[Music] [Music] all right welcome into the Five Guys here on the Five Reasons YouTube channel I'm Ethan skolik and can follow me Ethan J skck and at five reason Sports I got Alex Dono you can follow him at Alex Donell we got two great sponsors of this episode there's action items on both prize picks use the code five FIV this is our daily fantasy partner their deal you put down $5 they give you 50 pretty simple no questions asked no catch no nothing uh some of the props on the board tonight to take a look at two of 268 and a half passing yards Jaylen wad 67 and a half passing yards Josh Allen 37 a half rushing yards I'd play all those over to honest uh check them out uh prize picks use the code 5 f5ve this again is legal in the state of Florida prix.com use the code five also better Edge we got a contest up there right now so download the better Edge app or go to better edge.com use the code five RSN that's the number five RSN get $20 to play you can see there the Dolphins now a one and a half Point favorite against the bills that is toggle but the difference between better Edge and all over the place you can see down there if you're looking 124 order that means there are other lines on there that you can play so you can find the line that you want this is one of the big differences between uh better Edge and the others the other is that you don't pay a vig we also got a contest on there today's the day sign up for better Edge again use the code and you can see some of the props there uh they're to a 263 and a half uh you can get any at minus 113 James Cook who I like over carries tonight by the way I like them over 14 and a half carries that's on prize picks but check out the better Edge uh product again it no Vig legal in the state of Florida and you can find the line that you want totally different experience better edge.com use the code there 5 RSN prize picks use the code five all right let's start here from the jump um I'm looking at the Dolphins upcoming schedule Alex and it feels to me like if they can just get through this one that things start to open up I mean they've got a Seattle team that yes it's on the road um they're they're beatable Tennessee is a Revenge game for Miami uh after what happened last year then you get New England then you get Indie um I just I feel like that feels like three in one to me and so if you could if you could just get this and this is the big one you've lost 10 of 11 in the regular season to them you've lost 11 of 12 overall including the playoffs um I mean this is it like this is what you've been building towards the entire offseason I know getting a win against Jacksonville is nice but are you physical enough can you handle Josh Allen are you going to allow them to still be the kings of the division even though they weren't even that good last year and you couldn't get the division title over them uh which is why you had to go on the road to Kansas City so how do you feel going into tonight's game I I feel very good the only thing that I don't feel great about is knowing that Raheem Ard is not going to play and it seems a little iffy with Devon Anan I know that there's some optimistic going into tonight that he's going to go through warm-ups with either the Hope or the intention to play and some of the national reporters are saying they feel pretty good about hn going tonight which obviously without moster would give the Dolphins a really big boost because aan as we saw last week you know is not only a weapon on the ground he actually didn't do that much on the ground last week but through the air he was you know the uh he led the team in receptions last week with seven with seven touches through the air so that would be a really important one to have but you know on the flip side Ethan there are I think there are a lot of things besides the questionable health of your running back room that do work in the Dolphins favor tonight um these short weeks for Thursday night games are are a huge Boon to the home team right I mean everyone hates these short weeks from Sunday to Thursday but at least the Dolphins don't have to travel the bills do have to travel I think this is probably you know on paper the worst the bills defense has been you know since they first reached the top of that Mountaintop and yeah you do have certain parts of History working against you tonight if you're the Miami Dolphins you mentioned how just Dreadful Miami's record has been against Buffalo in recent years and you know the bills the bills are the the only team in the division that Tu a Tango Bowa hasn't owned like this guy never loses to the Patriots hasn't lost to them hasn't lost to the Jets but you know the bills he's only beaten the bills once and it was that game in the south Florida heat two years ago and I know people will of course try to downplay the heat because it's a night game tonight um so you're not going to have the visiting teams bench like literally in the sun which is you know the case for Day games that was you know we saw that with Jacksonville last week you've seen it with Buffalo before but it's still it still is very humid uh even in the evening so you know obviously Miami probably a little bit better equipped for that than Buffalo but the big thing for me is Ethan I I I do think the Dolphins have I believe they have the better roster uh they have the shorter week working to their advantage they have to play better than they did for most of that Jacksonville game though because if you you know because the the Jaguars really they let him off the hook last week in many ways so I believe the Dolphins have to play better tonight than they did on Sunday but I I I think this is one where uh Tua Wadd are going to put up big numbers I do think that defense can make