so we're going to start with the Thursday night game to kick off the season and I have not changed my thinking on this whatsoever and if anything I feel more confident and I said under uh 47 and a half a few weeks ago it's under 46 and a half now at minus 110 I'm sticking with that since that point I did some research on this for the uh recent article I put out at IDP Plus on Best Bets for week one and found out that not only is this the number six and the number two overall defense from last season Baltimore and Kansas City respectively but through the last six uh excuse me first six weeks of the season last year all teams were averaging 43.4 points per game combined which is under the 46.5 we need and scoring has been down every single season since 2020 uh that plus all the other factors we talked about last time leads me to not change my mind at all and leave us at under 46 and a half