who's going to win the 2024 election polls or bookmakers who do you trust polls say it's neck and neck but bookmakers they're all in on Trump here's the thing polls often miss key segments of the population sampling the same people over and over it's like trying to guess the taste of a whole pie by only sampling one slice but bookmakers they adjust the odds based on real money reflecting what people actually believe in real time so what's more accurate history shows bookmakers often get it right the stakes are high and the odds are constantly shifting as the election heats up will you trust the polls or follow the money