Texas at Michigan Michigan is uh excuse me Texas is favored by six and a half the over under is set at 44 A2 early early in the week here Texas has coming off a really good season and I'm not going to talk too much about their week one game I mean it it wasn't you know I I would say the highlight of the week one game for Texas was the fact that Arch Manning was able to get out there and play right and I I don't anticipate this game being one that Arch man gets out there I mean I guess you never know but I don't foresee that being a storyline here today so I'll kind of exclude the week one game cuz it really there wasn't much to gather from it I don't think um but everybody knows Texas has loaded at the wide receiver room Quin ERS is back again um you've got Arch Manning backing him up God forbid something happens uh the offensive line is is is pretty good but they're going to be really tested in this match up Mason because Michigan has one of the best defensive lines in the country especially on the interior with Mason Graham uh so I'm sure that'll be something that we kind of talk about today and something that's been in my head but this game seems like a clash of two very very different styles of football you you've got the more modern the modern look in Texas really good wide receiver room I'd argue probably the best wide receiver room in the country uh against Michigan who is more of a defensive based team right the their strength lies on in the defense and um really kind of all levels of the defense in my opinion as I was kind of rehashing their roster and watching their Fresno State game from last week so um I I think that um I I think that a few things are are are kind of going on in my head the wide receivers at Texas is it just too much that that's kind of my thing is this going to be too much for this Michigan secondary that I think is really really good but golden Bond Wingo uh jonte cook uh uh Silas Balden I mean the list just goes on and on I'm not even naming everyone in that wide receiver room you know I've seen it in college football uh I've seen it happen to Georgia I've seen it happen to the Georgia Bulldogs you know when you've got that much of wealth of of talent in a in a room like the wide receiver room sometimes that can just be a game breaker dude and and if Texas can protect Quinn ERS which they didn't do a fantastic job of last year if they can protect him from this really really good Michigan defense and I you can only cover these wide receivers so long that I mean that that's just it is what it is they're they're really really really good so um I I think that that is a big X Factor in this game how does Michigan deer the the activity on the Texas offense you you got to kind of look at it from a couple of different angles here what what's what's your thoughts on this game um you know is michig going to have going to have enough Firepower that's something that a lot of people have talked about what are they going to have on offense right a lot of guys gone what what is this offense going to look like against a Texas defense that I don't feel like is that great right um what what are your thoughts on this one well first of all I look at that over under at 44 and a half and I think that's ex extremely low um not saying that that I I'm I have a lean on the over or anything like that but that's I mean just it is what it is that's a low number right I don't it may be right I I'm really not sure we'll have to kind of break this down a little bit further but that was the first thing that I looked at when I when I pulled up these uh these totals here um especially with Texas and the Firepower that they have I think it's a testament to the Michigan defense and and y'all this is a this is a game that that we had circled long ago and I looked at this game and and thought hey this is one that Michigan could get and and would be a huge feather in their cap uh when you look at the college football playoff and and um their you know their path to the playoff I think that this is a kind of a keyo game for Michigan where they really need to win it more than probably Texas does Texas still has a few games that they could win in the SEC and get in um I mean Michigan as I mean they they could win the Big 10 and get in as well but I I think you see my point here where I feel like Michigan is going to need this game because um they they probably don't match up as as well against in Oregon or Ohio State as they have in the past and um this could be this could be a game that they win and go 10 and two or something like that and uh and get in you know without going to the big 10 Championship so really important for both teams uh but but maybe Michigan more so I think that this Michigan defense showed us a lot in in week one um the offense sputtered right we didn't know what we were going to get at quarterback Alex orgy um does not play a ton had two pass attempts in this week one game Jack tuttles hurt so Davis Warren was kind of your your go-to guy at quarterback I thought he played pretty well uh you know I I didn't see any any glaring mistakes or anything like that um but this is an offense that probably doesn't have the uh camaraderie the the the chemistry um they haven't jelled quite yet and I think that that could be uh a little bit of a concern for me when you're facing this Texas defense which I do think is pretty good I really liked what I saw out of mullings the running back you kind of pair him with Donovan Edwards and now all of a sudden you've got a pretty good on-two punch like you had last year with Blake corm and Donovan Edwards um I think that