Tropical Storm Warnings Issued As Potential Tropical Cyclone 4 Takes Aim At Florida

FIRST APPLICATION, CALL THE NUMBER ON YOUR SCREEN CALL 806 941798. HELLO THE NUMBER ON YOUR SCREEN CALL 806 941798. HELLO AND WELCOME INSIDE CALL 806 941798. HELLO AND WELCOME INSIDE WEATHER COMMAND. I’M AND WELCOME INSIDE WEATHER COMMAND. I’M STEPHEN MORGAN, I’M WEATHER COMMAND. I’M STEPHEN MORGAN, I’M MARISSA TORRES, AND I’M STEPHEN MORGAN, I’M MARISSA TORRES, AND I’M KENDALL SMITH. IT IS MARISSA TORRES, AND I’M KENDALL SMITH. IT IS FRIDAY, AUGUST 2ND. WE KENDALL SMITH. IT IS FRIDAY, AUGUST 2ND. WE APPRECIATE YOU JOINING US FRIDAY, AUGUST 2ND. WE APPRECIATE YOU JOINING US ON A VERY BUSY FRIDAY SO APPRECIATE YOU JOINING US ON A VERY BUSY FRIDAY SO FAR. YEAH, PARTS OF THE ON A VERY BUSY FRIDAY SO FAR. YEAH, PARTS OF THE GULF COAST, THEY’RE ON FAR. YEAH, PARTS OF THE GULF COAST, THEY’RE ON ALERT THIS MORNING. AND GULF COAST, THEY’RE ON ALERT THIS MORNING. AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE ALERT THIS MORNING. AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS NOW BEGUN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS NOW BEGUN ISSUING ADVISORIES ON CENTER HAS NOW BEGUN ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WHAT IS NOW POTENTIAL ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WHAT IS NOW POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR. WE WHAT IS NOW POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR. WE HAVE TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR. WE HAVE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS. HAVE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THOSE HAVE GONE UP. WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THOSE HAVE GONE UP. THEY’VE BEEN ISSUED FOR THOSE HAVE GONE UP. THEY’VE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA THEY’VE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA COASTLINE. IT IS LOOKING PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA COASTLINE. IT IS LOOKING LIKE DEBBY IS ON DECK. COASTLINE. IT IS LOOKING LIKE DEBBY IS ON DECK. SIGNIFICANT RAIN FLOODING LIKE DEBBY IS ON DECK. SIGNIFICANT RAIN FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR FLORIDA AND SIGNIFICANT RAIN FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR FLORIDA AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST IN IS LIKELY FOR FLORIDA AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST IN THE DAYS AHEAD. LET’S PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST IN THE DAYS AHEAD. LET’S TALK ABOUT WHAT’S THE DAYS AHEAD. LET’S TALK ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENING RIGHT NOW. TALK ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENING RIGHT NOW. THERE YOU SEE A PTC FOUR HAPPENING RIGHT NOW. THERE YOU SEE A PTC FOUR AND ALL THE STATS THAT THERE YOU SEE A PTC FOUR AND ALL THE STATS THAT FOLLOW WITH THAT 11 A.M. AND ALL THE STATS THAT FOLLOW WITH THAT 11 A.M. ADVISORY. STILL A FOLLOW WITH THAT 11 A.M. ADVISORY. STILL A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL ADVISORY. STILL A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE THAT HASN’T CHANGED WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE THAT HASN’T CHANGED SO MUCH WITHIN THE PAST WAVE THAT HASN’T CHANGED SO MUCH WITHIN THE PAST FEW MOMENTS. IT IS STILL SO MUCH WITHIN THE PAST FEW MOMENTS. IT IS STILL PRODUCING A ROBUST AREA FEW MOMENTS. IT IS STILL PRODUCING A ROBUST AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS PRODUCING A ROBUST AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS, AND IT’S OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS, AND IT’S STILL EXPECTED TO TRACK AND STORMS, AND IT’S STILL EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR OR AT LEAST OVER STILL EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR OR AT LEAST OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA NEAR OR AT LEAST OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AND PORTIONS OF CUBA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AND EVEN EMERGE OVER THE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AND EVEN EMERGE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SO EVEN EMERGE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SO SOUTH OF FLORIDA, THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SO SOUTH OF FLORIDA, THE PENINSULA THERE TONIGHT SOUTH OF FLORIDA, THE PENINSULA THERE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY, LET’S BRING PENINSULA THERE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY, LET’S BRING IN FOX WEATHER HURRICANE OR SATURDAY, LET’S BRING IN FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN IN FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSS. JUST LOOKING AT SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSS. JUST LOOKING AT THE TEXT. IT’S ALL FRESH. NORCROSS. JUST LOOKING AT THE TEXT. IT’S ALL FRESH. BRIAN, I KNOW THAT YOU’VE THE TEXT. IT’S ALL FRESH. BRIAN, I KNOW THAT YOU’VE BEEN LOOKING AT IT AS BRIAN, I KNOW THAT YOU’VE BEEN LOOKING AT IT AS WELL. IT LOOKS LIKE FROM BEEN LOOKING AT IT AS WELL. IT LOOKS LIKE FROM THE KEYS ALL THE WAY TO WELL. IT LOOKS LIKE FROM THE KEYS ALL THE WAY TO BONITA BEACH, WE HAVE THE KEYS ALL THE WAY TO BONITA BEACH, WE HAVE TROPICAL STORM ALERTS. BONITA BEACH, WE HAVE TROPICAL STORM ALERTS. AND THE FORECAST DOES TROPICAL STORM ALERTS. AND THE FORECAST DOES HAVE THIS MAKING LANDFALL AND THE FORECAST DOES HAVE THIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA HAVE THIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA COASTLINE. YEAH. SO THE ALONG THE FLORIDA COASTLINE. YEAH. SO THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST, COASTLINE. YEAH. SO THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST, ESSENTIALLY THE NAPLES SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST, ESSENTIALLY THE NAPLES AREA IS REALLY WHAT ESSENTIALLY THE NAPLES AREA IS REALLY WHAT COUNTS. HERE IS WHERE AREA IS REALLY WHAT COUNTS. HERE IS WHERE THEY HAVE THE TROPICAL COUNTS. HERE IS WHERE THEY HAVE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT. THEY HAVE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT. AND THEN THEY HAVE STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT. AND THEN THEY HAVE WATCHES FOR THE KEYS. ALL AND THEN THEY HAVE WATCHES FOR THE KEYS. ALL ALMOST ALL OF THE KEYS WATCHES FOR THE KEYS. ALL ALMOST ALL OF THE KEYS ESSENTIALLY FROM THE ROAD ALMOST ALL OF THE KEYS ESSENTIALLY FROM THE ROAD THAT COMES DOWN FROM ESSENTIALLY FROM THE ROAD THAT COMES DOWN FROM MIAMI, ALL THE WAY DOWN THAT COMES DOWN FROM MIAMI, ALL THE WAY DOWN THROUGH KEY WEST. AND MIAMI, ALL THE WAY DOWN THROUGH KEY WEST. AND THEN ON NORTH, WHERE’S THROUGH KEY WEST. AND THEN ON NORTH, WHERE’S THE NORTHERN END OF THE THEN ON NORTH, WHERE’S THE NORTHERN END OF THE TROPICAL STORM, WATCH THE NORTHERN END OF THE TROPICAL STORM, WATCH THERE, STEVE. IT GOES TROPICAL STORM, WATCH THERE, STEVE. IT GOES FROM THE KEYS. AND THEN THERE, STEVE. IT GOES FROM THE KEYS. AND THEN THE SOUTHERN COAST FROM FROM THE KEYS. AND THEN THE SOUTHERN COAST FROM EAST OF CAPE SABLE TO THE SOUTHERN COAST FROM EAST OF CAPE SABLE TO CARSON. OKAY WEST COAST EAST OF CAPE SABLE TO CARSON. OKAY WEST COAST OF FLORIDA, NORTH OF CARSON. OKAY WEST COAST OF FLORIDA, NORTH OF BONITA BEACH, UP TO THE OF FLORIDA, NORTH OF BONITA BEACH, UP TO THE TAMPA BAY AREA. OKAY, SO BONITA BEACH, UP TO THE TAMPA BAY AREA. OKAY, SO ALL THIS IS BECAUSE OF TAMPA BAY AREA. OKAY, SO ALL THIS IS BECAUSE OF TIMING. AND WHEN WE LOOK ALL THIS IS BECAUSE OF TIMING. AND WHEN WE LOOK AT THE CONE