MLB DFS Strategy - DraftKings & FanDuel Thursday Main Slate 8/29 rotoscouts MLB Lineup Card LIVE

what is happening out there Roto Scouts Baseball fans good morning gang welcome to an 11:15 on the nose start time Thursday slate we're looking at the afternoon slate right now 1:10 p.m. start time little six gamer on FanDuel six gamer on DraftKings apparently DK is not considering it their main slate they put a bigger prize pool on the 645 or 40 4 gamer don't know exactly why they landed on that decision we're covering this one with a show probably not jumping back on for a second show just to cover those four games later on but I am probably going to put up projections for that one at least early projections I depends on what I do with my afternoon I was kind of looking forward to having the afternoon off maybe go get a haircut catch a movie you know who knows but if I'm here I'll keep projections updated for that one but for right now we've got six games to talk about pretty good looking little main slate on FanDuel not bad I like the way that the first lineup I put together came together just the two teams I wanted to go to Just immediately went like like that and the best pitcher available was there so kind of worked out nicely there looks like we've got a little quorums to start the show male nurse's Rock two is here loves the early slates eight8 game pick can wave back at you buddy eight game says if Max enter something for the one pie p.m. 2 p.m. 3 p.m. and 6 p.m. slates I'm going to be up my computer's ass all day yeah that's what I was hoping to avoid I was uh before I looked at it I was thinking like all right both of them will start for that one o'clock slate it'll be perfect be done early I'll be up early I'll get a show done be done with the computer and everything for the day go enjoy my life but no they never ever get together that way tesl man's here good morning to you two buddy Kenneth Woodhouse ducking 3 is here probably be more of our FanDuel crowd I would imagine given that split but uh you know people are just hanging out I'm sure people are dropping lineups into that early one on DK it is a decent prize pool it's actually bigger than the prize pool on FanDuel is in the main contests but anyway six relatively interesting games to talk about some decent pitching uh there's no real weather concerns the only game on H this slate is the angels and Tigers game and Ross got that green yellow saying you know rain might pass by the area but they'll be fine nine run total in that one kind of interesting looking on both sides there's some interesting bats in that tigers's lineup now and the angels are showing a little bit of power upside it's CER Montero on the mound for the Tigers we've seen him find some success have some clean DFS starts typically shorter starts overall but he's found a few you know successful days for us along the way that said some interesting bats for the Angels today 4.06 implied total for them and then a pretty big 5.05 implied total for the Tigers who continue to be more interesting lately they're also facing Jack G Jack kenowitz whose name I continue to struggle with for reasons that are Beyond me uh but ktz pushing a 5.05 implied total toward Detroit looks pretty targetable with bats wasn't terrible in any of his three starts in his three most recent starts in August and pitched at least six innings in all three of them just not a high strikeout guy but hasn't been getting dinged for runs really so maybe a little bit deceptive in that spot we'll give him a look next one up the Rangers looking like the big team of the day to me uh going up against Nick mrini 5.26 implied total for Texas technically the game at course field is a little higher but Texas is OB ly a better team than both of those squads uh they're monster favorites in this game and I think it's totally justified to expect a lot out of that lineup today 3.36 on the other side for the white sock facing Nathan avaldi maybe not so much avaldi probably going to be really popular projects out as the top pitcher overall on the day not the most expensive pitcher on the FanDuel slate I forget where he landed on uh pricewise on DK yeah King is the most expensive pitcher on both sides 10,000 on F fuel 10 three on DraftKings it's closer on DK between him and avaldi little bit more Separation on uh FanDuel but both of those guys believably up at the top of the board of Aldi obviously a cake matchup against the white socks that said we know Nathan avaldi and every now and then he can run into a matchup where he should Breeze through it and he struggles with it um maybe not to the point of blowing up but sometimes not to the point of paying off a high salary I don't think we concern ourselves with that I think you can fire away with it but know that he is going to be popular Giants at the Brewers four1 implied total on the San Francisco side they're going up against Aaron saali who was just okay over only four innings in his most recent start he struck out three walked four that was a complicated one against the Athletics where we were considering him after a couple decent ones uh so just a a total mixed bag of quality with a bunch of bad in his Ledger this season but the right day especially against a high strikeout team like the Giants he could get there and then on the other side 4.58 implied total for the Brewers they're going to be facing Hayden burong who is good um but has also seen some mixed results in his starts said he's running into a few walls with some runs allowed some of that not his fault necessarily he's got one very very effective pitch that we've talked about that Spike change that he throws um still needs to round in form most likely in terms of uh being able to pitch consistently at the major league level but I think he does have a ceiling I think he does have upside it's just a pretty good Brewers lineup on the other side Padres and the cards good pitching match up here it's sunny gray going for the cards just 3.83 implied total for the Padres and then a 375 on the other side for St Louis facing Michael King the second highest projected pitcher and the most expensive pitcher of the day sunny gray has had a pretty good year but basically since I acquired him in a Brian Cashman as kind of a move in the dynasty League uh it hasn't really worked out as well for sunny in his most recent starts five earn runs allowed most notably in his last one six earn runs allowed two starts before that had an okay one in between with six strikeouts but only went five innings gave up 200 ear runs so a little bit more bumpy and facing a low strikeout Padres team puts him on the lower end of the premium pitchers on this slate course field game I think we're just considering bats in this one a solid 558 total for the Marlins they ranked out pretty decently they're going to be facing um Bradley block and then it's Valente Valente beoo going for the Marlins against Colorado a six plus implied total for the Rockies at home they continue to look pretty good in that spot I'm sure Kors bats will be popular on the six gamer and then last game up it's David Peterson going for the Mets pretty solid pitcher but a 445 impli total for the Diamond Backs they're pretty decent against left in in a lot of situations and then a 414 impli total for New York they're going to be facing Ryan Nelson who continues to pitch really well seven strikeouts in his most recent game that one at Fenway where we were saying all right maybe you know we've been riding it we've been looking at it but dangerous situation give up two earned runs on five hits did end up giving up a home run and he's given up a home run in each of his last three but he's been very very sharp and uh we'll talk about it when we get there but it's based on some very specific changes which we love to see so the pitching slate again up top of Al the very believably at the top of the board separated by a couple of points in the median the ceiling is a little bit closer probably you know King not all that separated ceiling wise even with a point you know strikeouts worth of uh projection separation there it's not that huge a gap so I'm happy to go to either one of those but avaldi believably the chalk pitcher of the day on both sides 9500 on FanDuel pretty reasonable for the upside 10-1 on DraftKings not a problem sunny again is just a little bit uh challenged by that low strikeout Padres Squad and his Effectiveness has definitely dipped a little bit in recent outings I don't know if it's just Innings build up and getting tired toward the the end of the year it's not that he's a rookie and hasn't done this before but sometimes there's attacks on uh on arm strength for a guy like this you know even a veteran pitcher so it's believable that he'd be fading down the stretch a little bit but overall a pretty talented pitcher fair enough to get him at 92 97 but not a great matchup by comparison to a bunch of other guys on the board King can definitely get through that St Louis team he can find some KS against them I like the upside for him he fits into the lineups pretty well uh it's a way to just you know absorb salary on a day where there's going to be plenty of salary left over honestly with the way that these teams are priced especially on FanDuel the way I was when I was looking at it Ryan Nelson again at 8777 I don't think the price has gone up enough to match the performance lately and I think it's very real I really do it's it's for one it's been consistent over probably 10 games now we'll count it up when we get to the game log but we've been talking about it for a while now um and he's maintained and the strikeouts are there the strikeout upside in this matchup especially is you know not bad so I really like them at price 7700 especially on DraftKings makes him a dynamite option Sali Big Time strikeout upside against the Giants 767,000 just needs to harness his his stuff for a day and you know be be the good side of the coin he's basically been one or the other all season and again a lot of downside for him this year much more than we've seen in years past without the significant spikes of upside he's just been good effective in his good starts so it's been a bad year to be rostering svali but that's why he's so cheap in a decent match up against the Giants mono has enough juice to get through that Angels team 77 75 not mispriced at all that said again the angels are showing some power upside against him on the other on the other side of that game so probably a both-sided situation there David Peterson against the Diamondbacks will be a little bit both sided I don't E3 he's just kind of floating you know below those two guys in the sevens I'd rather have Ryan Nelson for sure for 77 uh than David Peterson on the other side for 83 so I think Peterson maybe falls off the board a little bit just based on on the price fit but that probably makes it publicly less popular also I knew that was going to be a b went right down the wrong down the wrong pipe as I say excuse me sorry for coughing into the mic uh so bird song really cheap 6,300 on DraftKings