Dr. Michael Brennan speaks with KHOU 11 Chief Meteorologist David Paul about Francine's track

Published: Sep 09, 2024 Duration: 00:02:28 Category: News & Politics

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Uh Doctor Brennan, it's nice to see you. Although every time I see you there's a hurricane threatening or hopefully this one about to graze by us. And I wanted to talk about that first. Um the uh 10 o'clock, the 1 p.m. and now the 4 p.m. the tracks all seem to be similar. It looks like you guys at the hurricane center are getting a little more confident in how this forecast track is going to play out. Yeah, you're right, David. And we've seen the storm get a lot better organized today. So now we have a much better idea of where the system's located. Now, we did see the center sort of jog a little westward during the day based on the aircraft data and what we're seeing now in the satellite imagery. So the track did shift about 30 or 35 miles a little to the left, but still keeps the core of the hurricane off much of the Texas coast, including the uh Houston area. Um So we're still gonna see the potential for peripheral impacts and we did go ahead and issue that tropical storm watch for the Texas coastline now to you know, account for the possibility of those tropical storm conditions, especially if the track were to shift a little farther to the left, uh, in the next 12 to 24 hours. Well, I know this is a, this is a tough forecast for you guys because you, you've got a huge population right on the coast here in Houston, Galveston. And now you've got potentially a cat too, but the forecast has it just grazing by us and, and way too close for comfort. But what I wanted to address with you is and, and explain to our viewers because we are going to be on the weak side of this storm. That may be what makes the biggest difference in, in lowering the impacts here. Yeah, you're right. You know, if the center passes, you know, east or southeast of the Houston Galveston area, you're going to be on sort of the west on the west side of the storm with the offshore flow drier air. You know, the winds are gonna be weaker because the storm's gonna be accelerating. And those, uh you know, faster forward motion is going to add to the wind speed of the storm on the right side, reduce it on the left. So again, most of those impacts are going to be sort of right along the immediate coast, but they're going to rapidly increase just as you go a little farther east. You have tropical storm warnings. Uh, you know, in a for the extreme upper Texas coast and we go right to a hurricane warning from s being past eastward. So pretty sharp gradient. That's what we see a lot of times with strengthening of storms and powerful hurricanes. But again, the west side is usually a little easier in terms of impacts. And that's what we're hoping is gonna be the case for the Houston Galveston area with Francine. We are hoping for the best and we are thinking of our neighbors in Louisiana who may take a hard hit from this. Doctor Michael Brennan is director of the National Hurricane Center. Doctor Mike. Thanks for your time.

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