veteran statistician and prognosticator within several different media Outlets Nate silver has come up with a new forecast graphic one is where he sees who's favored to win the presidency and remember this is this is not just like the polling this is the probability of an electoral college win he's jumped Trump up to 56.7 yeah that's big that's huge you guys want to know uh what he had at this point in 2020 yeah Biden was at 89% chance of winning are you kidding 89 this is po market and they predict Trump's odds at winning are higher than Harris's by as much as 5% MH the problem for Camala Harris still exists in that her Administration made a huge mess and Americans remember things were much better under Trump