Aug 31st | WNBA Bets | Free Picks + Predictions | ChrisBeCappinn Show

Intro/Recap [Music] yo yo yo yo what's going on man today is August the 31st welcome into the crispy Capp NBA WNBA NFL show um we only got one game on the board for today but um I still wanted to come on and break it down and and uh share my thoughts get the thoughts of the chat as always and um we'll do a quick recap as we always do and then uh jump into um a couple of the comments and jump into the one game we also got a big slate so maybe even a potential look ahead to tomorrow's um slate I see I think it's four games tomorrow but might be five games tomorrow but we got um lines for two already so um I interested to see how how this game goes especially with the sun being on the first leg of a back to back so let's jump into a couple of quick couple comments real quick and then we can um we'll go ahead and get started get this one game out out of out of the rut and before we do that let's do a quick recap So Yesterday um was a really kind of weird day I I bet Minnesota minus five and a half they were the only favorite that didn't cover last night losing that game outright to the Dallas Wings in Dallas last night I mean Dallas just Dallas been pumbing teams right now man so it's going to be interesting to see how that game goes tomorrow Dallas actually got a game against Indiana F tomorrow that I I I do have a look on that I want to share with you guys but um yeah Minnesota I think they got killed in the paint gave up 40 points in the paint coach sh Reed says that they didn't you know just didn't match the physicality of the Minnesota links and I thought that they would have wanted to get the Minnesota links back after beating them earlier this season in Minnesota so really love that play all the plays that I talked about that were on the short list pretty much cashed outside of the unders um I know a lot of people like Seattle last night wrong side it was New York in a bounce back spot um the the Atlanta Dream Team total under 77 in a half was another winner the Indiana Fever were another winner so um yeah I just ended up taking a play that was was a loser but it's all good man we'll get it back and get some more as well so now let's go through a Comments couple of quick comments and then we'll move on to the game that we got for the day Aon says good morning Chris and Community uh the links ruin my night now I got to start rethinking how good I thought they are yeah honestly I I don't know I don't know if it was them a I really kind of think um I really kind of think it was just the wings like I think the wings are starting to starting to find the Rhythm you know couple you got Shu back for you know five or six games terl mcau playing a lot better this is what the wings look like last year for people who are new they were killing people on the boards real physical team and then when arque is making her shots which she was last night you know you just tip your hat because they I mean they smoked Minnesota last night 9 476 they didn't even let up in the fourth quarter I think they outscored them every single quarter outside of the second so um yeah you know you tip your cap uh Dallas shot what uh 39% from the three-point line 48% from the field like I said they killed him on the on the rebounds as well tiarra mcau had 11 and 11 satu had 18 last night she's playing a lot better eight rebounds six assists this a satu remember from last year and then when you get an efficient arque oraw not that 11 for 24 is super efficient she did knock down three of her nine threes and had 25 points you know the bench contributing I mean one thing Dallas is going to do is score the basketball we'll talk a little bit more about him um maybe towards the end of the show Mark says good morning Chris and crew yesterday fever was good links were not um but not so much today we will be better reminding everybody hit the like button on the way in appreciate you as always Mark um Maris says riseing grind people jell says morning Chad and Chris hit the like button is free appreciate that as well um Jaylen timeout Sports says links uh shaking my head yeah they they didn't look good last night but six and0 straight up and against the number you would have thought like I said I would have thought they would have had the one to take care of business last night but you do for let them spotting some regression eventually what's up OJ Matt says uh Minnesota and doovic um ball talk says got to put Seattle uh on the do not bet list right now yeah I told y' about about the Liberty I think Seattle kind of sorted to like satu coming back and changing the trajectory of the Dallas Wings post Allstar break I think um you you'll see the same thing with Gabby Williams you just kind of got to get her acclimated and it got to be playing against a team that's not one of the better teams but they got to figure it out defensively giving up 90 points not gonna get it done and you would think that you know adding somebody like Gabby Williams would help the defense a little bit more and it has not I mean I know Jordan hon um think came back last night I fell asleep on the game but um yeah they they did not look good last night especially defensively