moving on now to the likely States these states are characterized by margins between 7 to 15% they're going to be slightly more competitive than the safe States but one candidate still has a clear advantage and so starting off with the likely blue States we have many states that used to be solid for Democrats as they were for Joe Biden in 2020 Washington and Oregon are two good examples of this Biden won them by 15 Point margins but K Harris is just going to do slightly worse so Washington Oregon both will be in the light Le Harris category