternating between parties in recent elections and often decided by narrow margins next door in Michigan Harris maintains a twoo Advantage Michigan has been a Battleground since 2016 when it voted Republican before returning to the Democratic column in 2020 Pennsylvania often considered the Keystone of presidential elections shows Trump closing the Gap and now up by just one point Pennsylvania has been highly competitive in recent elections proving crucial in both 2016 and 2020 up in New Hampshire Harris holds a solid seven-point lead while New Hampshire has favored Democrats in recent presidential elections it's still considered a swing state due to its independence Street moving south to Virginia Harris is up by three points once a reliably Republican state Virginia has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 2008 but this margin suggests it's not a guaranteed win for the Democrats in North Carolina Trump holds a slim lead of less than one Point North Carolina has favored Republicans in recent presidential elections except for 2008 making this tight race particularly noteworthy finally we come to Georgia where Trump and Harris are deadlocked in a tie after voting Democratic in 2020 for the first time since 1992 Georgia once again proves to be a pivotal swing state based on this polling data if the election were held today it appears that Harris would have a slight Edge however with several States showing margins within the polling error and 2 months left until election day this race is far from Over the Battleground States particularly pen Wisconsin and Georgia will likely determine the outcome of this election let's now shift our Focus to betting odds which offer an alternative perspective on Election predictions Beyond traditional polling starting in Arizona Trump holds a significant lead with 57% to Harris's 43% moving to Nevada we see a much tighter race with Trump maintaining a slim Advantage at 51% to 49% the landscape changes dramatically In Minnesota where Harris dominates with a commanding 93% to Trump's 7% heading east to Wisconson Harris maintains her momentum leading 56% to 44% in neighboring Michigan Harris's lead expands with odds at 60% to 40% in her favor Pennsylvania presents another nailbiter with Trump slightly ahead at 51% to 49% the odds swing heavily in Harris's favor in New Hampshire where she leads 81% to 19% and in Virginia where she commands 84% to Trump's 16% turning to the southeast North Carolina shows strong support for Trump at 61% to 39% while in Georgia Trump maintains a solid lead with 58% to Harris's 42% these odds paint a picture of a highly competitive race with each candidate showing strengths in different regions of the country let's now translate these betting odds into our Electoral College map going state by state to determine the projected winner based on who's leading in the odds starting in the southwest Arizona's 11 electoral votes go to Trump with his solid 57% to 43% lead moving West to Nevada Trump narrowly claims its six electoral votes with a slim 51% to 49% Advantage shifting to the Midwest Minnesota breaks strongly for Harris allocating its 10 electoral votes with her commanding 93% to 7% lead in neighboring Wisconsin Harris continues her Midwestern success securing its 10 electoral votes with a 56% to 44% Edge Michigan follows suit giving Harris its significant 16 electoral votes based on her 60% to 40% lead the Battleground then moves East to Pennsylvania where Trump narrowly captures its crucial 20 electoral votes with a 51 % to 49% margin New England shows strong support for Harris with New Hampshire's four electoral votes going her way giving her 81% to 19% Advantage the trend continues in Virginia where Harris claims 13 more electoral votes with a dominant 84% to 16% lead the South however leans towards Trump with North Carolina's 15 electoral votes going his way based on a 61% to 39% lead finally in Georgia Trump secures another 16 electoral votes with a solid 58% to 42% Advantage this projection based solely on the provided betting odds shows a competitive race with regional strengths for both candidates though it's important to note that this only accounts for a portion of the total electoral votes needed to win the presidency as we've seen the landscape of the upcoming presidential election is complex and dynamic we've examined both traditional Pol data and betting odds which sometimes align and other times diverge in their predictions these two metrics offer different perspectives on the race with polls reflecting Current public opinion and betting odds potentially capturing additional factors that influence electoral outcomes key Battleground States like Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin continue to be closely watched with some showing different leaders depending on whether we look at polls or betting odds Southern States like georia Georgia and North Carolina seem to lean towards Trump while Harris shows strength in States like Minnesota and Virginia it's crucial to remember that both polls and betting odds are snapshots in time and can change as we approach election day while also recognizing that the only poll that truly matters is the actual vote on Election Day the race remains competitive and both campaigns will likely Focus their efforts on swaying undecided voters in key swing states that could ultimately determine the outcome of this election thanks for watching