hey everybody it is Chris it's Friday it is 1M here in Washington DC and I will tell you I was about to take a drink from this delicious smoothie I made for myself but then I thought you know what Chris if you do that it's going to be the same situation that you had last week when you were eating a kitat bar and you went live and nobody could understand what the hell you're talking about for the first 30 seconds so I learned my lesson um why am I dressed up mostly for you guys but great question um because I do Essie cuff show she has a show on Fox News Affiliates not Fox News but the Affiliates of fox uh called Battleground that she does every day and I get to do it every Friday so I put a tie on for it so yeah I got a tie on uh and then I'm going to teach at Georgetown later today which uh actually raises I'm gonna answer all your questions but I got a question for you guys because I'm gonna ask it ask it of the kids later and we're going to talk about it here's the question if you could make changes to the presidential debate what changes would they be rule changes subject changes format changes time changes any of that stuff what would the changes you would recommend or a change you would recommend be so that my question to you all right let me start also happy debate week we made it uh KLA Harris won the debate I don't know how much but I think pretty easily I don't know how much that changes the election I really don't uh I don't know how much uh uh undecided voters are swayed by that or not swayed by it so we'll see let's wait a week and see what the polling says my guess is it's going to be really close like I think that's been true I think it continues to be true um so I think it's going to be really close um what else before I get started uh we are like 200 subscribers away from 40,000 so if you know anybody tell them to do it now let's get to 40,000 I might make a 40,000 video if we go over it this weekend so if you are not a current subscriber go subscribe we're literally at like 39,821 my written work go do it Chris salsa. substack do.com um it's over there like 75 to 80% of the content's free 25% you pay for um speaking of pay for uh this is what I do for a living uh if you want to sub support me you can subscribe to my substack $6 a month $60 a year if you want to support me here make a donation the added benefit of doing it here is I will you your question will jump to the top of the line if you don't want to make a donation don't worry about it I will still try to get to as many questions as I can but if you do little incentive that your question will jump to the top of the line all right so let's do it uh starting with Braden Shelt Braden thank you for uh the very kind donation hold on let me get it in 2022 Mark Kelly and John fouth both beat magga candidates by over four percentage points when the magga candidates were favored by polling why were the polls so off is this an indicator for this election so Federman was ahead the whole time uh I I don't think that people thought Dr Oz was going to win I mean that it was supposed to be closer um than it wound up being in I think that's true for Mark Kelly too um I don't know is the answer in terms of like as is it an indicator for this coming election because I think you have two competing forces Force One is Trump in 2016 and 2020 overperformed where National polls had him uh in 2016 uh Biden uh 2016 Hillary was up about four and a half points in the last National polling averages she won by two in 2020 Biden was ahead by eight points in the National polling averages he won by about four and a half so each of those are true um the counterweight there is since the roie Wade uh overturning in 2022 Democrats have overperformed in almost every race they've been in right Democratic enthusiasm through the roof so I don't totally know how that works the other thing I don't know is voter registration has surged since KLA Harris became the nominee and since Taylor Swift and dorsa earlier this week I think 400,000 people have uh registered to vote now we don't know that those are all people who are going to vote for Harris but you would think it would probably be helpful so there's a lot of mixed things going in in here right now let me see if anyone else has donated to uh get their question asked uh oh pocket watch I've been recommending you more and more keep up the good work well thank you for the donation that's super kind and thank you for the um uh the uh endorsement yeah I feel like we've got momentum here with the channel and we've got like you know two months is a little less than two months before the election so I really want to push on that make videos have it be fun all right um let's see uh John I should always say this if you have questions make sure you ask them without questions I can't make this thing go okay I got one more donation here Dave klier uh from the UK thank you for your donation in the 2020 election over 158 million votes were cast what do you think the total turnout will be at this time who does high turnout help so traditionally High turnout helps uh the Democratic candidate that's how we usually think about it my guesses that turnout will be similarish to 2020 maybe slightly lower because remember in 2020 a lot of absentee ballot and mail and ballot rules were changed to deal with covid because we were in the middle of a pandemic it made it easier for people to vote from afar um those rules will be a little bit uh more in place put back in place this time so maybe a little lower I still think higher turnout helps Harris um but there are a lot of trump people who are not midterm election voters right they're not really even Republicans they just vote for him so I could buy an argument that higher turnout um uh helps him too let me you know what uh Dave let that's a really good question I'm going to do I'll probably write something and maybe also make a video on it but that's a really good idea um let me dig into past voter turnout and sort of what the conclusion was at the end of who it helped great question uh let's see uh Brendan Fleming Brendan thank you so much for the donation Laura lomer going around with Trump lately is a warning center for me that he's getting more extreme people in his ear if this affects his messaging could it impact him with moderates I mean I think it is insane that Donald Trump is Ping around or even being seen with Laura lummer I made a video about this if you don't know who Laura lummer is go watch that video but she's an unpleasure person she is a bigot she is a 911 conspiracy theorist she is uh cruel she's a bad person um he should not be anywhere near her much less she'd be on the plane when he flies to the debate and she'd be on uh the plane when he flies to Pennsylvania and um and New York to commemorate 911 this is someone who has forwarded 911 conspiracy theories okay um what does it mean um you know he's hand kind of extreme people on and off in his orbit right Kanye West you know I don't know if it's that much different I think he likes being around people who uh celebrate him who think he's great who tell him he's great she obviously does that um so I'm not sure it indicates all that much in terms of Trump's appeal to moderates you know to me the cake is baked on Trump people don't like him by and large right everybody knows him and most people don't like him about 60% of people 65% of people don't like him so for me it's really about can kamla Harris be acceptable on the economy to moderates if not they'll