IN JUST ONE TIMING. AND WHEN WE LOOK AT THE CONE IN JUST ONE SECOND, YOU’LL SEE IT. AT THE CONE IN JUST ONE SECOND, YOU’LL SEE IT. ALL RIGHT. SO, AS YOU SECOND, YOU’LL SEE IT. ALL RIGHT. SO, AS YOU WERE SHOWING, 30 MILES AN ALL RIGHT. SO, AS YOU WERE SHOWING, 30 MILES AN HOUR IS STILL THE WERE SHOWING, 30 MILES AN HOUR IS STILL THE ESTIMATE OF THE WINDS HOUR IS STILL THE ESTIMATE OF THE WINDS SOMEWHERE IN HERE SENDING ESTIMATE OF THE WINDS SOMEWHERE IN HERE SENDING THE, NOAA RESEARCH SOMEWHERE IN HERE SENDING THE, NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT OUT THERE TO THE, NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT OUT THERE TO WITH THE TAIL DOPPLER AIRCRAFT OUT THERE TO WITH THE TAIL DOPPLER RADAR. AND THEY CAN WITH THE TAIL DOPPLER RADAR. AND THEY CAN ACTUALLY MEASURE THESE RADAR. AND THEY CAN ACTUALLY MEASURE THESE WINDS. SO WE’LL GET A ACTUALLY MEASURE THESE WINDS. SO WE’LL GET A BETTER, ESTIMATION OF WINDS. SO WE’LL GET A BETTER, ESTIMATION OF THESE CLUSTERS OF BETTER, ESTIMATION OF THESE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND HOW THESE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND HOW STRONG THEY ARE MOVING TO THUNDERSTORMS AND HOW STRONG THEY ARE MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 16. STRONG THEY ARE MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 16. SO MOVING IN A PRETTY THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 16. SO MOVING IN A PRETTY GOOD CLIP. WEST NORTHWEST SO MOVING IN A PRETTY GOOD CLIP. WEST NORTHWEST IS RIGHT ALONG CUBA. AND GOOD CLIP. WEST NORTHWEST IS RIGHT ALONG CUBA. AND THERE YOU SEE STILL IS RIGHT ALONG CUBA. AND THERE YOU SEE STILL AGAIN, WE’RE JUST THERE YOU SEE STILL AGAIN, WE’RE JUST ESTIMATING THE PRESSURE AGAIN, WE’RE JUST ESTIMATING THE PRESSURE HERE. EVERYTHING IS AN ESTIMATING THE PRESSURE HERE. EVERYTHING IS AN ESTIMATE UNTIL MAYBE HERE. EVERYTHING IS AN ESTIMATE UNTIL MAYBE WE’LL GET A BETTER IDEA. ESTIMATE UNTIL MAYBE WE’LL GET A BETTER IDEA. THEY USE, YOU KNOW WE’LL GET A BETTER IDEA. THEY USE, YOU KNOW MEASUREMENTS FROM THE THEY USE, YOU KNOW MEASUREMENTS FROM THE GROUND. GUANTANAMO NAVAL MEASUREMENTS FROM THE GROUND. GUANTANAMO NAVAL AIR STATION IS RIGHT DOWN GROUND. GUANTANAMO NAVAL AIR STATION IS RIGHT DOWN HERE OF COURSE. SO THEY AIR STATION IS RIGHT DOWN HERE OF COURSE. SO THEY HAVE GOOD WEATHER HERE OF COURSE. SO THEY HAVE GOOD WEATHER OBSERVATIONS FROM THERE. HAVE GOOD WEATHER OBSERVATIONS FROM THERE. SO THEY HAVE A GOOD IDEA OBSERVATIONS FROM THERE. SO THEY HAVE A GOOD IDEA WHAT THE PRESSURE IS. ALL SO THEY HAVE A GOOD IDEA WHAT THE PRESSURE IS. ALL RIGHT. HERE’S THE NEW WHAT THE PRESSURE IS. ALL RIGHT. HERE’S THE NEW CONE FOR THIS POTENTIAL RIGHT. HERE’S THE NEW CONE FOR THIS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. AND CONE FOR THIS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. AND AGAIN THINK OF THIS AS TROPICAL CYCLONE. AND AGAIN THINK OF THIS AS NOT IGNORE THE WORD AGAIN THINK OF THIS AS NOT IGNORE THE WORD CYCLONE AND THINK OF IT NOT IGNORE THE WORD CYCLONE AND THINK OF IT AS THREAT. IT’S A CYCLONE AND THINK OF IT AS THREAT. IT’S A POTENTIAL TROPICAL THREAT AS THREAT. IT’S A POTENTIAL TROPICAL THREAT TO THE WEST COAST OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL THREAT TO THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. SO THEY’RE TO THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. SO THEY’RE THINKING FROM THE FLORIDA. SO THEY’RE THINKING FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER IS THAT THINKING FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER IS THAT IT GOES OVER CUBA. AND HURRICANE CENTER IS THAT IT GOES OVER CUBA. AND THEN EMERGES SOMEWHERE IN IT GOES OVER CUBA. AND THEN EMERGES SOMEWHERE IN HERE. AND THAT WOULD BE THEN EMERGES SOMEWHERE