mullings could be your bcal back and and that's not that's not a surprise for us we we talked about mullings in our breakdown thought that he had a a really good chance to produce in this offense and he did 92 yards uh this past week for him against Fresno State that was that was pretty impressive on 11 carries and um Donovan Edwards also 11 carries just 27 yards so I I'm looking at Bowlings I'm wondering if he doesn't get more involved um then you know Coulson Loveland was your bcow receiver there eight perceptions 87 yards and a touchdown that's not a big surprise uh Michigan once again has a really good he's he's pretty broken uh Michigan once again has a really good tight end you know and and that's that's not a surprise for us but um I I I want to see the quarterback get a little bit more involved get it to to a few more guys Sage Morgan supposed to be the the breakout wide receiver he only had two receptions for eight yards um Tyler Morris had three receptions 15 yards just not a ton of production in the passing game outside of dropping it off to coulston leveland and I'm I I'm here to tell you that that Texas is linebackers are going to match up much better than Fresno State would um against Coulson leveland a lot more athletic linebackers with guys like uh uh Anthony Hill you know at linebacker for um for Texas I I think that maybe you kind of match him up against Coulson Loveland and and try to take him out of the game as much as possible because Michigan didn't have much outside of that now when we broke this game down um a few a few weeks ago I guess it was I picked Michigan to win this game and the reason being is because of their running game I I think that they're going to be pretty good on the offensive line I didn't see any glaring mistakes it wasn't a perfect game against Fresno State or anything like that presno State's got a pretty good team first of all but um I I expected them to block a little bit better against that defense and and probably left a little bit to to be desired in that game but um going to Texas on on the Texas side of things I I don't I don't necessarily love their defensive front and we didn't see them get tested by Colorado State so I I don't I don't know if if we have any answers this game's going to give us some answers on the front but uh to me if if Michigan wants to win this game they're going to have to run the football maybe you get Alex orgie a little bit more involved in this one and and do some RPO type stuff um and um yeah and try not to be to onedimensional with it you know you bring Davis Warren in for some passes and and um you know but to me if Michigan wants to win this game they got to make it physical they don't want to they don't want to get into a shootout right make it physical up front and uh try to run the dang ball that's to me that that's how that's how Michigan can get it done um I'll leave my Texas side of you know side of of how they can win to to after your point but um you know what what are your thoughts on this game what's what's Michigan's key to Victory to you well honestly my my key to victory for Michigan is is on the defensive side of the ball because that's where the strength is for this team so if they're going to win this football game they're going to have to do it on the defensive side of the ball I I don't you know I don't see anything changing week two for for Michigan's offens really a whole lot I mean um you know it is what it is and and guys are going to get better as the season goes along here but this defense is good enough to keep you in any game that you play in and here's my question will Michigan be able to rush three or four and sit back in coverage because we've we've talked about Texas we just put a video out a couple weeks ago talking about you know this running back room leaves a little bit to be desired I mean I saw Jaden blue play in that that week one game that's good stuff but you know you're kind of you you've got him and then jerck Gibson you're you're kind of hoping that he's going to be able to step up and this is a this is a Big Boy defense you're about to be running against here and um I'm just a little worried especially you know after CJ Baxter goes down with the season ending injury obviously um is the reason I referenced this so if Michigan can bring three or four and sit back in coverage and make Texas onedimensional I do think the secondary is good enough to get a couple of turnovers and turn this just steal a couple of possessions right um you know it's it's if they can if if Texas can't establish the Run Michigan's going to be able to sit back and it's going to be hell I mean this secondary led by Will Johnson is is a pretty good one I mean yeah the the safety Rod Moore kind of muddied the picture up a little bit whenever he got hurt but I mean this is one of the best and deepest pass defending groups in America so um you know Texas is is going to be tested they have not seen a defense like this um really in a long long time I mean Texas is an SEC team they haven't played an SEC schedule yet um a lot of the statistics and things that we saw from this team were while they played in the Big 12 last year against a lot of inferior opponents Michigan is a good enough defense that if you're not minding your Ps and q's they're going to make you pay for it and I'm I'm interested to see I'm interested to see how Quinn ERS handles it man because there's going to be some adversity in this in this game I don't think Texas is going to be able to establish the run in this game and therefore I think there's going to be a lot of trouble for this offense because if you