hold their nose and vote for Trump it's to me it's more about her he I'm not sure he can change what people think of him anymore I I think we're we're too far down that line okay uh two other questions as always ask your questions much appreciated John C uh North Carolina seems to be really in play and Arizona actually seems to be the hardest state for dem's thoughts I think the governor's race North Carolina is one of many factors helping the Dems put that state in play yeah so let me just talk about North Carolina first so um the Republican nominee there is this guy named Mark Robinson who who's the lieutenant governor there is no question that he is probably the most extreme um candidate that a major party has nominated for governor in recent memory that I can think of I'm sure there's somebody else who might jump to mind but but he's very very extreme and yeah could that be hurting up ballot a little bit or helping Harris yeah a little bit you know I also think her um you know that state has about 20 25% African-American vote um she should do better among that than Biden um in that group so I think that helps a little bit I'm still a little skeptical of North Carolina because I think it's really easy for a Democrat to not really it's easy for a Democrat to get between 47 and 48% I think it's really hard to get higher than that maybe 48% wins it for her depending on third party candidates all and that if she wins North Carolina I think she's going to win the election I mean I I do think that uh is Arizona the hardest state for Democrats I would say uh for Harris I would say hardest States for her to win in order I think are North Carolina Georgia Arizona Pennsylvania Nevada Michigan Wisconsin I could see switching Nevada and Pennsylvania there but that's how I see it so I don't think it's the hardest but it's certainly not the easiest okay uh Josh B Josh thank you for your donation as I always say to people donations are very much appreciated because this is what I do for a living so you're supporting me but not necessary Josh B says given her avoidance of the Border questions if Harris wins without Arizona do you think Dems will try to pass a strong border bill or will border security go by the wayside since it wasn't needed to win I'm shrinking hold on my chair is my chair is falling down for some unknown reason um I think a lot of that depends Josh on who controls the House and Senate um you know right now I think Republicans are a pretty good bet to to control the Senate especially given that Montana appears to be moving toward uh Republicans sorry now I'm too high up okay that's better um the house seems to me to be a basically a jump ball based on all the political handicapper stuff I've read so if there's a split in Congress or if Republicans control the House and Senate and harrises in the White House you know that actually may increase the chances of a strong border bill um if Democrats somehow hold on to the Senate and keep the house and Harris wins I don't know so but I do think sort of we got to think of this right no law is coming into uh excuse me existence without the House and Senate so we got to think of who who controls those I hope that makes sense um acar 1994 thank you for the donation my friend Will trump flip-flop and accept a second debate also Chris you have been eligible to vote since 1994 1984 why is this your first time voting okay um Trump very well could flip-flop and accept another debate who the hell knows it's Trump I mean you know three weeks ago he accepted three debates in September now he's saying he's not doing anymore I I don't know if I had to guess he wouldn't but it's just a guess I mean he could change tomorrow um you are right I have been well no let's see uh I was born in 1976 so I definitely wasn't eligible to vote in 1984 don't age me I was eligible vote in 1994 and no I have not ever voted in a national election before um I didn't do so cuz I was a reporter and a journalist and I just thought it would be better given what I was covering not to do it um I still am a reporter and a journalist but I'm going to vote in this election uh I can talk more about that if people have questions but that's sort of my view for people who are just joining I wanted to tell you I'm I said this right at the top but I'm gonna say it again so I teach a class at Georgetown on campaign journalism every Friday and uh the question I'm gonna ask the kids today to consider and come up with ideas is how would you make the debate better um would you change the structure the timing the time the way questions are asked the moderator set up like whatever how many candidates are included in the debate how would you make it better so if you have a suggestion bring it on and I'll I'll uh let them know uh over 400 people on right now thank you to everyone all right here we go um Sam hi Chris I saw you joined script news scripts news as a political contributor congrats are you still allowed to do other shows are you now exclusive to them no it is a non-exclusive deal so I go on scripts once or twice a week they have a show from six to seven called the race that I really like that I go on that's mostly about politics but I can do other shows too um and have been doing a lot of other shows which has been great uh terrored not that terrored mike check you said Trump was running a discipline campaign why did that recently change with this pet eating stuff so what I have said just to be totally clear is Trump is running a better campaign than he did in 2016 and 2020 and I still stand by that the thing is Trump is still Trump right like I think Chris lovita and Susie Wilds are the two people at the top of his campaign are much more serious political people than he's ever had in charge of a campaign before um that said like Trump kind of does what he wants to do I am certain that the advisers in his campaign said do not take uh her bait do not let her troll you stay focused on tying her to Biden hitting her on her policy FL flops talking about immigration and I'm sure if they thought of it they would have said don't talk about eating pets he just kind of does what he does so a more disciplined and better campaign than he ran in 2016 and 2020 honestly is a pretty low bar um I do still think he's doing better but yeah uh okay let's keep going uh DL thank you for the donation no question but very much appreciated um let's see uh [Music] uh uh Sam 2 what is the likelihood KLA wins Georgia but loses PA 20% I mean I made that up but like I don't totally know the answer to that um I I think it is likely if she wins Georgia she's going to win Pennsylvania I mean it's like if we talk about North Carolina if K Harris wins North Carolina I said she's probably going to win the election and the the reason why is simple because if she's winning North Carol in she's almost certainly winning Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania right and then she's won um even if she doesn't win Georgia so yeah I I think those two things move in tandem I I don't think a Pennsylvania win and a Georgia loss is likely but again I'd give it like a one and five probability Josh in 855 Josh thank you for the donation how do you feel about journalists reporting on politics at places like the New York Times of the Washington Post voting is it an ethical question what is the general view among journalists so it gosh it's so complicated so a lot of people beat me up when I say I had never voted before and I didn't because I thought it wouldn't be