IN HERE. AND THAT WOULD BE TOMORROW MORNING. AND HERE. AND THAT WOULD BE TOMORROW MORNING. AND WHEN THEY’RE TALKING TOMORROW MORNING. AND WHEN THEY’RE TALKING ABOUT MORNING, IN THIS WHEN THEY’RE TALKING ABOUT MORNING, IN THIS CASE, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT ABOUT MORNING, IN THIS CASE, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT 8 A.M. IN THE MORNING CASE, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT 8 A.M. IN THE MORNING SOMETIME JUST SOUTH OF 8 A.M. IN THE MORNING SOMETIME JUST SOUTH OF THE KEYS IS THE IDEA. AND SOMETIME JUST SOUTH OF THE KEYS IS THE IDEA. AND THEN BY TOMORROW EVENING THE KEYS IS THE IDEA. AND THEN BY TOMORROW EVENING IT’S A TROPICAL STORM IN THEN BY TOMORROW EVENING IT’S A TROPICAL STORM IN THEIR THINKING. SO THAT’S IT’S A TROPICAL STORM IN THEIR THINKING. SO THAT’S WHY THEY HAVE THE THEIR THINKING. SO THAT’S WHY THEY HAVE THE WARNINGS UP. YOU CAN SEE WHY THEY HAVE THE WARNINGS UP. YOU CAN SEE HERE FOR THE SOUTHWEST WARNINGS UP. YOU CAN SEE HERE FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST. HERE IN THIS AREA HERE FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST. HERE IN THIS AREA HERE. BECAUSE THE COAST. HERE IN THIS AREA HERE. BECAUSE THE THINKING IS A TROPICAL HERE. BECAUSE THE THINKING IS A TROPICAL STORM TOMORROW EVENING. THINKING IS A TROPICAL STORM TOMORROW EVENING. AND THEN THE IDEA IS IT’S STORM TOMORROW EVENING. AND THEN THE IDEA IS IT’S OVER THE WATER ENOUGH TO AND THEN THE IDEA IS IT’S OVER THE WATER ENOUGH TO INTENSIFY. THAT’S THE OVER THE WATER ENOUGH TO INTENSIFY. THAT’S THE THINKING NOW, OBVIOUSLY. INTENSIFY. THAT’S THE THINKING NOW, OBVIOUSLY. THING IS THAT IF IT WERE THINKING NOW, OBVIOUSLY. THING IS THAT IF IT WERE TO TAKE A MORE WESTERLY THING IS THAT IF IT WERE TO TAKE A MORE WESTERLY TRACK KIND OF UP THE WEST TO TAKE A MORE WESTERLY TRACK KIND OF UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE CONE, TRACK KIND OF UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE CONE, SOMEHOW, THEN IT WOULD BE SIDE OF THE CONE, SOMEHOW, THEN IT WOULD BE OVER THE WATER LONGER IF SOMEHOW, THEN IT WOULD BE OVER THE WATER LONGER IF IT WERE TO TAKE A MORE OVER THE WATER LONGER IF IT WERE TO TAKE A MORE EASTERLY TRACK, THEN MORE IT WERE TO TAKE A MORE EASTERLY TRACK, THEN MORE OF THE CIRCULATION WOULD EASTERLY TRACK, THEN MORE OF THE CIRCULATION WOULD BE OVER FLORIDA AND IT OF THE CIRCULATION WOULD BE OVER FLORIDA AND IT WOULD PROBABLY NOT BE OVER FLORIDA AND IT WOULD PROBABLY NOT INTENSIFY AS MUCH. SO WOULD PROBABLY NOT INTENSIFY AS MUCH. SO TAKING KIND OF A MIDDLE INTENSIFY AS MUCH. SO TAKING KIND OF A MIDDLE PATH HERE, BUT WE’RE ALL TAKING KIND OF A MIDDLE PATH HERE, BUT WE’RE ALL AWARE THAT WHEN THE PATH HERE, BUT WE’RE ALL AWARE THAT WHEN THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND AWARE THAT WHEN THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND IT’S NOT ORGANIZED, SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND IT’S NOT ORGANIZED, THINGS ARE SUBJECT TO IT’S NOT ORGANIZED, THINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. AND ESPECIALLY THINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. AND ESPECIALLY THE INTENSITY IS VERY CHANGE. AND ESPECIALLY THE INTENSITY IS VERY HARD TO FORECAST. THEN IT THE INTENSITY IS VERY HARD TO FORECAST. THEN IT ENDS UP OVER LAND. AND HARD TO FORECAST. THEN IT ENDS UP OVER LAND. AND NOTICE WHAT THE HURRICANE ENDS UP OVER LAND. AND NOTICE WHAT THE HURRICANE CENTER DOES HERE, NOTICE WHAT THE HURRICANE CENTER DOES HERE, BECAUSE, WE’VE BEEN CENTER DOES HERE, BECAUSE, WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT FOR THE BECAUSE, WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS ABOUT TALKING ABOUT FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS ABOUT