hey guys welcome back to update got um distance number one in the Atlantic um disturbance number three there you also have disturbance number two here which is heading towards north probably do that this stor is more of a threat this all is yeah going down it's not going to form it's um dead right now Central Pacific you got the remnants of um hone in the Central Pacific living into the Western Pacific um jtwc is already Mark that we've got um we got typhoon jebby or whatever it's called yagi got Ty yagi toic yagi you tropical depression 1C um you got Yi here which is going to be moving basically like that you got this ST which probably moving out towards the ocean like that let me show you yagi first so what yagi is going to do it's now making landfall with Winds of 45 miles hour it's going to be moving over the islands it's going to go from 75 knots to 100 knots going go from 100 so it's going to probably Peak and around about 120 125 mil now 120 to 125 and it should hit High Island probably either at that intensity or a little bit weaker and then move towards Vietnam probably as a weakening storm you still can't get still can't R out some um effects there but there is a little bit the wind there's no wind shap to this system the windsh is further off towards north up here and South so now that this is in an environment where it's in favorable for the storm to really explode when it gets into the um South chiny quickly show you the model ons now of the storm um before I do that I'm going to show you the um L we're officially now in a l 0. 5.4 that's official Lin by the um World mag World mical organization but you've got um trem Yi which looks really good right now um forecast models I'll show you that I think the models have downgraded a little bit on that area of interest in the um in the in the golf but they are painting of something Dev veloping you can see just here you can see some development here only it's only very it's only like very weak and you can see some development of the yukatan peninsula but you can see this G kind of formation it's spin so this is the the 6z model one the 12z model one could have been different show you the 12z model one they have they have three systems out there so they have obviously this system which obviously becomes fan scen before this system so that system becomes fancy that become golden we got a little area of interest there it should pop out of nowhere um and obviously Gordon doesn't really become a major anymore it just moves over the UK toown and just s straight into Mexico there a weak storm maybe gets the 993 MS maybe gets to a brief hurricane and then obviously just weakens obviously moves into the Gulf again and apparently this this Loop becomes 942 M bars and that's heading straight towards where Ida madean for in 2021 right over Louisiana as a category 4 just take this as a grain OFA it might not happen but you can see it becomes a hurricane near the Yucatan goes over the yukatan comes back over the ocean heads towards the north as a tropical storm and slap moves straight towards the South and then we goes back up north again the 18z model one from yesterday though is kind of different they don't really have it as a strong system you got two systems you got that one that comes off the coast of um Africa the one that's going off the coast of Africa but you can also see the one you want to see another area of interest in front of it which could rapid organized here and that should be pushing off towards the north that should be pushing off towards north this will be pushing off towards the West see they're both being pushed towards the west or the West Northwest they're both being pushed towards this way was see due to the mixture of the high pressure they're going to eventually move out towards the open ocean but this one is going to be moving towards whatever and then let see just stay strong so the mod ones are backing off a little bit of this B becoming a major hurricane but you still can't roll that at this time of the year for sure because it could be it could still become a major so I wouldn't Ru it out yet if it doesn't form by September 5th or or September 10th then probably we could roll out and V hurricane we got Yi right now um that's the tropical depression hone in the central in in the Western Pacific it's looking better than what it did three days ago you got the remnants of trable cyclone asna which is heading towards Omen Omar uh you got invest 93w which looks trash and you got yagi 12 w which looks pretty impressive you can see it's a lopsided storm you can see most of the convections on this side it's because it's over the mountains of Manila when it get when it gets off Metro that the mountains when it gets over here probably will get itself organized and probably will start rapidly intensifying as it should be as these systems should will do in the Western in the Western Pacific so show you the satellite imagery and then um call it call it a day but yeah you can see some significant Cloud tops blowing up around the sand of circulation right there right they the purples the - 85s to- 90° cloudtops right here about minus 85° clop so it's still good but you guys in Manila will be getting like some significant rainfall from this system the Arab bands pretty much the whole of the Philippine Northern Philippines from the tack ban region to um lose on Metro manilo you guys will get at least 100 mm of rainfall which I believe in inches it's 56 Ines of rain from this system which is a lot but if you notice in the latest frames over here you can see a a t tiny little spin nothing much but that's not where the center is the center is where the big area of convection is right now Overland there is some minus not the we tops trying to pop up but I'll show you the highway sat imagery because it looks really good in sat well kind of looks good it heads towards the dark I'll show you a better Jo of it we go there's Yogi it's not this is this side's a little bit bare on convection as soon as it sorts this side out Northern side start to wrapping that convection more round and starts covering this part of the eyew wall then it could rapidly intensify and there's nothing really stopping the storm from when it enters into the South China see nothing really stopping the storm to really explode so if you live in China if you live in China and H and Island I would watch this system very carefully as I'll bring up the code again that's H's cone I don't want H's if you if I bring up the cone again it could impact you guys high on island so anywhere in that cone it will impact you so it could go towards Hong Kong but most likely the track is heading towards hinan Island and that at that point it will be a category 2 round four most likely or probably low cat 3 and four on High Island so if you live there prepare for this system prepare like it's a category five even though it won't be at the time but just prepare like it's cat five right there the favorite is it will be some strong wind sheare coming from off the north which will weaken the storm as it gets towards Vietnam and China which is a good sign because I think it will probably Peak somewhere over here probably as a calary fall maybe and then obviously as it heads towards the West which they do at this time of the year they end up weakening at this time of year um due to either southernly wind share or Northerly wind share from this in this area you see it a lot you saw it with high high you saw it with high you saw it with r you saw it with Van vanco in 2020 so that's the um cone of Yi stay safe I see you all in the next update probably later on the whatever um if there's any significant updates I will do an update later on but if not I'll do one tomorrow so this Yi don't forget to prepare in Highland Island for the system and I'll see you in the next video peace