the right thing when I was covering a presidential campaign um do most Journal political journalists vote I think yeah I think it's probably 75% again I'm guessing um but there were definitely plenty of people like me who didn't um I think it's hard so there's two things one is you are still a citizen right uh and and therefore you get to vote uh you have the right to vote you probably should vote on the other hand we live in a world now where if you're someone who's relatively prominent and you cover politics for living people will Hound you to death about who you voted for people already are like why don't you tell us who you're going to vote for and it's like well it's kind of a private decision uh you know because they think that that provides the lock the key to the lock that unlocks what you really think and I think for a lot of journalists they don't want to do that the other thing that I would say and I still struggle with this honestly is I've been looking at politics through the lens of a journalist for so long that I tend to look at like is this a smart strategy is this a dumb strategy I don't tend to look at as do I agree with this or do I not agree with this I I I know that might be weird for some of you but that's definitely my experience and so I struggle with that too but I I appreciate the question um I think it's a really thoughtful one um poo boy Dave do you think Trump will change his mind about a second debate with Harris I don't know probably not uh but I'm not sure I I how could you predict him uh sha D has your lunch routine change from Starbucks a little bit so like I said this is a smoothie oh that's delicious okay so what went into that Frozen mango berries pineapple little bit of Honey some um uh collagen my wife always has me put that in there and uh what else was in there anything else honey oh uh Greek yogurt so yeah I think that's healthier for me I don't know um Sher Zimmerman says Chris have you ever done jury duty I won't show you my address but I literally just got this jury questionnaire so not yet um Jeff wolf I expected a stronger performance from Trump considering his Edge on some key issues is he still as sharp as he was a few years ago no um he's 78 now he was 70 when he started running for office um I don't think he's as sharp as he was that doesn't mean I think he's in like deep cognitive decline and has dementia but no he is more thin skinned and he was always thin skinned but he's more thin skinned he's less quick on his feet um again I don't know if that's just normal aging or not I suspect it is because you know he's always said stuff that was kind of crazy so I don't think that's new um but yeah he was not good in that debate I thought Harris was pretty good I think also TR Trump missed a lot of opportunities that were there for the taking uh good question uh no Frederickson n thank you for the donation do you have a fantasy football league how was week one for you I do not uh my kids have five for one of them and three for the other one so I live vicariously through them I think week one was pretty good for them but when you have five teams you're not going to win all of them or lose all of them Brendan Fleming thank you for the donation favorite movie president I love Bill Pullman in indep attendence day uh he is great in that um let's see let me do a quick search because I don't want to uh I don't want to forget anyone um movie presidents because I want to make sure I'm uh let's see best fictional presidents uh I mean everybody always says Martin Sheen and West Wing but that's not a movie um Jimmy Fox J Davis I really if if I can do a show I really liked in Battlestar Galactica when the education secretary become comes the um becomes the president after the world gets destroyed that was pretty good um no Billy Bob Thon no Bill Pullman I'm just looking on this list to see who's number one uh Michael Douglas say Andrew Shepard and the American president that was pretty good yeah I like that one uh yeah that's a good choice uh sorry I'm just running through my questions the notorious crg thank you for your donation have you heard about Caitlyn Clark's loss of support after liking Tay's endorsement post what do you think that says about her fan base that some people think that liking a post by Taylor Swift about basically that she's supporting KL Harris but that you should make your own decisions is indicative of Caitlyn Harr like Caitlyn Clark rather I think this is dumb you know like if you don't like Caitlyn Clark because she liked a she liked literally hit like on a post about why you should vote by Taylor Swift you got to reassess your life choices in my opinion all right let's keep going um nostalgic American people tend to vote for candidates like them therefore do you think older working class men of Pennsylvania will prevent Harris from winning that state so I was talking to my friend Damon Linker who writes this great substat called Notes From The Underground notes from the Middle Ground Notes From The Underground is f dski uh um notes from the middle ground and the point I was making like is if there's one swing state where I think Biden actually pre June 27th debate bid might actually be a stronger candidate and a better fit than Harris I think it's Pennsylvania for a lot of the reason that you said he's very known in the state um to win the state you obviously have to win Philadelphia and Pittsburgh but you also have to win some little or not lose some rural areas as badly again I think Pennsylvania is the key I I really do I I think you tell me who wins Pennsylvania I'll tell you who wins the election I think Harris is marginally a worse candidate than Biden in Pennsylvania but that doesn't mean she can't win um Matthew white uh what are your thoughts on the Iran nuclear deal and do you think it was a good decision withdraw from it in 2018 I don't know enough about it man I I I I confess ignorance I don't know enough about the deal I know it's super politicized but I not enough to tell you I'm sorry Greg thank you for your donation will the ACC blow up at the hands of FSU Clemson and what will happen to K and Stamford if it does I don't know the answer to that I mean I just saw the Pack 12 added Fresno State and Boise State I mean the conference realignment thing is such a joke it's so depressing um I hope if the ACC blows up uh K and Stanford uh go to the pack whatever six I think that would be good is that okay are they in that now I can't even keep track um uh pocket watch says team CA seems fired up today I feel similar I feel good um uh let's see see uh Phil Reinhardt oh Phil I saw that you asked this in my mailbag at sub sorry I didn't I didn't answer it let me answer it now what purposes Serve by in-person campaign rallies aren't audiences committed supporters who are certain to vote anyway is it just to get three minutes of free TV it is definitely at least in part to get coverage by local media TV print radio and you know people see that voters see that it's also I think to Rally your base but also like get people registered to vote who will be for you um um who come to that rally you know they register people to vote constantly when you're coming to those rallies so I think it's just to try to grow the pool while also sort of playing to your your hometown so I think that that makes sense um Maxwell finer if Trump loses do you think he will be the nominee in 2028 it would seem like maybe many voters would realize he cost him the past two elections who want a more