that's a bargain again the kid does have talent and he does have good strikeout stuff just needs to harness it uh has has to find uh consistent footing in the show overall but on an any given slate basis when it comes in at that price not bad at all 7500 on FanDuel too perfectly reasonable price-wise I just don't know that you need the value option FanDuel today I had no problem again putting together a premium team a stack that I wanted and then having enough salary left over to go to King and then when one of those lineups came out I actually had to make a change and I actually had more money left over so fanduel's wide open today it seems like but birdsong's good and has the talent to beat that Brewers team it's definitely a both-sided situation and that in fact I probably would say the better side of it is probably still the Brewers outside of just where he's priced if you just took the pricing the DFS part out of it who's going to win there who's going to score runs or you know beat the or keep the team from scoring runs lean the Brewers bats of course and they're showing some power against them as well booo is kind of a no at course field block definitely a no at chor field kach chanowitz again has pitched clean Innings but just hasn't had any strikeout success against Detroit I'm seeing a little bit of upside for the Tigers and so is Vegas at five plus don't love it for pitching and then the stre is a pretty hard L against the Rangers so it is a short pitching slate that pretty much stops there but there's a lot of ways you can combine that group of of uh of options even if you're going like cheap cheap there's nothing wrong with going svali Nelson in a few shares on DraftKings even you Nelson bird song is on the board if you wanted it it's not crazy and it's not completely insane to think that those three pitchers will you know not necessarily fail to the point of explosion but they don't need to fail that hard for these guys to be able to surpass them with a start you know a price based uh upside you got to drill the bats obviously if you make that pivot because even on a bad day you know Evol you probably up three runs and ruins his DFS day but still has a decent overall start against the white socks that could be easily in the cards if he does that at 10-1 Nelson goes out has another seventh strikeout you know one run game two Run game or even has the exact same game as a valdi just does it at a cheaper price that puts Nelson ahead and it puts those lineups ahead but you still got to hit that bat that you save money for and paid up for if you buy a $6,000 bat with that savings and he puts zero in your lineup and this guy had a $2,000 bat in that spot and he put up 15 points or 10 points even gains that ground right back so it's important how you do it but there's a lot of ways to build with the way these guys are priced today first game up we've got both of these lineups I do have to keep an eye on lineup because with the 110 start we're going to need to be updating the site in the background as we go here right now the white socks drop we'll grab that one when we get there these are already up on the site so we're ahead of the game here uh all right so this game again does have a little bit of rain in the area but it doesn't seem problematic Mr Roth has it at green yellow green on the front yellow on the back so I think we're going to be all right DB what's going on buddy appreciate you hit the like and the Subscribe and all that stuff by the way check out the description for Kickback info for info about our guys over at Ace line.io and the promo code always uh important to check those guys out they're uh great product for optimizers Sims we're what we're exactly a week a week away from the opening game of the football season next Thursday pretty big day so uh definitely get tuned up no time like to present to jump on Ace mind and uh use promo code Roto Scouts alling caps start checking out their uh their gear because they've got a lot of great product for this stuff pitcher arm fatigue is real yeah totally my point was more just you know as I was stumbling through that about Sunny gray was just more you know typically when you say that a lot of times you're talking about a younger guy who hasn't necessarily built up the Innings over time Sunny gray is a guy who's pitched I don't know how many times he's hit 200 Innings but 170 180 Innings a bunch of times in his career how many times have we been over 200 with son yeah just twice over 200 and it's been since 2014 and 2015 ironically his first two full seasons but 184 last year actually he hasn't really been in the 180s yet that many times 175 back in 2019 but uh shorter in 141 this year 119 last year or two years ago 135 in 21 so yeah even uh even more reason to buy into the idea of of some potential arm fatigue there but yeah I was just making the the point between uh you know he's obviously an established veteran pitcher it's not that he's never done it before but uh yeah reason to uh reason to suspect that that's the culprit so this game though Jack chanowitz at 5564 he's very very cheap uh he's got a s% strikeout rate over 26.2 in 26 and two3 innings in five starts uh that's the strikeout rate I remember ever remember seeing in like more than just like a couple of innings that's ridiculous 6.1% walks against it 6080 with a 506 X FIP three earn runs over six Innings on seven hits in his last start that was against Toronto at Toronto just one strike out no walks six Innings against the Braves two ear runs on seven hits one home run Allowed no strike outs three walks two strikeouts on a walk one earn run on a or two earn runs on a home run and uh six hits went seven and two3 against Washington so not necessarily good but he's definitely eating some innings for this team right now the fact that he went six in both of those starts the most recent starts and seven and twoth thirds in the start before that so he's pitched deep in the games in August he hasn't been bad it's just doesn't strike anybody out if you just wanted to grab him at 55 in a couple of shares of DraftKings lineups against the Tigers lineup that has a 26.5% strikeout rate you know maybe he works his way to three strikeouts for you he did have a four strikeout performance in just four Innings against the A's earlier in the year that was on July 20th that was his worst game he gave up s00 runs on seven hits but for 55 the idea that he could go out and give you seven Innings of just three-run ball puts him kind of on that board of if those top three guys fail there's a gigantic salary golf he's half the price of those guys or thereabouts so and this is draft kicks specifically just on the idea of cheap clean Lings or or not even cleanings but okays it's not good but I do do think it's a DFS angle I wouldn't do it in you know one lineup I mean I'm but you'd have you have to be uh willing to embrace some risk if you're going to do it in one lineup if you're put building 150 I think you should probably wall off a couple of shares for it I don't think that's a mistake 64 on FanDuel I don't think it's necessarily worth doing you're just kind of chasing a super low-end quality start doesn't really seem like a great idea and again tigers do have a five plus total they're one of the highest implied total teams on the day on the other side of this one ker Montero 7500 7700 effectively priced it's got a 515 ra but a tigher 431 xfit that's not ideal but it's a lot better than that ER looks he's given us five innings exactly in his last three starts just two earned runs last time out four strikeouts two walks the runs came on six hits that was against the white socks similarly you know lowend team lower end than these angels are but similar against the Yankees he went five shut him out a two hitter struck out five two walks it's a pretty effective start for the money Yanks are a little bit better than this Angels team against the Giants he gave up four runs in five innings struck out just two and walk four not a great start there but had an eight strikeout game against the Mariners to start before that over six Innings just one un allowed on four uh on four hits that one was coming on the back of one two three four bad ones in a row the first three he gave up five earn runs and then a four earn Run game not total disasters but obviously not good starts spiked up with that Seattle game and then was just kind of okay over these last three but against the Angels there's reason to believe in the talent is's a little bit less than League average by strikeout rate but not terrible 19.6% not an egregious walk rate at 7.7 Stuff Plus doesn't love the Arsenal he's giv up some power 7.2% barrels is not bad hard hits is not bad exit vo is not bad so a little bit of happen stance here maybe 4.43% home runs there's nothing really here that would suggest that that should be quite so high has not given up a home run in any of his last three starts it's encouraging that's after in those bad games to give up uh one then two then three and then one in the 4run game so just a you know a couple problematic starts in in the middle there some Growing Pains maybe for a young guy but effective enough projects fairly well for the money I think he's on the board for sure opposing Angels lineup has a 26% strikeout rate confirmed through the lineup that's pushed up a little bit by nio kavat down lineup he's at a 53.3% strikeout rate over 30 plate appearances it's unfair to laugh it's not a large sample but it's a it's a big number 22.6% if you take Nico's uh Mark out of there that's that's more reasonable there's a little bit of K upside though that said you can see the power for yourself 12 a couple of guys at 12 up at the top of the lineup another one at 12 down lineup noan chual sliding in there at 9.46 in the three spot if you had Logan ohappy which you don't you got mat face instead today he would have been another guy above the magic number in the Home Run model but da can drive the ball a little bit 99.6% barrels 42.5% hard hits this year he's hit two home runs just a 128 ISO but he also hit the ball pretty effectively last year in 307 plate appearances he turned that contact into nine home runs just a 126 isos it's it's medium results but he's capable of hitting a home run he's Lefty bet so not not a terrible catch option but not as good as zpp off the top Ward at 4129 pretty effectively priced um considering the slump that he's been in for the better half of the second half of the season it's fair to put him at those prices but against a pitcher like this he's a capable enough bat he still does have a 12.5% Barrel 42.4% hard hit for this season 7 home runs a 164 I so he's good not great but for the price he doesn't have to be great Zack nto 45003 12.7 in the Home Run model he's hit 19 homers this year he's stolen 23 bases 113 WRC plus pretty Killer Season at an N over 496 blade appearances not bad at all for the money and short stop on a short slate like this that's not a bad pick I almost made him the Home Run pick of the day and then I just decided to go to a chalky Ranger I