Tropical update: Tropical Storm Francine expected to strengthen into hurricane | Latest track

and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6: a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston it's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston Galveston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of a 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble in track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the West and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to playay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 and galvon Augusta 16 in Houston that's 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible in I don't think so winds at 15 milph that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galison Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at jav 15 milph at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down Wind and Rain wise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle of latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up one to three feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast well they're not over the top at all this particular model showing one to two inches in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal erosion and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galason I know yall struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be SP spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice today probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecasts coming the 10:00 a.m. the 100 p.m. and the 700 p.m. the one we just looked at and they were all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit well have an update a complete update on kh1 news at 10:00 we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the K1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm Fran scine but is expected to become hurricane Francine by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly to mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon in the evening for galvon bolevard coast of boria madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them one to three feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's a tail of to forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now now here's where the storm is as of 7:00 Monday evening it's about 110 Mi southsouth east of Brownsville winds at 65 so it's still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 miles an hour to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category two Winds of 100 miles an hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermilion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the left hand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm was expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the wee hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2 you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our high-res models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I don't want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the Coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7: a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5:00 Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10:00 Tuesday night again the coast getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6:00 a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston G alviston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble and track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to pay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the strong into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 in Galveston Augusta 16 in Houston that's 5:00 a. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustained but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 miles an hour that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galison Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning and Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at Javi 15 miles hour at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down Wind and Rain wise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see time come up 1 to 3 feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast whether they're not over the top at all this particular model showing 1 to two inches in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal erosion and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galison I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice a day probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10: a.m. the 1 p.m. and the 7 p.m. the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kou1 News at 10 o'clock we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kh1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now iCal storm Fran scene but is expected to become Hurricane francene by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the most Cloudy Skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon in the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast of Bor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them 1 to three feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's a tail of to forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7 o'clock Monday evening it's about 110 miles southsouth east of Brownsville winds at 65 so it's still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 mph to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 milph as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the leftand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm was expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the wee hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2 you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our highres models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I don't want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday today so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7: a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5 o'clock Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10 o'clock Tuesday night again the coast getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 600 a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston Galveston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of a 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble and track is going to have big implications a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to playay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 in galvas and August to 16 in Houston that's 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting in near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustained but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 miles an hour that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galison Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at jav 15 milph at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down Wind and Rain wise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up one to three feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast whether they're not over the top at all this particular model showing one to two inches in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal erosion and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galason I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice today probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10:00 a.m. the 1 p.m. and the 700 p.m. the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kh1 news at 10:00 we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kou1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm Fran scene but is expected to become Hurricane Fran scene by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon and the evening for galeston bolevard coast of Bor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them one to three feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's A Tail of Two forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7:00 Monday evening it's about 110 miles southsouth east of Brownsville winds at 65 so still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 miles an hour to upgrade it to a category one hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form the down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 miles an hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the leftand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm is expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the wee hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2 you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our highres models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I don't want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% % of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7: a.m Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5:00 Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10:00 Tuesday night again the coast getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6: a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston Galveston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble in track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to playay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so AUST to 23 in galon August to 16 in Houston that's 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near 30 in galvaston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 miles an hour that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical storm Force galison Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at Javi 15 milph at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down wind and rainwise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in an North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up 1 to 3 feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast whether not over the top at all this particular model showing one to two Ines in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal Ocean and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galvon I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice today probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10: a.m. the 1 p.m. and the 7 P.M the one we just looked at they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kou1 News at 10 o'clock we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the K1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm Fran scene but is expected to become Hurricane Fran scene by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday and Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon and the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast of Bor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots any you got a castal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them 1 to 3 feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's a tale of two4 the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7 o' Monday evening it's about 110 Mi southsouth east of Brownsville winds at 65 so still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 miles an hour to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 m hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the leftand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm is expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the we hours of Wednesday morning become a cat two you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our high-res models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I do want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every for so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7:00 a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the Coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5 o'l Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10 o'clock Tuesday night again the coasts getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6:00 a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston galvaston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble and is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to pay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so austa 23 in galison Augusta 16 in Houston that's 500 a.m. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting in near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 milph that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galvon Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at 15 mph at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down wind and rainwise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up one to three feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast well they're not over the top at all this particular model showing one to two inches in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal Ocean and the surf are definitely going to be factors for Galvis I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice a day probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh that of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10:00 a.m. the 100 p.m. and the 700 p.m. the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you post it as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Grays on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kh1 News at 10 o'clock we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kou1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm francene but is expected to become Hurricane francene by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of a 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon in the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast of bizor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them one to three feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's A Tail of Two forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7:00 Monday evening it's about 110 miles south-southeast of Brownsville winds at 65 so it's still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 miles an hour to upgrade it to a category one hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 miles an hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the leftand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh RAM ifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the rightand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm is expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the wee hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2 you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center that is one of our high-res models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I don't want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 60 6% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further West or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7: a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5:00 Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10:00 Tuesday night again the coast getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6:00 am. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston Galveston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of a 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble in track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to pay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 in galvon August to 16 in Houston that's 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so Winds of 15 miles an hour that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galvon Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at jav 15 miles an hour at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down Wind and Rain wise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime uh Coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up 1 to 3 feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast whether they're not over the top at all this particular model showing 1 to two Ines in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think that the coastal erosion and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galason I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice a day probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10: a.m. the 100 p.m and the 7 p.m. the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully gray on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kh1 News at 10 o'cl we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kou1 weather sener wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm FR scen but is expected to become hurricane Francine by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon in the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast to Bor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them one to three feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's a taale of two forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7 o'clock Monday evening it's about 110 miles southsouth east of Brownsville winds at 65 so still tropical storm got to get winds to 74 mph to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center take makes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 miles an hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the leftand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm is expected to move e e cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the wee hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2o you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our highres models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I do want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mindes in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7: a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5:00 Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10 o'clock Tuesday night again the coasts getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6:00 a.m. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston galvaston but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble and track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to pay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 in galison August to 16 in Houston that's 5 a.m. am. tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near near 30 in Galveston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into Tuesday evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 mph that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see gusts getting close to Tropical Storm Force galvon Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be strongest across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston to 22 at jav 15 miles an hour at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down wind and rainwise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and then actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the mean time a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up one to three feet above normal that will inundate some of the low Ling roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast whe they're not over the top at all this particular model showing one to two inches in some spots on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impacts from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal Ocean and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galison I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless of gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice a day probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10:00 a.m. the 1 p.m. the 700 p.m. the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on K H1 news at 10:00 we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kou1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm Francine but is expected to become Hurricane francene by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much Inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon and the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast of bizor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the tides could raise them one to three feet and so low lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's A Tail of Two forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7 7:00 Monday evening it's about 110 mil south-southeast of Brownsville winds at 65 so it's still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 miles an hour to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 miles an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainband getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category 2 Winds of 100 miles hour as we head into early Wednesday afternoon so places like Vermillion Bay to Lafayette to uh all the way to New Orleans they'll be on the right hand side of the track they'll get the dirty side they'll get the brunt of hurricane Francine we on this track would be on the left hand side of the track that's the clean side and that's going to make a huge difference because we're on the clean side even though we're so close to a category 2 hurricane the clean side is called that for a reason quite often rain chances are much lower winds are much lighter and that will have uh ramifications as to how the impacts here play out and I wanted to talk about the quadrant so again the right hand side this is where much stronger winds rain tornado threat everything on the right hand side to a storm moving North the right hand side gets the bad stuff that's the dirty side that's where New Orleans and Lafayette and Baton Rouge are going to be we will be on the cleaner side the weaker side so our impacts are much much reduced on the weak side of that storm and that is according to this forecast where we're going to be here's kind of a big picture on how the storm is expected to move cat one tomorrow morning becomes a cat 2 late Tuesday night perhaps into the we hours of Wednesday morning become a cat 2 you can see at that point moving to the Northeast and accelerating as it as it does so then the storm continues into Louisiana that is the forecast cone from the hurricane center that is one of our highres models that has the center of the storm a little bit on the Eastern side of the center of that cone but I don't want to talk about the cone real quick so the forecast cone from the Hurricane Center you may have also heard it called the cone of uncertainty that is because there's uncertainty with every forecast so that's the cone as it stands now from the Hurricane Center the best mines in Hurricane forecasting think it's most likely that the storm will be somewhere in this cone but statistically it only stays in the cone 66% of the time the other 33% of the time we see the track end up getting outside the forecast cone so because this is so close to us clearly we are going to have to watch this very carefully so again urging you download the app and just stay with us all day long Tuesday Tuesday night Wednesday so you know what this thing is doing in case it decides to alter its track just a little bit and you know this type of a thing if that storm moves further west or to the left of that Center you know we could have much greater impacts on the coast because of that so this is something we have to watch very very carefully uh here are the impacts closer to home Future Track 7:00 a.m. Tuesday rain getting close to the coast rain on the coast that's by noon Tuesday but notice nothing in the way of rain forecast for Inland areas we go into the afternoon maybe a few showers getting Inland most of the rain on the coast heavier rain offshore at that point that's 5 o'clock Tuesday we'll go into Tuesday night so here's 10:00 Tuesday night again the coast getting the greatest impacts with rain and maybe some gust to near tropical storm force on the coast Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and as we get into 6: am. Wednesday you know there's the center of the storm so the Western eye wall if this forecast verifies is going to be about 100 115 miles off the coast of galvaston that's far enough out to put almost all the bad stuff over the Open Water of the Gulf of Mexico and not bring it into Houston Galveston but but anytime you've got a powerful hurricane a strong Cat 2 Winds of 100 or more passing that close to you any wobble in track is going to have big implications it's a small move you know 20 30 miles further to the west and we get much more in the way of wind and rain especially on the coast in the bay so I'm urging everybody to pay very close attention and be prepared to take action you know if that forecast track does move a little bit then forecast is uh taking the storm into Vermillion Bay on the South Central Coast of Louisiana during the Wednesday afternoon time frame what about winds well on that track Tuesday Morning these are gusts these are not sustained winds these are just the gusts so a gust to 23 in galison August to 16 in Houston that's 5 a.m tomorrow morning Tuesday Morning Noon Tuesday gusting near 30 in galvaston can handle that Northeast gust to 16 or so for Inland areas again not sustain but just wind gusts we get into two evening now we're gusting above 30 it's it's not out of the question we could see some limbs some of that are loose come down on some power lines so power outages right near the coast in the bay you know it's possible Inland I don't think so winds at 15 miles hour that's a beautiful Breezy evening for Houston on that track we go into Wednesday morning so this is when we could see Gus getting close to Tropical Storm Force galason Wednesday morning winds that's when they will be stronger across the bay and across our coastal areas early Wednesday morning in Inland Northeast wind to 20 at Houston 22 at Javi 15 miles hour at Huntsville we should be able to handle that no problem we go into Wednesday afternoon and things will begin to settle down Wind and Rain wise as it all gets taken up and picked up into Louisiana and that actually brings in a North breeze so this is also interesting because of the counterclockwise circulation it's going to keep this northeast and North Breeze that we've been enjoying going through Wednesday so if that track does stay off the coast and we miss all the bad stuff this ends up making for some nice weather going into the middle and latter part of the week in the meantime a coastal flood warning is in effect for the coast and the bay when you get these big storms coming through you know it's like dropping a pebble in a pond it sends out ripples we're going to see surf we're going to see Tides come up one to three feet above normal that will inundate some of the low-lying roads and if we do end up getting