there is a pretty good chance at this moment based on the way things are right now and those things will probably change one way or the other but as of right now there's a good chance that Ted Cruz may lose his reelection this November and here's why a new poll came out a couple days ago that shows not only has Donald Trump's lead in Texas been cut in half but Ted Cruz is now only beating his Democratic Challenger uh US Representative Colin aled by 2.1 percentage points so yes Ted Cruz is still in the lead but only by 2.1 percentage points which if you look at the poll even closer is well within the poll's margin of error because the margin of error is slightly below 3%