don't know why I made that change I was so close to using n but I don't know more successful sip that time Shinu in the three spot for just 3,300 2700 the angels are cheap for facing a pitcher that's not exactly a knock them down pitcher they're very very easy to get to 12 home runs on the season for Shanel he's very good at getting on base a 347 on base good back control guy the power that he's put up the home runs that he's put up are probably not realistic not emblematic of the kind of hitter that he is more of an on basic contact guy but demonstrably capable of hitting a home run and honestly at this point not miscast in the three roll not a bad option from the left side Anthony randone at 3526 is entirely skippable he stolen six bases getting on at a 316 clip and 27 % worse than average grading runs pretty bad talked about face already Mickey moniac for 2925 mix and match quality at the absolute best and really not even that nine home runs six deals in 345 chances weak contact high strikeout low walk 74 WRC plus lot more interested in Joe Adell for 3328 he's at least hit 18 home runs and stolen 15 bases in his 424 chances makes much more consistent uh quality contact 11.7% barrels 44.5% hard hits Adele's cheap for the skill set it's just the consistency is never there it has not arrived in the major leagues 192 ISO 90 WRC plus Peaks and valleys with a Dell but that's the name of the game with DFS sometimes nio kavadas 2400 2100 is very very cheap he's hit one home run he stolen one base he's made 30 plate appearances and as established he strick out struck out more than half of them so far does have power though 99.1% barrels in the tiny sample of batted ball events and a 9.70 in the Home Run model and a track record for power in the minor leagues reason to believe for a very cheap price if you're not going to noan annual for some reason at 27 you need the extra 600 bucks it's not a terrible pivot Michael stefanic no real production over 89 play appearance mix and match quality at second base for a cheap price lot of lefties starting off the lineup for the Tigers to throw at kenowitz who again is just going to be pitching to contact with all these guys 26% strikeout rate for all three of the top three hitters and then a 31.8% strikeout rate and a very small sample for Jay Young Young's a talented kid moved up to the cleanup spot today really like that option if you're stacking Tigers don't leave him out 26 on fandu for young at third base or draft kicks rather at third base 25 at second base on FanDuel limited production so far and 44 plate appearances in the show but the kid can hit and he is a high high-end Prospect for them so not a bad option for such a cheap price starting the lineup off Parker menow 37 3000 has five home runs and nine steals 206 ISO very good ISO and a 105 WRC plus not a bad 177 in terms of uh the results for extra base hits and obviously run creation not a lot of consistency not a lot to indicate that anything is necessarily real outside of the idea that they were expecting him to be a good player just 8% barrels 35.4% hard hits moderate results there would you go lie down please um but but meows is cheap Lefty bat off the top 3700 3,000 and obviously seeing some decent results outside of the batting average Leon base percentage 225 and sub 300 on bases needs a lot of work but the power is there despite the lack of uh Ultra Premium Contact kry Carpenter makes fantastic contact 17.1% barrels 45.7% hard hits had to nudge the dog with my pH that he was scratching himself and shaking the entire desk so Carpenter mashes the ball when he connects 26.4% strikeouts there a lot of K there but he's slashing 286 347 589 over 216 plate appearances now has a 302 ISO he's Creator runs 58% better than average has hit 13 home runs in a hurry Carpenter is a good Lefty bat so is Riley green 133% barrels 44.7% hard hits 19 home runs in 463 chances a 223 ISO a 136 WRC plus green and Carpenter are both legitimately good Lefty bats this Tigers lineup is now better than it's been we've been talking about it for what two three weeks now basically since the kids got called up they've been a little bit popular because they've remained you know really really cheap for the most part fanduel's priced up a little bit more but still really getable Colt Keith still cheap 3,800 2900 I talked about you already Keith Limited in terms of the contact the output so far this year but this is not a bad rookie season 262 312 391 not exactly the power that we expected from him but 12 home runs is okay seven stolen bases 99 WRC plus we'd like him obviously to finish the season above average but it's an okay season he's very cheap and he's got a lot of pedigree just an 18.7% strikeout rate is pretty Dynamite 6.5% walks means he's putting the and play pretty frequently kids a good Lefty bat second base is an ideal spot to drop them too little positional conflict here you can obviously offset it with the util spot but not great to have them both at second base Spencer Tolson 40.5% hard hits this year just seven home runs in 276 chances kind of a disaster of a season for him 163 ISO has looked a little bit better since uh getting call back up and was obviously a little better down at Triple A but has had some issues keeping consistent in the show especially year to year Zack mckinstry just a mix and match at best four home runs 13 steals in 264 chances Trey Sweeny another relatively high-end Prospect for them 28 mediocre plate appearances so far he does have a home run on the board but just a 33 WRC plus he has hit the ball hard though and he's very cheap at shortstop there are not outside of what is it Cory Seager nto on the other side of this one Fitz Lindor there there's some shortstop options on this slate but if you want it to go cheap or if you're just stacking up tigers and you need you need to uh cheapen it a little bit more sweede is not a terrible option down lineup Dylan dingler a catcher 2725 a home run on the board 35 WRC plus so far kind of a mix and match catcher definitely prefer bats but I do think you throw that value Dart with no strikeout expectation but maybe just buy some uh some Innings and you can throw this dart on both sides I don't think Montero is a terrible option on both sides because he's cheap no promises you know it's a it's a coin flip as to whether it works out but it's got upside call it uh tigers bats Angels bats Montero kadowitz I think that's the fair way to do Rangers in the white socks see if we got lineups here we do have the white socks I know that one is on webs already and is the Rangers out beautiful rers is here too just came out this one and we'll just update it okay samian Seager Smith ad low young Langford and leas it's exactly right on the thing uh all right let me update the site it's going to be a little bit of a uh drag as as I update these things it takes two seconds I just got to copy paste the data across to the uh to the upload sheet but I do have to stay on top of it because uh we're going to run right into lock ton or it maybe not I mean we started at 11:15 it's a 110 lock but we're not exactly speeding through things so far monster home run numbers as you can see on the ranger side definitely in a appealing option there yes there is a better way to do this but I never got around to setting it up so this is how I do it the white socks on their end you know as I was saying before about avaldi it's on the downside it's probably just a three four Run game the white socks just don't typically blow up pitchers even on bad days for the pitchers the white socks are just not good so really low lowend stack even from a contrarian perspective a cheap perspective it's a team with one good bat they are not that appealing on a shorter slate they become a little bit more appealing from that sense of just like getting completely different on a day where ownership gets a little bit more concentrated than on bigger slates but it's still not great 1150 a.m update all right all right side is updated so avaldi for your 101 for your 95 on FanDuel has a 23.7% strikeout rate in 133 Innings over 23 starts 379 ra with a very solid 335 x FIP a 5.5% walk rate swinging strike rate is a dominant 13.3% that csw should honestly be higher it's not tragic 28.6 but with a 13.3% swinging that ought to be a little bit higher it's giv up a little bit of hard hits uh the the uh launch angle is totally manageable at just 8.1 degrees so the hard hits don't matter as much he can get nailed for mistakes from time to time 89.6 miles hour of xavo and 43% hard hits when the ball gets into the air a little bit too much it can travel 3.33% home runs but that's a manageable home run rate that's okay 97.5 by Stuff Plus don't love the Arsenal but like we saw with Chris S yesterday you know sometimes you can be a very effective pitcher even if Stuff Plus doesn't necessarily love you by the numbers of Aldi's not Chris Sale but he's pretty decent and he's facing the worst team in baseball it's going to be chalky I haven't even looked at ownership but I'm sure it's extremely high take a peek uh he's not on the white socks there you got a click Texas that's a big number Texas bats are also insanely High projected that's on FanDuel it's probably even bigger on DK yeah this loaded the the main slate it's the early slate for DraftKings smaller prize pool than the uh 640 again if you weren't here at the very very beginning of the show I will put up projections at least initial projections for that later slate updates will depend on whether I'm here or not later in the afternoon as far as confirming the lineups but I'll at least get you guys initial projections for that uh evening draftking slate this is the main slate on FanDuel so yeah of all the pushing uh roughly 50% ownership and I bet you he creeps above that on DK and extremely high ownership on FanDuel and all of his buddies in this lineup are also very popular you can see we've got four guys above the magic number for Home Run upside including Cory Seager it nearly double the magic number not a bad option to consider some Texas bats against Nick nini nini checking in with a 15.6% strikeout rate and a 20.5% walk rate over his six starts and 24 and 2/3 an 8.39 ER but that's offset nicely by you know more than a full run below a 706 X fit obviously a little bit of sarcasm there uh five strikeouts five walks in his last game just gave up one earned run in that uh four and a third earned run came on a solo Homer managed to only give up two hits too that was against the Red Sox four Innings against the Brewers at Milwaukee gave up four earn struck out just one walk Three also give up a home run in that one two home runs allowed to Toronto struck out five but walk four three earned runs on three hits eight earned runs allowed to Toronto in the game before that no strikeouts and six walks wow that's a disaster that's those are going back all the way to uh June and may by the way it's been a minute on the training in in tripa a he's got a 24.7% strikeout rate which is much better but still a 12.6% walk rate doesn't really offset that enough