ONE OF THE THINGS WE KNOW IS THIS'LL BE A TIGHT RACE UNTIL THE VERY END, SO LET'S NOT PAY TOO MUCH ATTENTION TO THE POLLS BECAUSE WE ARE RUNNING AS THE UNDERDOG. AND WE HAVE SOME HARD WORK AHEAD OF US, BUT WE LIKE HARD WORK. HARD WORK IS GOOD WORK. >> VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS UNDERSCORING TO HER SUPPORTERS THAT SHE IS THE UNDERDOG IN THIS RACE, BUT THE POLLS DONE AFTER THE CONVENTION ARE STARTING TO SHOW SOME KEY CHANGES IN THE RACE. THAT IS STILL WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR, BUT IN LATE JUNE DISASSEMBLING HAD TRUMP WITH IN YOUR FOR POINT LEAD OVER PRESIDENT BIDEN. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL IS NOT OUT WITH A NEW POLL TODAY SHOWING HARRIS WITH A TWO-POINT LEAD IN A FIELD WITH MULTIPLE OPPONENTS. ALSO WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR. TAKE A LOOK AT THESE FAVORABILITY NUMBERS FROM THAT. 49% HAD A FAVORABLE VIEW OF IS PRESENT HARRIS. ARE RUNNING MADE IS AT 46% WHEN IT COMES TO TRUMP AND J.D. VANCE MOORE VOTERS HAVE AN UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF EACH. JOINING ME TO DISCUSS IT ALL IS A NEW YORK TIMES OPINION CONTRIBUTOR IN COHOST OF THE LATINO VOTE PODCAST. ALL OF THIS PULLING. TAKE IT WITH A GRAIN OF SALT I ALWAYS SAY. THEY ARE NOT PREDICTIVE. THEY ARE INDICATIVE OF A SNAPSHOT IN TIME. I THINK THIS'LL BE A CLOSE RACE. WHAT DO THESE POLLS TELL US? IS IT A SIGN THAT THE MESSAGE FROM THE CONVENTION IS RESONATING? >> WE HAVE DEALT WITH A LOT OF CANDIDATES OVER OUR CAREERS. WHAT I TELL THEM IS IT IS ONE POLE, BUT POLLS ARE STRUNG TOGETHER WILL SHOW YOU WHAT IS HAPPENING. I GAVE THEM CREDIT EARLY ON. THERE HAS BEEN A DEFINITE SHIFT . I STILL WORK IN A LOT OF RACES AROUND THE COUNTRY. YOU TALKED EARLIER ABOUT FOCUS GROUPS. WHAT WE ARE HEARING IS THERE IS A REAL ENERGY OUT THERE. DOES THAT MEAN WE ARE GOING TO WIN? IT JUST MEANS THAT THERE ARE THINGS MOVING. THERE IS ONLY A SMALL GROUP OF PEOPLE WHO IS GOING TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE HERE IN THOSE STATES. >> ONE OF THOSE IS GEORGIA. A LOT OF PEOPLE SAY THIS ACCELERATED CAMPAIGN WOULD BE A RACE BY THE HARRIS CAMPAIGN AND TRUMP CAMPAIGN TO DEFINE VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS. IT LOOKS LIKE THESE POLLS MEAN THAT SHE HAS WON THE RACE ABOUT DEFINING OR IS THAT A WRONG BREED OF THIS ? >> I THINK AT THE END OF THE DAY A PART OF THIS IDEA SHE HAS TO DEFINE HERSELF. SHE HAS BEEN IN OFFICE FOR THREE AND HALF YEARS AS A PART OF THE ADMINISTRATION. SOME OF THAT I THINK HAS BEEN A DATE AND SWITCH. WEST THROW SOMETHING OUT WHEN WE DO NOT HAVE ANYTHING LEGITIMATE. PARTICULAR SINCE SHE IS RISING IN THE POLLS. WE ARE ACTUALLY SEEING THIS MOMENTUM THAT IS ON HER SIDE RIGHT NOW. I THINK REPUBLICANS GROSSLY UNDERESTIMATED THE IMPACT OF COMING AFTER WOMEN WITH REPRODUCTIVE RIGHTS AND REPRODUCTIVE JUSTICE. I THINK THAT IS PLAYING ITSELF OUT. WE ARE SEEING YOUNG WOMEN REGISTER TO VOTE AT RECORD NUMBERS. WE ARE