Labor Day weekend weather preview

[Music] [Music] [Music] [Applause] [Music] [Music] [Applause] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] hi everyone happy Saturday so great to be back with you guys um Chris last weekend filled in for me I went to Austin to visit his own family and then the weekend before I was here Saturday but Larry filled in for me on Sunday because it was my sister's baby shower I really appreciate as always my awesome team members for filling in when we need time out okay everybody it's hot and humid you can tell from my hair it's frizzy it's humid outside it's just kind of that time of year but we are going to get a break in the Heat and the humidity heading into next week so we have some better weather if you're a fan of that on the way however today is not that day we are in the mid to uper 70s you just saw the official number turn we just got the 10 o'clock data 77 with a feels like temperature at around 80 degrees now today we are going to be in the 90s but it only feels like the upper 90s I say only but that's because it's not the peak heat that we've had of the summer so far it's not quite as high as it has been although it is still going to be plenty hot plenty humid now last night we had of those storms producing Heavy Rain some Gusty winds some lightning of course their one lightning strike did cause installing there in Union County a water tower to burst and kind of leak um water there it we did get reports that it had been cleaned up but regardless it was it was intense you can see a few storm reports we have two flood reports some wind reports locally however yesterday it was worse toward our North and Northeast you can see that cluster of wind reports up toward the Raleigh Durham area also up toward the Triad just north of our Mountain areas uh even into Parts there of Virginia so here's the key here I tell you that because these same areas north and Northeast of us are going to see a higher chance of strong storms today and the reason why is that the front that was right over us and still is lingering nearby is going to slightly shift to the north and Northeast as that occurs we are going to see slightly lower rain chances today it's not going to be quite as high as we were yesterday so around 20 to 30% chance at a maximum so as that front slips off to the north and Northeast you see it there we see that approaching front from the Northwest in between these two fronts is your Saturday which is why it's still hot and humid we're just not going to be quite as hot and humid as we were past few days but then on Sunday the humidity yes we know it's elevated but it's the storms that really start to crank up so if if we're at 20% today tomorrow we're at at least 50 or 60 your hour by hour forecast you'll see this 9 s yes but notice more storm potential tomorrow on the hourly numbers but also they start much earlier let's look at Future cast we have a better chance of rain and storms today in the mountains and foothills around three o'clock those are developing there a popup again isolated storm could develop in the Metro our best chance is between about 3 and 8 and then it starts to clear out but then Sunday while we start off dry with some patchy fog once again Sunday storms will pop up as early as about noon time but the mountains and while they'll take some time to get to the Metro you'll notice as we look ahead to Sunday here in futurecast much more widespread you can see the pockets of heavy rain popping up on radar and then these storms if you notice they kind of form in a line here are with the front that's coming in so when storms are Tri triggered by a front it just allows for an additional bit of lift so we do see lift we see humidity during you know a typical Summer Afternoon like what we'll see today but when we get an additional lift with that front nearby this can trigger a better chance of severe storms which is why tomorrow I think we'll have better opportunities for Gusty winds heavy rain and frequent lightning so I'd guess no severe storm warnings today maybe one at a maximum but tomorrow they'll be much much more scattered Monday still a little bit of a question mark here it really depends on how far south the front does linger if it lingers much further south we could see not a lot of storm activity Monday afternoon if it lingers a little bit closer we could see some of those storm South Charlotte but I can tell you that in the morning we will see some spotty rain but notice with this latest run the storms are actually a lot further south so again a lot of that's a little bit of a question mark it all depends on where the front sets up now Monday storms wouldn't be severe but we would just see more clouds and more opportunities for rain if the front is closer now we know with the cloud cover that we talked about cooler temperatures are coming Monday so keep Monday in the back of your head for just a second wanted to give you a quick overview about tomorrow with that chance of strong to severe storms what impacts could be so today yes we could see heavy rain and just a few of those isolated pockets of rain but tomorrow almost everyone has an opportunity to see these risks so frequent lightning even some isolated flooding and some of these more slow moving storms