Polymarket Bets - Who Will Win the Presidential Debate? - Trump vs. Harris

this one's crazy after the first debate the way that they rated it was that they rated Joe Biden as poor and Donald Trump as about average where are they going to compare Cala versus Trump on this sliding scale goes from terrible to poor to about average to very good to excellent some of it's going to depend on the rules of 90 minutes two commercial breaks won't be able to ask questions of each other two minutes to answer questions two minutes for rebuttal and an additional minute for follow-ups and 2 minutes to deliver closing statements it does say mics are live only when the candidates speak others will be muted they will not be able to talk over each other right which is my opinion good for America God Bless but but bad for Trump I would say his style would benefit more from a no holds bar battle so I would say I wouldn't expect Trump to do that much better than about average which is roughly what happened last time so I think that's like that makes sense now Cala how is she going to handle it is ABC so it's likely a biased left leaning organization that's running this so they'll throw some hard balls at her but at the same time they're probably not going to make it like the worst experience that Cala will ever have my thought is I would expect also about average ask her if she's a Michael Jackson fan I feel that's a very difficult question to answer because on the one hand it's it's difficult to deny his contributions to music nevertheless one does not want to be paying compliments to those who built their own amusement parks to entertain other people's children probably not to answer this okay of the let's say 73% chance for her to win I'd say that's probably over played 50/50 with a slight Edge because of the ABC placement so that's I'd probably put it 55 to 65% so I think the 73% is definitely too high in favor of Calo so if I was buying I would bet Trump I wouldn't be surprised if throughout the debate he has some Hammer Hammer points and during those Hammer points you get like swing trade opportunities where it goes from let's say 30% chance that Trump wins to 40% and you could sell that my tells me he wins a little more often than one and four yeah I would say yeah I'd say it's definitely a little bit more often than one and four but at the same time I I wouldn't say it's a 5050 shot like it's ABC so it would be kind of shocking if she was hit too harsh with some of the questions