Kamala Harris SURGES in KEY SWING STATES in the Latest Polling Averages

the 2024 presidential election is fast approaching with what is technically the first major debate happening today in recent days the media has started taking various polls out of context stirring up fear by suggesting kamla Harris is performing disastrously and that the election might as well be decided but is that really the case absolutely not let's break down the numbers and get to the truth behind these claims we will first start by getting rid of all of the solid states where we have seen one significant change Washington Oregon California Hawaii Colorado Illinois New York Vermont Connecticut New Jersey Delaware Massachusetts Rhode Island Maryland the District of Columbia and Main's first are all solidly in commala column Alabama Mississippi Louisiana Oklahoma Arkansas Tennessee South Carolina West Virginia Kentucky Missouri Kansas the majority of Nebraska both of the Dakotas Iowa Indiana Ohio Nebraska at large Montana Wyoming Idaho Utah and Alaska are all firmly in Trump's column this puts Trump at 148 electoral votes and Harris at 191 our eagle-eyed viewers likely notice that Maine's second is now missing from Trump's column which we will get to later for now let's dive into the state-by-state polling averages offering a snapshot of the current landscape for the 2024 election starting in Nevada Harris holds a narrow onepoint lead which tilts the state in the Democratic Direction Nevada has been a Battleground state for several election Cycles voting Democratic in the last four presidential elections however each of those elections saw increasingly close margins meaning the state could potentially flip despite this Harris's slight lead in the polling average suggests that she has maintained enough support to keep the state in her column however with such a slim margin this is definitely a state to watch closely as the race could tighten even further in the coming weeks in Arizona Trump holds a raise thin lead of just half a point tilting the state Republican Arizona has been trending more competitive in recent years notably flipping to the Democrats in the 2020 election for the first time since 1996 however Trump's slight Edge in the polling average shows that the state remains highly competitive Arizona is crucial to both campaigns and Trump's ability to reclaim it could play a significant role in determining the overall outcome of the election Harris meanwhile will need to invest significant resources if she hopes to retain the state for the Democrats less than 1% of you viewers are subscribed so please consider supporting the channel by hitting that subscribe button New Mexico looks much more solid for Harris as she holds a comfortable nine-point lead placing the state in the likely Democratic category New Mexico has been a reliably Blue State in recent elections voting Democratic in every presidential election since 2000 Harris's polling Advantage here follows historical Trends and while Trump may attempt to make a play for the state it seems unlikely that New Mexico will shift into the Republican column this state allows Harris to focus her campaign efforts elsewhere knowing that it's likely to stay in her Camp Texas remains in the Republican camp with Trump leading by Four Points classifying the state as lean Republican while Harris has made some gains in Texas and polling shows the race to be closer than in past Cycles it remains a difficult state for Democrats to win Texas has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976 and while Harris is performing better than expected Trump's lead here indicates that Texas is still an uphill battle for her that said the fact that Texas is even in the realm of competitiveness is notable and could signal long-term shifts in the state's political landscape furthermore the Trump campaign can no longer take this state for granted which forces them to divert resources from other critical States leaving significant openings for Harris Florida is another crucial state with Trump also leading by four points putting it in the lean Republican category Florida has long been a swing state playing a pivotal role in many recent elections Trump's Advantage here while not overwhelming suggests that the state is leaning in his direction for Harris winning Florida would be a significant Victory but Trump's steady polling lead indicates that it will be a tough state for Democrats to flip like Texas Florida remains a critical Battleground and both campaigns are likely to devote considerable resources to securing it in Georgia Harris holds a slim one-point lead tilting the state democratic Georgia has emerged as a Battleground in recent Cycles notably flipping to the Democrats in the 2020 election Harris's slight polling Advantage here suggests that the state remains highly competitive but could potentially stay in the Democratic column Georgia has a history of Republican dominance but demographic changes and high voter turnout among younger and minority voters have made it a key Target for Democrats Harris's narrow lead here shows that the state is still very much in play North Carolina is another state where the race is incredibly tight Trump holds a minuscule 0. onepoint lead which tilts the state Republican but only by the slightest margin North Carolina has been a Battleground state in recent elections with Democrats narrowly winning it in 2008 before it returned to the Republican column in 2012 2016 and 2020 the polling average indicates that the state is still highly competitive and both campaigns will need to focus heavily on turnout to win here Trump's slim leads suggests that the state is still leaning his way but Harris could potentially flip it if she can energize Democratic voters in the final weeks Virginia looks more secure for Harris as she holds a five-point lead putting it in the lean Democratic category once a reliable Republican state Virginia has shifted blue in recent elections voting Democratic in the last four presidential Cycles Harris's lead here reflects that ongoing going Trend and while the race is not a complete blowout it seems likely that Virginia will stay in the Democratic column Harris's comfortable polling Advantage here allows her campaign to focus on more competitive States knowing that Virginia is leaning safely Democratic Pennsylvania is one of the most hotly contested Battlegrounds in this election and Harris holds a slim one-point lead tilting the state democratic Pennsylvania has been a crucial swing state in recent elections flipping between parties Trump won the state in 2016 but Biden reclaimed it for the Democrats in 2020 Harris's narrow lead in the polling average indicates that the state is still up for grabs but the Democratic Advantage is dwindling Pennsylvania is a must-win state for both campaigns and the outcome here could very well decide the overall election in Michigan Harris holds a slightly better position with a two-point lead putting it in the Tilt Democratic category Michigan was part of the so-called blue wall that fell to Trump in 2016 but flipped back to the Democrats in 2020 Harris's lead here is modest but significant as the state remains a key Battleground the polling average suggests that Michigan is still leaning Democratic but the race could tighten as we get closer to Election Day Wisconsin also leans Democratic with Harris up by three points like Michigan Wisconsin was a critical state for Trump's 2016 Victory but it returned to the Democratic column in 2020 Harris's three-point lead in the polling average shows that the state remains competitive but Democrats appear to have the upper hand for now Wisconsin will be a key Battleground in this election and both campaigns will need to invest heavily here to secure a win Minnesota looks more solid for Harris with a seven-point lead putting it in the likely Democratic category Minnesota has consistently voted Democratic in presidential elections since 1976 and despite Republican hopes of flipping it in recent Cycles Harris's polling Advantage suggests that it will remain in the Democratic column Minnesota is less competitive than other Battlegrounds allowing Harris to focus more on tighter races in nearby States like Wisconsin and Michigan New Hampshire mirrors Minnesota with Harris also up by seven points putting it in the likely Democratic column Main's Statewide vote looks safely Democratic with Harris up by a commanding 13 points the second congressional district was expected to be easily won by Trump but some questionable numbers have Arisen for him which has led us to down grade it to likely Republican Nebraska's second congressional district like Maine splits its electoral votes and Harris holds a 6o lead here putting it in the lean Democratic category overall we see that Harris wins this map with 292 electoral votes compare this to a week ago and the only shifts we see are Texas and Maine's second shifting away from Trump so while the media continues to stir up fear realize that Harris is still favored the polls they are bringing up could be signaling a shift or they simply could be noise in the wind ultimately how the debate is perceived will truly determine the polls for the coming weeks if you haven't already make sure to subscribe