uh Gusty winds almost always the biggest impact here in the Charlotte area and then even some small hail now tomorrow is our transitionary day so just to kind of recap the weekend so today hot and humid 20% chance of rain not expecting severe tomorrow more likely that the storms will become severe with a front later in the day more rain and storm activity but Monday cloudier as the front starts to move away slightly cooler temperatures I mean we're talking the mid 80s I still think plenty of folks will be able to get outside I mean the 80s are still warm it's just going to be a little bit cooler than where we are Saturday and Sunday and I'm not expecting it to rain all day by any stretch to the imagination but you should expect more clouds heading into the Labor Day itself and then post Labor Day this 10 six to 10 day forecast the 8 to 14 day forecast all long range models point to not just a few days in the lower 80s upper 70s but probably for at least 10 days which from now is about two weeks away that would be about the time that maybe we could start to see those temperatures begin to warm now this time of year we're normally in the mid to uper 80s so this would more likely be low 80s upper 70s when we talk about cooler air because meteorological fall begins tomorrow so our high temperature averages quickly go down we're in the mid 80s now with the average as of September 1st which is tomorrow but by the last day of meteorological fall which is November 30th the average high is in the upper 50s so we know fall and spring big transitionary you know Seasons here in the Carolinas and y'all are going to feel it this week now something that doesn't feel as fall-like but definitely feels like September is that the tropics are starting to wake up we have three areas of Interest right now with a low to medium chance of development the first that's over toward uh Texas Coastline likely does not develop I mean I say likely will not develop most like I don't why I keep saying most likely it will not develop um into at least a tropical system but it's already producing areas of heavy rain and Gusty Winds near the Texas coast because it does have some of those um tropical characteristics trying to develop but will it ever become an actual depression or storm no but the medium chance of development is when we're keeping a really really close eye on right now again with the medium chance of development in general but a lot of long range models are indic ating a pretty good chance that that could go into the Gulf of Mexico obviously we know that things can change but when there's consistency with long range models that's when people really start to pay attention and then of course Brad mentioned this I believe on Wednesday night but another trop or Wednesday or Thursday but another tropical wave just came off the coast of Africa and that's the third one that we're watching important to note about these three is that none of them are an immediate threat to the Carolinas by any stretch and we of course will let you know if anything changes and as you know we track these over the next few days however I just want to remind people about the time of year it is September 1st starts tomorrow in historical Atlantic hurricane season almost 90% of our activity happens after August 1 however the peak of hurricane season itself starts in September and really goes from September 10th all the way through the middle part of October so we're not even at the peak of hurricane season yet and in the Carolinas we have seen late season storms impact us before so late September and at October I say late season because it's just not where we have been so far um so your Guy Roofing 7-day forecast 92 degrees today we will still feel like the upper 90s today and tomorrow but tomorrow has that better chance of rain and storms in the afternoon better chance too of them becoming strong to severe so if I had to pick one day to get outside it would be today but if you are going to be out at the pool on the water traveling with the kids still of course pay attention to the forecast you can always track the storms live with our free WCNC Charlotte mobile app um and Brad is actually also filling in for KJ this weekend so chief meteorologist Brad panovich will be here tonight and tomorrow if anything gets a little crazy U on Monday I'll be in for him at night and it is of course Labor day we'll be tracking some of those isolated showers more cloud cover but listen I will take mostly clouding 84 over the mess that we have seen over the past week and then you can kind of see that Trend there into the 70s for a lot of next week Thursday Friday right now a stronger storm system looks to move through and cause those higher rain chances but you should expect expect at least some slight adjustments here because it's still a week away um I hope everybody has a fantastic happy healthy and safe Saturday um just because of the fact that we have strong to severe storms tomorrow I'll be back here on Facebook for our stream to talk a little bit more about Sunday tomorrow and give you another preview of Monday and let you know if anything has changed but at least for now 92 20% chance of rain enjoy your Saturday stay safe and stay hydrated and I'll see you guys tomorrow at 6: a.m.