he's also giv up a 1.82 home run per nine in Triple A this year 524 ra with a 520 xfit those home runs amount to 16 home runs allowed to 364 hitters he's strucking out he struck out 90 not good numbers in Triple A awful numbers in the show so far definitely think he's targetable with these Rangers bats there's a reason that they're so popular um the highest non-or total on the board if you're looking at Texas which I think is a good idea despite the popularity you can offset that in other ways get different with pitching make a different decision as your secondary St go to one of the less popular still cheap and you know just as much upside type teams so there's definitely ways to still get to Texas today Marcus semian very affordable for his talent at 53400 across SS 242 314 398 is not emblematic of that Talent 18 home runs four steals 101 WRC plus just a 156 ISO this is not Marcus Sean's best season but still one of the top eded second basem on this slate Cory Seer for 5637 helps because he's a couple hundred bucks cheap on both sides probably given the 29 home runs of the 231 ISO 138 WRC Plus for this season the killer contact that he makes the lack of strikeouts the high walk rate the the 19.9 in our home rug model probably 400 too cheap there and 300 too cheap over here so that just helps make semian even more affordable for his uh scuffling through this season Josh Smith at 39 3000 remains very very playable 12 home runs at 351 on base a 118 WRC plus not a big Power bat but a capable enough hitter comes through with extra base hits keeps himself involved by getting on base draws an okay walk rate doesn't really strike out that much just doesn't crush the ball when he makes contact 3.4% barrels 34.8% hard hits but he's been involved in a lot of ways this season out Garcia 12.2% barrels and 47.5% hard hits for the money not bad for 4500 3300 21 home runs 11 steals another player where this is not a good season for adalise Garcia but in a vacuum these are not terrible numbers the average is bad the on base is bad the 91 WRC plus is not ideal the 176 ISO is not good but the counting stats are okay he dropped to a point in price where those are appropriate numbers for that for that money and we know what the upside looks like most of his production this year has coming bursts it's coming days where it's oh yep there he is there's the old out of these or actually some of it a big chunk came in the first like month month and a half of the season and then it's been just like in spurts like that where it's just like ah we got the good we got the the right the real version of them today if you capture that for these prices you're off and running Nathaniel low 3628 very cheap 250 345 363 is yet another player in this lineup that's underperforming this season there's a reason that they're you know kind of falling short of expectations this year but he still hit 10 home runs he's got a 106 WRC plus he gets on base like crazy and he does have more power than he's shown this season from the left side so reasonable option at first base for a cheap price against this pitcher that's it's a Oran Josh Young 383,000 he's hit four home runs in his 118 plate appearances this year a 158 ISO and 83 WRC plus those aren't good but the four homers is not P for 118 plate appearances he's made great contacts so far last year he hit 23 home runs and 515 plate appearances had a 2011 ISO Creator runs 10% better than averages a rookie Josh is a good hitter I don't really see why he should be priced down that far just because he was hurt for a while this is not as big a discount but that's still a very good price Wyatt Langford 42900 eight home runs 12 steals a capable enough player hasn't been what we expected him to be but hasn't been bad either 8 and a half% barrels 43% hard hits pretty good numbers there not striking out a lot 20.7% strikeouts for a rookie is very good 88.7% walks he's done good things this season despite missing expectations Jaheim lat tus mix it match positional options at the end of the lineup on the white sock side again on a shorter slate you know it makes them a little bit more appealing to be contrarian because there's only 12 teams to choose from that said six games is not the tiniest possible slate it's not like it's a two gameer a three gamer where the white socks are just on the board you could still very easily have very good lineups and a correct portfolio of lineups with a very small or complet completely non-existent share of this terrible terrible white socks team again everybody in this confirmed lineup is below average WRC plus 74 it's gone up by by one Nikki Lopez off the top 2400 across SS completely awful as a middle infielder 238 310 290 from a guy who is only paid to put Bat on Ball and get on base and he just doesn't do that lubob for 4234 is the best player in this lineup 14 home runs 20 steals a 186 ISO a 90 WFC plus this is a bad season for him 224 280 410 he's not having a good year he's their best player sure he's got immense any given slate upside he's one of the best raw skill players in baseball 9.44 in the Home Run model today it's difficult to suppress his quality but 35% strikeouts this year up from 289 last year this is not a good season Andrew van nendi 14 home runs good for him 79 WRC plus is the more important number 276 on base is the more important number he's been awful this season Andrew vau 383,000 has 15 home runs a 156 ISO a 93 WRC plus 294 on base Gavin sheets same position as vaugh 2800 2600 he's at eight home runs a 131 ISO and 94 WRC plus uh sheets and vaugh are your next two priorities bats after Luis Rober maybe three man in that and get out but those guys aren't good Cory Lee 252 24 10 home runs from the catcher spot cheap every day not a talented player 30.8% strikeouts no real walks 7.8% barrels and 39% hard hits just some happen stance in there but he's at least cheap positionally lenon Sosa took a ball in the face at second base yesterday on a throw from his own catcher while they were warming up but apparently is going to be in the lineup again today 2300 across sites at second base Third Base slashing 218 250 299 with a 51 WRC plus four home runs and three steals Tom Fletcher 2221 no home runs no steals 58 WRC plus and migus to round things off 2,800 2500 for home runs a stolen base sub Mendoza sub 300 40 points below average by by WRC Plus if you stack this team I wish you luck you and the 23 fans that will be in the ballpark will enjoy it uh Rangers bats despite the popularity or or with a warning that they'll be popular depending on how you want to look at that avaldi right behind them really nothing from the white socks but if it's anything in white sock uniform it's it's their bats third times a CH there we go Giants lineup's in so is the Brewers lineup got them both on lab so we can pop these in quicker this time and let's see we've also got the pods and the cards I I have the cards don't have the pods yet let me grab the pods update all three of these and we'll be good to go how you guys doing out there Demitri said don't make me play Rangers save me I think I have Rangers in my placeholder right now I'm probably G to end up using them again it is uh it's going to be the chalk of the day they are monstrously owned but I think there's ways around around the ownership I don't I don't see it as being overly problematic this updated all right bear with me nice Mama congrats buddy Mama added another 4K to the bank roll with the uh Corbin doublon pretty solid yeah he's Corin Carol H having a season in like a month and a half at the end here all right so Giants and the Brew savali again svali you just kind of really up and down all season started out disastrous on the wrong foot with Tampa hasn't really completely rectified things but has had more effective starts of late with the Brewers um but it's not going to look pretty at the end of the year for Sali bear with me gotta keep the site active and up to date with this start time monster home run numbers by the way for uh some of these Brewers as well birdsong's given up a four plus percent home run rate on some pretty aggressive premium contacts so far monster strikeout rate but a lot of walks so like I said I do think the kid's very good I think he's usable here but uh gotta Wrangle it and you're definitely dealing with a high danger spot if you go to bird song shares whoops lot of multi-os in that pods lineup today geez who is that that's I think the lowest Mark I've ever seen in the Home Run model 07 for Tyler Wade I don't know that we've ever had one lower than that all right grab this over here so uh again I do think both of these pitchers in this game are playable in in the uh in the Brewers Giants game but birdon they're both shaky Sali is the guy that we've got a much more significant track record with and he's in the better matchup between the two but but there's a lot of reasons not to fully trust svali either and the Giants are while they are fairly High strikeout and they are getable they're also not terrible and they do have power so it's not a safe spot for seali all right side is updated again he checks in at a 21.4% strikeout rate over 128 and a third uh what we liked about him coming into the year that I've talked about throughout the season was uh in the final I think it was 12 starts after going to the Rays last year he saw big uptick in strikeouts to the high 20s and we're hoping that that would stay consistent he's just kind of dip right back down to who he used to be 484 ER but a 438 X fit a 139 whip putting way too many guys on base that's in spite of a 7.9% walk rate that is not completely tragic I'm sure the bad bip against is pretty high this season 300 batting average on balls in play against yeah it's pretty high um Stuff Plus doesn't love the Arsenal he's gotten nailed for power this year a 4.29% home run but that does come you know just kind of via some mistakes 7.4% Barrel nothing wrong with that 38.9% hard hits 895 on the exit vo it's not bad he is a flyball pitcher so it's just another one of those situations where when you make a mistake in the wrong ballpark to the wrong hitter home runs can happen this is a non- tragic four plus but four plus is obviously high he is getable for power which is why we're seeing a couple guys above the magic number there and a couple guys approaching the magic number the Giants are pushing a 26.7% strikeout rate towards Sali that should help with the upside at 7,000 he's super playable on DraftKings at 76 he's very much on the board on the FanDuel slate as well bird sewing at 63 is just downright interesting even with the matchup against the Brewers it's not ideal Brewers have a decent run creation lineup the average for the ninan is a 107 WRC plus compare that to where the white are they're not super high strike out but 23.7% is not crazy low either it's pushed up a little bit by Garrett Mitchell being in the lineup today who else is pushing that of Gary's in the lineup today so realistic upside for k for Birdsong who's carrying a 26.7% strikeout rate over his first 44 45 and a third first 10 starts in