with the college football playoff format expanding to 12 teams the Penn State mney lions are expected to be one of the teams that benefit they will open the season on the road at West Virginia and the mney Lions take care of business well we're going to talk about it but before we do I got to tell you about a promotion we have available at wagertalk.com from now until August 31st you can get all my football picks that's NFL NFL preseason and col football for one low price of 249 bucks through the end of September why would you be interested in that well over the summer I do my homework and the last two years in the months of August and September were 41 and 12 77% with college football you throw in NFL and NFL preseason we're still hitting 75% winners you can get that right now at you don't have to feel obliged to purchase anything from me feel free to tune in absorb the free content the only thing I ask from you is that you smash that like button and that will ensure that I can continue to put out these free play videos let's get into the free pick Penn State on the road in week one at Morgantown the nitty lions are a 10 and a half Point favorite total sitting at 51 and a half now these teams did play last year Penn State was at home they won by a score 38-5 I think that score was a little bit misleading it was 14 to7 at halftime the Mountaineers were giving them a good a good go uh the only reason Penn State covered they were a 21-point favorite and uh James Franklin as he tends to do uh he allowed his team to run in a touchdown in the final five seconds of the game when of course they could have just kneeled and taken the Victory and they uh they won by a final score of 38 15 this West Virginia team though don't take them lightly they won nine games last year they were five and one at home and they're bringing everybody back they got a senior quarterback Garrett green uh he is a gamer he's one of three players on the team to run the ball for over 700 yards the West Virginia Mountaineers were the number one rushing unit in the Big 12 last year uh Penn State of course they brought in a receiver from Ohio State they got their quarterback Drew Aller back and uh people are expecting big things from him you know he put up decent numbers last year but that was against inferior opponents when you watch the games against Michigan and Ohio State they were frightened to let him throw a pass in those games this is a hostile environment on the road it is week one which quarterback are we GNA see here I'm not sure 10 and a half points seems like a little bit much to me uh Penn State 10 and3 straight up nine and4 against the spread last year their ATS record though man James Franklin loves to cover the spread he loves to run up the score and uh I'm not a big fan I can remember a game on the road at Northwestern I had Northwestern as a big Underdog uh they were covering there's 30 seconds left Penn State goes to knel the ball something I haven't seen before a fake Neil for a touchdown uh with seconds left on the clock and uh Penn State gets the cover um yeah I don't think they're G to get the cover here I'm backing the home team the home Underdog with all the experience with home home field advantage and I'm GNA sprinkle on the money line I like West Virginia here this game has upset written all over it uh we're taking the Points West Virginia plus 10 and a half if you like this video smash that like button subscribe to the channel if you got anything to say to me even if it's nasty you hit me up in the comments below I'll get back to you as soon as I can