Josh Allen uncomfortable and I think the Dolphins are going to get probably a close dub I think it's going to be you we were looking at the point spread down one and a half now on on edge like I I've seen this number shrink because it was Dolphins minus three I guess there's more money coming in on Buffalo because the bills Mafia sees oh we got we're getting three points they all started it they drunk the line a little bit but I I I think the Dolphins are going to get it done by about a field goal tonight yeah I'm surprised the line is not bigger to be honest I I I you know to me it's a a three-point line uh which is a pick them game essentially when you count for the home team and what you mentioned that Thursday night games for Road teams are a problem and Miami should benefit from that I just was looking at the weather uh it is going to rain around five and cool down somewhat uh supposed to be in that the 83 to 85 range but it's 77 70% humidity so you mentioned like the actually the weather is hotter today than it typically is for this day on of the year so um you know again you don't get the one o'clock game you don't have the Hard Rock Sun you don't have the complaints from the bills uh and their fans about it but you still have uh challenging circumstances tonight for a team that's not accustomed to playing when it's this sticky essentially which is what it's going to be tonight and uncomfortable and I you know look moster being out I like Raheem uh hey David how are you I like Raheem I hit great year last year I have been one among those projecting that his number is going to get cut in half this year at the very least I he he ran the ball a lot for an older guy last year there was going to be a pivot away from him anyway um it does appear that Devon may play because I'm looking at his IG he was pumping up the game so I think there's some optimism now there could be a little bit of a rope a dop there too um and he may end up getting pulled out but even so they have uh humid is thicker than gelato they have uh you know they they drafted jayen Wright like they they used a high pick on this guy and so I feel like you know they're comfortable with him and Jeff Wilson will get carries my only concern about it is that McDaniel may run even less it's not that they won't run effectively I think it's that he may run less because he does if he doesn't have his top two guys and we'll see if he has you know one of the two and then it's so relying on Tua and I the thing I'm I'm I'm concerned about right now with with two it's not two specifically and and we saw he he had very little time to throw in the first game I think he had the second smallest window to throw in terms of all quarterbacks and yet the offensive line got good grades so it's kind of a a weird deal here but at the same time my my concern is I still don't see the third target and that's and and if if Devin doesn't play he was the third target in this P game they're going to need to get better production uh Smith can't drop the ball smite can't drop the ball okay baros can't drop the ball I mean that's what we saw that happen in the first game and so that's without Beckham there no ukama no Malik Washington he's still hurt who is going to be that other Target for him because if they're not going to run the ball effectively they're gonna have to find another guy who can do things because otherwise you I say this every game Hill or W will miss a series or more they always do it's a hamstring it's a concuss last game it was you worri w with a concussion I I swear it's like on Clockwork okay Alex well we get the report up you know Jaylen Wadd is questionable to return Tyreek Hill is questionable to return every game it's one or the both of them they're gonna need another Target to do something I want to Pivot to the other side with you though I gave the numbers on Josh Allen um averages almost 70 yards a game rushing against the Dolphins in his career he's 10-2 33 touchdowns seven interceptions he has been their biggest Nemesis not momes yeah not anybody else he has been their biggest Nemesis since he came in the league what do you do with him um well you all the same thing I would say for every quarterback is you pressure him but you have to also spy him because he he he can hurt you with his legs as you mentioned I mean so is that I just want you say that one more time he averages 70 yards rushing again I didn't even realize it was that much that's a lot that's a lot if you're not Lamar Jackson that's a lot to average against one team in rushing so I I mean really I I I think to me you know you have to you know obviously you have to smother his receivers and and you do have to put pressure on him because you know even a mobile quarterback like him is always going to be worse when you're under durest and I think the Dolphins are going to need to score Ethan I mean I think in this case because again the bills defense this is not this is not what they were the past few years sometimes your best defense is a good offense and um you know I I don't think you're going to completely shut down uh shut down Josh Allen you never have before but but I also think this is going to be a high-scoring game I mean I think uh you know usually when these teams meet the combined score goes over 60 it it tends to be high scoring between these two teams so I think you're probably looking at a situation where you maybe hit the over tonight and and this is a relatively highs scoring game I think the Dolphins have more Firepower than Buffalo does and I think the Dolphins probably at least a knock on wood and keep my fingers crossed when I say this probably have uh have a slightly better defense at this point so you know maybe the best way you don't you don't shut