I have one of those situations in the Big 10 matchup on Saturday between the Maryland terpens who will be hosting the Michigan State Spartans right now Maryland according to Caesars is a eight-point favorite before I get to the analysis and the winning free pick on that game uh folks if you would kindly just give me a like as a just a small token of your appreciation for the time work and effort I put in bringing you a quality prick video each and every day and also keeps the folks over at wager talk TV happy which means these videos stay free and it also helps me out as well with the folks over at wager talk TV so if you could kindly just take a second to do so folks I don't ask for much just click on that uh like button also click that subscribe button right underneath uh it's absolutely free to do so and you'll be subscribed to the best YouTube sports betting channel on the internet today that's wager talk TV uh amongst not only myself but I'm uh very uh lucky to be amongst some of the greatest sports betting experts in all the world here on wager talk TV and while you're at it go into your YouTube settings and click on the alert notification Bell for wager talk TV and you'll be alerted upon any of our podcasts free pick videos such as these or instructional videos going up on our channel so hit that like button and don't forget to subscribe all right let's get to the matter at hand Michigan State at Maryland um right now as I as we speak Maryland's an eight-point favorite uh the opening kickoff is slated for 3:30 PM eastern time in College Park Maryland Michigan State's coming off a very lackluster 16-10 home win in their season opener and they failed to cover as a 13-point home favorite I mentioned keeping track of head coaches in college football head coaching changes to be specific and especially early on and Jonathan Smith takes over as the head coach at Michigan State he's got a bit of an uphill climb as the Spartans are coming off backto back losing Seasons I do think Jonathan Smith was a great hire for the Spartans but I do think they're going to go through some early growing pains and it's going to take time to adapt and that was evident uh against Florida Atlantic last week in a game Michigan State uh for all resources should not uh be involved in a close game against teams like Florida Atlantic yet they were uh also uh keep in mind um Michigan State last year were lamb based at home against Maryland 31-9 uh now they go on the road yes you can make a case for Revenge but I don't think that's going to be as much a factor as it normally would be uh because of you know the new coach uh there a lot of personnel changes so again I don't think that will take effect whatsoever uh the Spartans offensively they struggled last week against Florida Atlantic I think they're going to struggle for the better prior the season offensively and I think and at least early on that will be the case and that was evident to in their season hoper against Florida Atlantic they're going to have to lean on their defense to get it done but I think their defense will find their defense being worn down as they move up in class uh from being on the field too long and the offense's inability to sustain drives now Maryland is coming off an impressive 50 to7 blowout home win over Yukon in a game they easily covered as an 18 and a half Point favorite this is a Maryland team that's looking for their fourth consecutive winning season under former New Mexico head coach Mike Loxley uh so again we got one team coming off backto back losing Seasons another team uh going for their fourth straight uh winning season in a row one team with a brand new head coach one team who's had a head coach that's been there for a while so all things to take into consideration amongst the other things I already mentioned I do have a great college football betting angle on this game it's not a big sample size but very strong since the start of the 2017 season anytime you have a game two college football home favorite of 15 and a half or less that's coming off a home favorite ATS cover uh and they've won 26 or fewer of their last 28 at home those game two home favorites have gone N9 and0 straight up in ATS since 2017 winning by an average of Plus 18.1 points per game and the average line in those nine contests the favorite average was minus 7.7 this current line right now at Caesar's 8 so just about the same identical line on average as we're seeing in this particular matchup also folks uh college football my premium picks in college football since last year on runs of 12 and six and 64 and 45 at 64 and 45 run dates all the way back to September 9th of last year that's a 59% run and over that course of time I've made $3,700 for my clients Major League Baseball on runs of six and three and 9 and5 also Major League Baseball up around $2,200 since August 4th of last year keep an eye also on my football totals as they've been 64% since last year and as well as as my Best Bets my 5% Best Bets folks are uh 24 and 10 uh which is good for 71% and good for a net profit of $6,500 since February 4th of this year I will be back in a little while with another college football free pick so stay tuned for that until then take care and God bless folks