Polymarket 2024 Presidential and Debate Betting Odds

what's going on guys welcome back to a brand new video on the red Tire politics Channel today I'll be explaining right now the poly market and what's going on in basically all the betting odds right now because they're very interesting and I think it's probably going to explain a lot of things going on for this year's election so right now it Trump has a 59% chance of winning in the public market which is actually a new high he's actually probably around 60% if we go to the presidential yeah he's at % this is a new high for Trump he's never been this high before right now he is around a $2 million advantage over Biden and then we have a few third party candidates in this election winner so right now Trump has a pretty good chance of winning this election in the poly market and right now there was a new development which had Trump tied in Wisconsin this is one of the first times that it's happen in poly Market which is a very interesting thing I think this is great for Trump and the Republican party just because you've seen some great development you've seen them working with the debate tomorrow and everything and I think it's going to be a great time for Trump I think Trump's going to blow Biden out of the water and it's going to do really good Justice for Trump and it's going to probably boost him a couple of points in the election cycle you're going to see probably a major development anytime soon with The Pick of course of his VP very shortly I think he can actually announce it anytime soon so I will make a video on that when he does announce it and explain it um but right now this is the map that has it's not my map exactly like you saw on my last video but right now this is a very interesting map that I could get down with just because you have the rest B States being very close I do disagree with Michigan just because I think right now Michigan is a very good state for Trump same thing with Pennsylvania it is closer than Michigan but I think it will be a better state for Trump but right now Wisconsin is finally tied it is going to be a very good thing for Trump if he keeps on that development right now you have the Sun Belt seats going for Trump I think I disagree with Arizona I do think narly it's going to go for Biden just because America Opa but it it depends on his VP pick just because it can change Nevada I agree with this I think it's going to go for Trump same thing for Georgia I think it's a lockdown for Trump at the moment but this is the betting ond like if you go back to poly Market this is a side I'm using um they have a bunch of betting odds and if anybody wants to bet on it I think it's it's a great way to look at things and see developments like for example if Trump and Biden will shake hands at the debate or will he announce his VP as the debate like said right here and it's a bunch of things like for example if bid will close his eyes for more than 3 seconds all this I think it's a great way to see maybe some the developments and maybe putting your bets or your forecast and maybe exchanging it with poly market and yeah I think it's a great way to look at things and I also want to share this which I think was a great development earlier on this week and actually today quinc had a poll that came out that has Trump up by four this is the first time since a long time ago that that had Trump up if you look at it right now he's up by four he's doing really great actually he's doing way better I consider with younger voters like he's almost tied with younger voters which is really good Hispanics of course Hispanics are going to go for Biden by a little bit but he's actually doing well same thing with black voters this one is a big surprise he's doing really well with black voters um white people he's doing really well same thing with women they're tied which is a very important thing if Trump wants to do one he has to do well with white women and women in general so I think right now this is a really good way to see how things are developing like if we go to Red uh if you go to uh Real Clear Politics right now you can see the development right now Trump's up in the aggregate by 1.3% I think this is a really accurate way of seeing things but right now you can see Trump doing a massive surge right now he is surging Biden is stagnant Biden is not doing very well just because of the direction of the country and is approval writing actually if he go to his approval rating you can see what I mean right now it's at 16% right now it is not great like he's not doing very well but this is not good for the uh Democrats he like if the Democrats should be weed they should be worried right now if they think that doing an early debate will help it really won't it'll just show that the voters that are moderates and that will either way will not want to go for the Democratic party so I think this is a very great way of seeing things again let me know what you guys think let me guys know what you want to see like overall let me know what you want to see Don if you haven't seen it already uh but yeah I think it's really exciting to see the development right now but yeah thank you guys for watching comment like And subscribe let me know what you guys want to see and I will see you guys next time and goodbye