the show five strikeouts exactly over four innings in his most recent one against Seattle four and two3 against Oakland the one before that and four and a third against Detroit the start before that not pitching through five innings is a little bit concerning obviously for your ceiling more impactful on the FanDuel slate if you can get to five for 63 on DraftKings you're doing okay or at least you're you're most of the way there he's really only had two bad outings one of them was just uh in the Detroit game where he struck out five pitched four and a third he gave up five earned runs two homers in that game he also gave up two home runs in the start before that his uh start on August 6 against the Nationals he lasted just two innings in that one gave up seven ear runs on five hits two homers struck out one and walk Three that was on the back of an eight strikeout game over five innings against the Rockies in San Francisco and a 12 strikeout game against the Rockies in Colorado five innings and six Innings respectively he's got upside he's got one of the uh filthiest pitches in baseball with that uh Spike off speed and just you know there's ability there it's very dangerous in terms of DFS success he's given up an aggressive exit velocity so far he's given up an very aggressive hard hit rate Barrel rate flyball trajectory lot of Home Run upside but Stuff Plus likes the Arsenal a lot I like the Arsenal a lot I can see a lot of upside here for uh for him as well so four-sided situation in this game top of the Giants lineup Lamont Wade at 3426 very very cheap for a guy getting on base set a 402 clip over 317 plate appearances even though he's not really hitting for much power or doing a ton in terms of counting stats just five home runs in a stolen base this season he has created runs 27% better than average and he also hits the ball effectively hard 88.5% barrels 42.6% hard hits It's coming off 9.1 and 398 last year last season he hit 17 home runs might get you a little bit more interested over 59 play appearances just a 161 ISO but a 373 on base last year and was carrying a 4 100 plus on base for a big chunk of the Season Lamont Wade is a very good player who is always very cheap and under owned Tyler Fitz back down to 4,900 on DraftKings 3,300 with three position eligibility on fanduels very fair 14 home runs and 16 Steals and just 243 plate appearances 350 on base a 260 ISO a 151 WRC plus dude it's been a stick of dynamite for this team 11.88 in the Home Run model today first on the team ahead of Elliot Ramos Fitz is a good option if you're going to the Giants he's a good option in a vacuum Elliot Ramos for 4633 not bad slashing 284 342 503 over 47 blade appearances 200 219 ISO a 134 WRC plus he's hit 20 home runs it's a very strong season conforto for just 42900 not a bad Lefty backat to throw at saali even in a kind of mixed year he's still hit the ball extremely hard he's seen good results for home runs medium results for home runs good results for extra base hits let's say on an 11.2% Barrel 45.6% hard hit he's hit 14 homers and 400 plate appearances and he's got a 202 ISO that's a good ISO he's a good player 108 WRC Plus for 42900 in the Outfield hit and clean up to from the left side against Sali totally totally playable chappie for 4831 not a bad option 21 homers 13 Steels a 197 ISO 118 WRC Plus for the third basem you could do worse Bailey at 3525 a playable catcher bat uh better where you have to play the position than uh on FanDuel just seven home runs a 110 ISO 83 WRC plus not great results from biley this year at Aron carason for 14 uh with a 14.3% barrel rate a 51.4% hard hit rate his 54 play appearances two home runs on the board a 176 I so kids's got power don't know if he's going to show us any consistency he's a high strikeout option but he's cheap in the Outfield is if you need an alternative Grant McCrae for 2,800 across sights outfielder three home runs and two steals in 46 chances so far mashed the ball in his battered ball events playable very very cheap down lineup another Lefty bat Ty Estrada not having a great year at 219 249 346 there is any given slight counting stat upside there but it's been a rough season at second base for Estrada the Brewers lineup on the other side again you got four guys right here showing Big Time power upside Brewers might be an interesting way how how old are they by comparison to Texas not significantly at all Brer whoops Brewers are an interesting way to uh potentially get different it's a very different kind of a matchup because Birdsong is a talented young pitcher and the strey is not a very good pitcher so know that you're making that decision but the Brewers are showing similar power upside the run total is lower but it's not like crazy lower it's less than a run three quars of a run but it's less than a run run and there are really good bats in this Brewers lineup even Bryce Tang off the top is slashing just 254 317 358 and creating runs are just 10% below average but he's low strikeout he puts the ball in play he's got great speed 37 stolen bases on the year he's a guy who can get involved on an any given slate basis and he's cheap at sack of Base kind of an ideal starting point Jackson jurio 4332 has 16 home runs 19 steals a 110 WRC plus 45.3% hard hits on the season Cheerio has been outstanding uh basically since the All-Star break it's a very good rookie year now William contas for 5233 dynamine catcher option 18 home runs on the board a 182 ISO on the year 128 WRC plus always always in play as a catcher in the lineup basically every day hits third basically every day 569 plate appearances from catcher it's outrageous ree Hoskins 3528 cheap for ree Hoskins power upside 21 homers a 2011 ISO 97 WRC plus the consistency you know comes and goes a 298 on base but he's paid to hit the ball hard 12.3% barrels 40% hard hits Phils first base very effectively for a cheap cheap price Willie adamus 4635 very differently priced across sites more expensive relatively on than on DraftKings easy to get to though high-end short stop for this slate 24 home runs 14 steals 200 ISO 19 WRC Plus on the year adamus has had a Killer Season hasn't gotten enough credit for it Garrett Mitchell at 32400 mix and match quality outfielder no real uh output to speak of Gary Sanchez um crushes the ball when he makes contact with it always has always will 11.7% barrels 46% hard hits this year you see the numbers in years past High strike out but draws his walks 25.7 vers 9.2 he's hit nine home runs in 218 chances has a 188 ISO 111 WRC plus people forget he hit 19 home runs and 267 plate appearances last year had a 275 ISO year before 16 and 471 chances just a 172 ISO that was a uh a Down Season that kind of cost him some more regular opportunities going forward but he has now never stop mashing the ball never ever 9.30 in the Home Run model today Joey Ortiz at 3426 nine home runs seven stolen bases a decent rookie season 108 W RC plus was looking a lot better earlier in the year but has maintained an okay year overall he's you know solid C+ Ty type of a player very cheap at third base 3,400 2600 second base eligible on FanDuel Blake Perkins for 25 26 mix mix and match quality outfielder not a bad wraparound 335 on base with 17 stolen bases is effective putting him ahead of uh turang or even if you're skipping turang and just putting uh Perkins into Trio and these guys Perkins is an effective wound and everybody on this team is good at getting on base outside of maybe ree Hoskins average on base for the ninan confirmed lineup is 330 it's a really good sequencing team so that's really what's going to threaten bird song this team is good at drawing walks which is going to threaten bird song so I think there's a lot of upside in the Brewers probably a good potential pivot for getting away from like 30 points of uh of ownership percentage publicly uh going from the Rangers to the Brewers so maybe who was it that was asking to get away from the Rangers Dimitri maybe the Brewers are your team buddy uh rank this one out it goes uh Brewers svali Giants bird song both lineups confirmed and already up on the site in this one good pitching matchup lowest totals on the board as far as uh games between solid pitchers 383 and a 375 this one obviously is the lower total but this one is the uh the lowest between two teams if you you know what I'm saying Michael King very talented uh on the mound for the Padres 103 10,000 across sits 314 a 345 xfip 28.6% strikeouts this season very solid 12.1% Swinging with a 31.6% csw it's an outstanding numbers um after a pretty rough start to the year King was not looking good through the first what two months of the Season really pulled things together together nicely excellent at limiting Premium Contact inducing weak and medium 29.5% hard hits 85 milph of exito 2.63% home runs excellent option reason to believe in him as the highest price pitcher of the day 21.2% strikeout rate for this confirmed Cardinals lineup there are some low strikeout hitters at the top that he's going to have to work through but there's some uptick and strikeouts later in the lineup for him to uh to gain gain K's back and he's good enough to find strikeouts against Mason wi Nolan Aon the low strikeout guys in this lineup so lot of appeal for King gray on the other side we talked about potentially you know the little bit of arm fatigue that he might be dealing with has been a little diminished in his most recent outings but a 47 ra with a 281 xfip on the season the xfip obviously a lot better than the erra this is what this is representative of things that he can control this is representative of things that are out of his control so this is the real number 30.4% strikeout rate a 6.3% walk Stuff Plus still loves the Arsenal he's given up some home runs but it's a manageable launch 99.9% barrels is way too high but manageable hard hits manageable exit vo actually a little higher than I'd want it but still under the threshold for 9792 the the biggest negative for sunny gry is honestly the match up against the pods 17.9% strikeout rate for this confirmed version of the lineup even if you leave out Luis odis's ridiculous 4.6% strikeout rate the rest of that lineup is still only at 19.6 this is a team that does not strike out out of habit so tough match up for sunny not that we're going to say he's going to go out there and give up nine runs and get completely destroyed here but it's going to be difficult for him even at these slightly reduced prices to claw his way to a ceiling similar to some of the other guys on the board he's up there with those guys but it's more based on the median than it is the ceiling and he's the most challenged out of those guys on this slate with the low totals and the good pitchers on the mound neither of these teams is overly appealing for stacking outside of just being contrarian for contrarian sake I don't really see targeting the two sub four totals on the board the two teams that are going up against two truly good pitchers doesn't really make much sense you can do it to get to some bats that are quality bats on either