what is up everybody we're back here at King film Sports for the NFL week one betting locks and game predictions here and I will be giving out my picks for all 16 of the NFL games this week and on six of them we will have an official bending lock and be sure to join the Discord which will be in the description below I potentially will be adding a couple more depending on Lon movements or injuries so stay tuned for that also be sure to like And subscribe to the video if you enjoy the content we're coming out with a lot of videos this time of year with college football picking back up we've got the week one uh betting locks and predictions there so be sure to watch that one after this one and then I also will be coming out with a power ranking of the NFL teams heading into this season and then also did my full regular season predictions and playoff predictions in another video there so without further Ado let's get into it and we started out on Thursday night the ring ceremony game the Chiefs and the Ravens rematch of the AFC title game give me the Ravens plus the three points in this one I just really love the value on Baltimore in this spot I really do think that the rosters for these two teams are essentially equivalent there momes may be a little bit better than Lamar but Jackson coming for some Vengeance here in this season after that tough AFC title game loss so I just think that the morale for this Ravens team everyone will be ready to go in this one Arrowhead tough place to play but I do think that with the three points that affords us a little bit of breathing room there but ultimately I do think that the B timore Ravens win this one outright and shock the Chiefs there in Kansas City I just think that their offense is just a little bit better at this point I think Derrick Henry will be ready to go I think that offensive line will have its way with the Chiefs defensive line it's going to come up down to some Mahomes magic late and I'm not sure if he's going to have all of it there in week one so give me the Ravens plus the three points next game we get to the sa Paulo game first NFL game in Brazil to kick off the season here and I'm actually going to be taking the Packers plus three points in this one and if you guys watched my video 4 months ago when the schedule came out in May I was all over the Eagles at minus one or minus one and a half but I just think that the numberers gone too far here in this one and I think this one is going to be a little lower scoring potentially than other people think the Eagles this is their first game with offensive coordinator Kell Moore so I'm not sure if everything's going to mesh properly here I think this Packers defense has got a lot better and that Packers offense I mean we'll see what it looks like coming into this season if do they pick up right where they left off at the end of last season where they were red hot I'm not sure are the Eagles still in a funk like they were in the last couple of months of the regular season last year I'm not sure but I do think that these teams are relatively even and if you're giving me these extra three points here I do love to Value because at the end of the day Jordan love did play better than Jaylen Herz at the end of last year will that be the case in this one not sure but I do think that the Packers have a lot of value here plus the three points next we get to the Falcons and the Steelers it was just named that Russell Wilson will be the starter in this game not a big shocker but the Steelers really just did not look good in preseason at all other than in that first quarter of the last game against the Lions and in this one I'm going to be taking the Falcons to win pretty easily here we'll see what happens with this line because if it gets down to minus 2 and a half I will be taking the Falcons in that spot right now it's looking like it's going to be Falcons minus three but it's trending down a little bit maybe see a little bit of Steelers buyback there I just love Kirk Cousins in this offense sure coming off of the Achilles injury but I think that he doesn't move that much uh altogether so I do not think it that it'll be as much of a problem as it will for say Aaron Rogers Rogers is also a little bit older and then you also just look at bejan Robinson within this offense I think that he's going to have a breakout year this year as well as Kyle Pitts and Drake London I love this offense and their offensive line is pretty good as well and then their defense is always pretty stout so I'm not sure what Russell Wilson will be able to do against this Falcons team if the Steelers want to win I think it'll have to be an ugly game potentially 7 14 there but I think that the Falcons get at least 20 in this one so I think they win it pretty easily there next Bills Cardinals this one could be a a little bit volatile uh I think that the Cardinals are live potentially for an outright upset in this one with the new look bills and their offense here playing with this 12 Personnel but at the end of the day give me Buffalo to win this one at home I also could just see the bills winning this one by 21 plus points uh because I just think this Josh Allen offense will be pretty good and I think that their defensive losses have been a bit overstated there and then what is this Cardinal team going to look like they've got Trey McBride and they've got Marvin Harrison Jr in the wide receiver room but Kyler has been a bit uneasy here these past couple years dealing with that injury so we will see I do like Jonathan Ganon the Cardinal head coach but a little bit of a tough task here in week one for them next we get into another betting lock give me the Titans plus