Just the Facts About the US Federal Budget: Steve Ballmer Talks Through the Numbers

Published: Jul 31, 2024 Duration: 00:13:31 Category: Nonprofits & Activism

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Intro Hi, I'm Steve Balmer. I spent 34 years  growing Microsoft, 10 years owning the   LA Clippers basketball team. I love computers,  data, and facts. That's why I started USAFacts,   to help understand what our government is up to  and what's going on in America. I'll share with   you the facts and data, all from our government,  you make up your own mind. In this episode of just   the facts: the budget.The federal budget is a  measurement of how much our government spends   What is the budget and how much revenue it takes in. And the budget  really took off with COVID. In the years leading   up to the pandemic, annual federal government  spending hovered between $5 and $5.3 trillion   (adjusted for inflation). Then COVID hit in 2020  and the budget really went up to $7.7 trillion,   to help us through the crisis. Federal spending  has exceeded $6 trillion every year since. It's   really hard to make sense of a trillion of  anything, so try thinking of it this way:   if you spent $1,000 every day, it would take over  16 million years to spend $6 trillion. That's a   big number. In 2023, the federal government spent  less, as COVID spending went away, only $6.2   trillion, but it took in 4.5 trillion of mostly  tax revenue. This means our government had to   come up with $1.7 trillion to cover the difference  between spending and revenue. In government speak,   that's our deficit. Those deficits are ultimately  funded with borrowing. When you add up all the   federal government's borrowing over the years,  you're going to get close to $35 trillion,   which is the total national debt today. Which  in 2020, was the largest share of our economy,   as measured by our GDP, at any time since World  War II. Now, let's dive into the details, starting   Spending with the spending part of the budget. About 60% of  all federal spending is categorized as mandatory   spending, which amounted to $3.8 trillion last  year. This spending is essentially on autopilot,   because it funds programs whose eligibility  rules and benefit formulas are set in law. This   consists mostly of programs like Social Security,  Medicare , Medicaid, and veterans care. Then there   are interest payments on our debt, which totaled  $659 billion last year. We're going to have to   pay our interest on our debt. Everything else  Washington does, from defense and education,   to transportation and scientific research, is all  funded by what's called discretionary spending.   Which accounted for $1.7 trillion last year. Let's  do a fact check! Mandatory spending $38 trillion,   discretionary spending $1.7 trillion, and net  interest on on the debt $659 billion. Total:   $6.16 trillion in government spending. Now let's  try taking a deeper dive into the two biggest   pieces of mandatory spending: Social Security  and Medicare. Social Security has been around   since 1935. It provides retirement, disability,  and survivor benefits to eligible individuals.   Some key facts about the program: it  now costs about $1.4 trillion a year,   and accounts for 22% of the total federal  budget. There are over 67 million people   receiving Social Security and they're getting  an average benefit of about $1,900 a month,   for the actual retirees and it's about $1,500  or so for the disabled and surviving spouses.   Social Security, it actually relies on payroll tax  taxes from current workers to go into a trust fund   and then that trust fund pays out the benefits to  those who receive them. With an aging population,   there are projections that the Social Security  trust fund will be exhausted by the year 2035.   Now, projections about where Social Security  is heading could be wrong. As the old Yankee   catcher from my youth, Yogi Berra, liked  to say: "It's tough to make predictions,   especially about the future." Let's talk about  the second biggest mandatory spending item,   Medicare which is Medicare. Medicare costs the federal  government about $850 billion in 2023, and that's   about 14% of all of our federal spending. The  bulk of the spending provides health insurance   for anyone 65 and older. Today, Medicare covers  67 million Americans, or about one in four adults.   And in 2022, which is the most recent year  released, we spend about $16,000 per beneficiary   per year. Medicare share of the federal budget  has increased from 10% in 1994 to 14%, as the   number of enrollees in the program has continued  to grow with our aging population. Medicaid,   which is a program that provides health insurance  coverage for those who can least afford it,   is jointly financed by the federal and states  governments. In total, the federal government,   though, paid for $616 billion of it in 2023. As  of December of 2023, there's about 78 million   Americans on Medicaid. And enrollment for  the program has grown since the passage   of the Affordable Care Act in 2010. Another line  item in mandatory spending is veterans benefits.   