competent candidate it would seem so but remember that Donald Trump in his four years lost uh Republicans lost the house senate and the White House from 2016 to 2020 and yet in 2024 Donald Trump is the uh Republican Presidential nominee and he basically walked to that nomination um I think assuming he doesn't have any major health issues I think he is the favorite to be the 2028 Nomine unless and I can't see this happening but unless he gets blown out by Harris if he loses the popular vote 5545 in the The Electoral College 390 to whatever I think maybe it would be like okay time to move on but I don't think that's going to happen so yeah I think he is a um I think he is a favorite in 2028 even if he loses uh Tammy Cochran do you have a regular day or time slot to appear on scripts or is it going to be random I would love to catch you when there when I can so uh Tammy I'm gonna try in my substack newsletter to always let people know when I'm gonna be on it kind of tends to run by the day it's kind of a day-to-day thing it'll almost always be between 600 and 7 pm. Eastern on that show the race it's I did it Tuesday the debate day at 6:45 so I don't know but I'll try my best to get it out to you if and when I can uh hold on uh no one great name and thank you for the donation as always no donations not necessary but much appreciated and if you do donate your prize for donating is you get your question red you jump to the front of the line uh 568 people currently on this live stream which is the most we have ever had let's keep going as I said folks I will keep going uh either until we run out of questions or there's an hour because then I got to go and um uh uh teach let's see uh Quantum of Zen format change for the debate suggestion okay I like it participants must wear logos of all their sponsors or backers that would be amazing big Exon thing Boeing uh Phil Reinhardt change to the debate accept viewer questions ahead of time like you do totally agree I think that would be great they tried to do that in 2016 a little bit um but I agree like people are smart let's let's use our Collective wisdom and get really good questions um Martin dim is it just me the stream started for me at minute 20 after it had started oh gosh I'm sorry about that Martin um Julio J post debate the CNN viewers viewers interviewed complained Harris did not provide enough details hard to go deep with two minutes time I'd prefer a format that favors in depth answers like a town hall agree a debate is not it's so funny so I was doing some interview after the debate some TV interview or something they were like what were the important policy discussions that happened in the debate and I wanted to be like that's a funny joke because these debates in this modern format are not really policy debates it's like they get asked about a policy like would you sign a a national ban on abortion and Trump says like no need for it we don't need that and he goes and talks about something else so like yeah they're not great for that and I think people who go to it looking for that it's kind of like that's not what you're going to get this is a per performance not like the Lincoln Douglas debates George Wilkerson uh George thank you so much for the donation that's super kind and very much appreciated your question the swing State polling averages in 2020 ended up significantly underestimating Trump's support in blue wall states with polling currently being much closer could we be headed for a trump sweep I think that's absolutely something you have to consider right um there is no question that in 2016 both nationally and in the swing States uh Hillary Clinton was ahead of Donald Trump at this point by more more than KLA Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in 2020 both nationally and in the swing States Joe Biden was significantly more ahead of Donald Trump than KLA Harris is ahead of Donald Trump right now so yes again I think how much polling error is built in in 2016 and 2020 Trump overperform the polling is that gonna happen again is it not I don't know but yes I could see Trump winning um definitely Pennsylvania and maybe Michigan Wisconsin I think might be a little harder but yeah I think it's possible uh Betty Betty thank you for the donation do you think do you think Trump will throw Vance under the bus and blame him for losing the election um I mean Trump will blame anything if he loses the election it'll be the election was stolen the media was biased and yes JD screwed him with women because he made the comments about uh childless cat ladies yeah I mean he's not going to blame himself if he loses right I mean he's not going to say he lost but but he's not going to blame himself if he's not pre I should say if he's not president again 2025 so yeah he would definitely throw JD under the bus does does JD deserve a blame almost certainly not thank you again for your donation um let's see uh corn Heiser 10 two-part question do you like Foy gr do you think it served at trotel restaurants no and maybe and great question I get it Pats geese really good um Timmy Cochran Ray debate changes I really like the no audience format I find the audience noise to be distracting from the candidate speaking couldn't agree more uh you are totally 100% right I am so glad we don't have a live studio audience let's never have one again Brendan Fleming with the suggestion for how to change the debates more than two- minute answers to outline policies I agree so what's hard is you don't want to just let them give a campaign speech in a debate setting because they they do that all the time you want to get them to be thinking and engaging but two minutes is hard um I would say you know could you say you have three minutes but you have to talk in you have to give us five things you would do like you can't just talk in super general terms give us five things that you would do I maybe you couldn't do that but but I like it um let's see politics nerd Chris I hope you don't change the authenticity of the videos with this company you're bringing in no way videos will stay authentic trust me um this is me uh this has been what succeeded this is what I'm going to continue to do uh I'm they're going to help me with like thumbnails are going to help me with some YouTube short stuff and some Tik Tok stuff stuff I don't know about um but no the videos will uh say stay the same uh Neil Barina hi Chris I liked you on CNN you seem liberal leaning but I like that you didn't denigrate the other side and always try to do it in a fact-based and unemotional way keep up the good work so I try not to be any leaning I try to be someone who uh sees stuff and comments on it based on my knowledge and Reporting uh I hope that's not liberal leaning or conservative leaning I've certainly been accused of being a trump supporter and a comma supporter but thank you Neil I do appreciate it um Adam Del Judas Chris there's so much talk about the 2024 Senate map is terrible for Democrats is the 2026 or 2028 Senate map much better they are um let me just look so just while I'm talking the 2024 map the problem is there are 23 Democratic seats and 11 Republican seats three of those 23 Democratic seats West Virginia Montana and Ohio or in States Trump one there are none of the 11 seats that Republicans have to hold that by one uh 26 um let me just go through it so uh who will be vulnerable in 20 26 maybe uh John hickin Looper in Colorado definitely John oof these are Democrats in Oregon uh maybe jeene Shaheen in New Hampshire