what's going on everyone Chris from picks.com here with the free picking the Milwaukee Brewers versus St Louis Cardinals Major League Baseball matchup going down Wednesday September 4th 2024 just a reminder if you haven't already make sure you subscribe to our Channel and smash that thumbs up and if you're looking for my Best Bets the games that I love including my daily $19 best bet head on over to piic dogs.com and click the premium picks tab at the top of the page but let's get to this one between the Milwaukee Brewers and the St Louis Cardinals the milwa Brewer sending out Colin Raya for the start in this one while the Cardinals will counter with sunny gray and gray has been solid in spots this season but if you look at the numbers closely you'll notice that a lot of the starts where he's actually been really good and really been at his best have been at Bush Stadium and you look at the home and road splits they'll probably tell you that story but you look at Sunny Gray's Road numbers and I'll tell you they will tell you a completely different story you look at going back basically to the end to the beginning of July he's made five starts on the road Sunny gray has four of those he's given up at least five runs in five plus Innings of work I will say this but Sunny gray even with the struggles he's had at least he's been able to ghost you know at least a fair amount of innings five plus in all of his Road starts this season like I said five or more runs in four of his last five starts on the road and in the 11 starts that he has made on the road this season he's given up at least four runs in eight of those 11 starts and you look at the home and Road split like I said the story for sunny gray this season pitches really well in St Louis at home a 2.63 erra but his ER on the road more than doubled at him actually three runs higher on the road a 5.62 erra a 262 opponent's batting average and now you take on a Milwaukee Brewers team that in the last two weeks you know is top 10 in baseball and isolated power against right-handed pitching you know that they bounced to just outside the top 10 in team Ops they're hitting 241 but they have a high walk rate and sunny gray on the road has been one of those pitchers that can you know make teams you know a lot better and while St Louis Cardinals have been really solid against righties in their own right they're hitting 282 against right-handed pitching in the last two weeks you know and uh top 10 in team LPS the isolated power numbers aren't great and they're facing Colin Ray who just gets the Run support if you need proof of that look at his last two starts he's given up a combine eight runs over 10 and two-thirds Innings of work four home runs in those two starts and the hocky Brewers have still found a way to win both of those outings they've actually won three straight starts by Ray and six of his last seven they're 17 and six the Brewers are as a team in Ray's 23 starts this season I know Ray doesn't necessarily play a role in that except for pitching but the offense is backing them up the Brewers are just playing the better baseball right now and this is a Brewers lineup that has been Rock Solid against the division this season while the Cardinals have a sub 500 erra against the division and for me I keep saying it the the St Louis Cardinals look more and more like the Atlanta Hawks of a couple years ago from the NBA where they couldn't get too high or too low above 500 they would kind of just hover around that 500 Mark and that's not going to make the playoffs in the National League with how well the Padres and Diamondbacks have played since the break how well the Mets are playing right now how well the Cubs are playing right now and the Cardinals are just watching their playoff hopes fade while the Brewers have a double digit lead in the in the NL Central they are inches away from it and I think that uh they take another step closer here I think they take advantage of Sunny graay Road struggles in this one I'm going to go with the Milwaukee Brewers on the money line in this one that's going to be my free pick but just a reminder if you haven't already make sure you're subscribe to our Channel and smash that thumbs up and if you're looking for my Best Bets you can find those a pick dogs premium my your pick dogs check out our betting tools they're 100% free they're the best betting tools in the business and tools that you want to make sure that you have in your back pocket when you're making your Best Bets for the day's action thanks for watching see you guys soon