recent polling analysis suggests a surprising shift in the 2024 presidential race indicating Donald Trump may be leading against kamla Harris the analysis which includes data from recent debates and polls shows Trump gaining significant traction with independent voters a notable shift from previous elections during the debate independent support leaned towards Trump reflecting a broader Trend where undecided voters are increasingly favoring him this shift is underscored by recent polls indicating Trump's improved standing in key Battleground States like Michigan and Georgia and even a surprising lead in Arizona the analysis also highlights a 7.6% point shift in the Electoral College compared to the 2020 election projecting Trump with a potential 313 Electoral College votes this marks a stark contrast to the 2020 results where Biden had a clear lead the polling averages suggest Trump is performing better with his spanic voters and making significant gains in traditionally Democratic states like New Mexico if these Trends continue Trump's path to Victory appears increasingly plausible with current data showing him ahead in several crucial swing States and potentially securing a win in the popular voters