Hello from the Bureau
with an update on the severe weather that's buffeting
south-eastern parts of the country. Now, we've had a series of cold fronts
that have moved across this weekend and brought some really damaging
and destructive winds to the area. And we have another one
on its way tonight. Now we're forecasting the winds
to re-intensify about south-eastern parts
of South Australia this afternoon, and then to continue to re-intensify
as the cold front moves eastwards. Now, damaging winds are possible anywhere
within this, coloured area and that winds in excess of 90 km/h and over 100 km/h for Tasmania. However, there's
also the risk of locally destructive - so winds in excess of 125 km/h - about the west coast and central
coast of Victoria, including the Bellarine Peninsula and the south-eastern suburbs
of Melbourne. Also, the north-east ranges of Victoria
may also have the locally destructive winds
and the west and north coast of Tasmania. Now those winds are expected
to gradually ease from the west as the cold front tracks eastwards,
and it's in the early hours of tomorrow that the winds about the east coast of New
South Wales were really start to increase. So that's places like the Illawarra,
the Sydney Metropolitan and the Hunter. Now winds of these strengths
do have the potential to bring down both trees and branches
that may cause property damage, also bring down power lines
that could lead to power outages and also loose objects may be blown around
and cause further damage. So let's take a look at the front
and how it moves through. So here we can see
it approaches the south-east, reaching the far
south-east during later this evening. And we're forecasting it to move through the Melbourne area
somewhere between 2 am and 4 am. Now we're expecting a line of showers
and thunderstorms to form along that frontal band. Much colder conditions
behind the front though, with the potential for small hail
and as well snow down to low levels. So just having a look at that, seeing it
scoot across out into the Tasman Sea, clearing during Monday
with an easing of the showers gradually as this high pressure system
here moves in and sees a return of the settled
and clear weather by Tuesday. So how much rainfall are we expecting? Here we're taking a look
at the accumulated rainfall. So that's between now and Monday 6 pm. You can see the heaviest
rainfall is expected in the westerly flow about western parts
and northern parts of Tasmania, where they may see a further 50 mm. Looking at Victoria, however, the heavier rainfall totals are expected on
and south of the ranges, with the potential of 5 to 15
mm and isolated totals higher than this. Now, Tasmania has seen a lot of showers
and rain over the past week with a series of cold fronts, and it has led to really
swollen river systems. There are a number of Minor
to Moderate Flood Warnings current and even a Major Flood
Warning for the Derwent. And that's the Derwent
is expected to peak later this afternoon at the major flood level. However, there is a broader blue area
here, a broader Flood Watch, and that is due to the ground
being so primed that any further rainfall could lead to a really quick response
from the catchments. So, apart from the wind, there has been very large
and powerful waves that have been generated
by this vigorous westerly flow. And we're, expecting seas
to peak tomorrow afternoon between 7 to 9 m off the west coast of Victoria and Tasmania. Now, there are also abnormally high tides
that are expected to peak on Monday. And especially through the Port Phillip
Bay, Western Port and Lakes Entrance, we're forecasting the tides
to potentially lead to inundation of low lying areas. So if you or anyone you know lives across
south-eastern parts of the country, it's important they stay up to date
with our latest warnings via the Bureau website,
the app or social media. And as always, listen to the advice
from the your local emergency services. Bye for now.