2024 Election Map Based on the Latest Poll in ALL 50 STATES! SEPTEMBER 14, 2024 POST-DEBATE

Published: Sep 13, 2024 Duration: 00:09:26 Category: Howto & Style

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what's going on everyone welcome back to the  show so I'm going to do this video because I've   had some people in the comments ask me to do this  so I'm going to show the electoral map and we're   going to work through some of these different  states to see how many ways does does Harris have   to win and how many ways does former president  Trump have to win when it comes to getting the   270 that they need in order to win the presidency  so that's what we're going to focus on you guys   been asking me this and so I know generally when  I do a video I will go over to the electoral map   but now we're going to go over there first and  then we're going to talk a little bit about it   so here we go so first let's start off with the  states that are likely to vote for the Democratic   candidate we have Washington we have California we  have Hawaii we have New York we have one District   in Maine we have Vermont we have Connecticut we  have Delaware we have Maryland we have DC we have   Massachusetts and we have Rhode Island now let's  take a look at the states that lean towards voting   for the Democratic candidate we have Oregon we  have Colorado we have New Mexico we have Minnesota   we have Illinois we have Virginia we have one  District in Nebraska we have two electoral votes   in Maine we have New Hampshire and we have New  Jersey now let's take a look at the states that   will likely vote for the Republican candidate we  have Idaho we have Montana we have Wyoming we have   Utah we have Alaska we have North Dakota we have  South Dakota we have the rest of Nebraska we have   Kansas we have Oklahoma we have Missouri we have  Arkansas we have Louisiana we have Mississippi we   have Alabama we have Tennessee we have Kentucky we  have South Carolina we have West Virginia Indiana   and one District in Maine now let's look at the  states that are leaning towards voting for The   Republican candidate we have Iowa we have Ohio we  have Florida and we have Texas and so these are   the states that we think are likely are leaning  towards voting for The Democratic candidate and   the Republican candidate all right so looking at  our electoral map we have Battleground States we   have seven Battleground States right now and if  you want to you can also say the Omaha area in   Nebraska is a Battleground area right now the  prediction is that it will go to the Democrats   but it is vital that the Dem rats win in Nebraska  win that that uh little area there that district   and so when we're looking at the rest of the map  let's just look at the seven states that'll be the   easiest for us to do right now and then maybe we  will take a look at a tie if there was a situation   for a tie but right now when it comes to the  haris campaign if they win Wisconsin Michigan and   Pennsylvania they get to 270 they win so that is  their best pathway forward easiest pathway forward   when it comes to Trump TR Trump's best pathway  is Georgia North Carolina and Pennsylvania that   gives him 270 he wins the presidency all right  so now that we have that out of the way what are   some other ways that let's say Harris can win if  Harris wins let's say she wins Wisconsin Michigan   she doesn't win Pennsylvania but she wins North  Carolina then she would need to win Nevada or   Arizona if she wins Nevada that gives her the 273  and as we just stated if she wins Arizona that   gives her over the 270 that she needs so those  are two Pathways that she has with just winning   Wisconsin Michigan and North Carolina now she's  looking pretty good in North Carolina right now so   that's a that's a huge possibility now let's just  say she doesn't win Nevada she doesn't win Arizona   but she wins North Carolina and she wins Georgia  she wins Georgia she gets to 283 she gets over the   270 that she needs and she would win she is close  in all of these states that we're talking about   right now so these this is not outside the realm  of possibilities she's she's very close in all of   these states okay so that those are her Pathways  her major Pathways to to Victory uh we can I guess   we can kind of mix in match uh just like I was  saying with Michigan let's say if she won Georgia   and then it would be the same thing if she wins uh  Nevada then she'd get over the 270 so she doesn't   have to win both North Carolina and Georgia she  can win North Carolina or Georgia and then she   would win and I'm not even looking at Pennsylvania  at this point if we plug in Pennsylvania we could   do something like let's say she loses Michigan but  she wins Pennsylvania and then she wins Georgia   that gives her what she needs there uh the the 271  so that'll be put her over the top same thing if   she were to win in North Carolina that would put  her over the 270 so that's what we're looking at   and there there there's so many different ways I  won't say so many different ways but realistically   we have to look at what is what are the polls  showing us right now in these Battleground states   where what are the the real possibilities some  of them yeah we could say oh yeah well she can   win everything all the Battleground States well  that's not likely she's probably not going to win   all seven states but looking at the layout here  those are some of her best chances of winning now   when it comes to former president Trump it's going  to be harder for him because as I stated his best   way to win is Pennsylvania North Carolina and  Georgia that gives him the 270 but let's say he   doesn't win let's say he doesn't win Pennsylvania  if he doesn't win Pennsylvania even if he wins   Arizona and Nevada he's still going to be short  he'll be at 268 and so he'll need to win Wisconsin   or Michigan when it comes to the polling her  strongest states are these two states and Trump's   strongest states are Georgia and Arizona and so  he would have to win one but let's say he does   polling has been wrong in Wisconsin before let's  say he was able to win Wisconsin that'll give   him the the presidency uh same thing so I mean  obviously if he wins Michigan it'll be the same   situation that would give him the presidency and  so he does have a pathway forward but he pretty   much has to run the table in order to do that I  mean he has to win Nevada Arizona Georgia North   Carolina and then if he doesn't win Pennsylvania  then he's going to need to win one of these other   states in order to win and so he he has a real  road to climb there and that's pretty much his   only real way of winning I mean unless you want  to say he's going to turn the blue wall into a red   wall and then if even if he turned the the blue  wall into a red wall he would still need another   state he would need a Nevada actually not even a  Nevada that wouldn't even work so he would need an   Arizona or uh Georgia or North Carolina in order  to win but the likelihood of him winning Wisconsin   Michigan and Pennsylvania probably not likely and  so when I talk about former president president   Trump and his Pathway to Victory his easiest  pathway is Georgia North Carolina and Pennsylvania   and that's the only real way that I can see him  winning other than that I don't see him getting to   270 if he can't win these three states and so he's  going to have to do a lot of work in order to get   there and when we look at Harris she just has more  opportunities to win she has the blue wall she can   easily win there she also has an opportunity  if she doesn't win Pennsylvania to win North   Carolina and win Nevada she's leading in both of  those States and we're talking about the average   I'm taking the average of polling and so right  now she has a better opportunity uh to win the   presidency than former president Trump now we'll  have to see if things change but that's what we're   looking at right now according to polling right  now Harris has the advantage and when you look at   Real Clear Politics you put in all the numbers you  see that Harris has the advantage when you look at   538 you put in all the numbers you see that Harris  has the advantage so right now she is in the lead   if you want to say that when we're looking at the  electoral map also when we look at the national   polls it is showing her in the lead but what  matters are the Battleground States and right now   looking at those two outlets those two uh polling  average websites they're showing that she has the   lead so I want to know what you guys think so let  me know in the comments below if you like this   video please give me a thumbs up please subscribe  for more and I'll talk to you in the next one bye

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