SEEING WOMEN VOLUNTEER AT RECORD NUMBERS. A PART OF WHAT IS HAPPENING IS THERE IS A LOT OF ENERGY AND A LOT OF IT BASED ON WHO SHE IS AND ALSO WHAT SHE STANDS FOR. >> TO THE POINT ABOUT PERHAPS THE BAD TASTE THAT HAS BEEN LEFT IN THEIR MOUTHS OF SOME OF THE THINGS COMING FROM TRUMP AND J.D. VANCE PICK AT LEAST HALF OF VOTERS IN THIS POLL HAVE A BETTER IMPRESSION OF DONALD TRUMP AND HIS RUNNING MADE. IF THIS WAS A NORMAL CAMPAIGN YOU WOULD THINK THIS MIGHT BE A SIGN TO CHANGE THE STRATEGY, BUT THESE ARE NOT NORMAL TIMES. >> THESE ARE ALSO NONNORMAL CANDIDATES ON THE TRUMP SIDE. THERE IS NOTHING NORMAL ABOUT J.D. VANCE AND DONALD TRUMP. IT IS PERPLEXING TO ME IT IS STILL ONLY HALF OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE WITH AN UNFAVORABLE VIEW OF EITHER ONE OF THEM. I GUESS THAT SPEAKS TO A DIFFERENT SET OF ISSUES WE CAN DIAGNOSE AT A DIFFERENT TIME. ANY TIME YOU ARE UNDERWATER OVER 50% UNFAVORABLE USUALLY NOT A GOOD TRAJECTORY. I THINK THERE IS SOMETHING TO BE SAID. PARTICULARLY ABOUT WOMEN AND THE WAY THEY HAVE REACTED TO THEIR CAMPAIGN. IT HAS BEEN PRETTY REMARKABLE. THE REPUBLICANS HAVE BEEN UNABLE TO COUNTERACT ITS. J.D. VANCE SEEMED TO FIND ANOTHER CATEGORY OF WOMEN TO INSULT EVERY WEEK. DONALD TRUMP CAN'T DECIDE WHICH CONDO HE IS GOING TO ATTEMPT TO RUN ON WOMEN IN AMERICA ON POSITIONS WHEN IT COMES TO REPRODUCTIVE RIGHTS AND WHETHER THEY TRUST WOMEN TO MAKE THEIR OWN HEALTH CARE DECISIONS BECAUSE HE KNOWS THAT THE POSITION THAT THEY HAVE TAKEN AND ACTIONS HE HAS TAKEN AND BRAGGED ABOUT IMPACT WOMEN. IT HAS TAKEN A RIGHT AWAY FROM AMERICAN WOMEN AND THEY ARE MAD ABOUT IT. THE IDEA WE WON'T GO BACK IS A VERY POWERFUL ONE. THE REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS YET TO ANSWER FOR IT, AND THEY CAN'T BECAUSE THEY DID THIS TO US IN THIS COUNTRY. THERE IS NO AMOUNT OF MARKETING HE IS GOING TO PUT OUT THERE THAT IS GOING TO CONVINCE AMERICAN WOMEN HE IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE FACT WE HAVE LOST A RIGHT. KAMALA HARRIS IS IN A POSITION TO DEFEND THAT. >> I THINK DONALD TRUMP WOULD LOVE NOTHING MORE THAN TO BE ABLE TO CHANGE THE NARRATIVE. I DO NOT SEE IT EITHER. STRANGER THINGS HAVE HAPPENED, BUT I JUST DO NOT SEE IT. WAS PUT IN PERSPECTIVE WHAT THEY PUT ON THE TABLE HERE BECAUSE THERE IS A SPLIT SCREEN HAPPENING. FOR THE PAST TWO DAYS THEY HAVE BEEN CAMPAIGNING IN GEORGIA. IN SOUTHERN GEORGIA. LAST TIME THEY SAW A DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE WAS 1992 TALKING ABOUT BILL CLINTON. SEEMS AS THOUGH THAT ENERGY THAT CAME FROM THE CONVENTION IS NOW DEPLOYING THAT INTO SOUTH GEORGIA. THERE IS A GALLOP POLL THAT SPEAKS TO THIS AS WELL. A LOT OF EXCITEMENT ABOUT THE ELECTION. NEARLY 70% ARE MORE ENTHUSIASTIC THAN USUAL ABOUT VOTING. ENTHUSIASM IS IMPORTANT. ALL-TIME HIGH FOR GALLOP. IT IS NOT THE ONLY THING THEY NEED. I LIKE TO SAY CROWDS DO NOT NECESSARILY VOTE, BUT ENTHUSIASM MATTERS. >> LET'S GO BACK TO GEORGIA BECAUSE IT MATTERS HER