they were scoring but they could not get a stop last night Stewie went back to Seattle and hit him with a 30 ball what's up dropping di he says I'm just gonna tell your picks in red they have been cashing man I gotta the WNBA is so janky at times that I don't always trust the looks but I know that they're the right looks because I do the work right and um you know you just I just don't want to be in the red so it's easier for to make one play than to make three or four plays and typically I i' rather make that one play but maybe I will start you know just you know putting a couple dollars on um kind of dividing my units out accordingly but yeah we'll jump into it for today appreciate everybody for um for uh for jumping into the comments section let's Sun vs Mystics get into the game that we got on the board we got um Seattle and I'm sorry we got Connecticut in Washington um just very quickly let me see so looks like it opened 154 and a half and uh down to 154 and then we also got um the Connecticut sun look like they open eight they up to eight and a half Point favores looks like it's the consensus right now which is what you guys see on the screen so um situationally you guys can see that the Connecticut Sun two days rest both of these teams have equal rest two days rest this is the last of a three-game road trip for the Connecticut Sun where it's the first game back home for the the Washington Mystics after two- game Road Trip and the Connecticut Sun Also on the first leg of a back toback they got the Seattle Storm coming into the mohagen center tomorrow um so really I I don't like the spot for like that tells me when I look at the spot for the two teams it tells me that um you know I'm automatically looking towards Minnesota based off the spot um injury report wise Connecticut has a clean injury report outside of Tiffany Mitchell who has missed the last handful of games I'm not sure if she's played since the Olympic break and on the Washington side she car all has already been rolled out for this game um this will be her second straight game that she missed she also missed the game against the Chicago Sky two days ago so um I look at the sun right so now you get into it I look at the sun you can see you know middle middle orange they are not profitable on the road so far this season only seven and eight against the number and since the Olympic break just two and four against the number I think they've won four of their six games but they've only covered two of those games since the Olympic break and Washington they don't look now man but they play they playing a little bit better um playing some defense recently as well these uh you know these numbers are accurate the sun are the worst offensive rated team and the best defensive rated team the links I'm sorry the mystics uh bottom three offensive R in the last five games but they are number two defensively over the last five games and you just look back what they've done recently they held the Chicago scy to 70 points now granted that was without Ken Carter um they held Seattle to 72 points in Seattle and then before they went on the road trip they had the Sparks last weekend and the Sparks only scored 74 points against them in that game so uh this defense has been playing a lot better I'm not sure you know exactly what it's been but we saw it even in the last game without Shakir Austin which was somewhat surprising to me granted like I said it was no Kennedy Carter in that game so when I look at the head-to-head matchup this will be the fourth matchup of the Season Connecticut has won all three but they've only covered one of the three and they've beaten Washington n straight times so that makes me want to look towards the dog in the spot as well um situationally I look at couple Trends before I get into the ex's and those and um Road favorites are not really covering a lot of numbers this year that uh for whatever reason I looked at Road favorites that are laying seven and a half points or more and um they're just 715 and one against the number covering less than 32% of the time they're one 11 and one in the last 13 instances as well and that's just this season so I'm not really into you know laying points especially with a team that can struggle offensively like I said the bottom right bottom left corner you guys can see in Orange the sun's offense is the worst and you got a Minnesota links uh I keep saying Minnesota links a Washington Mystics defense that is number two rated over the last five games so I don't want to lay points here with the sun um Trend wise I look at a home dogs seeking same season double Revenge with the which the waston mystics are and those games typically are under games 129 85 and four to the under and the give me the dog uh database about 61% of those games are going under in this season nine nine and seven to the under so not not too terrible uh you know too too reliable there but that is about 56% um then we break it down to ex no and I love when we only have one game because I can really deep dive into it so when I look at the last five games which you know the I think it's been six games since the Sun have returned from the Olympic break they played six games Connecticut's offense I