brenford is going to beat Southampton on Saturday and here's why Southampton put in a really poor performance at home against Nottingham Forest and really what it comes down to is that Southampton while they can get through the first couple phases of buildup has nothing in the final third Adam Armstrong and Bren Baron are not good Premier League Strikers so they're really going to struggle against brenford who is very similar defensive team to that of Nottingham Forest Southampton is also very vulnerable in transition they've allowed five counterattacking shots through two matches which is the most in the Premier League brenford thrives in transition Southampton also conceded well over one expected goal on set pieces to Nottingham Forest which is something brenford has been always so good at under Thomas Frank so I think brenford has a lot of advantages here they always play better at the Gtech Stadium than they do away from home so I like the value on brenford at minus 130