EXPLODE OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW UP TO 17,000 ACRES. FOR A SPOT LIKE HOUSTON, THEY WERE TREATED TO A BEAUTIFUL SUNRISE THIS MORNING. I MEAN, THIS IS PRETTY PICTURESQUE. EARLY SEPTEMBER DAY, ALTHOUGH THEY HAVEN'T SEEN MANY PICTURESQUE DAYS. HONESTLY FOR THE FOLKS OUT IN HOUSTON, THEY HAVE BEEN BATTERED BY SEVERE WEATHER. AND UNFORTUNATELY, WE ARE TRACKING YET ANOTHER THREAT FOR TROPICAL WEATHER TO COME INTO THE AREA. HERE'S THE LATEST UPDATE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. WHAT WAS ONCE AN INVEST NOW DESIGNATED AS PTC SIX. ALL THIS MEANS IS IT'S JUST AMPING UP THE ODDS OF THIS TURNING INTO OUR NEXT NAMED STORM, WHICH WOULD BE FRANCINE. WE'VE GOT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES THAT ARE IN EFFECT, ESPECIALLY OUT IN MEXICO, BUT WE WILL LIKELY SEE THOSE SPREAD INTO THE U.S. AT THIS POINT. THE WINDS ARE MOVING AT 50MPH. WE JUST DON'T HAVE A CONSOLIDATED CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE. WE'RE STILL SEEING SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN WHAT WAS TWO INDIVIDUAL INVEST NOW SORT OF COMING TOGETHER. BUT THIS IS THE STORM TO WATCH, ESPECIALLY AS WE GET INTO MIDDLE AND LATE NEXT WEEK. HERE'S THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY, IF YOU WILL, WHERE THAT CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE COULD TRACK NOTICE HOUSTON, YOU ARE UNDER THAT THREAT AS FAR AS AREAS LIKE LAKE CHARLES. THAT'S WHERE THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS TRENDING. A LITTLE FARTHER OUT TOWARDS THE EAST. IF YOU HAVE A WEAKER STORM, IT WOULD STAY FARTHER TOWARDS THE WEST, HEADING TOWARDS TEXAS. A STRONGER STORM, THOUGH, PUSHES A LITTLE FARTHER OUT TOWARDS THE EAST. AT THIS POINT, WE ARE EXPECTED TO SEE A HURRICANE RIGHT AT AROUND WEDNESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING, SO THAT WOULD BE A CATEGORY ONE AS IT MAKES ITS APPROACH MUCH CLOSER TO THE U.S. COAST. SO ANY TIME WHEN WE HAVE SOMETHING THAT HAS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO, ESPECIALLY WITH HOW WARM THOSE WATERS ARE, IT DOES BEAR NOTICE. AND WATCHING, WE COULD POTENTIALLY SEE SOMETHING UNDERGO SOME RAPID INTENSIFICATION LATER ON AT THIS POINT, THE MAX INTENSITY THAT WE ARE HONING IN ON IS A CATEGORY ONE. THAT'S NOT TO SAY THAT WE COULDN'T INCH THAT UP. AND THE LATER MODEL SCANS, AND AS WE GET A LITTLE MORE DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTERS THAT ARE STILL OUT AND ABOUT FLYING THROUGH THIS PARTICULAR STORM, THE MODELS, THOUGH THEY VARY FROM A LOW END TROPICAL STORM ALL THE WAY TOWARDS A CATEGORY ONE, MAYBE GREATER THAN THAT IN TERMS OF A HURRICANE, BUT BECAUSE WE DON'T HAVE A COMPLETELY FORMED SYSTEM, IT'S HARD FOR THE MODELS TO TRULY UNDERSTAND EXACTLY WHAT IS HAPPENING AT THIS POINT, THOUGH, THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER DUBBING IT A CATEGORY ONE. AS WE HEAD A LITTLE BIT CLOSER TO THE MIDDLE AND LATER HALF OF NEXT WEEK, THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKED LIKE ON VISIBLE SATELLITE. WE HAD PREVIOUSLY INVEST 90 L THAT WAS SORT OF FORMING AROUND THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT BROUGHT THE WET WEATHER PATTERN TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST, AND THEN WHAT IS NOW PTC SIX. THAT WAS THE SAME SYSTEM THAT TRACKED OVER THE CARIBBEAN. IT WAS ABLE TO STALL AND JUST EAT UP ALL OF THE MOISTURE AND THE WARM WATERS THAT'S SITTING OUT INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE HOSTILE WIND ENVIRONMENT IS WORKING IN ITS FAVOR, AT LEAST FOR NOW. BUT WE DO HAVE THE JET STREAM THAT IT WILL ENCOUNTER AS IT GETS FARTHER TOWARDS THE NORT, AS WELL AS SOME DRY AIR. AND SO THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY SHEAR IT OUT AS WE HEAD LATER ON INTO THIS NEXT UPCOMING WEEK. RIGHT NOW, THE WATER TEMPERATURES ARE WELL INTO THE 80S. WE'RE TALKING 87 DEGREES. EVEN 90S IN AREAS JUST OFF OF THE EAST COAST OF MEXICO. AND THAT IS REALLY PRIME FOR ANY KIND OF TROPICAL STORM SYSTEM, WHATEVER IT MAY BE. 80 DEGREES AND WARMER. IS THAT SWEET SPOT. AND IF YOU'RE TALKING 90 DEGREES, THAT'S EVEN BETTER. THE REASON WHY THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY AND THE OVERALL MODELS ARE PULLING IT TOWARDS SPOTS LIKE THE TEXAS COAST AND LOUISIANA IS BECAUSE WE HAVE TWO STEERING SYSTEMS. WE'VE GOT A STEERING LOW PRESSURE, AS WELL AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT ACTS TO GUIDE IT INTO THIS SOMEWHAT OF A TUNNEL, BUT THE OVERALL FORECAST HERE, THOUGH, IS TRENDING TOWARDS LAKE CHARLES. BUT THERE IS STILL A LOT OF TIME TO WATCH THINGS SORT OF MOVE AROUND. BY TUESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY, THE LIGHT UPPER WINDS TURN A LITTLE MORE HOSTILE, BUT WE DO HAVE SOME DRY AIR AS WELL THAT WE'LL GET ENTRAINED IN THIS, CREATING A NARROW CORRIDOR OF INTENSE RAIN. AS WE DO SEE SOME LAND INTERACTIONS THAT TRACK CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH, THOUGH IT DOES GET A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN AS WE GET INTO, LET'S SA, THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. BUT THIS IS THE NEW UPDATE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER THAT CAME OUT AT 5:00, DUBBING IT AND