maybe Tina Smith in Minnesota and maybe Mark Warner in Virginia uh for Republicans Susan Collins in Maine is going to be a Target again uh maybe Joanie Ernst in Iowa um Tom till in North Carolina so 2026 is not great I think 2028 uh is even better uh let me look that's class three 2028 has uh Ted bud in North Carolina Republican that's trouble Chuck Grassley he may not run again in Iowa Ron Johnson that's a major Target uh Marco Rubio in Florida maybe um Vance maybe in Ohio on the Democratic side Michael Bennett maybe in Colorado not many fedman so it's a little more even I guess I would say it's not great for Democrats but it's nowhere near as bad for Democrats uh let's see let me keep going here um AAR 1994 uh acar thank you for the donation let's say kamla wins the D's win the house and the Senate is 5149 for Republicans totally possible can you see Lisa marowski becoming an independent and caucusing with Democrats I love that question um maybe so I actually think there might even be more of a chance of Susan Collins doing that who another uh you know moderate Republican the thing with marowski that's hard is you know her dad was the governor of the state and a senator from the state and was a republican there's like a long Republican tradition with marowski in Alaska but Mar Lisa marowski in 2014 20 I can't remember she lost the Republican primary to a guy named Joe Miller who was like a Sarah Palin um type tea party type and she ran as an independent right candidate and won so um I guess there's some precedent there that she could do that you know maybe Susan Collins Susan Collins is obviously very loyal to Mitch McConnell um but if Mitch McConnell isn't the majority leader or the minority leader anymore maybe that changes I I don't know great question great question Carolyn Louise thank you for your donation Carolyn Trump's celebrity helpers help so Trump's celebrity helped him in 2016 do you think this would also work for someone like Tucker Carlson you mean Tucker Carlson running for president maybe Tucker Carlson a year ago probably not Tucker Carlson today I think he's outside the the mainstream too much uh that his celebrity I mean people would pay attention but I think his views would be really problematic like how Russia is better than the United States okay the notorious crg thank you again for another donation what about a real-time point system for the debate using a three or four judge panel like in boxing score them for their answers to the questions I love it I love it again it would be hard to figure out who the judges would be but I love that idea that is fascinating thank you for thinking so creatively um let's see um I'm just going through here sorry folks give me a sec uh sorry I'm scrolling i w to um yeah Jeffrey Miller says 500 plus viewers and only 46 likes smash that like button people we're at 146 likes but come on we need those likes do it for the algorithm um uh let's see Fabian TG can you make it an hour and 20 minutes I don't know if I can make it that long Brandon Lewis why hasn't Harris started trolling Trump calling him chicken and a coward and afraid to get his butt kicked again you mean about the debates I would assume that's coming um I also think that's by the way the best way to get Trump to reverse course and do the debate is to say that he's not manly and he's running from her and he's afraid um if if the Harris campaign really does want to do another debate um that's the path so we'll see but yes that is absolutely the way you do it um let's see uh Justin zagler for Trump what can he do after this debate and what can Harris do to counteract that Trump is going so Justin I really do think look Trump is not going to get any more popular he's totally known and most people two-thirds of people don't like him um the issue for him is can he bring Harris down he's not going to get more popular can he make her more unpopular so I think he will be totally negative on the attack for the last seven and a half weeks of the campaign um and be attacking her as too liberal uh scary uh San Francisco uh doesn't know what she's doing with the economy responsible for the the last four years of the Biden Administration that would be my guess that would be my guess we're up to almost 200 likes come on Mash that like button people um let's see uh poemi I think Hillary was more disliked than Kamala I totally agree polling bears that out Hillary Clinton was definitely more to dislike than KLA Harris Steve says JD doesn't deserve isn't he an awful VP candidate he's not great uh he's definitely not what Trump would have hoped for at the same time like people vote for the top of the ticket Donald Trump isn't going to win or lose because of JD Vance he's just not going to uh until somebody shows me some evidence that the VP makes a huge difference it hasn't since 1960 when uh JFK picked Lyndon Johnson and helped them win the South and win the presidency that's a long time ago um Wilner Olivier what do you make of the scandals involving Eric Adam Adams and his allies do you believe he's in trouble and is this a possible unwelcome distraction for Democrats so Eric Adams is the governor of New York City he has had a really weird go of it he seems to have a tin ear as it relates to public relations again he's a democrat in New York but my guess is he gets a significant primary challenge when he's up again um Josh this is a debate suggestion I'd love to see aggressive fact checking and moderators pointing out when candidates go off topic and don't answer the question asked I agree at the same time it's really hard to do that um because they never answer the question and if you fact checked every little thing that a candidate says that's not strictly the truth you all you do is fact check um Henrik israelian hey Henrik how are you thank you for the donation uh hi Chris suggestion to do an election night stream have guests on and take callers I think that would be a great bunch of fun and a really interesting night to hear from different perspectives I am currently cooking up what to do on Election night I love that idea and I will uh I will take it into uh account thank you Carl kraton Trump really win the debate because all the media he's getting for the pets comment probably not I guess the theory of that is like all attention is good attention but when you're saying they're eating our pets I I don't I don't think that's good attention so no I don't think he won the debate but again I think you can say k Harris won the debate and it might not make that much of a difference I think both of those things can be can be true um let's see bear loves Birds what's your guess on the Pathway to Victory which states if Harris or Trump win I'm going to be boring on this Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Pennsylvania um I asked Nate silver about his model and I asked the decision desk HQ people about their model of the election in in Nate's model at least this was true last week if Harris wins uh Pennsylvania she has a 91% chance of winning the the election if Trump wins Pennsylvania is a 93% chance of winning the election um if Trump wins Pennsylvania in the decision desk model it's like 86% that he wins and like 79% for Harris I just think it goes through there um if you if you tell tell me who wins Pennsylvania I'll tell you who wins the election if you tell me KLA Harris wins North Carolina I'll tell you KLA Harris will win the election uh if you tell me that Donald Trump wins Michigan I'll probably tell you