side that'll be you know somewhat lower on than maybe they otherwise would be but it's not a good spot on either side and neither of these teams is ultimately overly appealing DFS wise On Any Given slate so I don't really see the appeal if you go into the pods Luis oai is at the top 4200 you have a positional conflict on DK with him and Cronin worth 4,300 for Jake uh either way with those two guys depends on what you're looking for you get a little bit more power out of konorth but not regularly and not crushingly so he's hit 15 home runs to at isa's four 154 ISO to the 076 I so there's a big difference between the two but cron not fooling anybody as a power hitter 310 341 386 slash line for lisis OD makes up the Gap there he's a table setter at the top of the lineup 107 WRC Plus for him in between the two you get proar 4535 differently priced across sites DraftKings is probably the more correct price overall for who the player is FanDuel is more priced for the season that the player is having 285 382 468 or 142 WRC plus he's been good undeniably good season from jerck profar Manny Machado at 5135 has 22 home runs on the board up to 189 ISO 119 WRC plus we're looking a lot more like Manny Mado in the power department at least 273 325 462 it's an okay year it's not a complete meltdown out of Manny not his best season but not his wor well maybe it's his maybe it comes out to his worst but it's not completely terrible Donovan Solano 2927 across sights three positions on FanDuel both Corner infield spots on DraftKings over 234 plate appearances for sub 3,000 on either side he's slashing 302 355 428 his creator runs 24% better than average he's hit six home runs it's uncharacteristic home run output for him he's more of a contact put the ball in play Drive the ball but in the ballpark kind of a guy 126 ISO is more indicative of that so is the contact but good results this year playable part for a cheap cheap price Jackson Merrill still at just 47 on DraftKings to cheap 33 on FanDuel honestly a little bit cheap he's slashing 290 322 487 with a 197 ISO 19 home runs and 15 stolen bases and uh honestly at this point I think he's going to win the Rookie of the Year we talked about it about a week ago two weeks ago withk continuing to kind of slide a little bit and him continuing to hold up him having the more complete season uh Ledger wise I think he wins it David pral the 3525 six home runs on the board a 148 ISO 1 excuse me a 17 that time it went down the wrong fight before he even took a SI a 117 WRC Plus for Peralta just a mix and match veteran but he's not expensive kyoka has a monster Barrel rate at 13.1% he's hit 16 home runs and 212 plate appearances we might get to double the Home Run output in the Sam noo plate appearances of the last two years 289 ISO love to see it from higgy he's just a mix and match Home Run part at the catcher position for a cheap price down lineup not an ideal spot in the batting order but very playable from down there Tyler Wade again the lowest Mark I think I've ever seen in the Home Run model at 07 zero home runs on the year eight stolen bases a 61 WRC plus no real quality out a weight he's just cheap Mason wins starting off the cards lineup against a really tough pitcher 4200 3 3,000 puts the ball in play a lot 286 335 424 seeing good results in terms of run scoring correlated scoring but not a great DFS option he's playable but not ideal if you're stacking cards he's more in play than just uh in the shortstop list Alec burlson 44300 21 homers this year 179 ISO 115 WRC plus having an okay year the home run total is nice to see but it's probably a little bit of an illusion for the true quality of the player but fairly priced for the output this season he's not exactly priced up so he's easy to enough you get to 42800 for Nolan arado is uh fair for the season he's having 14 homers a 127 ISO a 103 WRC plus it's only really cheap if you just look at the the name brand and ignore the significant downturn in quality then he's cheap if you're just looking at the player that he is now that's about right but it is a cheap price at third base for a three hitter so there's a lot of different perspectives on the Aeron a spot here Luc and Baker continues to be the dead minimum on DraftKings uh 2300 on FanDuel one home run on the board in his 18 plate appearances in the show he's crushed the ball while he's uh been here it's obviously a very very small sample of bat at ball events but an 85.7% hard hit rate that's pretty good 38.9% strikeouts uh we looked at his minor league numbers yesterday there are significant home runs it was what 30 plus home runs in the miners already this year yeah 32 home runs in 452 plate appearances in Triple A this season 33 home runs in 380 Triple A played appearances last year has three in 117 chances for his career in the show and again dead men hitting cleanup today it's just really difficult to hit home runs or hit for any kind of power against Michael King Brendan Donovan mixing match quality at 37 multi-position 2800 multiposition on FanDuel 10 home runs 104 WRC plus more of a correlated scoring option goldi also cheap for the name brand but another player who's just greatly diminished overall 161 ISO uh 20 home runs is nice but 542 plate appearances it's just okay 99.4% barrels and 46.9% hard hits is good but the overall output 94 WRC plus pretty bad Lars Nar 3,400 26008 home runs five steals just a 97 WRC plus and a one 142 ISO but making very good contact uh high-end player in terms of being able to pile up some home runs in stolen bases just has been bad and inconsistent through most of this season when he's been healthy Ivan era backup catcher quality does hit the ball fairly hard he's very very cheap at the position holding down a decent slash line of 101 WRC plus over 2011 chances this year he's not bad but he's down line up hitting eth Victor Scott is pretty bad he's just fast uh 206 on base he's improved that he's basically doubled it five stolen bases now and 131 chances but just has not been a good major leager so far Michael King Sunny great Padres bats Cardinals bats um pitchers much much more on the board than the bats are opposite situation here bats mostly on the board and pitcher not really on the board on either side seven starts with a 17.6% strikeout rate out of vente Valente bioo 335 ER but a four 545x FIP giving up a lot of hard hits on a significant flyball trajectory no swinging strikes or csw to speak of walking a few too many not a good option against a improving Rocky Squad BSO last time out uh five earn runs one strikeout five walks over four and two thirds against Chicago he had an eight strikeout game against Boston that was a weird one but he gave up five run runs including a home run seven hits in five innings and lost the game it's not a good pitcher and he's in corfield Bradley don't call me mooki block 20 6,700 6,800 if he was 2700 we might have to consider him 6700 I think we could skip him effectively 306 ER but 560x FIP just 14.3% strikeout rate 10.4% walk so far very small sample obviously uh five strikeouts four walks in his most recent start that was at New York against the Yankees he did go five in a third he gave up just two ear in runs uh but obviously not a very effective start overall just one run allow in five and 2/3 on six hits to San Diego two strikeouts three walks that's where the difference between the ER and the xip comes from right obviously hasn't allowed some earn runs but he probably should have totally targetable even with Marlin's BS this is a day where both teams do look pretty effective in terms of the Vegas totals even with that in mind and the course field aspect of it in mind I still don't really like this Marlins team rather not go to them Conor Norby is a good player off the top or at least seems like one so far has some Prospect pedigree sure he wishes he was still part of that Orioles organization that's going to win a few titles over the next few years and this is not the Orioles this the Rockies I can't say things like that while I'm trying to do one thing because then I immediately scrolled up and almost dump the Rockies lineup into the orial spot so norie up top four home runs in a stolen base a 129 WRC plus a very solid 279 ISO so far in his 71 plate appearances kid's been effective he's oops he's definitely affordable at $4,100 uh second base third base on DraftKings 3200 not a bad price on the FanDuel slate it's just you know once you once you go to him and ISU Sanchez and maybe Jake Berger you got a okay thre man there might work better for FanDuel to fiveman this team on DraftKings gets a little bit rough even at course even with a five and a half run total I'm just updating the uh upload sheet while I'm talking trying to do both at the same time it's not going well between the two teams here Rockies are the more playable Bunch obviously I think they're a uh better man Forman team in basically every position 12:32 we're coming up on our one 10 start time uh shortly hit the like button hit the Subscribe I'm uploading the new projections update to the site right now just the last game the Mets and the Diamond Backs left to get confirmed lineups for pretty sure we'll talk through these chors bats in just one second all right we're updated again so yeah Norby's cheap uh the barrel rate is good 14.6% barrels is very good the four home runs in 71 plate appearances he's been very good um so reason to believe in him reason to believe in ESU Sanchez and I'm just G to continue harping on it until he magically turns into an actually good and effective and consistent major leager we've done it before we'll do it again 17 home runs on the board and 432 chances this year a 97 WRC plus a 183 ISO not terrible numbers but not good numbers sub 300 on base a 241 average striking out 25.2% of the time is problematic but look how hard he hits the ball he always has 13.4% barrels and 51.9% hard hits this year he should just have better results lot of power in that Lefty bat to throw a Bradley block at corfield don't sleep on EO Sanchez if you're considering the marins at all if you're considering a one off from Coors Field don't sleep on esos Sanchez Jake Berger at 55 5838 has been one of the best players in baseball over the last like two months 222 ISO 111 WRC plus 25 homers for the season it just been on a monster tear 13.2% barrels and 47% hard hits Burger is definitely high high priority at cor field if you're going to this to this game Kyle St for 3726 two home runs and 122 chances pretty weak numbers across the slash line but another player who is definitely hitting the ball effectively hard uh and is disc counted even by comparison to some of his teammates not a terrible Lefty option as a fourth man in Derek Hill for 413 3,000 five home runs and five Steals and 136 plate appearances a 163 ISO but no consistency 259 on base you do have a 10.3% barrel but you also have a 32.4% strikeout rate mix and match quality option Griffin conine uh son of Jeff con9 is was being discussed yesterday very solid 375 ISO so far in is plate appearances technically if you look