some heavy rain on top of that then you've got a lot of low-lying spots that are going to get some high water on that we saw that last week with all the rain so we may see some of the same spots get some high water and we are under a tropical storm watch not a warning but a watch because that thing is going to pass so close we're watching it very very carefully rain total forecast well they're not over the top at all this particular model showing 1 to two Ines in some spots on on the coast again this is going to be just a matter of inches whether or not the heavy rain does stay off or we get more heavy rain in our Coastal counties it's something we're just going to have to watch moment to moment it's it's a very delicate forecast when you have such a powerful compact storm system moving so close to where we live so bottom line impact from Francine Heavy Rain threat on the coast tomorrow and Wednesday elevated surf Coastal erosion strong winds I think the the coastal erosion and the surf are definitely going to be factors for galison I know y'all struggle with that uh and we're going to have more of that with this with the heavy surf that's going to be be spun off from that circulation regardless if it gets close to us or not that's going to send a lot of surf into the Texas coast what you need to be doing is check the forecast at least twice today probably more than that tomorrow in case any changes to that track happen and we end up having to shift gears quickly to a more impactful situation although in talking with Dr Michael Brennan uh the director of the National Hurricane Center this afternoon we've had now three forecast cones the 10:00 a.m. the 1 p.m and the 7 PM the one we just looked at and they're all basically the same so I asked him directly how do we feel about that forecast and he says they're pretty confident that that's the way this is going to play out so we'll take it one moment at a time and watch and see if it does that's where we stand we'll keep you posted as we move through Tuesday and Tuesday night and watch Francine hopefully Gray's on by and our thoughts are with folks in Louisiana who may take a harder hit we'll have an update a complete update on kou1 News at 10 o'clock we'll see you then hi everybody David Paul with you here in the kou1 weather center wanted to step in and give you a complete update on what is now tropical storm FR scen but is expected to become hurricane Francine by Tuesday morning and then slide by the upper Texas coast as a category 2 hurricane Winds of 100 or above as we go into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning and get you through what we think the impacts are going to be now first of all what we've done is issue a weather impact alert for Tuesday this is for all day Tuesday but the impacts are going to be gradiated from maybe some heavy rain on the coast to maybe not much inland depending on the exact track of the system so all day Tuesday into Tuesday night weather impact alerts in effect for Heavy Rain especially near the coast monitor the forecast several times a day sometimes these things can change and that in this case could very much change the impacts to the coast and Inland now as we look at our Inland forecast for Tuesday this is for for Houston for Harris County not much we'd have partly the mostly cloudy skies we might see a little bit of rain lat later in the afternoon but rain chances for Inland areas tomorrow are not very high the winds are not expected to be strong at all maybe 10 to 15 out of the Northeast but down on the coast the forecast is completely different we expect rain a good chance of it all day from the morning all the way through the afternoon in the evening for Galveston bolevard Coast of Bor madora County as well could be a very wet day we could see several inches of rain in spots and you've got a coastal flood warning because as this storm goes by it's going to raise the ti could raise them 1 to 3 feet and so low-lying roads you know where they are they could see high water on them Tuesday Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning so it's a tale of two forecast the wet coast and maybe not so much Inland now here's where the storm is as of 7 o'clock Monday evening it's about 110 miles south-southeast of Brownsville winds at 65 so it's still a tropical storm got to get winds to 74 mph to upgrade it to a category 1 hurricane and we think that's going to happen overnight tonight by Tuesday morning this is going to be a hurricane it's moving North Northwest at 7 m an hour zoom in uh Brownsville radar clearly picking up the center of the storm maybe even a little eye trying to form down there you can see the outer rainband Heavy Rain there and a little bit of an outer rainb band getting folks on South Padre Island a little bit wet right now as well forecast track from the Hurricane Center takes the cone right up the Texas coast and into Louisiana this is forecasting a Louisiana landfall as a category two e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no sign ific rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it it's about 90 mies southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a catw one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane France scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day well what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7: a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat to right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7 a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 11 15 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not inet maybe a gust to 36 galason by 7 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage St on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the system's into Louisiana we're getting in North Bri gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run 1 to 3 feet above normal low Ling roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tles are not over the top 1 to two Ines by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the after and I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it's about 90 miles Southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Francine in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7: a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we going to 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North brid Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not in it maybe a gust to 36 galason by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thre on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of Wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tuttles are not over the top 1 to two Ines by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really too forecast one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scine in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr brandan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilion Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat to right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 mil southeast of galison that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 3 two on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galon by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thre on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to 3 feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide Rain Tunnel are not over the top one to two in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it's about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max wind's at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Francine in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7:00 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10 o'clock and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 mies southeast of galison that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not in it maybe AUST to 36 galason by 700 P.M tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thread on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tuttles are not over the top 1 to 2 in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expect wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it's about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same for cast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rillian Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7 a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 Mi southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galason by 700 P.M tomorrow evening you know we I saw a Guston there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage right on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 34050 Miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting a North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run 1 to 3 ft above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at