talked about them being the worst offensive rated team this is why I like uh you know their team total under against the Indiana Fever uh in their last game that they lost and this is also why I liked um the Indiana Fever plus the four they ended up winning that game all right is because I still don't trust the Connecticut Sun offense uh offensively last five games they're in the bot bottom half of the league and restricted area field go percentage in paint field goal percentage in mid-range field goal percentage and above the break three field goal percentage um you're gonna have to step you if you like Washington in this spot you you definitely gonna need Stephanie Dolson and um Aaliyah Edwards to uh step up and play well against uh Bri Jones and Alysa Thomas of course um but I I think that they're capable of it I just don't want to bet on Connecticut's offense especially you know in a first leg of a backtack you got the early start time because this game starts at 3M um and then I look at Washington's offense they've also struggled 10th in free throw rate they're not getting to the free throw line they're turning the ball over at the highest rate and the 10th in offensive rating over the last five games so what does all of that lead me to leads me to uh first I like the first half under 78 and a half on some books but the best line that I saw was 79 and a half over on DraftKings I think DraftKings is the only place to had a 79 and a half couple places got a 79 and then like I said a lot of 78 and a halves but I like the first half under just because both of these teams have been playing some really good defense as of late um the early start time like I mentioned could throw off body clocks and you got the Connecticut Sun worst offensive rated team both of these teams bottom three in offensive rating over the last five games Washington team that is number two and restricted area field goal percentage over their last five games Connecticut interior defense is solid though they're allowing teams to shoot just 55% which is the fourth best over the last five games and what does Washington like to do they like to take a lot of Threes um last five games they are fifth in attempts seventh and makes but Connecticut defense is pretty good against the three-point line the number two had defending above the break three holding teams to under 21% over their last five games outside of the Indiana Fever Who lit them up that was the only team that's really been able to shoot the ball really well against Connecticut so I think that they uh you know can can limit Washington from being able to make some of those threes because they know that's what Washington's wants to do they faced this team you know three times already this season and um and uh probably got a bad taste in the mouth after what Caitlin Clark did to him in that last game so I do expect them to be turned up in this game but I'm not expecting them to score the basketball a lot uh the other thing I wanted to mention really quickly is Washington relies uh heavily on Fast Break points they're third in the league over the last five games coneticut is top two in limited fast big points so I don't think it's going to be a lot of ways for Washington to be able to score the basketball I do think they'll play a little bit faster if you've been watching their games with Shakira Austin being back versus how they were playing before she returned they they have been playing a little bit they play a little bit faster when she's not in um because I think they try to give her the basketball a little bit more without her they they shoot a lot more threes which makes a lot of sense uh she she can you know kill you in the mid-range and definitely in the restricted area so I do like the first half under I also considered Washington team total um over the number is 72 two and a half it's just a really really low number when totals get below 154 155 is I typically am very very hesitant to want to play it pregame and if I do play it it'll probably be live um I look at Washington and they're over in two of the three games so far against Connecticut I would argue that Connecticut's defense is a little bit worse than it was uh before the the trade because I feel like they're playing a little bit faster so you're more you're liable to give up a few more points since the marina mayy trade that's just my opinion even though they are number one in defensive raing over the last five games um and I look at Connecticut they've given up 73 or more in four their last six games since they since they made the trade for Marina mabery so I do like Washington team total over 72 and a half I'm a little bit conflicted because I want to take the points at Plus 8 and a half I'm not laying with the sun here and I do like the first half under 79 and a half as well I know I said a lot let's see what you guys are thinking about this one and then um we can look into tomorrow I might be able to live cap a couple of these because I do got a couple minutes this morning y'all let me know if y'all want to live cap any of the games for tomorrow and uh if so which ones y'all want me to look at so go check your ESPN app let me know um which games y'all want me to look at and