THE STEERING AND MIGHT IT LAST COUPLE OF DAYS ABOUT THE STEERING AND MIGHT IT SLOW DOWN AND SO FORTH. THE STEERING AND MIGHT IT SLOW DOWN AND SO FORTH. AND SO HERE IT IS SUNDAY SLOW DOWN AND SO FORTH. AND SO HERE IT IS SUNDAY EVENING AND THEN HERE IT AND SO HERE IT IS SUNDAY EVENING AND THEN HERE IT IS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING AND THEN HERE IT IS MONDAY MORNING AND THEN TUESDAY MORNING. IS MONDAY MORNING AND THEN TUESDAY MORNING. LOOK AT THE MOVEMENT. SEE THEN TUESDAY MORNING. LOOK AT THE MOVEMENT. SEE HOW HOW THAT’S 12 HOURS. LOOK AT THE MOVEMENT. SEE HOW HOW THAT’S 12 HOURS. AND THAT’S 24 HOURS HOW HOW THAT’S 12 HOURS. AND THAT’S 24 HOURS THERE. AND THEN ANOTHER AND THAT’S 24 HOURS THERE. AND THEN ANOTHER 24 HOURS. SO VERY SLOW THERE. AND THEN ANOTHER 24 HOURS. SO VERY SLOW MOVEMENT IS THE IDEA. 24 HOURS. SO VERY SLOW MOVEMENT IS THE IDEA. NOW, YOU KNOW, THIS IS MOVEMENT IS THE IDEA. NOW, YOU KNOW, THIS IS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE NOW, YOU KNOW, THIS IS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE FACT THAT THE STEERING IS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE FACT THAT THE STEERING IS EXPECTED, MAYBE NOT TO FACT THAT THE STEERING IS EXPECTED, MAYBE NOT TO COLLAPSE, BUT TO EXPECTED, MAYBE NOT TO COLLAPSE, BUT TO CERTAINLY RELAX. IF IT COLLAPSE, BUT TO CERTAINLY RELAX. IF IT COLLAPSES, THEN YES, SOME CERTAINLY RELAX. IF IT COLLAPSES, THEN YES, SOME KIND OF SPINNING COULD COLLAPSES, THEN YES, SOME KIND OF SPINNING COULD HAPPEN HERE, BUT IT COULD KIND OF SPINNING COULD HAPPEN HERE, BUT IT COULD HAPPEN OVER HERE TOO. SO HAPPEN HERE, BUT IT COULD HAPPEN OVER HERE TOO. SO THIS PART OF THE FORECAST HAPPEN OVER HERE TOO. SO THIS PART OF THE FORECAST UP HERE IS VERY THIS PART OF THE FORECAST UP HERE IS VERY UNCERTAIN. AND IF IT WERE UP HERE IS VERY UNCERTAIN. AND IF IT WERE TO MOVE TO THE RIGHT SIDE UNCERTAIN. AND IF IT WERE TO MOVE TO THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE CONE SO THAT IT TO MOVE TO THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE CONE SO THAT IT WAS OUT HERE, THE MODELS OF THE CONE SO THAT IT WAS OUT HERE, THE MODELS THAT DO THAT ACTUALLY WAS OUT HERE, THE MODELS THAT DO THAT ACTUALLY HAVE A MUCH STRONGER THAT DO THAT ACTUALLY HAVE A MUCH STRONGER STORM THAN A 60 MILE AN HAVE A MUCH STRONGER STORM THAN A 60 MILE AN HOUR TROPICAL STORM OUT STORM THAN A 60 MILE AN HOUR TROPICAL STORM OUT THERE. SO AGAIN, HOUR TROPICAL STORM OUT THERE. SO AGAIN, EVERYBODY ON THE CAROLINA THERE. SO AGAIN, EVERYBODY ON THE CAROLINA COAST, THE GEORGIA COAST, EVERYBODY ON THE CAROLINA COAST, THE GEORGIA COAST, JUST NEEDS TO NOT LOOK AT COAST, THE GEORGIA COAST, JUST NEEDS TO NOT LOOK AT THIS AND SAY, OKAY, WHERE JUST NEEDS TO NOT LOOK AT THIS AND SAY, OKAY, WHERE WE MIGHT HAVE A TROPICAL THIS AND SAY, OKAY, WHERE WE MIGHT HAVE A TROPICAL STORM, BUT THAT’S ALL. WE MIGHT HAVE A TROPICAL STORM, BUT THAT’S ALL. THAT’S NOT, INDEED, THE STORM, BUT THAT’S ALL. THAT’S NOT, INDEED, THE MESSAGE HERE. AND WE CAN THAT’S NOT, INDEED, THE MESSAGE HERE. AND WE CAN SEE ON THE WATER VAPOR MESSAGE HERE. AND WE CAN SEE ON THE WATER VAPOR WHAT’S HAPPENING HERE. WE SEE ON THE WATER VAPOR WHAT’S HAPPENING HERE. WE HAVE THESE CLUSTERS OF WHAT’S HAPPENING HERE. WE HAVE THESE CLUSTERS OF STORMS, THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THESE CLUSTERS OF STORMS, THE THUNDERSTORMS WHERE THE BLUES ARE. STORMS, THE THUNDERSTORMS WHERE THE BLUES ARE. THOSE ARE THE TALLER WHERE THE BLUES ARE. THOSE ARE THE TALLER THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE THOSE ARE THE TALLER THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE THE MORE MOISTURE IN THEM THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE THE MORE MOISTURE IN THEM OVER THE WATER ON