can't establish the Run Mason you're going to find yourself in third and long against this Michigan defense more I mean you're it's going to happen a lot so how can you convert those third Downs well the long you know the more yardage you got to go the less percentage you got to make that third down and that's that's kind of the key to Victory I think for Michigan is get this Texas offense and third and long third and obvious right and do what you do play defense and on the offensive side of the ball I think it's super simple for Michigan you got to run the football um you know you did not utilize your running back I don't feel like very well in that opening game there uh Donovan Edwards did not I mean he had like no carries going pretty deep into that game like one carry two three three carries you know just what are we doing feed that man you know I I don't understand why you're not feeding that guy unless he's you know secret secretly not healthy or something I have no idea I have no reason to believe that so um very simple on offense you got to establish the Run don't turn it over right don't you can't give Texas any extra possessions because that that's the last thing this offense needs you give them extra chances they're going to make they're going to burn you uh so th those are kind of my keys to victory for Michigan what what about Texas on the Texas side of it let's let's talk about some of their keys to Victory what you got yeah I mean looking at Texas um like you said I I don't know that I don't know that Texas goes into this game thinking we got to establish the run I I know you want to I just don't know that that should be your strategy um get some short yardage passes right get get some get some jet sweeps and and some um get get some of these wide receivers involved on the perimeters if you want to try to run directly at this defensive front I don't think it's a great idea even though you've got a really good offensive line I I do think that Texas has you know the best offensive line we've seen in years for them um and and one of the best in the SEC I I do I do think that you put some trust into them but you're you're going to have to um limit the pass rush by Michigan which is a tough task they looked really good they were flying all around the football uh this past week against Fresno State um I I don't think there's much of a drop off for for Michigan's defense so um but if if Texas wants to win this game I I think that they are going to have to win it in the air um that to me if if they want to go in and run the football it's not going to work right so the the the next thing that you can do is is pass the ball and in order for that to happen got to have some run or some pass protection um and then these these receivers are going to get open you got to make sure you make the right the right play um you can only hold up for so long on the defensive secondary and uh Quinn y has got to make sure he he finds the right receiver goes through his progressions gets the ball to them um and and that to me that's it it's pretty cut and dry for Texas um on the offensive side of the football on the defensive side of the football just play the run right play The Run make them beat you over top um and I think that that's where Texas is probably going to struggle they are going to get beat in a few plays over the top and I think that what you're really looking for is for uh Davis Warren and Alex orgy to make mistakes capitalize on those mistakes get some fumbles get some interceptions you know whatever you got to do wreak havoc in the back field bling some bring some Blitz packages let those linebackers uh take a little bit of the the uh the brunt of it I guess uh of the the damage you know let them kind of consume some of that damage on the second line of the defense and um you know just just capitalize on the mistakes because I think that this is a uh Michigan offense that is going to continue to make mistakes uh but whether or not Texas's defense can capitalize on them I think that's that's kind of the bigger question yeah yeah I look let's go back to the offense for Texas and an extension of the of the Run game is certainly the short passing game and that's that's what Texas is going to have to do in this game you're absolutely right they're not going to be able to line up and run straight at this Michigan defense I don't think a ton of teams are going to be able to do that so you're right you got to spread them out that's that's the next best thing let's and that's what Texas wants to do in this offense by the way I mean it it's pretty obvious that's what the system is spread you out use the entire field and that's what you're going to have to do with these really Speedy uh wide receivers that you've got here spread the field out far you know 52 yards wide and work it I mean that that's really what's going to have to happen um and to kind of piggyback off my point that was kind of a a key to victory for Michigan this offensive line I'm really interested to see the right side of this off offensive line in particular I I like the left side you got you know Kelvin Banks and and um you know Hayden Connor I like left but I still like and then Jake Majors you got to feel really good about him at Center but DJ Campbell Cameron Williams how do they respond you know uh those matchups they're going to have some really tough matchups this weekend right um so how do they respond to this because you know I if like I said if Michigan can bring three or four and sit back in coverage and still get pressure on the quarterback it's going to be a long day it's going to be a long