I'll look at them real quick um Mark says uh I like this comment right here Sun vs Mystics Comments he says um he says uh Kaitlin Clark and Aaliyah Boston fun to watch man they are so fun to watch Mark like I I thoroughly enjoy watching Caitlyn Clark man she is an absolute baller man Caitlin Clark is really good at basketball like boy I wish I could have got some Futures with her uh MVP because I know I mean not MVP but um her uh her um her uh Rookie of the Year like when it was you know not minus 5,000 which is what it should be right now they're really really fun to watch man they just spred the basketball so well uh it's very very reminiscent of almost like a like an NBA style uh jayen says Mystics first half plus the four and a half no way I could talk you off of that Jaylen makes a ton of sense uh when I look at the numbers because I I was looking at this as well they have been good in the first half and I think I put this on the short list as well uh Washington is against the spread in the first half they are I think I had um so so outside of Washington being really good in the first half which I'm glad Jaylen mentions mentioned this outside of them being really good in the first half Wasington is also three and0 um in the first half in the head-to-head matchup so they've covered every time that they' played the Sun so far this season three and0 straight three and 0 uh ATS in the first half they've covered every single game um and covered two of the full spreads for the full game as well so yeah I like that I like that a lot and then you just look at um you know for the full season we know Washington they typically can run out of gas late that always holds me up from taking them for the full game but they are what 29 and two 29 and two uh against the spread in the first half 84 and one against the spread in the first half um as a home dog as well and the sun on the first leg of a backtack 0 and two against the number uh for the full season so yeah some reasons to to like the to like the sun I'm sorry to like the watch the mystics for sure Jaylen um if I had a first half bet that's the way I would look um dirty rig says dirty rig say I'll probably go under on Alyssa Thomas for the sun 26 and a half she'll rebound and get a few assists I just don't see her scoring much with that one-handed shot a lot of this can be layups too man and I tell you the thing that would would scare me off of this just a little bit dirty rig is that when I look at the Washington Mystics when I look at them defensively real quick let me just see so when I look at Washington defensively um they are turning the ball over uh the most in the WNBA and that's scary because we know Connecticut they thrive on getting out and running in transition Washington throughout the full season number one in turnover rate last 10 games number one in turnover rate last five games number one in turnover rate and the Connecticut Sun um they like to get out and run um real quick Connecticut is I mean that's how they they like to score easy buckets so they don't have to set up in the transition they're number one in points off turnovers so that's a that's a major disadvantage for the Washington Mystics here if they get out there turning the ball over the Connecticut sun will absolutely take advantage of that number one full season number one last 10 games number one last five games are the uh the Connecticut sun with um points off turnovers they they they typically capitalize on those Mark says Mystics first half uh were automatic are they still rolling that way I think they failed to cover a couple of them but I think it's just because the play Styles changed just a little bit Mark um adding Shakir Austin back good morning sir appreciate you for tapping in dropp and dime says uh don't look now but the mystics in the wings are only two games behind the sky for the A spot it's interesting I said this yesterday I said you know this the the the Chicago not the Chicago sky and Atlanta Dream are kind of duking it out for that last spot neither neither team is winning they both are have lost like five or six games in a row meanwhile the Dallas Wings have won three games in a row and the Washington Mystics have won three games in a row so let make sure I got three fingers yeah w w three games in a row so yeah both both of the teams that had no chance are you know looking like they got a chance now because Chicago and Atlanta neither team can can buy a win right now um ball talk says sharp calls Chris I hope so if I play if I end up playing one of them I hope this sh I haven't locked anything in yet jayen says uh Mystics have been uh have covered eight and a half two of the three games this season they also uh first half cover first half plus four and a half all three M uh mat meet meetups I think he means matchups yeah I agree Mark says tomorrow wings and fever we'll talk about it and he says links again we can get into those um cup Joe says I don't trust the son but uh morning people Malik what up man hope hope all is well with you in the shot toown Malik he says anybody City looking for a WNBA team I'm giving away to Scot I think they gonna be all right man they just you know they were in a real tough predicament with