BOTH THE MORE MOISTURE IN THEM OVER THE WATER ON BOTH SIDES OF CUBA. ASSUMING OVER THE WATER ON BOTH SIDES OF CUBA. ASSUMING THAT THE CENTER IS IN SIDES OF CUBA. ASSUMING THAT THE CENTER IS IN THERE AND THE THAT THE CENTER IS IN THERE AND THE THUNDERSTORMS JUST THERE AND THE THUNDERSTORMS JUST DEVELOP OVER THERE. SO THUNDERSTORMS JUST DEVELOP OVER THERE. SO THAT’S WHERE THE DEVELOP OVER THERE. SO THAT’S WHERE THE HURRICANE HUNTERS ARE THAT’S WHERE THE HURRICANE HUNTERS ARE GOING TO GO. LOOK. AND HURRICANE HUNTERS ARE GOING TO GO. LOOK. AND HERE’S THE THIS IS UPPER GOING TO GO. LOOK. AND HERE’S THE THIS IS UPPER CLOUDS HERE. BUT THE HERE’S THE THIS IS UPPER CLOUDS HERE. BUT THE MOISTURE IS IN HERE. YOU CLOUDS HERE. BUT THE MOISTURE IS IN HERE. YOU SEE IT ADVANCING TOWARDS MOISTURE IS IN HERE. YOU SEE IT ADVANCING TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA. THE SEE IT ADVANCING TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA. THE THINKING IS IT WILL BE SOUTH FLORIDA. THE THINKING IS IT WILL BE THERE IN THE MORNING. THINKING IS IT WILL BE THERE IN THE MORNING. THIS LITTLE ADVANCE LINE THERE IN THE MORNING. THIS LITTLE ADVANCE LINE YOU’VE BEEN LOOKING AT THIS LITTLE ADVANCE LINE YOU’VE BEEN LOOKING AT THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS YOU’VE BEEN LOOKING AT THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE KEYS. THAT’S THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE KEYS. THAT’S THAT’S REALLY IT JUST AROUND THE KEYS. THAT’S THAT’S REALLY IT JUST JUST THE IN ADVANCE MORE THAT’S REALLY IT JUST JUST THE IN ADVANCE MORE RELATED TO THE HIGH JUST THE IN ADVANCE MORE RELATED TO THE HIGH PRESSURE AND THE WEATHER RELATED TO THE HIGH PRESSURE AND THE WEATHER SYSTEMS OVER FLORIDA. NOT PRESSURE AND THE WEATHER SYSTEMS OVER FLORIDA. NOT THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEMS OVER FLORIDA. NOT THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. SO WE CAN STILL THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. SO WE CAN STILL LOOK AT THE UNCERTAINTY CYCLONE. SO WE CAN STILL LOOK AT THE UNCERTAINTY MODELS TO GET AN IDEA OF LOOK AT THE UNCERTAINTY MODELS TO GET AN IDEA OF WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN HERE. MODELS TO GET AN IDEA OF WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN HERE. HERE WE ARE. AND NOTICE WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN HERE. HERE WE ARE. AND NOTICE THAT WE SHOW THEM SPREAD HERE WE ARE. AND NOTICE THAT WE SHOW THEM SPREAD OUT A BIT BECAUSE NOT THAT WE SHOW THEM SPREAD OUT A BIT BECAUSE NOT SURE EXACTLY WHERE THE OUT A BIT BECAUSE NOT SURE EXACTLY WHERE THE CENTER IS RIGHT NOW AND SURE EXACTLY WHERE THE CENTER IS RIGHT NOW AND WHAT’S GOING TO TURN INTO CENTER IS RIGHT NOW AND WHAT’S GOING TO TURN INTO THE CENTER IN THIS LARGE WHAT’S GOING TO TURN INTO THE CENTER IN THIS LARGE SYSTEM. SO WHAT THEY DO THE CENTER IN THIS LARGE SYSTEM. SO WHAT THEY DO IS THEY SAY IMAGINE IT’S SYSTEM. SO WHAT THEY DO IS THEY SAY IMAGINE IT’S HERE. IMAGINE IT’S HERE. IS THEY SAY IMAGINE IT’S HERE. IMAGINE IT’S HERE. OKAY, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN HERE. IMAGINE IT’S HERE. OKAY, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN WITH THAT KIND OF OKAY, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN WITH THAT KIND OF UNCERTAINTY? AND THEN WE WITH THAT KIND OF UNCERTAINTY? AND THEN WE GO FORWARD IN TIME. SO UNCERTAINTY? AND THEN WE GO FORWARD IN TIME. SO HERE WE ARE TOMORROW GO FORWARD IN TIME. SO HERE WE ARE TOMORROW MORNING, JUST LIKE THE HERE WE ARE TOMORROW MORNING, JUST LIKE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MORNING, JUST LIKE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER SAYS, OKAY, PRETTY GOOD NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER SAYS, OKAY, PRETTY GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT THE SAYS, OKAY, PRETTY GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTER IS SOUTH OF THE CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTER IS SOUTH OF THE KEYS IN THE MORNING HOURS CENTER IS SOUTH OF THE KEYS IN THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND MOST LIKELY KEYS IN THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND MOST LIKELY DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL TOMORROW AND MOST LIKELY DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOMETIME IN DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOMETIME IN THE MORNING. OKAY. THEN DEPRESSION SOMETIME IN THE MORNING. OKAY. THEN IT MOVES NORTH, BUT NOW THE MORNING. OKAY. THEN IT MOVES NORTH, BUT NOW THE UNCERTAINTY GROWS. IT MOVES NORTH, BUT NOW THE UNCERTAINTY GROWS. AND OF COURSE, THAT’S WHY THE UNCERTAINTY GROWS. AND OF COURSE, THAT’S WHY THE CONE GETS WIDER AS IT AND OF COURSE, THAT’S WHY THE CONE GETS WIDER AS IT GOES NORTH. SO THESE THE CONE GETS WIDER AS IT GOES NORTH. SO THESE UNCERTAINTY MODELS REALLY GOES NORTH. SO THESE UNCERTAINTY MODELS REALLY MIMIC THE CONE. BUT UNCERTAINTY MODELS REALLY MIMIC THE CONE. BUT NOTICE SOME OF THEM MOVE MIMIC THE CONE. BUT NOTICE SOME OF THEM MOVE QUICKLY SO THAT BY SUNDAY NOTICE SOME OF THEM MOVE QUICKLY SO THAT BY SUNDAY IT’S ALREADY IT’S PICKED QUICKLY SO THAT BY SUNDAY IT’S ALREADY IT’S PICKED UP BY THE JET STREAM. AND IT’S ALREADY IT’S PICKED UP BY THE JET STREAM. AND IT’S ZOOMING. AND OTHERS UP BY THE JET STREAM. AND IT’S ZOOMING. AND OTHERS LINGER BACK. SO THE IT’S ZOOMING. AND OTHERS LINGER BACK. SO THE HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING LINGER BACK. SO THE HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING WITH THE LINGERING BACK HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING WITH THE LINGERING BACK IDEA THAT THE JET STREAM WITH THE LINGERING BACK IDEA THAT THE JET STREAM IS NOT GOING TO PICK IT IDEA THAT THE JET STREAM IS NOT GOING TO PICK IT UP. AND THEN WHEN WE GO IS NOT GOING TO PICK IT UP. AND THEN WHEN WE GO FORWARD IN TIME EVEN UP. AND THEN WHEN WE GO FORWARD IN TIME EVEN MORE, WE HAVE EVEN MORE FORWARD IN TIME EVEN MORE, WE HAVE EVEN MORE DIVERSITY. AND AGAIN, THE MORE, WE HAVE EVEN MORE DIVERSITY. AND AGAIN, THE HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING DIVERSITY. AND AGAIN, THE HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING WITH THE LINGERING BACK HURRICANE CENTER IS GOING WITH THE LINGERING BACK IDEA. NOTICE THIS IS THE WITH THE LINGERING BACK IDEA. NOTICE THIS IS THE GFS HAS THESE ALL IDEA. NOTICE THIS IS THE GFS HAS THESE ALL OFFSHORE. OTHER MODELS GFS HAS THESE ALL OFFSHORE. OTHER MODELS HAVE THEM UP OVER LAND. OFFSHORE. OTHER MODELS HAVE THEM UP OVER LAND. SO THE HURRICANE CENTER HAVE THEM UP OVER LAND. SO THE HURRICANE CENTER IS TAKING THAT MORE SO THE HURRICANE CENTER IS TAKING THAT MORE MIDDLE POSITION AND IS TAKING THAT MORE MIDDLE POSITION AND TAKING A TRACK UP IN HERE MIDDLE POSITION AND TAKING A TRACK UP IN HERE SOMEWHERE. BUT WE HAVE TO TAKING A TRACK UP IN HERE SOMEWHERE. BUT WE HAVE TO BE READY FOR THE SOMEWHERE. BUT WE HAVE TO BE READY FOR THE POSSIBILITY IT’S OFFSHORE BE READY FOR THE POSSIBILITY IT’S OFFSHORE AND STRONGER BY THE TIME POSSIBILITY IT’S OFFSHORE AND STRONGER BY THE TIME IT GETS UP INTO THE AND STRONGER BY THE TIME IT GETS UP INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS THERE. IT GETS UP INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS THERE. AND THEN JUST LOOKING ATLANTIC WATERS THERE. AND THEN JUST LOOKING AHEAD A WEEK, YOU CAN SEE AND THEN JUST LOOKING AHEAD A WEEK, YOU CAN SEE SOME JUST ZOOM ON OUT, AHEAD A WEEK, YOU CAN SEE SOME JUST ZOOM ON OUT, OTHERS LINGER IN PLACE SOME JUST ZOOM ON