I mean the challenge is more that we're almost having like we're almost having like a snap election you know you guys are used to that we're not used to like a snap election in the US and so you can argue that the assumptions that are embedded in the model about like this two-year-long election process that we have don't apply as much and there's probably more like intrinsic uncertainty um and you have other crazy stuff you have this assassination attempt against the former president right you have RFK Jr enterry and exiting the race um you have this catastrophic debate for Joe Biden so it's been an incredibly strange set of news Cycles the model is doing the best it can I mean ironically it kind of defaults towards saying basically 50/50 um you know after the debate which is in a week um maybe the the first maybe the only debate that's where you might actually have more confidence in saying oh we actually um can lean toward One Direction or another which direction I wouldn't want to guess right now