if Donald Trump wins the election uh Craig skeptic FY uh for what it's worth I totally agree with your decision to not reveal who you will vote for I appreciate your nonpartisan voice in this see your political channels man I try I will tell you it would be easier if I just came on here every every video and I was like man Trump is the worst or man Harris really is a communist I grow my following faster but it's not me you got to be authentic right you got to be you and who I am is a guy who has seen this through the lens of being a journalist for so long that I'm just not again I see like is this a good thing or a bad thing for them as a candidate as opposed to do I agree with this or do I disagree with it again I know not everybody sees it that way in fact most people don't but that's just where I come from uh Marcus Warren I'm glad you're not chained to MSM rules me too um let's see uh H any chance George W bush comes out against Trump no I don't think he's going to do that I know some liberals want him to but no I don't think he's going to do that um uh see Michelle alvare debate change Family Feud style Red X with the air horn and loss of remaining time when blatant lies are told I would like to see loss of time like we're going to take your time back again the hardest thing here is what's a blatant lie um seems to me Donald Trump saying that K Harris supports executing infants is a blatant lie Sound the Horn do the Red X uh 2020 election is stolen Sound the Horn do the red x k Harris saying Donald Trump supports a national sales tax is that a blatant lie he supports tariffs which may amount to something similar to national sales tax but he hasn't proposed a national sales tax x and air horn I don't know that's the problem um uh oh folks correct me yes sorry I was looking at this list and I said John Assa from Oregon John OA is obviously from Georgia I was looking at Ron weiden from Oregon Ron widen does not have to worry about getting uh elected um uh poemy says I thought Bush already endorsed Kamala no George W bush has not endorsed anyone and I don't think he will uh s Ruan your thoughts even though Harris won the debate Trump won the media's coverage since people can't talking about stop talking about cats and dogs both Trump and Dems put out mem memes regarding Trump's comments yeah but like it's about him saying they're eating pets I I don't I don't know um maalis I'm watching from the beginning so behind I hear Chris a commo w easily but forgets to thank the moderators for the assist so I wrote a lot about this um on my substack if you haven't read it the ABC moderators fact checked Donald Trump four times and they fact checked KL Harris zero times not great now it is also true that Donald Trump said more things that were false provably than KL Harris did but she didn't say know things that were false and I do think that's an issue so fair fair point there um DB DB thank you for the um donation what country Will trump flee to after he loses the election he's not going anywhere but he does talk about moving to Venezuela because the crime is so low in Venezuela because Venezuela sent all their criminals and people in insane asylums to America not really but that's what he says um Dave ker after the debate do I think that Trump will sack Chris lasv and Susie Wilds no I do not uh I mean he could who the hell knows it's Trump but no I don't think he will um Brian Hannah says a judge panel for the debate that's really interesting I agree again the problem is who's on the panel but totally agree fascinating uh folks if you are here and watching this go like it we have 644 people watching live that is amazing but we only have 226 likes I need your likes I need your follows I need your subscriptions um little man 9 42 is first past the post voting sufficient or is there a voting system you think is preferable I still think rank Choice voting is is the best if people don't know how rank Choice voting Works um if there's four candidates you rank them one two three or four if your first choice doesn't rank in the top two they go to your second choice if he or she is in the top two they allocate the vote there now it takes a little longer they do it in Maine and Alaska right now it takes longer without question but to me it rewards people who are willing to reach across the ideological Spectrum as opposed to just focusing on like their base so I I prefer that I don't know if it's gonna happen um let's see uh Josh wlov can you speak to how candidates keep up with their current positions while running for higher office uh Harris VP walls Governor Vance Senator seems hard to balance while campaigning full-time they don't keep up with it they absolutely 100% do not they do the campaign yeah and yes taxpayers pay their uh their um uh uh salary the notorious crg again thank you for the donation no matter who wins what strong names are there for the parties post Harris Trump okay um let's see post Trump you got to have like a Donald Trump Jr in there uh Sarah hucke Sanders from Arkansas Tom Cotton from uh Arkansas um Josh Holly from Missouri Des santis again Greg Abbott um trying to think there's any other big ones that I'm missing those are the ones that jump out at me but correct me Avance would have to be on there um for de Democrats Shapiro uh walls even though I know he said he doesn't want to run for president whatever he's the VP if he wins and I think he would run um Nome potentially although if Harris is the the president for eight years are people possibly gonna vote another California Democrat is President um Whitmer um trying to think who else is interesting I think Paul is interesting I don't know if he would win or he'd run but I think the governor of Colorado I think he's kind of interesting uh but those are the names that jump to me um let's see a guy that knows a little bit great handle she needs to troll she has more photo ops with Trump than Melania make him defend why Melania is angry with him I don't know who you're talking about I get you're probably talking about Laura lommer uh okay um epon 532 328 a Libertarian friend says he's voting for Harris after the Dick Cheney endorsement how much effect do you think Republican endorsements will affect the race marginally they might affect some people I mean there's one person who the dick chainy endorsement affected I don't think it's huge I don't think it's statistically significant um but who knows uh cat g hi Chris according to the New York Times about 400,000 people clicked on the voter registration Link in Taylor Swift Harris endorsement incredible thoughts about this specifically and whether it will make an impact I mean it's 400,000 people registering to vote so that's good for democracy um I would assume most of those people would vote for Harris if they do eventually go I mean just because you register to vote doesn't mean you go vote but I would assume that's a good thing um but it's a good thing for democracy either way uh Dre isn't it funny that Trump says that only losers want rematches after bance debate he asks for rematch of course he just changes totally changeable purely transactional he does things he thinks are good for him he doesn't do things that he thinks are bad for him not complicated um Greg what do you see Gavin Newsome doing after his term expires his path of the presidency seems rough if KL this fall oh big time Big Big Time um Gavin Nome playing my favorite game I'm gonna say Gavin Newsome is 54 years old let me see Gavin Newsome age Gavin Newsome