NOAA's hurricane outlook for 2024, tracking a feature in the Bahamas + sizzling heat headed our way.

all right with this was two Facebook live update I'm chief meteorologist Tony adolie hope you guys are having yourselves a good Thursday evening one more day to go before the weekend hits and it's going to be a a long holiday weekend for many of us actually some of you may be starting it tonight making a 4-day weekend and good for you why not right that is some good stuff right there all right we got a lot to talk about Noah came out with its uh predictions today and boy they are they are calling for a very active hurricane season they're uh highest number they they've ever released for a May update I'll have that for you Brian Bor Terry Lon we're keeping an eye on a feature north of the Dominican Republic headed towards the baham and we've got some blistering heat headed our way through the upcoming holiday weekend right through uh Memorial Day and Tuesday itself with maybe better rain chances by the middle of next week so without further Ado let's go ahead and uh take a look at what's going on in the tropics we'll begin there first remember nine days out now nine days out to the start of hurricane season folks and there's your little feature there now north of Hispanola little flare up of thunderstorms there across the Bahamas lifting up to the north Northeast uh or Northeast I should say so we'll continue to watch that Darlene Marie happy Thursday to you the flower Full Moon is tonight says Elizabeth hot you are indeed correct love the purple time says Bryant lots of nice compliments all right an organized surface trough bringing rain and some of that quite heavy through the Bahamas and Hispanola uh surface low is expected to develop here over the next day or two while lifting to the north could be a subtropical feature here we'll have to wait and see Lulu fery Lopez and JoJo Hernandez in the house with us tonight always good to have you uh you good folks with us do appreciate you uh Papa in and say hi and Me part of our Facebook live Fe say I yawn away Lulu been at the station since 10:00 a.m. folks since 10: a.m. busy busy busy busy morning a couple of hurricane talks here at the station all right anyway so we've got the shear down trough we've got a tropical wave not expected to develop in between two little high pressure cells little bit of wind shear there Tony and his talkers hello says Jay Leonard uh Terry L hello Lulu uh luk chill there you go there's your Kingston low your Windward Islands high in between very Shear down environment but you can see the waters here are at or slightly below normal so again the farther north this goes the less likely it's develop very warm water here but our tropical we has been sheared apart Dina andr off good to have you Phil wrath Jan Leonard's correct sharing is carrying the more people we can reach by you guys sharing these Facebook live feeds the more people we can put in the weather no so Noah came out with their forecast today 17 to 25 name storm 17 to 25 um hurricanes 813 and major hurricanes 4 to S so uh forecast that high begs the question what's the chance of above normal season 85% likelihood busy yes it is Lulu correct good evening to you Nancy Cruz uh 10% chance for a near normal and a only 5% for a below a normal season uh Crystal rer good to have you in here Elizabeth H I would love to of Joey why so active there you go linia forming during the peak of every game season linia less wind shear higher storm formation extremely warmer than normal Waters across the Tropical Atlantic we talked about the main development region that is the MDR that goes from here to here right there so that's uh those Waters warm Linda cook Terry L there's your June normal June formation right there in the Gulf of Mexico Northwestern Caribbean and the Southeast coast of the United States thank you Crystal so there you go all right back to some local weather now uh there you go live look at uh what's going on over towards Kenny Space Center nice and quiet later on tonight around uh 10 to 10:30 uh we should have another Falcon 9 rocket going up into space JoJo I'll get to that here in a second there's your water vapor Channel big high here storms going up and over this Ridge there you go lots of energy right in there all right so Phil wrath last day of school is tomorrow Chris Evans is in the house Michelle atorney good to to have you there's your do of high pressure near TR Stone onshore flow pretty quiet uh temps outside looking like this there you go 7980 along the coast 80 to 87 currently in through the interior the do points not bad 61 degree D point in CMI right now that is some good stuff uh 66 in Sanford so that's a pretty good drop off in the moisture Kimberly Johnson's in the house good to heavy right there uh the winds uh they are fairly light of the East 5 to 10 miles an hour so let's take a look what those winds are going to do with the clouds tonight anything not really uh there's your Kennedy Space Center location right there uh pretty quiet we take a look at the Falcon launch and here you go this is what we got ready 10 13 years launch window cumulous Cloud rules 95% likelihood of a liftoff from a weather standpoint Terry I was up very early this morning but I'm feeling good you're a little tired but I'll get my sleep in tonight look who's in the house Erin sponenberg Erin how you been girl good to have you in the house hope the family's doing well yeah there we go Ernie Richardson erns Ern dog the ER a Nat the ER to good to have you there there's your forecast loads for the morning upper 60s and lower 70s uh not bad and then we take a look at that short range forecast swing a ding ding ding ding there's your high nearby we get nice and warm nice and warm indeed we do uh let's take a look at Daytona Beach if you trying to make it a beach day Tracy Richardson or Robert here's your forecast for Daytona Beach upper 80s by mid after afternoon so we'll continue to watch that b and Beach forecast here going like this wind Southeast 5 to 10 hazards are going to be uh uh a light shop on the inner Coastal waterways R risk is moderate high tide at 10:03 low tide at 324 there you go re I agree Robert D Brookie whatto good to have you in the house my man volcano Bay looking good Tim Robel um