in 2016 and over these last eight years Iowa has only shifted even more to the right in 2022 it's Governor Kim Reynolds of Republican was reelected by a 20 plus Point margin and so Iowa will be solid red on our map but just barely Trump can probably pull off a 15 to a 16p point Victory we will also have the state of Texas which has been a traditionally Red State over the last four decades the last time that voted for a Democrat was Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Texas yes the election was closer in 2020 but Trump still managed to win by a nearly double digit margin in 2016 he's probably going to win by 10 to 12 points at the very minimum this time around but if he does pull off a popular vote Victory there's no doubt Texas is going to be safe for the JP for the first time since 2012 the Lone Star State will give the former president a 40 electoral vote boost