not being able to score the basketball and then you don't got Kennedy Carter it's tough man it's tough It's really tough prestigious proy sending love right back to you bro he says shout out to you Chris love the show and appreciate everything you do appreciate you for tapping in preed this Pro I know you always hitting the like button too appreciate that my brother all right um so yeah if I'm looking at this game man like I said I like first half under 79 and a half over on DraftKings the best number I do think Washington can get there on the 72 and a half as well uh it's just a super low total man maybe if I play it it'll be live um and then I couldn't talk anybody off Washington in the first half as well like I said just don't like the spot as much for Connecticut with them having a game tomorrow um and they got Seattle tomorrow too so yeah let's uh let's look really quickly at games for tomorrow I think um go back to my my guy Mark in the chat he says fever and wings fever versus wings tomorrow so let's look into it real quick um beever and wings for tomorrow so we'll go M should probably take this off let's go this will make it easier for me so before we get into matter of fact let's get into top plays and then we'll go Recap/Top Looks fever Wing So Connecticut Washington I talked about the reasons why I like the first half under why I be looking towards Washington in the first half there was a five out there available if actually if you got bet Fred I saw plus six and a half of Washington in the first half juice to like minus 125 but that was the best number that I saw but I put the one that's probably readily available widely available for for most people and then Washington plus eight and a half the only way I would look I'm not laying points with Connecticut those are just my thoughts um but I do like their team total over 72 and a half as well so a lot of different ways I'm looking I I nothing really stands out a little bit more than anything else right now though so um all right now let's go Washington and uh um let's go fever and wings for tomorrow like my guy Mark said in the chat so I haven't looked too much into the game I do have you know I know Fever vs Wings (Live Capping) what I'm thinking about betting um first thing I'll look at is five right so we got the fever coming off uh the the big win they ended up winning that game last night by 19 points scoring a 100 points I think a season High 100 points against the Chicago Sky Caitlyn Clark had a season High 31 points I think it was a career had 31 points last night and she was the first player in WNBA history I think with 31 points and 12 assists so like I said Caitlyn Clark is just she's hooping right now she's balling um spot for the fever so um second leg of a two game Road Trip before they go back home and play play the the LA Sparks that game will be played uh probably on like Tuesday or Wednesday and the Indiana Fever have won every game since Olympic break outside of the game against the links who probably playing you know number one number two team right now um and it's been that offense right on the well I keep talking about this the fever at home you typically want to bet on their defense fever on the road you typically want to bet on their offense their offense has looked a little bit better uh on the road than it feels like it has at home so um Dallas Wings this will be fourth straight home game game of a five game home stand they got the Washington Mystics uh coming coming into town on the third so Indiana has a day rest after the game a extra days rest after the game that's one of the things I like to look at head to-head wise I do remember the last matchup it was the game before the Olympic break the last game before the Olympic break and Dallas was getting four points in that game they ended up winning 101 to 93 uh that was the first time that these two teams have played all season if you guys remember that game I think it might have been I can't remember who it was might have been Helms in the comment section talking about lading Caitlyn Clark assist this was the game that she broke the assist record um for people who remember that Caitlyn Clark ended up with 19 assists 24 points and um Aaliyah Boston as well she had 28 points they could not stop her and Dallas defense on the interior has been pretty weak and that's an that's an advantage for the Indiana Fever in my opinion on the offensive end though um arque Goomba ended up with 24 points she had seven assists she had seven rebounds uh JC Sheldon had 11 Natasha Howard had 17 TL Macau had 10 and they got big contributions from IDC Sims 24 points off the bench on 10 for 17 shooting and three for seven from the three-point line um Kanani Brown also had 13 points Off the Bench so if I'm looking at the game I mean that that that's the preliminary stuff um if I'm looking at the game you know spot doesn't say anything the injury report I think should be pretty clean I don't think anybody got hurt in the games that they played last night I'm liking over 180 and a half and you know it's fairly simple um you know it's just how I look at these teams and how they're playing right now both of them are playing really really fast I don't want to