joshh Allen down the Dolphins never have maybe the other thing is Ethan maybe you hope that he makes some of those mistakes that he seems to make more against other teams than he makes against Miami for as good as Josh Allen is like how many how many Red Zone interceptions have we've seen how many poorly time fumbles have we've seen I mean he's so talented he makes up for some of that stuff but you know maybe you get more of those mistakes from him on a short week well seven picks in 12 games against Miami and actually I think um I think it's eight and 13 if you include the playoff game so not a lot like he does not do it a lot against them two things to me that that will be I'm watching tonight one is the Dolphins have been bad in the Mike McDaniel era and before and I know it's not the same players on in these nationally televised games they've just been they've been bad in them I I can't there's very few of these we've come out of it and said oh wow they played to their standards or above I don't know there tends to be a nervousness to them or whatever and this goes back like the gay she every time they were on National Television I know it's a different team but I just I feel like I've watched this story before they don't play well in National TV games so that that sticking in my head like I when is the last Thursday night they won I I don't this franch won it feels like forever um and somebody maybe in the comments will correct me on that but I don't remember a bunch of them I I I'll say this too this game is not just big for the standings and ultimately for a potential tiebreaker because you lose a home game and then you got to to Buffalo later in the year psychologically this was worth like two or three games if they lose to the bills again it's like the same old Dolphins they're GNA hear about this all week and a half until their next game and it's just going to be this thing they can't get past this team it's like they used to hear about with the Patriots until they got some wins that were kind of meaningless against them but they're going to hear this they they psychologically this game is worth much more than the Seattle game than the Tennesse game any of those games they have to beat this team like they have to beat this team they are as you said the bills are depleted defensively Miami has reshaped its defense even taken a player away from the bills they have to win this game and beat this team or else they're one in one and they're looking like the same old outfit that we've talked about for the past few years that just it looks like on paper they look pretty good but they can't break through I'll let you close with this but I this is a CR it's a huge huge game and they have a major advantage playing it at home on a short week uh that that is a major advantage half no excuses tonight I don't care if moster hurt I don't care if a Chan's hurt got to win the game yeah good or bad uh I'm going to be knee- jerking some crazy opinion after this game right if the Dolphins win this game you're going to start thinking okay Changing of the Guard in the division we're gonna get it this year we're gonna get it uh because yeah listen they they probably should have been a little bit more convincing in the Jaguars game last week but they got it done the next few games don't look nearly as difficult as this one you know could be given the recent history with Buffalo so we're going to learn a lot more about this team tonight than we did last week and that we're going to learn for the next couple of weeks it's like the same way you know when when I talk about my hurricanes you know the victory they had in week one against Florida that that was a knee-jerk type of game if Miami had lost that game you'd be like oh this is going to be a catastrophe they win that game you know people are are T I don't want to get too ahead of myself on on the Hurricanes but people are talking like the canes are back because they and you know they don't play another like big game for a few more weeks I view it the same way with the dolphins if the Dolphins win especially convincingly tonight uh Miami Dolphin fan base we're going to be cocky for the next several weeks we're going to be really cocky and we're going to feel like this team is going to do something special and hopefully we'd be right about that if you lose this game though Ethan uh I'm I'm always ready on my keyboard to type same old Dolphins I I I typed it during the first half of the Jacksonville game and I'm gladly I turned out to be wrong about that but yeah that's yeah it'll be S sad or sad right like same old Dolphins is what we always talk about and I I I'm with you on it and they actually have look not that you want to lose a game but we they start to have a little bit of a cushion here as they enter these next few games if they've got the win under Buffalo and they've got the conference win under Jack against Jacksonville under their but belt A Loss in Seattle you know against a non-conference team is not the end of the world it but if they lose this one then it is going to be concerning it's it's not look these games they count for double basically no matter what part of the year they're in and and so that's the thing you you've got to win this game tonight um I think they will but I don't feel great about it only because again these National TV games have been just a dis and I again I keep saying different team different coach than in some of those games but man they every time we get hyped up about this team you know what they do so we'll see what happens tonight all right again prize picks use that code 5 FIV $5 down they give you 50 better edge tons of contests on there right now five RSN is the code there get your free $20 have a good one everybody