but what this does show this polling from The New York Times shows Harris Up by Four Points in Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania we knew we'd seen already National polling highquality National polls showing Harris pulling ahead of trump but this is the whole game these blue wall States these Northern Battleground States being up by four that's really significant and it shows a reshaped race and and put you know oh they're arguing there's an oversample of Democrats or whatever aside for a moment what you see if you look in the cross tabs and sort of why this change might be happening is Harris's favorability is up significantly enthusiasm amongst Democrats alone is up almost 30 percentage points the fact of the matter is that this is a changed race and the Trump campaign is almost arguing against itself saying not wanting to acknowledge the reality