no just gonna chill just take it easy nothing too crazy here's a look at tomorrow afternoon uh upper 80s low 90s along the coast 90 to 95 back through the interior plenty of heat plenty of heat to go around there we go uh can we have full temps I know right it's going to feel good out the door in the morning uh record highs for tomorrow we could tie record high in leeburg just FYI on that here's a look at the three-day forecast 95 96 and 97 there you go Trace love that uh weekend Saturday so a few showers out there but the deeper moisture is going to be down across South Florida uh Isabelle Faria Faria uh love you too Linda Peter Curtis looking a bit toasty yes yes indeed Wanita jimnez him him him here's your Memorial day outlook hot hot says Lulu indeed you are correct Lou Diaz having a beer and watching your cash you demand Louis Diaz what kind of what's your what's your beer flavor what do you do you do a you do a heinan you do a Mello you do a Stella you do an IP y talk to me Lou Louie Tim doing some barbecue Melissa Nations good to have you in the house there miss Nations what are you all doing for this weekend all right Brian thanks for those questions so there's Memorial Day and and Records here I like three oh three daughters key Li CER man that's that sounds good with us course light the wife is drinking a Budweiser there you go poor ah eron like I said been here since 9:30 I think yeah got up early Governor s is holding a press conference at the Space Coast wiita wiita it's so good says Melissa I may have to check that out this holiday weekend thanks for the tip by the way uh again nine days out to the start of hurricane season would love for you guys get your hurricane action plans in order done by the weekend Robert's going with Kors light Linda likes Bud Light all right yeah there we go there's your trough and high these are the actual literal water temperatures right now there you go 7880 7880 looks like it's gonna uh Peter yes there you go very warm oh I go the Yingling there you go Phil I like that now here's the one thing I do want to talk about Lou nice keep it away from Flagler says Erin to start says Louie all right so last year high was pretty far to the east you know 20 name storms Mo the majority of them out to see now the position of the AAR is high they very well make it a more active season for the United States and it could be more likely landfall so we'll have to we'll have to watch that keep you posted on that y all right s that seven day there you go Jojo Yakutsk nice all right 7 Day if you like the heat you're going to love this 7 95 96 97 98 96 994 93 sizzling summer heat sizzling summer heat uh nationally there you go Raymond Stover Amman list and Faith Richard no such thing as lady coming on your own there in Facebook live bring on faith it's coming girl Raymond good to have you there Tracy's might be on there something maxo Keef there you go Maxi uh take care Elizabeth hot girl summer for sure uh try last set Wendy Morgan right back at you hello to you hello hello hello that's up take a look at that little feature here some showers some storms right there there's a look now little little weather maker screaming through Tennessee and Kentucky massive storm system snow on the backside severe weather on the front side active weather there west of Dallas south and east of Dallas snow in Montana Wyoming Idaho up towards Southwest Canada speaking of snow begs a question what does that map look like here you go plenty of snow plenty of snow out west big time snow in fact up there in Montana Wyoming and and Idaho uh temperatures in that area quite chilly all had snow you can see the dark Blues attempts in the 20s 30s and 40s missed the beginning of the live there you go nothing that we have to worry about faith cookout Saturday my house Tony Gary Hicks I'm in woof I'm going to melt yakut 56 says Robert de Bry all right we're on the way uh you know Brian today the heat index wasn't too bad the UV index though was a full full on 1011 so there you go um now as the heat index numbers do go up it it is really actually not affected by the UV index uh UV is the sun angle so there you go if it's clear this time you have a higher Sun angle your UV index will be quite the bit higher so yeah there's that good questions all right let's take a look now at the world temps and here we go are you ready 28 point Barrel 32 and four Ross 30 in ich 32 the N airport 57 Winnipeg 46 in Billings 90 in Vegas 104 in Monterey Mexico Melanie Ace um I'm not usually an early riser but I can make an exception mie I'm glad you're here though that's the beauty about Facebook live you jump on when you want how you want where you want there you go you're going to need a nap Kent bazan you are not kidding after today's long day 77 Santo Domingo Panama City 82 manouse 81 bu areas 55 pter Arena 39 cap Town 57 neami 95 robbot Morocco up to 63 Cairo 73 London 54 Berlin 57 look in Moscow 46 suro is it freezing yakut it is a heat wave coming in at 61 you B Mills 66 in Beijing look at Anan barar 50 Tokyo 75 Manila 90 Ford morby 86 Alice Springs 55 Hobart airport 48 whoops Christ Church 46 and ockland coming in at 61 over to Hawaii mode half my L lunch day there you go uh love that off by five says Tracy leoie 79 kahou 84 Hilo coming in at 81 so again for us today we did hit uh the low 90s 92 in fact the number of 90 degree days has now grown to 21 and we're not even in the June yet so again the pace is picking up here all right for us there you go uh most of the actions up north we're pretty quiet here again the big developing story is going to be the Heat there's tomorrow 9495 lur Lee Wright is in the house there you go uh upper 80s low 90s beaches 90 to 95 back through the interior the heat is the big story here right through the upcoming holiday weekend 95 96 97 we'll end it on the 7 day and there you go uh Friday 95 Saturday 96 Sunday 97 Monday 98 Tuesday Wednesday Thursday 96 94 93 rain chances up to about 30% hopefully that will cool a few of us off because we are going to be pretty toasty Joseph yep Tango H that's correct Natalie all right all right I'll let you guys rock and roll do your thing on this Thursday night I'll see you tonight at 10 on the cw18 and again at 11 on West two news take care have a great night and see you tomorrow