hey what's going on everybody welcome back to another prize picks video this one we're talking about Thursday Night Football we got a good one Buffalo Miami for this game we have four picks in the video for you to consider so stay tuned here all four the picks we have if you guys want more picks join up in the private Discord here on Monday Night Football we went 10 of 13 with our picks for that game you can see on the screen here I give out more picks for the NFL and all sports but we have a ton of other cappers in here went 6 for six with the MLB the other day on Wednesday one of the cappers went four for four with MLB and WNBA picks I went 3 to3 with my MLB picks on Tuesday and also on Sunday so definitely check it out it's less than a dollar per day to get in there or less than winning a $5 three pick slip on prize pick so if he can help you do just that it's going to be worth it to get in here check it out with the link down below you guys saw some of those crazy winning streaks we've been on how we did on Monday Night Football as well so we'll see you guys over in the Discord for more picks in all sports for me plus a bunch of other cappers we have in there so let's get into this one off the bat I'm going to go to James Cook here going to take him over on his catches at 2 and 1 half in this game I think he's going to be in a good spot this one is projected to be a higher scoring game and actually Miami is a small favorite in this one so I do think that James Cook could be seeing some more receiving opportunities in this game as Buffalo trying to move the ball and keep up the scoring output we did see kind of a shootout in their first game James Cook definitely had a good one I think he can get three catches in this at least against Miami one of the best tools here for player props is outlier if you want to check him out they'll be down in the description you can get seven days for free if you haven't yet I use it for every single sport every day for player props so definitely check them out we're going to be using them all video you can see in the first game he had three catches here you can go back to last season you can see 58% of the games last year he hit this one 11 of 19 games including his last three games was beginning to get more involved in the passing game at the end of the year as well and you can also see he catches a very high percentage of his targets 82% of the targets coming his way he caught so just needs three or four targets here to be able to hit this one I think he can definitely do that should be very involved in the offense last year we saw him kind of up and down as far as his involvement in the offense which we'll get to in a second but with outlier you can also look at a away games for some reason James Cook last year a lot better catching passes on the road six of eight games last year 75% of games he had three or more catches probably just tougher games on the road where they got to pass more so in this one where they're underdogs I do like this spot for James Cook here we can look at the snap count for cook saw 61% of the snaps which actually was on the higher end compared to last season this was in week one if we go back to 2023 James Cook here a lot of games well well under 60 we saw 59 59 62 40 a 49 here 52 46 46 43 44 in four games in a row last year so his snap count was kind of down in a lot of games last year I do expect to be 60% or higher in basically every single game this year that is close so I think he's going to be super involved in this game in the offense liking him on the receptions here one other thing to look at for this is odds Jam again they have a free trial just another tool that I use over here if you want to check them out you can use their link down below as well for 7-Day free trial you can see one of their favorite picks here they compare prize picks and Underdog to other sports books so over 2 and a half it's minus 135 on BET MGM minus 139 on Caesars minus 162 on hot streak minus 155 on flip so I don't like going against Sports books and this is a great tool and site to use to validate some of your picks here and go with what the sports PS are liking as well so great to find Value over here definitely liking this pick for the next one taking some more value here Curtis Samuel going to go under on his receptions at two flat here he did manage to get two catches in that first game but saw very minimal snaps basically was like fourth on the team as a receiver getting snapped so don't really like his involvement in the offense I thought he would be more involved here I like going to the under of two flat here because I think it is pretty safe for him to get three it would be a lot of catches based on how many snaps he played in the first game so unless he's a lot more involved don't see him hitting this one we can come back to that snap count chart over here and we could see Curtis Samuel here only saw 17 total snaps 27% of the snaps Coleman saw 73 Holland 58 Shakir 53 and then mvs came in here with 21% as well almost got more than Samuel and then you got to think that cancade and Dawson Knox are honestly probably more involved than Samuel in this one as well and I do think they're going to get Conca way more involved in this game than we saw in the last one he had like two Targets two catches 11 yards I think he's going to get way more involved but his lines are just too high for me to go to even though I do like him his targets now are up at 6 and 1/2 and his receptions is 4 and 1/2 over under so I think too high for me I like going to Samuel on the under it's just highly likely he's going to see very minimal snaps and if he's seeing less than 20 snaps getting three catches it's going to be a hard task for him I think at two flat we're getting a pretty safe one here then for the next pick I'm going to move on to Miami Dolphins I'm going to go to Tyreek Hill and for Hill I'm taking him over on the rush plus receiving touchdowns he's obviously a touchdown monster here I don't see a reason why in a higher scoring game why when are the favorites that he shouldn't be in line for a touchdown here last season seemed like almost every game he was getting a touchdown got one in the first game now Raheem Moser is likely to not play in this one as well so in the Red Zone I think Tyreek Hill could see even more work without moster there so I'm really liking Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown in this game if we look at Hill on outlier you could see his touchdown rate from a last season 71% of games Tyreek Hill got a touchdown and filtering by just home game 75% of home games last year he got a touchdown so again better at home here and Tyreek Hill just hit this one so much last season if we come back to last season 71% hit rate again without mostard I think he's going to be in line for more work in the Red Zone even and always a threat to get a breakaway touchdown here when the ball's in his hands they should be feeding him the ball in this one like always liking for Tyreek Hill at home to get another touchdown here definitely another one of my favorite picks for this game which I think is going to be high-scoring and a close back and forth game for the next pick going to Tua but I'm going to take him over on the Pass Plus rush yards it's at 276 and A2 absolutely smashed that in the first game I think two is going to be in for another big one buffalo's defense didn't look great against Arizona who is not expected to be an elite team here I mean can you even name three wide receivers on Arizona and they put up a good amount of points on the bills here I think Tua will not have any problems throwing for a bunch of yards in this one and keeping Miami close in this one if not winning it so like Tua to go over on this in the first game looking at Tu on outlier he threw for 349 pass yards looking back of 2023 he only hit this in 44% of his games didn't hit this one in that insane cold game against Kansas City but we're getting him at home here in some warm weather if we only look at home games from last year this was a 56% % hit rate for Tua here five of nine games then if we look at Tua in that first game through for 338 also had a nice carry for 11 yards I think he is a lot more mobile than people give him credit for looking at the rush yards that he needs in this one it's just going to be four and a half on the over last season he hit this 56% of the time including his last three games where he used his legs more in those closer games that mean more and this one definitely does probably going to be playing for whenever they play Buffalo it's really an impactful game because they could be a tiebreaker in the division as well for the title in the AFC East I'm just one Capper and Dynamo if you guys want more picks in all sports and more picks for this game definitely check out the Discord it'll be linked down below you can see on Monday Night Football our picks in the Discord 10 of 13 of them hit including a demon pick but we Post in all sports w six of six in the MLB a few days ago went 9-2 in my channel 8-1 in my channel another Capper Jordan just went four four on Tuesday in his channel I posted three MLB picks on Tuesday and all three of them hit I also did the same on Sunday so definitely get over here check out the Discord less than a dollar per day to get access to more picks for me in all sports plus a bunch of other cappers if we can help you just win one $5 three pick slip on price pick it's going to be worth it so definitely check it out you guys saw the wins some of the streaks we've gone on so we'll see you guys over in the Discord and subscribe to the channel