to Five Points in Chicago against the Bears I know that Caleb made a couple good plays in this preseason but I don't think that's going to extend into his first game um I do not think that he's going to have a stellor day here and I just think that the value uh is too much for this Titans team so I have to take them there I'm not even very bullish on the titans this season but I just think in week one potentially will Levis will have a couple throws a couple good reads against this Bears team that they've been drawing up in this off season and I think Caleb will struggle just a little bit I do think that the Bears win this game but it's not going to be as easy as everyone thinks I know the Bears added Keenan Allen um and a Dun there as well as a good running back but offensive line a little bit of a worry and that Titans defensive line is pretty good there so I think that'll be a matchup nightmare for this Bears team so give me the Titans plus to five next we get to the Patriots Bengals this one's pretty easy for me give me Cincy big in this one if we're looking at Survivor I'm definitely taking the Bengals as my Survivor pick favored by N9 n and a half that's really just not a shocker there I just think that this Bengals team uh wins this one pretty easily burrow coming back from that injury uh Jamar Chase looks to be back for this one as well so I think the Bengals win that one big as this New England team I have them being being potentially the worst team in the NFL this year next we get to an AFC South Showdown here in Indie we've got the Texans and the Colts now in my video a few months ago I did have the Texans minus one minus one and a half winning this game and as a betting lock I'm sticking with the Texans to win but look potentially to play the Colts from a spread perspective if it gets to three or three and a half because this is a divisional game they're playing at home it's the kickoff game fans are going to be into it and I think that the Texans hype is getting a little over inflated here I do think that Richardson quarterback for the Colts is being a little overrated uh in his own right but this Texans new look offense with Stefan Diggs uh and Stroud and tank Dell and the like I think it's going to have to mesh uh for a few weeks I think there's going to be some growing pains and potentially an early sophomore slump potentially for CJ strad uh so I'm not particularly high on the Colts either but I would advise everyone to slow down on this Texans team make them earn it in the first few weeks of the Season instead of blindly buying in next week get to the battle for Florida match up here between the Jags and the Dolphins and I do not have a hot take on this game I do think that the Dolphins are the better team and they're at home so give me them to win at home this spread's been pretty interesting I thought it opened around three and a half or four it's come down to the Dolphins minus three uh could look to play them if it gets down to two two and a half uh there um I do think that Trevor Lawrence is in for uh a very interesting season this year he's got a couple more weapons to play with and he did look good going going into December last year before he did get injured and I'm not particularly high on this Miami defense so I do think that we could see a shootout here and also worth mentioning that this game will be very hot uh in the first week of September 1 pm local kick there so we will see but give me the Dolphins to win in that shootout and next we get to the Panthers at the Saints divisional battle here I think that this one will be the opposite I think that it's going to be a very low-scoring game but give me the Saints to win this one pretty easily against this Panthers team I do think that it could be a one possession game late but there's just no trust for me uh with this Panthers team yet I do think that they will improve over the course of the season but right now with Bryce Young's development I think this one is an easy New Orleans Victory especially considering how well their defense played at the end of last year Derek Carr did improve in the last few weeks of the season so it's going to be a big year for them I do think that they deliver in week one so give me the Saints there next we get to the Vikings and the Giants uh two teams that are looking a little down this year Vikings no JJ McCarthy but I think Sam Donal would have started in this one anyway give me the Vikings to win this one I think that the Giants will be one of the teams in the NFL this season and this is one of their more winnable games Vikings look to be the worst team in their division and this one is at home for the Giants Daniel Jones coming back they've got Malik neighbors Jaylen hayatt uh did give away sa paon Barkley and that offensive line isn't great but we will see there but overall I like Minnesota I like Kevin oconnell their head coach and I just like their personnel a little bit more but at the end of the day these teams are both pretty bad so wouldn't me would not surprise me either way next we get to our next betting lock and we have an AFC West battle Raiders at Chargers give me the Raiders plus the Four Points in La here I do think that they will have the fan Advantage as they just have a lot more fans than used to play in Southern California also Las Vegas not too far either and I do think that these teams are relatively even maybe the Chargers over the course of the Season Ascend to a slightly higher level but at this point with Jim Harbaugh's first game and Justin Herbert uh with his limited weapons and his foot injury I just cannot trust them yet uh we'll see lad makoni their rookie wide receiver uh but