age 56 okay I was in the realm so that means he's 60 uh in 2028 totally reasonable for him to run uh but if Harris wins then it's another four year so he's 64 in 2032 not as great and again as I just said if Harris wins two terms it is there is basically a Zer percent chance that Democrats are going to nominate another California Democrat and if they do that another California Democrat is going to be president uh Amanda thank you for the donation uh hi is there a way to save the Republicans from trumpism no uh the Republican party is Trump now um doesn't mean it always will be forever but it is right now without any question um so there's no saving it it's a question of will it evolve Beyond trumpism and if so when um again I've said before I'll say it now not until he dies at a minimum um uh B when you search Chris how come Cuomo comes up before CA he's more Jack than me I think is the reason internet recognizes who's more muscular MSU fan what does Josh Shapiro do of kamla wins good question probably goes into the administration in some kind of role I mean I guess he could stay as Governor but he like Nome would be blocked off for an extended period of Time how old is Josh Shapiro I'm gonna say he is 51 51 Josh Shiro is 51 so he's got a little bit of time in 10 years in eight years rather so 2032 he's only 59 that's how Hell old Harris is so he could wait even to 2032 um uh Alicia says I see 226 likes I now see 289 likes so we're getting there um let's see I'm trying to go with people who have not asked questions before um here's somebody saying love Jared poer M mouth to God's ears yeah he's very interesting guy um John Jeffrey says yes to rank Choice voting yeah I agree Maria Kina no Greg Abbott I'm in Texas you don't want Greg maybe but the Republican Party might want him um George Ruff have you thought about creating short highlight videos from these sessions I think it has a lot of good content that might appeal to voters viewers who don't want 45 plus minutes I have that's a really good idea um this company that I hired maybe I'll ask them to chop it up into small you know a couple smaller videos that we post over the weekend great idea thank you for that George um let's see sorry I'm trying to get people have not asked question Caspian 1965 how about Harris doing solo town house if there are no more debates taking questions from the audience format totally agree I think that would be very smart of her again uh the was Washington Post the New York Times Sienna College poll that came out over the weekend showed the race tied it showed that 30% is of Voters said they felt like they needed to know more about Harris and when they were asked what more do you want to know 60 plus percent said they want to know more about her policies and plans to me the way that you do that is in a town hall format right somebody gets up and says like what would you do about the economy and she runs through it what you do about immigration she runs through it like I think that would be smart um Sam says Gavin Newsome being married to Kimberly guilfoil still blows my mind it is one of the weirdest things the woman who was married to the governor the Democratic governor of California is now with I don't know if they're engaged but certainly been with for a long time Donald Trump Jr it's it it is it is one of the it is one of the weirdest things of all time um David Porter if a Dick Cheney endorsement doesn't move moderate old school conservative Republicans what do you think would is there a top three I don't know um I know what you're talking about kind of establishment Republicans I don't know if there's enough of them left um you know if George W bush means former president United States I don't think he's doing it but if he did I think that would be something he's certainly the sort of emblem the most high-profile establishment conservative there is but people like Mitch McConnell they're they are voting for Trump so I don't I don't know if there is a top three um uh km how does Josh Allen get 3.18 fantasy points when he played against me last week and then gets 9.76 this week when he played uh oh shoot S I lost it dang it that was a really good question hold on I'm I'm gonna find it again don't worry uh sorry get 9.76 this week when he played against another fantasy team oh cruel Fades it's the worst it is the worst I hate that feeling I hate it um Matt callus thank you for the donation not even a question very much appreciated we are over 630 people on this uh stream we are over 300 likes well done people um Christopher Cantrell I'm in Indiana and got a Harris walls TV ad why do they spend ad money in a deep red State I think that depends on where you live um because my guess is you're getting a market that they bought in let's see what probably Michigan do you live in northern Indiana uh my guess would be you're probably getting a Michigan or a Wisconsin ad and they just bought the market that crosses over because they didn't by Indiana um f famous says Mike Pence well Mike Pence has said he's not voting for Donald Trump and not voting for KLA Harris and I don't think Mike Pence commands The Establishment Republicans to the extent they exist um Nels lyen blad how about Harris doing a town hall on Fox I think she would do well I sort of agree like the state the the expectation would be so low because people be like oh it's going to be so unfair and like it would probably be okay like if Brett Bear did it yeah there'd be some tough questions but it wouldn't be unfair it wouldn't be like if Shan Hannity did it I think that'd be really smart um AV I know you're a critical of Laura lommer hang out with Trump in your video isn't the problem less lumer influencing that Trump than Trump himself he Embraces this crazy stuff on his own right again it's so hard to know I think Trump likes having people around him who tell him how great he is I think he is willing to either ignore or Toler the views that these people hold that are bigoted racist noxious I don't know if he espouses those views I just don't know how you would know but the point is he lets these people be around and influence him so kind of the same difference um let's see Don nerd Leon great name do you believe this idea that pollsters have perhaps overcorrected in the direction of trump voters I could be convinced of that I I just don't know again what we know is in 2016 and 2020 National polling under uh sold Donald Trump support I don't know if that's true again um what if Mike poker dog what if Mike Pence endorsed Harris uh he's not going to Christopher Kell says no I live in Central Indiana Central Indiana I don't know why you would be seeing ads somebody bought the Indianapolis Market but that would be weird if you were at running ads in Wisconsin or Michigan I don't know Indiana is not competitive it would be a waste of money MSU fan do I start Alvin Kamar James Connor or Derrick Henry and fantasy this week I like James Connor gonna be a high-scoring game um let's see David row what role do you see for Pete budit in a Harris cabinet or do you see him eventually running for a house seat or as a senator well the problem is he's from Indiana and he's not getting elected to any of those offices uh in Indiana I know he lives in Michigan now that's a little bit more credible maybe Whitmer is term limited out in 2026 I guess I could see budit running for governor there and he'd be a credible candidate I could also see him staying in the Harris cabinet as you know a little bit higher profile