my tide rain tuttles are not over the top 1 to two in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it it's about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5 forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7:00 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about5 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending North East in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inlet by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galason by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage St on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain ttles are not over the top 1 to 2 in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it's about 90 miles Southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5 forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles raillion Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that' be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7: a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving du North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galason by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thre on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting a North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's Pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to 3 fet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tuttles are not over the top one to two inches by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it it's about 90 mies southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Francine in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rillian Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7:00 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: am. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galason by 7 pm tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thread on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the system's into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run 1 to 3 feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide Rain Tunnel are not over the top one to two Ines by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so h Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of about 90 M southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Francine in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5 forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that was be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7:00 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7:00 a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Cent we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward lisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not in it maybe AUST to 36 galason by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thread on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting a North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tutles are not over the top 1 to two Ines by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that chea will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5 forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brandon earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rillian Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7: a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7:00 a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center about 115 miles Southeast of galison that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give a little kick to the east and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not Inlet maybe a gust to 36 galon by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you know we I saw a Guston there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage thre on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting a North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tidde are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain ttles are not over the top 1 to 2 in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it it's about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max winds at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5 forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7: a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat 2 right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 700 a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5 o'l the coast is still getting wet by 10:00 and we go into 2:30 a.m. this particular run has the center that 115 miles Southeast of galvon that may be its closest point to us but you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that Center we get a North Breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here if that track will hold what's making it move that way it's the upper level winds you've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana there's the system right there so as it lifts North it's going to begin to feel that west to east motion and that's going to give it a little kick to the East and then at the same time a ridge of high pressure a clockwise flow is going to form here and strengthen over the gulf and well you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way and that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving Due North toward Houston but bending Northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast these are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5:00 a.m. tomorrow morning gusting to 23 on the coast 17 Inland by noon tomorrow gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 Inlet so this is not a big power outage threat at least not in it maybe austa 36 galason by 700 p.m. tomorrow evening you we I saw a gust in there to 39 so maybe a minimal tropical storm Force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage St on the coast uh tomorrow night but if that track verifies that's going to be the worst of it but you can clearly see you know if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 mil we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax this is 1:00 Wednesday afternoon the systems into Louisiana we're getting in North Breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant we do have a coastal flood warning uh seas and tides are going to run one to three feet above normal low-lying roads Around The Bay and the coast are going to see high water spots especially at high tide rain tles are not over the top 1 to 2 in by most models again if it's closer we would get more so we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana and of course we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow 30% rain chance by noon 80% rain chance in the afternoon I still think most of that is on the coast it's a breezy day weather impact day on Tuesday stay close to the forecast with us all day long uh download the app you'll get the uh get the alerts turn on notifications and then the weather is nice Wednesday Thursday Friday warming up it's still a pretty nice weekend Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday that's where we stand guys back weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts one for the Inland areas so Houston this is our forecast for tomorrow we're mostly cloudy some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for Inland areas tomorrow it's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow beginning at Sunrise and Lasting all day long thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there here's where we stand right now there's the Storm Center of it's about 90 Mi southeast of Brownsville Max wind's at 65 it's still just a tropical storm it's expected to be a cat one Hurricane by the time we get up tomorrow morning I expect that cheetah will be reporting on Hurricane Fran scene in the morning it's moving Northwest at 5: forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning midday and this evening and now tonight it it's the same forecast cone and in talking to Dr Brennan earlier today uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone taking it into Louisiana so yeah from east of Lake Charles rilon Bay that would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain that'd be Wednesday during the day what's going to happen though for us is it's going to be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday that's 7:00 a.m. Wednesday the storm expected to be a cat two right here now at that point most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center we'll be on the weak side so we get a North Breeze but we don't get all that mess on the strong side and that makes a huge difference in our impacts rain forecast tomorrow 7: a.m. on the coast rain is likely so again this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow rain on the coast likely not so much Inland but maybe a few showers Inland the coast is wet at 5:00 the coast is still getting wet by 10