at Major League leader boards right now and unqualified hitters after nine plate appearances he is your major league xwoba leader one spot ahead of Aaron judge and like 100 change points because it's only nine plate appearances and it doesn't matter at all just funny that uh he pops up right there 577 xwoba so far ahead of Judges 486 obviously again that is just joking around to even point that out 32800 he's playable mix and match quality 699 in the Home Run model shouldn't be ignored if you're going to this team Otto Lopez 3900 2800 more appealing on fandel where he gets four positions as is Vidal bruhan uh neither player is overly appealing in general but they do get a little bit of a bump from Kors field and they're both very cheap down lineup Ali Sanchez in the catcher spot today 3125 no quality over 88 plate appearance just playing in Kors field on the rocky side Ezekiel Tovar 5934 priced up for sure 21 home runs a 196 ISO 97 WRC plus been one of their best players and has been a high quality Short Stop option playing in course field today that said you are three points below average for run creation you're not at a 200 ISO for a guy who cost nearly 6,000 on DraftKings 34 on fand is more reasonable uh pricewise Brendan Rogers at 4727 the second baseman who hits theall hard 44.4% hard hits up to 10 home runs now just an 87 WRC plus a mediocre 132 ISO or not even a mediocre a bad 132 ISO but he's cheap at second base and he fills a spot at Co field and he hits the ey up in the lineup every day I continue to think Brendan Rogers is playable when you go to the Rockies I have higher priority bats in this lineup like Michael Talia like Nolan Jones even Sam Hillyard maybe but Rogers is playable if you just need to fill second base from this team McMahon at 5232 has 17 home runs on the year believe he's hit two in the past two days he follows up Doyle and Talia who are both also at 21 tied with Tovar for the team lead Doyle's also stolen 25 bases he's got a 200 ISO a 108 WRC plus tal is more of a power hitter the switch hitter's got 21 was but he's stolen six bases 262 ISO with a 102 WRC plus both of these guys are high priority this is not a bad top five if you wanted to just straight line it it's very expensive ensive 5,400 a piece good luck dra FanDuel it's a little bit cheaper $3,200 a piece you could easily make that work on FanDuel DraftKings did not do you any favors on the Rockies today they are very high priced noan Jones is a good point of uh of discount if you need him it's probably if you're stacking Rockies you're probably go like these two and Jones to help with price or honestly if you wanted to get creative about it and include the $6,000 guys you might be able to go one two three four five maybe get Jones and Sam hilard in there bring it down to 52 it's a little bit more manageable but that's still very very expensive uh Jones is interesting 44.8% hard hit rate just three home runs and four stolen bases just slashing 209 311 314 this year 65 WRC plus he has been bad but he was very good last year 2020 and 400 and change plate appearances last year Hillyard mashes the ball when he makes contact 97 plate appearances he's hit five home runs stolen four bases a 224 ISO continues to be a good part-time bat um and this is the role he's played over the last couple of Seasons he's always interesting when he's in the lineup he's a solid Lefty hitter hits the ball extremely hard has done over the last couple of Seasons right this is not completely out of out of the Clear Blue Sky never gets a regular opportunity but always projects well always and delivers fairly consistently Jordan Beck another high-end kid for them down lineup 122 plate appearances not really seeing much results so far 0096 ISO 42 WRC plus two homers three steals but as we looked at the other day kid's got numbers in the miners and definitely can hit so getting him at 3525 nice point of discount in the course field uh game Drew Romo a little bit of mix and match quality there as a backup catcher 31-25 across sights another cheap cheap bat at the bottom of this very expensive Rocky lineup Rocky's bats Marlins bats neither pitcher last game up 1240 on the clock see if we got either lineup in nope power Nick does have a lot of angels today chap my lineup might have a lot of angels today too never a good sign yeah we talked about the angels all the way at the top of the show uh in the first game Tru but uh yeah Ward hasn't been good second half but does have realistic power still makes good contact 12 plus there n's having a good power season 19 home runs 194 ISO reasonably good contact not great contact but 12 plus and believable with the Home Run output this year Shel is the one I question the most out of the guys that are highly rated by the model just because I don't think he's actually that kind of a hitter and I think the contact backs that up but I think he's playable anyway just because he's cheap at first base and he does get involved pretty frequently for this team at a 347 on based Beth a has additional power probably beyond what the models given him Ren used to but doesn't anymore monia might and then Joe Adell is obviously very believable as is kavadas uh even though we don't have much history with kavadas 9.70 is not unbelievable for him so I actually think the angels are a decent uh Cheapo stack today and I go you one better almost positive they're not going to be popular at all well actually Taylor Ward's going to be a little bit popular how about that well Ward and uh Ward and face are both drawing like mid teens ownership on uh on DraftKings per rg's projections everybody else is in the mid single digits at at most so the Angels maybe not quite as sneaky as I thought um but the guys that I you know that I actually want like nto is is uh single digits easy to get to Shanel is not that popular Joe Adell down lineup is not popular at all so no problems with the angels ownership um and I think they're a little bit appealing in that match up against Montero I'll take a shot or at least consider it again there are just ludicrous ways to stay cheap on FanDuel today I used the angels in that placeholder with the Rangers and went immediately to Michael King and had salary left over David Peterson on the hill for the Mets 8,300 on both sites 18.1% KS this year but a solid little 285 ER it's kind of betrayed by the 441 xfit but we've seen Peterson succeed in the major leagues uh over the last couple of Seasons last year in 111 Innings 21 starts 503 ra but a 360 x FIP that's the way you'd like to have those numbers if you had them had to for you know uncovering a good pitcher obviously for results based in the major leagues this is the way you'd want it the lower ra uh 26% strikeout rate last year though 27.8% strikeout rate the year before was an underrated strikeout pitcher those two seasons um the the output comes and goes as far as the runs allowed never completely safe but spikes big upside and capable of pitching deep into games he's gone seven plus in his last two starts seven and a third against the Padre's last start one ear run on five hits struck out two and walk two not great total there but that's a very manageable start for the salary he lands at seven Innings against the Orioles the start before that just two ear in runs three runs allowed on six hits two earned eight strikeout game that was uh tied for his strikeout high on the season he also had a seven strikeout game a few a few back end of July against the Braves it hasn't been the best season for K obviously there's a big dip from 6 27% the last two seasons but there's reason to believe you could get back to that level we've seen it a couple times this year Diamondbacks not particularly High strikeout pretty good against left-handed pitching so not an ideal spot for Peterson but at the price he's okay I do think he falls by the wayside because everybody else around him is at more effective pricing but he's talented enough to pay off those prices in this matchup Nelson on the other side 19.7% strikeouts for the season 5.5% walks with a big uptick over the last couple of weeks last time out we were talking about him and the consistent quality he maintained over I said we would count it up it's the the most recent one was the 10th start it was over nine starts going into the last one and that was at Fenway Park against the Red Sox with I believe a five plus implied total on the board for Boston went out pitched six Innings faced 24 hitters two ear in runs on five hits struck out seven gave up a home run but who cares it's a great start outing before that he struck out six Rays over six and a third one run allowed seven and a third against the Phillies he struck out nine two earn runs allowed in the stretch of 10 quality uh 10 good Starts Now the bulk of them are quality actual quality starts on any and runs two of them uh one was a six inning start where he gave up four earned runs the other was a five inning start where he gave up four earn runs those are his two worst starts in these last 10 he's been very good and as we highlighted at the very beginning of this he made a distinct change about 10 starts ago where he's working exclusively at the top of the Zone with the fast ball and just pounding it up there and it makes everything else more effective and it's held up finding a better strikeout rate he improved his numbers across Ross the board not a terrible option I'm a Believer 7,700 on DraftKings I'm a big believer at that price 8,700 I think you could throw that Dart um it's another guy where again it was easy to reach this price so it's a matter of you might have to leave salary on the table for some of these pitchers and there's there's reason to believe that Nelson even if you leave salary could could be fine he's been good that said the Mets are a good lineup against they've got a 22.3% strikeout rates so it could feed some strikeout upside but they do have a lot of power and a lot of run creation quality WRC plus average for the for the 9an projected is 119 the only guy in the lineup below average by WRC plus is Jeff mcneel it's a good Mets team results be damned making the playoffs not making the playoffs you know lineup is good if we're looking at the man for man Francisco Lindor uh probably the top Short Stop on this slate 5700 3800 27 homers 25 steals a 217 ISO 133 WRC plus not a bad way to fill the position at all on any given slate and uh works pretty well in this one if you're not a believer in Nelson all the more reason to load up shares Mark ventos still under even on a six gamer we can't get Vientos over 5,000 4700 21 home runs 266 ISO 143 WRC Plus for time purposes I won't harp on it but uh very cheap nmo 4732 also pretty cheap 18 home runs 11 stolen bases for the Lefty bat 9.6% barrels and 46.8% hard hits Brandon demmo is a very good baseball player hits the ball hard gets on base consistently Big Time contributor for this team draws a lot of walks Pete Alonzo for 5334 uh for his power history is very very cheap for the power output this year is probably effectively priced 5334 across sites 28 home runs on