fade the wings right now the wings are they're clearly they're putting it together and figuring figuring figuring it out um three and 0 straight up in their last three games uh first three game winning streak All Season even even though they only six and 19 on the full season that tells you something a team that only had three wins and now they got three wins in a row that's pretty telling so um yeah they've covered against the the the Washington the against the Minnesota links last night against the aces winning both of those games and it's been their offense 94 points last night against the the links which is you know top five defense and they scored 93 against the aces as well um so if I match these two teams up on the floor which is this is what I typically do when I'm handicapping the games uh if I'm looking at the I want to look at the Dallas Wings offense first versus the Indiana Fever defense so offensive rating immediately goes through the roof Dallas is number two and offensive rating over the last five games number three in effective field goal percentage number five in free throw rate number four in turnover percentage not not turning the ball over and the number three in offensive rebounding rate so this is a team that rebounds the ball really really well and they score a lot of points in the paint as well um they are number four in Pace and number one in points in the paint over the last five games number two on the full season number four in Fast Break points and number one in Second Chance points as well because they clean up on the offensive rebound um where do they score the basketball it's typically on the interior they're not the greatest three-point shooting team even though over the last five games the number three and above the break three field goal percentage shooting 36% on the full season only shooting 32% which is number nine in the WNBA but the last five games the number one in restricted area makes um they're [Music] number three in mid-range field go percentage um so yeah mid-range and and in right paint restricted area that's what they scoring the basketball the fever's defense has been really really good though in that area they are number three and in restricted area opponent a restrict restricted area field goal percentage holding teams to about 54% whereas the the you look at the the wings they're shooting 65% in the restricted area so something's gonna have to give there Aaliyah Boston is gonna be you know really needed Timmy F Bagley is gonna be really needed as well um let's see paint makes Indiana Fever number number one p attempts Indiana Fever number one paint field goal percentage Indiana Fever number three holding teams to about 29% so the fever's defense has been really good over the last five games mid-range field goal percentage Indiana Fever number one over the last five games but above the break three field goal percentage this is where you you can get where you can get to Indiana um on the full season did a worst three-point defense in the WNBA allow teams to shoot 39% on the full uh last five games allowing teams to shoot 40% which is actually the third worst and they give up fast break points about 11 per game which puts them bottom three but they do a good job of limiting points off turnovers number five in Second Chance points as well giving up about 10 and a half per game and uh points in the paint they are allowing the third fewest so yeah that's going to be an interesting match up to see if Dallas bigs are gonna be able to take advantage of the Indiana Fever but Indiana's offense as well so if we flip it and we go Indiana fever's offense and we look at Dallas defensively last five games fever offense number three number two and effective field goal percentage doing a pretty good job of taking care of the basketball fourth in offensive rebound rate second in points per game averaging 88 per contest after scoring 100 last night um assist percentage is eighth so they're not really sharing the ball to too too well it looks like they are um fourth in rebound rate second in true field goal percentage fifth in Pace like I said Dallas is uh fourth in pace so these teams getting up and down the floor for sure and where has Indiana been shooting the ball from number one in restricted area attempts because they get a lot of layups running to the rim number four in makes they are shooting the worst field goal percentage at in the restricted area only 51.5% it's crazy because they still scoring the basketball ball so well offensive efficiency is crazy they are number one in paint field goal percentage shooting about 40 48 and a half% and um the best three-point shooting team in the WNBA right now number one in makes number one in attempts and number one in above the break three field goal percent shooting it at 40% um so yeah you look at the Dallas Wings defense above the looking at them you know defending three-point line they allowing teams to shoot the the ninth most attempts so that's a lot um I'm sorry the 11th most attempts so they allowing teams to shoot about 10 per game and um they allowing teams to make the third most threes as well but their field goal percentage has been pretty good they are holding teams to under 