all right so we got the uh 2PM advisory from the hurricane center and it's still on the same track it's still got an 80% chance of formation within the next 7 days and The Cone that you see there in red that is a 7day Outlook so this system should be to the west of that cone the left hand side of that cone in 7 days where it goes after that well here's what they say it's not even going to get to Cuba or Haiti apparently it's going to go up towards Bermuda and those are the spaghetti models now this next picture is is off the same site and they're all over the place and they're getting closer to Miami actually some go across Haiti now there's one that goes across Cuba a little bit but they're getting closer to Miami so the previous one nowhere near Miami nowhere near Haiti really and the second one hitting Haiti a little bit but a lot closer to Miami so generally the general consensus is that it is going to take that norly turn and go in the Atlantic Ocean and head towards the general vicinity of um Bermuda but things change and just looking at the two different spaghetti models both from the same website it's too wide of an area to be uh guaranteeing is to take that norly turn before it comes anywhere near Florida I mean I hope it does go up the Atlantic and misses Florida and misses muta we don't need it hitting anybody but we're just going to keep our eye on this I think it depends on how slow the system moves so if it moves really slow it's going to get closer and closer to Florida as it takes that noly turn and if it moves pretty fast it'll take that Northerly turn a lot earlier and head towards Bermuda so it all depends on how fast this is moving and right now it's hardly moving anywhere so this track or the cone I should say has been the same now for about 3 days so there you have it so that's your 2 p.m. tral update make of it whatever you will because the spaghetti models are literally all over the place all right please make sure you're subscribing to the channel thanks for watching see you later