[Music] [Applause] [Music] [Applause] hello everyone my name is Frank Driscoll and welcome to Driscoll's election dissection your election analysis for across the circus I hope you all are doing well today wherever you are so we were off the last couple of weeks cuz there weren't any major Battleground elections going on I do want to um apologize though to our friends in Massachusetts whom I kind of skipped over on the last program I should have mentioned that primary elections were on Tuesday September 3rd but unfortunately there wasn't much to talk about as all the incumbents in the house were running for reelection with token opposition if any opposition at all so I apologize for our friends in Massachusetts for not getting the word out about election day but moving forward we are now in the final week of primary elections on the election calendar for 2024 can you believe it we started all the way back in March and not every week but every so often there'd be ones to talk about and here we are on the last one so Tuesday September 10th is primary election day for three US states those States being Delaware New Hampshire and Road Island now we're going to be talking about two states today and we're talking about Democratic primaries only only so let's not waste any time let's pack our bags and head over to the first state the state of Delaware now it's a big year for Delaware politics uh an open senate seat as Senator Tom Carper is retiring however we won't talk about that because there's only one major Democratic candidate and it's a safely Democratic seat so they're shuing we'll discuss that in a minute because that candidate is elevating from a seat that we'll be talking about but first we head to the governor's mansion talk about the gubernatorial election in the state of Delaware now the current governor of Delaware is Democratic governor John Carney is first elected in 2012 reelected in 2016 he is term limited and therefore cannot run for governor however his name will still be on the primary ballot in Delaware yes in fact Governor John Carney is running for mayor of the city of Wilmington yes it's not every day the current governor decides to run for a mayoral office but hey you know you have to see it at least once in your life I'm assuming so the governor's seat is open there are three major Democratic candidates those being lieutenant governor Bethany Hall long Newcastle County Executive Matt Meyer and CEO of the National Wildlife Federation Colin Omar now this race seems to be very close for the top two candidates in the polls that have been made in the last month some have shown big leads for either candidates and some even in fact a call from early July from slingshot strategies sponsored by citizens for a new Delaware pack which has endorsed the Meer campaign by the way showed Hall long and Meyer tied at 27% however earlier in August the same pack and the same pster made a poll and it showed Meyer leading by Four Points not long before that in mid July there was a poll sponsored by the Democratic Lieutenant Governor's Association from public policy polling that showed Hall long leading Meyer by a much larger margin by 12 points the governor's office in Delaware is safely Democratic whoever wins this primary will very likely win a November so it's going to be one to watch and as we know the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day so now we go to the US House election in Delaware for the congressional district now Delaware has a relatively small population as a result there's only one seat in the US House of Representatives it's their at large congressional district now the current holder of this seat is Democrat Lisa blunt Rochester she was first elected in 2016 and she is running for the open senate seat and she's the only Democrat in the primary there so she's all but certain to win the primary so with that this seat is now open and judging with how representative Rochester's campaign is going whoever holds this seat could hold it for a long time maybe use it as a springb board for higher political office we don't know so there are three major candidates in this race and they are professional golfer Earl Cooper State Senator Sarah McBride and accounts payable supervisor Elias Weir now there hasn't been a recent poll for this race in fact the last poll that was made was all the way in October sponsored by the citizens for judicial fairness and it's showed McBride with a good 12-point lead now it's not one to say if her lead has gone down or if it's gone up since then we don't have much of a view however despite that still keep an eye on this race and now from there we leave Delaware and we head not that far away to the Granite State the state of New Hampshire now New Hampshire is set to have a very close gubernatorial election this year we will discuss that at a later time because the primaries here aren't exactly Battleground but we are talking about the Democratic primary for New Hampshire's second congressional district now the current representative for New Hampshire second congressional district is democratic representative Annie kuster she was first elected in 2012 and has served ever since uh she is retiring this year choosing not to run for reelection and according to the cook's partisan voting index Democrats are favored in this seat by two points so the Democrat candidate will have an advantage but not a big one but still it's still a Battleground for this partisan primary there are two major candidates and they are former Biden White House Aid Maggie goodlander and former State executive counselor Colin Van Austin now goodlander seems to have been doing well in the polls the most recent poll was from mid August and the pller was the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and goodlander led van aern by six points and in another poll around the same time from public policy polling and sponsored by the principal veterans fund which has endorsed good Lander's campaign goodlander led by 10 points so goodlander seems to be in a good position but van atin is not that far behind and it's important who Democrats choose in this election because they will have to do quite a bit of campaigning it's not all but certain like the seats in Delaware they're going to have to do some real campaigning if they want to keep this seat but they do have an itch so those are primaries to watch in Delaware and New Hampshire for Tuesday September 10th this may be our last primary edition of the show but in the weeks leading up to election day we will be talking about tossup races throughout the country we'll be talking about close Senate races close Governor's races close house races okay you're not going to want to miss that so we're going to go into real overdrive heading into election day and as always if you're willing to learn more about elections in your area be sure to check out politics1.com as well as ballot pedia.com and if you're willing to look at recent polls be sure to check out 538.com so those elections are for September 10th and as always I say if you are a registered voter in Delaware New Hampshire or Rhode Island I don't care who you vote for but I do care that you vote so please do thank you for for listening to Driscoll's election dissection if you would like to learn more about the show go online to alprs docomo thee circus and be sure to listen to us on any podcasting form you like thank you all for listening and I will see you all very soon [Music]