30% which is fourth over the last five games and that's been a big uh Improvement for them defensively uh they're 10th on the full season so looking looking at the the miscellaneous numbers Indiana is third in points off turnovers Indi uh Dallas's defense is allowing the six most Second Chance points Indiana is sixth Dallas allowing the eighth most fast break points Indiana is fifth Dallas getting cleaned up in that category they are allowing the third most points in the paint Indiana is ninth so they're not really scoring a lot of points in the paint over the last five games on the full season they still fourth though and um Dallas still giving it up but their defense has improved a lot on the full season they giv up about 41 points per contest in the paint over the last five games only 36 so that drops them from 12 over the full season down to 7eventh which is a little bit more respectable over the the last five games so really really interesting game I think this game goes up and over the total I knowed the total was really high but that's the only way that I would look over 170 uh 78 and a half well over 180 and a half and I might have to reconsider that looking into the numbers honestly because that was my initial look I only want to play you know Dallas games up and over the total that's the only way that they I feel like they've been going recently um the game last night did stay under they were able to hold Minnesota you know um to to just 76 points but um this fever offense not something that I want to better under on right now either and the fever defense could you know especially coming off a game against Chicago that didn't have Kennedy Clark they could um you know kind of uh trending the opposite way but I'm I don't I can't bet undoing Dallas game right now they scored 113 against the Sparks 93 against Vegas and 94 against the Minnesota links I look at Indiana offense 100 last night against Chicago 84 against Connecticut that's the one of the better defenses in the WNBA 84 against the Atlanta Dream 92 against Seattle and um 98 against Phoenix like he's the not two defenses I want to I I want to trust right now um so yeah that's the Deep dive of the game man I'll I'll uh you know add a chapter so you guys can see that but yeah it's a deep dive live deep dive for you guys for people that are interested um let's see what comments came in real Fever vs Wings Comments quick fever are clicking right now hard to bet against them yeah same same all the Dallas Wings though especially when you beat the links that put people on notice for sure um Mark says I see eliminate the side and go for the over that's what I was thinking I don't really like it as much but I still think it could get up and over 1 179 and a half is such a high number though you're really betting on both teams to get to you know 90 points um you need a 90 to 90 game douge bonees says might total might be up to 190 by tomorrow morning yeah I do see um just to that point I saw this at 179 this morning when I first woke up and I do see it moving to 180 already 179 it looks like it's the best number over on bet 365 right now it's 180 right now on uh 180 and a half on ESPN bet at 180 on FanDuel um so yeah I see three books right now that have it available and yeah it's not I don't think it's coming down let's just say that I don't think it's coming down uh dropping di says putting two unit on the wings uh win total over 10 and a half when the Olympic break ended uh it looked bad at first but I figured they would uh put it together at some point they absolutely have Mike says he likes the fever team total over tomorrow let's see real quick the fever team total specifically is 91 and a half that is man that's high the Dallas Wings team total was 88 and a half and if you've been backing the if you've been fading the Dallas Wings defense you've you've been losing money they just held Vegas under remember we were on 92 and a half Vegas got to 90 uh if you were on the links I know I don't even know what the links team total was but I know it was higher than 76 and a half and they held the the links to 76 points as well so I'm not saying that the fever can't come in here and you know score the basketball because they absolutely can the last time they played right before the break that game was in Dallas and they scored 101 they scored 93 in that spot D they just gave up 101 so boy it's a difficult game for sure Kelsey Mitchell gonna light it up from behind the three-point line dirty rig says dropping dime says Wings opponent's team total for the season is 246 And1 to the overall in this full season it was something like 221 and one I feel like dropping down so their defense has been playing a little bit better recently real quick let's just look at let's look at Wings since the Olympic break and um see how many times they've held their opponent under their team total the 4-2 to the over they've held three of their five three of their six opponents under they held the Liberty to 79 points um and held them under their team total by 13 and a half they held the aces under by five and a half and they held the links under about 12 and a half last night so yeah they they they they are they're clicking right now and