day Michigan will probably win the football game so it it's it's going to come down to the fact that you know can can we get Michigan to come back down to the line of scrimmage by using the extension of the passing game you know as an extension of the Run game um can we get them to re back down towards the line of scrimmage and hit them over the top with some of these Speedy wide receivers I think it's a pretty simple uh strategy but much easier said than done because it's easy to say well we're just not going to run the football but you have to you have to at least somewhat you have to find a way to run the football because as I said there there has to be some kind of short yardage threat uh keep keep this defense honest and um that that's kind of my key factors for for Texas the wide receivers is going to have to eat Matthew golden Isaiah Bond um you need to get the tight end Amari nblack involved jonte cook all these guys Silas Balton Ryan Wingo you know looked good uh a lot bigger than what I even thought Ryan Wingo looked really big Gunner Helm I mean this it's an embarrassment of riches at the wide receiver room uh if you're going to win this game it's no secret that you're going to have to tap in to your talent Rich roster and uh put guys in positions to you know put their talent on display and um you know going to be easier said than done against this Michigan defense you got anything else on this one Mason um are are we ready to do our prediction on it do you want to you want to give an early give mean yeah yeah we'll we'll talk some leans here um you know right now I I think I'm taking the the home dog here um taking those plus the plus six and a half I feel like really feel like the population is going to be betting on Texas and I feel like I feel like this is just begging you to take Texas this line from Vegas so you know I don't mean to switch up from being all college football analytic to Vegas you know what Vegas is doing and how to beat Vegas but those are really two different things I I I totally see you know why the public perception is the way that it is but they don't build these big buildings in Vegas by you know just giving you giving you money so I feel like they're begging you to take Texas you know you're thinking wow I even got a half point for aown here Texas wins by seven this is easy I don't know and the over under Mason is really peculiar I mean that's an NFL over under number right there so you can't go under you're going to bet under on a 44 and a half whenever you've got like you know six NFL wide receivers on the field throughout the game I I I just I can't see that I can't see that so just out of principle Mason I'm going to have to go over on this thing and I know a lot of people were probably thinking they wanted to take the under with with Michigan you know but just don't see how you do it at 44 A2 uh that that seems really really low to me I'm going to keep an eye on it throughout the week I want to see if this number ticks up throughout the week and guys come join us on Tuesday night we're going to talk about this live and give you our full predictions and what we're locked in on and what we're betting on and then Thursday we have a betting show that it's going to talk about all our Best Bets for the week which we were on fire last week so Mason what's what's your prediction on this one I I like let just to kind of put a cherry on it right now I'm feeling like Texas wins but not by a touchdown I think this is a field goal game um as of right now I I gotta kind of sleep on it though man I'm not going to lie to you this this one is hard to put your finger on Styles make fights and I'm just not sure what kind of fight we're about to have yeah I I completely agree and and I'm with you on on Michigan and the points um I I think that this one is one that you wait on right because the public is going to be putting money towards Texas I assume maybe we get to a a seven and a half type of number and i' feel really good about that for for Michigan um and and and betting you know plus seven and a half I still think that Michigan I still at this point and and maybe Tuesday I changed my mind maybe Thursday I changed my mind whatever but at this point in the week I still feel really good about Michigan winning this game look like you said Styles make fights Michigan as a whole as a unit is better on the lines of scrimmage um Michigan is definitely better in the secondary I give the edge to uh Texas's linebackers I give the edge to Texas's uh Playmakers on the perimeter and at quarterback um at this point I do give Texas a slight Edge on the offensive line because we just don't know what we're getting out of Michigan um but I think that Michigan's got better running backs so but to me the line of lines of scrimmage you got to you got to add like a a one t 1.5 times multiplier right and to me I I think that the defensive line of Michigan is going to to dominate this game the secondary um is going to be that second piece for for Michigan and you combine those two and you're eliminating the passing game for Texas and and to me that's that spells the um that that that looks to me like an underw hit even at 44 and a half I think I would still lean under on that number I could see this I could very very easily see this being like a a 20 to uh 13 type of game you know something like that super low scoring I'm not I would not be betting under I just I I have a tough time betting the over as well um even with it being at 44 and a half so to me I would stay away from that that point total but I really like Michigan and the points for this one [Music]