[Applause] [Music] I'm very confident that Harris will win because the keys don't easily change they look at the big picture of incumbent strength and performance never have I changed a prediction because of anything that's happened in the so-called October surprise that is a myth [Applause] we've long been the leading provider of support to Palestinians I often have gotten the question when Biden was still the candidate what does Biden have to do to win and my answer was always govern well and still the thing that the Democrats could do to help themselves the most very difficult would be to broker a ceasefire and a hostage release in Gaza very difficult you dealing with Hamas on the one hand and the belligerent Netanyahu on the other hand [Applause] you know I've been doing this for 40 years I think I've heard every conceivable question one that reverberates though that I've heard for 40 years is aren't your keys subjective and I you know obviously have an answer to that they're not subjective they're judgmental we're dealing with human beings historians make judgments all the time and the judgments are very tightly constrained