They amount to about $299 billion. I, for one,  am really happy about the mandatory nature of   the benefits for our veterans. Here's another big  ticket item: through a combination of mandatory   and discretionary spending, Washington sent  nearly $1.1 trillion in grants to our states   and local governments in 2023. More than half of  that was for Medicaid, which we just discussed,   as well as some children's health programs. The  rest of this spend with the states, is for a range   of programs from education to infrastructure  and also some other social programs.   National Defense National Defense is the single largest category of  the discretionary part of federal spending, and it   came in at $820 billion in 2023. The two biggest  defense expenditures are salaries and benefits,   and maintaining and acquiriring new weapons  systems. America has 1.3 million active-duty   service members in the Army, Navy, Marines,  Air Force, Coast Guard, and elsewhere. We have   767,000 people in the reserves. These are people  in civilian jobs who do regular training though   for the military, and can be called into active  duty in the future. And 779,000 are civilians that   are filling various support roles in the military.  I actually had no idea we had so many civilians   doing important work for our military. America  has, also, 16 million veterans, a number that   is declining. In 1990 about 11% of the population  were veterans while today, it's about 6%. Finally,   as a share of American GDP, defense spending is  about 3%. That's the lowest it's been since the   data started being published around the Korean  War. When you combine all federal mandatory   Other spending with discretionary defense spending,  and our interest payments, that accounts for 86%   of the 2023 federal spend. The remaining 14% is  discretionary spending, and it covers the rest of   the federal government. From payments to farmers,  food safety, environmental protection, the   administration of justice, and more. Some bills  signed in the last few years will also impact our   budget. The 2021 Infrastructure and Jobs Act will  inject an additional $110 billion, on average, per   year through 2026, into public works priorities  like roads, bridges, water, and broadband. That's   a 32% increase over the 2021 combined federal,  state, and local spending in those areas. However,   the exact funds are not evenly distributed each  year, and are still being allocated. Now let's   look at where the money comes from. $4.4 trillion  out of our $4.5 trillion of federal government   revenue came from taxes. Of the taxes collected in  2023, $2.2 trillion, or 49%, were from individual   income taxes. Which are the taxes that are paid  on income from salary, commissions, fees, tips,   capital gains, dividends, retirement income, and  more. $1.6 trillion, which is 37% of the revenue,   came from payroll taxes. And another $420  billion, or 9%, came from corporate income   taxes. So those are the big revenue streams.  The federal government does get money from   other sources, including another $80 billion from  customs duties, $76 billion from sales and excise   taxes, which are taxes on goods like alcohol, gas,  cigarettes. Let's take a closer look at individual   income taxes and who pays them. The top 5% —  who made a minimum of about $253,000 — paid $1.4   trillion of tax, or close to 66% of all income  taxes collected in 2021, while the top 10% — who   made at least $170,000 — paid $1.7 trillion, or  almost 76% of all income tax. The bottom 50% of   filers — who made less than $46,637— which is 77  million people, paid 2.3% of all income taxes.   But just to remember, people do pay into Social  Security and Medicare via payroll taxes, and   they're subject to various state, local taxes, and  of course sales taxes is part of that. In 2017,   Congress passed, and President Trump signed, the  Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that lowered individual   rates for every tax bracket, and increased the  tax credit for each child to $2,000. Most of that   $2,000 is refundable, which means you receive cash  back even if you don't owe federal taxes. The bill   also cut the corporate income tax rate from 35%  to 21%. Now— adjusted for inflation— tax revenue   from companies went from $379 billion in 2016, to  $248 billion in 2018, and $422 billion by 2021.   There's a key thing to note though, at the end of  2025 the individual tax cuts expire, they go away,   while the corporate tax cuts do remain in place.  Let's do a fact check: the federal government   spent $6 2 trillion last year, and it took in  nearly $4.5 trillion in revenue, that leaves   a deficit of $1.7 trillion just for 2023. I'm  going to let you know my personal view on this:   I do worry about the size and especially the  growth in our debt. In the last 15 years alone,   Washington has added another $24 trillion to our  total debt. And the interest the government pays   on that debt has gone up, just like it has for  millions of Americans. America still has the   largest and most vibrant economy in the world. And  that has sustained us so far. But in my view, if   we don't have our fiscal house in order, it could  all unwind. Now you may or may not agree with me,   that's really not the point. You have data now to  help you start thinking about these issues. And,   of course, we'll have to see what the presidential  candidates have to say about the matter. That's   it for the federal budget. Thanks for hanging  in there! I hope you agree the more we know,   the better voters we can be. Just the facts  from USAFacts. You decide what you believe.

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