OUT, OTHERS LINGER IN PLACE BECAUSE THE STEERING, MAY OTHERS LINGER IN PLACE BECAUSE THE STEERING, MAY OR MAY NOT COMPLETELY BECAUSE THE STEERING, MAY OR MAY NOT COMPLETELY COLLAPSE. HURRICANE OR MAY NOT COMPLETELY COLLAPSE. HURRICANE CENTER TAKING A MIDDLE COLLAPSE. HURRICANE CENTER TAKING A MIDDLE GROUND THERE SAYING, CENTER TAKING A MIDDLE GROUND THERE SAYING, OKAY, IT’S GOING TO GROUND THERE SAYING, OKAY, IT’S GOING TO CONTINUE, BUT WE’RE NOT OKAY, IT’S GOING TO CONTINUE, BUT WE’RE NOT GOING TO MOVE IT VERY CONTINUE, BUT WE’RE NOT GOING TO MOVE IT VERY FAST AND KIND OF GO INTO GOING TO MOVE IT VERY FAST AND KIND OF GO INTO A COMPROMISE POSITION FAST AND KIND OF GO INTO A COMPROMISE POSITION WHERE YOU HAVE SOME OF A COMPROMISE POSITION WHERE YOU HAVE SOME OF THESE ACTUALLY SAY, OKAY, WHERE YOU HAVE SOME OF THESE ACTUALLY SAY, OKAY, IT’S GOING TO LOOP AROUND THESE ACTUALLY SAY, OKAY, IT’S GOING TO LOOP AROUND AND COME BACK AND, AND SO IT’S GOING TO LOOP AROUND AND COME BACK AND, AND SO FORTH. AND WE JUST HOPE AND COME BACK AND, AND SO FORTH. AND WE JUST HOPE THAT IS NOT THE CASE. SO FORTH. AND WE JUST HOPE THAT IS NOT THE CASE. SO LET ME LEAVE IT THERE FOR THAT IS NOT THE CASE. SO LET ME LEAVE IT THERE FOR NOW. I THINK WE HAVE THE LET ME LEAVE IT THERE FOR NOW. I THINK WE HAVE THE GOOD INFORMATION AND, NOW. I THINK WE HAVE THE GOOD INFORMATION AND, AND, WE’LL JUST SEE HOW GOOD INFORMATION AND, AND, WE’LL JUST SEE HOW THIS ALL DEVELOPS TODAY. AND, WE’LL JUST SEE HOW THIS ALL DEVELOPS TODAY. BUT FOR TODAY, IT’S OVER THIS ALL DEVELOPS TODAY. BUT FOR TODAY, IT’S OVER CUBA. AND JUST A BUT FOR TODAY, IT’S OVER CUBA. AND JUST A DEVELOPING SYSTEM, WITH CUBA. AND JUST A DEVELOPING SYSTEM, WITH THE. AND YOU’LL BE DEVELOPING SYSTEM, WITH THE. AND YOU’LL BE TALKING MORE ABOUT THE THE. AND YOU’LL BE TALKING MORE ABOUT THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. NO TALKING MORE ABOUT THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. NO STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WATCHES AND WARNINGS. NO STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS, WHICH JUST STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS, WHICH JUST MEANS THEY IT WAS THEY WARNINGS, WHICH JUST MEANS THEY IT WAS THEY RUN THE ANALYSIS WITH IT MEANS THEY IT WAS THEY RUN THE ANALYSIS WITH IT CLOSE TO THE COAST LIKE RUN THE ANALYSIS WITH IT CLOSE TO THE COAST LIKE THAT. WE DON’T HAVE AT CLOSE TO THE COAST LIKE THAT. WE DON’T HAVE AT LEAST THREE FEET OF STORM THAT. WE DON’T HAVE AT LEAST THREE FEET OF STORM SURGE FORECAST. STILL CAN LEAST THREE FEET OF STORM SURGE FORECAST. STILL CAN GET 1 TO 2FT FOR SURE, SURGE FORECAST. STILL CAN GET 1 TO 2FT FOR SURE, BUT NOT AT LEAST THREE GET 1 TO 2FT FOR SURE, BUT NOT AT LEAST THREE FEET FORECAST, WHICH IS BUT NOT AT LEAST THREE FEET FORECAST, WHICH IS THE CRITERION TO GET A FEET FORECAST, WHICH IS THE CRITERION TO GET A WATCH OR A WARNING. GUYS. THE CRITERION TO GET A WATCH OR A WARNING. GUYS. YEAH AND BRIAN, IT DOES WATCH OR A WARNING. GUYS. YEAH AND BRIAN, IT DOES LOOK LIKE THOSE WATCHES, YEAH AND BRIAN, IT DOES LOOK LIKE THOSE WATCHES, THE TROPICAL STORM LOOK LIKE THOSE WATCHES, THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES. THEY EXTEND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES. THEY EXTEND NORTH OF TAMPA. SO WATCHES. THEY EXTEND NORTH OF TAMPA. SO PERHAPS NO SURPRISE THAT NORTH OF TAMPA. SO PERHAPS NO SURPRISE THAT TAMPA IS ALSO INCLUDED IN PERHAPS NO SURPRISE THAT TAMPA IS ALSO INCLUDED IN ALL OF THIS. SO THE TAMPA IS ALSO INCLUDED IN ALL OF THIS. SO THE INSIGHT GOOD WILL BE ALL OF THIS. SO THE INSIGHT GOOD WILL BE WE’LL BE TALKING TO YOU INSIGHT GOOD WILL BE WE’LL BE TALKING TO YOU AGAIN. APPRECIATE ALL OF WE’LL BE TALKING TO YOU AGAIN. APPRECIATE ALL OF THAT. WITH NOW THIS FIRST