the board at 224 ISO 12% barrels 44.7% hard hits It's Pete Alonzo we know he's a very good home run hitter Jesse Winker at 3631 has 12 homers 14 steals 121 WRC plus there's no Stellar number here the best number is probably the on base at 363 but it's a good season across the board and it's a return to form for a guy who was a very good hitter a few years ago and had been in a hole the last couple of season 15 home runs on the board for JD Martinez who continues to just mash the ball from the right side of the plate when he makes contact it's a high strikeout medium walk type hitter most seasons 10% walks this year 188 ISO 122 WRC Plus on the season for 4632 it's not bad qualifies more as like just another outfielder type on FanDuel for the price where you get multi-position at first base Outfield not that you want to block Pete Alonzo off that often but for 46 if you need that discount if that 700 bucks saves you a or buys you something it's not a bad pivot there very comparable power upside Martinez actually is getting on base a little bit more effectively hits for a better average that's not a terrible draft kicks pivot ideally you want them both Starin Marte 4429 effective player seven home runs 14 steals a 110 WRC plus this year another guy who's not outstanding in any one thing but he's got a lot of speed he's capable of hitting a home run he's capable of hitting for average capable of just correlated scoring so a very good across theboard fantasy player when he's fairly priced like this Luis torren more of just backup catcher here for defense kind of a quality and then Jeff mcneel not a hit I like surged his way up to 12 home runs then stopped hitting home runs has been mediocre for output batting average on balls and play this season so the numbers are terrible Diamond Backs to round things out araldo Pomo in the projected leadoff spot 3,400 2800 getting on base at a 346 clip he's very interesting he's interesting in the leadoff spot or in the nine spot everywhere else in the lineup I think he's less interesting but if he's leaning off today he's got a peel at the short stop spot on a thin Short Stop day Jake McCarthy 4831 eight home runs 20 stolen bases a 145 ISO 126 WRC plus uh 48 00 is you know high but reasonable wasn't he in the fives yesterday I know I was ranting about his price yesterday I feel like it was in the fives uh but it's still you know kind of high 3100 he's having a good year but this is we're getting aggressive more playable here than over here also Lefty Lefty what's his Lefty Lefty get same hit of pitching this season uh McCarthy 112 pretty high quality plate appearances 327 384 426 no power to speak of but a 127 WRC plus so up there doing Jake McCarthy things despite the handedness of the pitcher he's playable but not ideal ludis gel 423,000 presumably hitting third today in place of jock Peterson 16 home run seven stolen base was another player who not outstanding in any one thing but good across the board and more capable than this in basically every category we've seen him in the past hit for better average we've seen him hit for more power we've seen him steal a few bases so I think goodel is always playable never Elite but always playable and pretty fairly priced at 423,000 especially if he hit third Josh Bell 4127 is just okay 18 home runs on the year a 99 WRC plus from the first baseman Randle gritch against the Lefty he's in play 3200 2300 four home runs on the board of 153 ISO 104 WRC plus just a playable righty bat who does hit the ball fairly uh fairly hard not a monster home run hitter but capable in that department and definitely capable of driving the ball from the right side jonio Suarez is a big time home run hitter he's got 20 on the year 193 ISO 102 WRC plus really pulled things together in the second half like he usually does 9.8% barrels 40.2% hard hits on the year fairly High strikeout medium walk not a great bat but definitely some home run upside against Peterson Corbin Carrol's been on an absolute tear over the last uh month and change month and a half he is now up to 17 homers and 21 steals with a 189 ISO and congratulations he's CLA his way to League average WRC plus after that just disastrous first four months of the Season 225 311 414 I'm telling you this is going to end up looking like not a terrible season by the time he's done it's ridiculous Kevin Newman and Jose erera at the bottom of the lineup are entirely skippable or mix and match quality at their positions for very very cheap prices but again Peterson an effective pitcher here's your board One Last Time avaldi believable at the top but going to be super popular on both sides against a terrible White Sox lineup um if you play him I don't think I would go to him and his rangers together it's probably going to be overly popular as a combination does support your win Equity obviously and they the top stack of the day but I think that's going to get a little uh overly popular take one angle or the other probably for differentiation sake Sunny gray a reasonably good pitcher uh with a high strikeout rate for the season suffering from a little bit of fatigue in his last few and a very bad matchup against the Padres worst matchup out of the top overall pitchers they very low strikeout but he's a talented guy he could easily go out and win the Slate Michael King topend pitcher 10,000 103 top price pitcher offset medium projections by a little bit but not NE necessarily by ceiling uh King on the right day could easily succeed to equal levels as ofdi so don't mind paying the price and again there's a lot of salary left over on my board today Ryan Nelson I like him a lot 8,700 7700 I'm a Believer even against that bet Squad I really think he could succeed again today getting high priced on FanDuel it's probably not the spot I go to but if I end up taking a different route with bats and need to get cheaper than the $110,000 pitcher with a few hundred bucks left over that I have Nelson is in play at 8 seven and probably the most believable guy offset from the N 9,000 plus guys svali for an additional discount from there though does pick up some strikeout upside against that Giants lineup so if I'm already dipping uh away from these guys and going to Nelson I might just take the further dip and go to savali take the shot against the Giants with a guy that I know does have upside in that spot and take the additional savings another $900 in savings 700 on draft kicks it's the same story and svali and Nelson both very much in play for SP2 shares along with these guys CER Montero makes the list for SP2 7500 here uh not as good as these guys not as strong a spot as those guys definitely challenged by the power that the Angels showing in that lineup and not all that good but has had some decent days for us so far so he's playable at these prices Peterson just a awkward price fit by comparison to these guys but he's okay he is high strikeout uh in the year's past just hasn't been this year and a tough match up against the Diamondbacks Burn song I do think is a realistic value Dart throw total Bargain Bin type play uh Brewers showing some power against and they're good run creators and they're very very good at getting on base and drawing walks which has been an issue for him so far but he's got some good stuff and he is a effective strikeout pitcher so I think for the money you could play that especially in a large portfolio of lineups you want to have some shares of that over here it's Le effective it's less appealing this is a no both of these guys at Coors Field those are pretty much NOS outside of ktz for 55 you might be able to book Seven Innings of like three run two strikeout ball for 55 if that has a peel for you you do buy a bat for that is there any reason to believe that he would completely uh you know fail by comparison to like bird song or even Gater Montero not really so if you're considering Montero here for 2,000 less for a guy who can go out and in equally bad equally appealing match up against the Tigers or less appealing because of all those good lefties now but you get me uh for 2000 less knowing that he can pitch seven Innings I can see a lane I am in no way saying this is the play of the day or that you should go out and make this play but I am saying that a lane exists there through which you could find success sometimes that's all all you need here's the Home Run board it's a little bit better looking than that or this all right come on try and click in the right spot sometimes it's the little things Cory Seer leading the way it nearly double the magic number in the Home Run model gives a lot of uh cause to buy into that Texas upside despite the popularity idolise Garcia not far behind at 13 Marcus semian at 12 plus Josh Young at 11.86 I think that's who I made the Home Run pick of the day pretty sure anyway you stack them up Texas looks pretty good they're going to be popular but I think you can ride through it um you know combining them with teams like the Angels alternate uh you know Cheapo teams there's a lot of different ways to stack them you could get to some cheap pitching and go to good bats in conjunction with the Rangers the way the teams are priced today lot of ways to build ree Hoskins second on the board from that Brewers lineup again do not sleep on that Brewers lineup as a potential alternative to the Rangers they're showing a good amount of power up at the top I'll show you the full lineup again just real quick to illustrate that because we hit on that and I do think it's uh worth considering again I think a lot of Hayden bird song but he's also been extremely getable so far giving up a ton of Premium Contact on a flyball trajectory that is amounted to home runs and he's terribly High walks so far so despite the strikeout stuff this Brewers team draws walks average walk rate for this team I got it right here is 99.7% for the confirmed Brewers lineup they've got some power through the lineup and they're showing a lot of power I might go in right after the show and pivot all my shares for the Rangers which I think are at the same positions directly into the Brewers and see what happens it's an appealing spot I think that's a good way to end the show mama says oh okay there you go for Nelson thanks yeah of course go you could barely hear me really was that a problem for anybody else and nobody said anything all show I wish you guys would have told me sooner unless maybe I started mumbling there anyway let's round things out uh your draftking main slate the 640 start time slate uh I'm going to throw projections up for it after this this slate locks almost positive we're not coming back for a second show but I'll probably be around I think that's the plan no we're fine on volume excellent good to know appreciate it Mamba just swapped over to to Milwaukee good good stuff I yeah I might do that got a few minutes to get it done it's one o'clock now we got a 110 start coming up let me say my goodbyes I'll update the last two lineups if they dropped uh otherwise good luck out there somebody go win something and we will see you guys guys tomorrow