Polling guru Nate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the Electoral College!

polling expert Nate silver and his election prediction model updated their forecast on Sunday giving Donald Trump a 63.8% chance of winning the Electoral College this update came after a nyt Sienna College poll showed Trump leading vice president kamla Harris by one percentage Point despite Harris leading in other polls the nyt Sienna College poll confirmed a shift in momentum towards Trump according to Silver the poll also revealed that more voters viewed Harris as too liberal on key policy issues compared to those who saw Trump as too conservative Silver's model now gives Harris only a 36% chance of winning the Electoral College with Trump leading by 2.5 points in National polling averages the update also highlighted a Battleground state where Harris might face trouble silver emphasized the importance of Harris's performance in the upcoming debate suggesting that a strong showing could overshadow the impact of the nyt poll he also pointed out concerns in swing States like Michigan and Pennsylvania in a separate post silver discussed key findings from the nyt poll including the perception of Harris as to Liberal among voters he noted that Harris had missed an opportunity to appeal to the center with her choice of Tim Walls over Josh Shapiro which could have signaled a different direction for her presidency

Share your thoughts

Related Transcripts

Nate Silver explains how Harris could beat Trump thumbnail
Nate Silver explains how Harris could beat Trump

Category: News & Politics

We have harris just ahead in the polls right now because after the convention the party is usually on a little bit of a sugar high we have that more like 50/50 for election day so yeah harris would love to the if we could have a snap election in the us harris would call one right now right she has momentum... Read more

Kellyanne Conway STUNS Fox Host With Blatant LIE thumbnail
Kellyanne Conway STUNS Fox Host With Blatant LIE

Category: News & Politics

I think president trump has done very well because what he's done is he's reflected consensus he's i think showed a little bit of concession and a lot of compassion kamla harris's state of california you basically abortion anyone any time anywhere anyhow tim waltz made it that way in minnesota brian... Read more

Trump SURGES Past Kamala in Polls — Why Nate Silver Predicts a TRUMP WIN thumbnail
Trump SURGES Past Kamala in Polls — Why Nate Silver Predicts a TRUMP WIN

Category: News & Politics

It's a big week for american politics with congress returning from their summer break speaker johnson is preparing to fight for the save act and donald trump and kamla harris are set to debate tomorrow night so chris bedford senior editor for politics and washington correspondent for blaze media wrote... Read more

Nate Silver Predicts Possible Trump Electoral College Victory! thumbnail
Nate Silver Predicts Possible Trump Electoral College Victory!

Category: News & Politics

Hello everyone welcome back to the c's political circle and today i want to talk about how nate silver their model update just came out and it's showing that trump is in the lead el by the electoral college which is very very surprising because nate silver is a very very very political uh bulletin that... Read more

Trump's Fears Become Reality As Disgusting Allegations Come To Light thumbnail
Trump's Fears Become Reality As Disgusting Allegations Come To Light

Category: News & Politics

[music] i think it's pretty bad i mean i think that um he he was very very concerned about it i'll tell a story i never never told i think too publicly before but i i remember that evening when anderson cooper uh interviewed um mcdouall so that is george conway of course the ex-husband of kellan conway... Read more

DOJ Alleges Right-Wing Commentator KNEW Content Was Funded By Russians thumbnail
DOJ Alleges Right-Wing Commentator KNEW Content Was Funded By Russians

Category: News & Politics

We have some updates on the justice department indictments of two russian nationals who work for rt and how a tennessee based media company called tenet uh essentially used prominent right-wing content creators here in the united states to unwittingly spread pro-russian propaganda but one person didn't... Read more

Rep. Nancy Mace IMPLODES On CNN thumbnail
Rep. Nancy Mace IMPLODES On CNN

Category: News & Politics

Trump injecting vice president harris's race and then suggesting that she's not actually black. why is he doing that? should he stop? well, i mean, i. yes or no? i didn't i didn't hear him say it. i didn't hear what he said about her race. i am not going to weigh in on her race as a woman. i did say... Read more

Trump FREAKS OUT After Fox News Admits The Debate Looks Awful For Him thumbnail
Trump FREAKS OUT After Fox News Admits The Debate Looks Awful For Him

Category: News & Politics

Donald trump is still very much dealing with his feelings coming out of the debate and he's he's going to sleep angry and he's waking up angry and he can't just talk to himself he can't do that thing you've probably heard where just like write down your feelings so that you get it out but no one else... Read more

Jordan Peterson Cries About Pain After Getting Banned From Twitter For Bullying thumbnail
Jordan Peterson Cries About Pain After Getting Banned From Twitter For Bullying

Category: News & Politics

Love and truth, that's what you got. and you know, if they're more powerful than pain, maybe they're the most real things. >> the host of that interview with jordan peterson lex friedman at least in that moment. and that reaction might be all of us because jordan peterson can't stop himself from crying... Read more

Kamala Is In BIG Trouble If This Doesn’t Happen thumbnail
Kamala Is In BIG Trouble If This Doesn’t Happen

Category: News & Politics

Start at the big board nbc news national political correspondent the one and only we're going to check in on the state of the race so far according to steve coraki seven core battleground states you see them in gray here we're going to be returning to them over and over the next 63 days but there's... Read more

Harris Makes Her Stance On Gaza War CLEAR In CNN Interview thumbnail
Harris Makes Her Stance On Gaza War CLEAR In CNN Interview

Category: News & Politics

Let's get the hostages out let's get the ceasefire done but no change in policy in terms of arms and and so forth no i we have to get a deal done so that right there was one of the few very direct specific needed questions during the cnn interview with kla harris a lot of it was social media stuff and... Read more

Former Trump staffer reads out shocking text from Melania after capitol riots | DNC day 4 highlights thumbnail
Former Trump staffer reads out shocking text from Melania after capitol riots | DNC day 4 highlights

Category: News & Politics

I was a true believer i was one of his closest advisers the trump family became my family i spent easter thanksgiving christmas and new year's all at mar lago i saw him when the cameras were off behind closed doors trump mocks his supporters he calls them basement dwellers he has no empathy no morals... Read more