Hello friends this is your Monday edition of weather where you are and the weather where you are is beautiful but the weather across the southeast is deteriorating as we officially have our sixth name storm of the Season Francine forming in the Gulf of Mexico this is uh now going to bring big impacts to the southeastern United States so want to go ahead and tell you exactly what's going on winds are already 50 miles hour within this storm which is down to the south of Texas it's in the western Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to strengthen in the coming days it's moving very slowly to the north about 5 miles per hour but you guys know that the gulf ocean waters are just so warm that this thing is likely to strengthen right now it's projected to ride far enough off of the coast of Texas to not have a big impact on Texas um definitely going to bring areas like Houston some rain but the Eastern side the right side of these hurricanes are always the strongest so we're looking at Louisiana for the biggest impacts it is likely to make landfall pretty far to the west of New Orleans about what 200 miles still going to bring impacts to New Orleans um as a cat one hurricane sustained winds 85 M hour moving Inland along the Mississippi Valley so landfalls expected sometime Wednesday evening um with it moving Inland pretty slowly so you can see the track is to our West here in Georgia so we're not going to see tropical storm force winds we're certainly not going to see hurricane force winds but we are going to see rain and that rain is really much needed guys okay we've gotten very little rain over the last month and um we want rain this time of year because the rain that we see really from midt till mid October has a huge impact on the Leaf color in Georgia if we don't get a lot of rain in this month span our leaves essentially change and fall off the trees in like a week it happened last year after really dry fall so these tropical systems actually can be quite beneficial for our fall color um so it's not all bad news but it is going to impact the back half of your week so by noon Wednesday you can see that Heavy Rain off to our West we're essentially not going to start seeing rain I believe until Thursday could be as late as Thursday evening could potentially be Thursday morning that we start to see scattered showers I'm not expecting super heavy rain on Thursday but just some of those outer bands of rainfall will move through now on Friday that's the biggest potential impact day we could see very heavy rain in the morning can't rule out a stray spin up tornado although I do think that that risk is very low we're far enough to the uh east of this system that I don't think we will see tornadoes but we we'll be watching Friday closely and then it looks like the remnants of those showers really continue into Saturday potentially even Sunday so the weekend will not be a wash out but rain is going to be in the forecast for this weekend and if you're headed to Lexington for the Kentucky ug game on Saturday night looks like they're going to to see rain up there as well okay so right now our two first Al alert weather days are for Thursday and Friday Thursday widespread rain is possible and Friday we're looking at the potential for heavy rain with isolated storms um all in all we're expected to get about an inch possibly 2 Ines of rain again that is not going to cause any flooding it's not going to cause any major issues and it is going to help our drought you can see we're currently back in that level one drought in North Georgia in the mountains and West Georgia in all of North Georgia you can see under that yellow is now abnormally dry so this is really going to help that situation if we can soak out that much rain and I want to remind you guys it's September 9th so we're right at the peak of hurricane season okay which occurs when the ocean waters are at their warmest so right now they're at their warmest now that Fall's starting to take over the ocean surface temperatures will start to cool and the activity will start to go down but we're also track to other systems in the Atlantic which again not abnormal for this time of year um there is a 60% chance that the these two storms will develop over the next week I can tell you both of our long range models the GFS and the Euro are keeping both of these storms off of the United States Coast but uh that could change okay I do expect at least one of these to become a hurricane so something that we'll be watching very closely and again we now have Francine so our two next name storms will be Gordon and Helen don't quote me on how that's said we'll have to check in but I believe it's Helen then Isaac Joyce Kirk and Leslie I want to remind you guys that uh Noah predicted a hyperactive season the beginning of the year it has not been a high Practice season only six name storms up to this point that is not bad at all that's actually below average so you just never know what these things the back half of the season when the uh it's atmospheric dust Saharan dust has been really tapering these storms if that were to uh dissipate we could see a really active October but as of right now doesn't look too bad okay now again Thursday Friday potential for Heavy Rain these systems they change a lot y'all uh there really can be massive changes just in uh you know if the thing wobbles 40 miles to the East 40 miles to the west or if it slows down and strengthens we can see a lot more rain or a lot less rain so you'll want to check back in for daily updates on this because these tropical systems do usually have a big impact on us here um but for right now again rain likely Thursday Friday and into the weekend and that rain is very beneficial rain it will help our fall light color I'll be on every day I'm back from vacation 6 a 6:00 amm tomorrow on Atlanta news first and 9 a.m. as well as 7 and 8 on P Street TV we will see you then guys uh Jen will be on on at uh noon 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