um job um excuse me maybe probably not Secretary of State Maybe I don't know is he a lawyer attorney general I mean that would be something he would like I don't know if she'd give it to him uh Paul sa if Harris wins oh shoot I just lost it Paul sorry if Harris wins do you think MAA enthusiasm will die down I don't know it depends on how close it is if it's close probably not um Dan Hefner I am seeing Harris ads on The Young and the Restless that's a target audience so you're watching The Young and the Restless got to watch your stories um William web which Republican should Harris pick for a cabinet if she wins well so she's pledged she will pick a republican I think she'll probably wind up picking someone like Adam kininger or Romney or Liz Cheney I think she would be better served picking someone like James lford center from Oklahoma to maybe oversee immigration or something like that like a real like somebody who's not a never Trumper is what I mean as a republican I don't know if she will um let me do a few more um let's see Keenan we shuttle says Co yes I love this I I I love Spurs that's my team titam hot Green Mountain Academy in your mailbag you mentioned a future piece about media sites with diverse opinions will you include conservative and liberal viewpoints yes although I will say I think a lot of my people who've been asking are looking for conservative writers who are thoughtful and not just totally in with Trump or totally never trumpers like are there people who are kind of thoughtful in that area so I'm gonna focus on that uh to be totally honest um Betty thank you for the donation do you think that the chances for the GOP to take over the Senate will be compromised since Laura Trump is diverting the donations to Donald no I do not um they have less money but they are running in states that are way better the West Virginia seat's already gone so we're at 50 um I think the Montana seat is headed toward being gone Donald Trump's gonna win there by 15 points I don't think John tester can overcome that that's 51 which means that if Democrats want to have the majority they have to win either Florida or Texas and I don't see that happening I I don't yes Republicans are going to be outspent at the Senate level I don't think it it matters all that much David Hoffman do you think Bob Casey's strength in Pennsylvania polls could translate into strength momentum for Harrison Pennsyvania thought on split ticket voter potential in Pennsylvania I do think there's some split ticket voter potential there remember Bobby Casey Jr's dad was a two-term governor of the state the name is extremely wellknown in the state I could see people being for Trump and Bobby Casey um I struggle to see people who are kamla Harris Dave McCormack voters I would feel better if I was Bobby Casey today than if I was KLA Harris in in Pennsylvania um race here Trump press conference yes he started at noon uh I think uh Robert New York says Chris just jumped on 600 viewers yes we're over 600 isn't that great we were at like 650 for a while KR Biden wearing the Trump hat was a memorable moment we need more moments like that one the nation needs to unify yeah we also need I mean forget just Unity though I agree with you we also need levity golly we got to be able to be like politics is both ridiculous and Sublime got to embrace both of those things yes uh toer 793 Chris love the analysis keep up the good work uh thanks Topher Sam says would Langford give up a safe senate seat to work for Harris he might not I'm just saying I think it would be good if she picked someone uh like him Brandon Lewis are the state polls really reflecting the new registration and abor abortion ballots bump I don't know I mean that's it's a central question I don't know the answer to that um uh Bruno the Destroyer is Georgia or North Carolina more likely to go Blue uh Georgia um marginally but I think Georgia and the reason for that is I think 40% of the the the vote in Georgia is a black vote it's only like 25% North Carolina so Victor tanko says hey Chris hey uh uh Victor um Robert New York do you think the debate moderators are fair I think they should have fact checked KLA Harris at least once I don't know that that makes him unfair but you can't fact check Donald Trump four times and fact check K Harris zero times I just don't think it works notorious crg thank you for your donation he say last question what major networks would you join if it meant limiting what you are doing now it's tough I'm not sure I would join one I mean I love CNN I like the people there um they just rehired Brian stelter I like NBC uh like ABC but I I don't know I'm getting to do a lot of fun stuff I mean the one nice thing there would be a set salary but I don't know if I would do that i' I've thought a lot about it and I don't know that I would it's a really good question thank you for asking it um Jeffrey lass says maybe in Indiana he is seeing a national ad bu yeah that is possible you could just be see they may have bought National cable and so it's on National cable Matt Callas continue to hear people including you speculating that the debate performance not really affecting commo standing what would matter for changing commo likelihood in any significant way it's hard to move voters off of undecided um you know I think uh uh the debate certainly doesn't hurt her and I think it marginally helps her I just don't think it destroys Trump like some of the coverage suggested like Donald Trump can never recover really like he's recovered from Access Hollywood tape uh 2020 January 6th like I just yeah um Robert New York says you would be great on Fox no joke I mean I would love to do that but I don't think they're going to hire me and I wouldn't go along with their agenda um Andy Smith are you going to the solheim cup this weekend nope got kid Sports although I know it's in DC um or Virginia uh what did Harris say that deserved a fact check ask fam famous uh she said Trump supports the national sales tax he doesn't she said that the unemployment rate under Trump was the highest it's ever been since the Great Depression it wasn't um there's a couple other things but those are the two that sort of of stuck in my mind um let me see if there's anything else I just want to make sure I didn't uh Miss anybody as always I'm super thankful um for you guys uh thank you if you donated thank you for your donations uh it really means a lot to me it goes directly to me in my uh journalism and doing this and living this life as I'm trying to do um if you want to check out my substack please do Chris elisa. substack pay you want to support me invest in me it's $6 a month $60 a year um this channel is almost to 40,000 subscribers when we make 4,000 I'm gonna make a video I'm also going to make a video updating you on some of the it's not even changes but like as I try to move forward what I'm doing and what my plan is um so I'll make a video on that too but as always I make four videos a week normally on politics and I do a live stream on Friday I change it up a little check out I'm going to do some more shorter videos and I love the idea of chopping this up and farming it out with some segments over the weekend I'm going to look into doing that too thank you all uh as always for your support um uh spread the word on this uh wish me luck with teaching uh we got two and a half hours that I have to fill um and take care of one another and yourselves uh over this weekend and I will see you back here in this space on Monday