Quinton Johnson wasn't great either last year they will probably try and ride the ground game with JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards uh but their offensive line probably has to mesh I mean Joe Al it's going to be his first game in this one so we'll see I mean this Raiders defense isn't great but I do think they will be able to slow down that La offense and then I think Gardner mchu he's always pretty decent and I mean this Chargers defense isn't great so I potentially think the Raiders could win this one out right here but at least cover the Four Points there next we get to another very interesting game with a lot of rookies we've got the Broncos at the Seahawks and I think this line is out of control I know Seattle probably the better team and a very tough HomeField advantage to kick off the season but give me the Broncos plus to six points uh I think B Knicks although probably a little bit overhyped in these last couple of weeks because of a couple good preseason moments I think that he will be decent this year and I do like Shawn Payton as the head coach I think that he likes bonick more than Russell Wilson uh so I do think that the offense will be improved a little bit improved personnel as well and then that defense did Ascend at the end of last season uh and then with the Seahawks you're looking at Mike McDonald their head coach's first game I mean I know he will input a good defense in the long term but I'm not sure in this first game what he's able to do there that Seahawks defense was very soft last year and their offensive line wasn't great either so we'll see what goino Smith is able to do but I do like the Broncos in this one plus the six points next we get to another interesting one Cowboys at the Browns I did have a betting lock in the video a few months ago on the Browns Plus to one but can't give it out anymore Browns minus two and a half and I have been hearing a bit of concerning things about deshun Watson uh as the quarterback for this team will he get benched at some point I don't even know uh they have four quarterbacks on this roster which is very concerning so I do like the Browns because I just think this cowboys offense just will regress from last season and I think that their defense frankly is a bit average uh so I do think that this Browns roster is a bit better and they are playing this one at home so give me the Browns narrowly there uh but no play on the spread next game we have the commanders and Jaden Daniels debut in Tampa give me the Bucks to win this one not particularly high on either of these teams but Tampa at home Jaden Daniels debut against an average Buccaneers defense with Todd Bulls as their coach uh and I just think Baker Mayfield the veteran quarterback will get this one done there for Tampa um but could be close if Jane Daniels Wows then could be good for them or if he throws a couple picks it could get really bad but expect it to be pretty close there then we get to the Sunday night matchup rematch of that playoff game Matt Stafford once again back in Detroit here and give me the Rams to keep it close Plus to three and a half in this one I think Kiren Williams in this offense with Matt Stafford puka Nea and Cooper cup will be back at it ready to go and I think this Detroit defense uh is a little bit below average for me so not sure if they'll be able to stop them up really in that playoff game the Rams could have won it if they had settled for Less field goals if they had converted more touchdowns there in the Red Zone um but I do really like this liance offense and I think that they could blow up this Rams defense so look potentially for a higher scoring game even though it is week one uh just because of all these rookies on the front seven for the Rams and Aaron Donald retiring they could just assert their dominance on the ground in the Run game but we will see there I think that Stafford might have to play Hero Ball but I trust that he will keep it within the three and a half points and then finally we get to the Monday night matchup here the Jets at the ners Rogers makes his comeback in San Francisco and the ners a lot of turmoil for this team as we had the auk Saga for the last couple of months and I don't even know if he'll be playing in this game piol may not be ready to go either and then Trent Williams still holding out I mean that is probably a bigger deal in terms of this offensive line in terms of pass Pro and then running the ball as well but still in this one give me the ners to win this game spread has been doing some weird things it started at 5 and a half or six it's come down to three and a half or four so we will monitor what's going on with the ners May potentially make a play on the spread here but I just do think that this Jets roster is a little bit too much of Patchwork I'm not sure how well the offensive line is going to come they brought in a lot of veterans um but just not enough has been proved for this Jets team with Aaron Rogers I know that they have a couple weapons on the outside obviously you've got Bree Hall as well um but just do not think that they can match up with this Niners defense uh with hufanga coming back obviously no green law yet but this D line I think is going to wear out the Jets offensive line here and ultimately I do think that pie will be able to play mistake-free football and win this one for the Niners there at home so with all that being said let me know what you guys think of my predictions here on all of these games let me know what you guys think about my six betting locks within this video do you agree do you disagree let me know what I had wrong there as always I will see you all in the next one