it's a little bit on the offensive end the defense is playing a little bit better as well but um I don't think I'm trusting them against the fever offense so I think I'd be right there with you he says shout out to RC and the money baller worth every penny and I agree with that as well dropping times kilo what's going on bro hopeall is well he says the total might be a good underplay both teams might be exhausted after playing uh after pulling off these crazy wins um yeah Kar and under um is probably going to be able to get there if you like the under keep letting it go up because this probably will close about 184 183 and a half something like that I do see about three points uh you know this going up about three or four points and it'll be some sharp money that comes back in on the under because you really just need one four quarter from either team and it probably is gonna go under 85 to 90 is not gonna get you to 180 so um yeah I'm right there with you kilo I I initially like the over now that I look a little bit deeper into it I got to I don't know man this uh it's a little more interesting now um dirty R says I'm going Kelsey Mitchell over on her three-point field goals okay and then the only other game we got um only other game we got lineing for right now is the Connecticut and Seattle game and that uh looks like Connecticut is favored by one point and the total is about 76 and a half team total 76 and a half to 75 and a half um Connecticut is laying two I see some two and a halfs uh as well and Seattle has been God awful against the spread in the last few games man Seattle since the Olympic break I don't think they I still don't think they've uh covered a game yet they gonna get it get it right eventually but they're 0 and six against the number uh since the Olympic break and you know it's been their defense they really struggled defensively four their six opponents have gone up and over their team total but we'll sa that for tomorrow man we'll save that for tomorrow Mark says thanks for the breakdown and look Chris and crew best of luck today hit the like button on your way out appreciate that Mark let me get up off here as well man appreciate everybody for tapping in like I said going back to this game if uh the game that we have on the board for today I didn't even deep deep dive into any did player props but WatchON Connecticut first half under I I'm I'm probably gonna end up getting there I do think it's you know start time all of those things that I said in the breakdown I think um you know definitely make me lean towards the under here Connecticut three-point defense Washington probably shooting a bunch of more threes in my opinion uh just because no Shakira Austin don't think they're goingon to be able to score in the interior so I like the first half under um but I do think Washington can keep it close so uh if I had to rate these it would be first half under Washington Plus 8 and a half and um Washington first half is not necessarily anything that I would bet against I do like that as well but I'm definitely not making three plays couldn't talk anybody off of you know playing it live we'll see how that goes but um yeah maybe I'll maybe I'll end up on a live play as well if I end up watching the game which I should be able to um and that's the show for today man resources as always are here definitely check out OJ if you guys have never done Resources so you can use code referral code CBC as you see it posted here for 20% off your first month the link for this is in the description of the video same thing with money baller but the boys uh you know they get me right man 50% off your first billing cycle using Code crispy CA if you guys are interested in um in checking it out and as dropping dime said man he just he he pointed out this trend here Wings team total for the season 246 and one are the opponents to the over and then he says shout out to RC and the Money Ball are worth every penny and I absolutely agree with that man definitely check those guys out um and see what they have to offer do it for yourself uh you know take evaluate it for yourself and see what you think there's also give me the dog killer Sports and cleaning the glass at the bottom other resources that I use to handicap the games um hopefully I'm gon go ahead and handicap the games for tomorrow uh offline and while I got a couple minutes and uh hopefully when the lines come out and we get the injury report for tomorrow we can um go ahead and lock in a couple plays early before the line start to move for tomorrow because like I said it is five games I think on the board so big WNBA slate for tomorrow man if you guys enjoyed the show do me a favor hit that thumbs up button it definitely helps the algorithm um if you guys are new definitely subscribe to the channel if you guys are just you know always in the comments and you haven't subscribed subscribe as well but like and share uh let me know what you guys are betting in the in the in the comment section as well link for all my official plays are in the description we'll have NFL plays for for week one coming very very soon as well be responsibly best of luck man I'll catch you guys in the next one enjoy your Saturday I'm out [Music]