what's going on everyone welcome back to the
show so who won the debate last night that's what we're going to talk about we're going to take
a look at some of the latest polls and uh I want to take a look at real clear politics because
there have been some changes to the polling and so that's what we're going to focus on in this
video but first off you guys can do me a favor please like the video and if you find information
like this valuable and you want to see more please consider subscribing to the channel okay let's
go ahead and take a look okay so first off let's take a look at some of the polling and this is
coming from PBS NewsHour it says seven out of 10 Americans and the latest PBS news NPR Maris poll
say they'll watch the debate the Tuesday debate and so let's look at the different groups here so
we have National registered voters 30% whites 22% blacks 53% Latinos 45% gen Z and Millennials 44%
Gen X 23% Baby Boomers 20% and then the silent greatest 29 % now when we look at a poll that
was done right after the debate we see Harris at 63% so they're asking who do you think won the
debate Harris at 63% Trump at 37% and then Trump also posted on Truth social he posted this poll
and he's saying that ABC's own post debate poll and it shows Trump at 92% here said 4% and then
4% no clear winner now he's saying that this is a poll that was done by ABC if you guys didn't
know ABC was the one that held the debate and so when we look at this closer what do we see here
we see the source it's livow fox.com connect so basically it's an online online poll that they did
now online polls and just so you guys know you can do an online poll and it it it's progressively
will change as people participate in the poll so this could have been right after they opened up
the poll you had a few people let's say a th 2,000 people depending on uh how big this poll was they
could have been voting a certain way but then that poll could have changed so we don't know exactly
we didn't this is not the final outcome when it comes to these online polls you can run them and
then stop them at a certain point and so we don't know if this was when it was stopped or not I
watched the debate we did it live you guys were watching it with me and I would say that Harris
did a better job than Trump in the debate and so I I just can't see now even though this is like
a Fox News poll I can't see Trump winning by 92% I mean that's just crazy to me so uh you guys let
me know what you think in the comments below but I I do think Harris did a better job than him
overall in the poll now what I want to do is I want to take a look at the latest polling coming
from Real Clear Politics now this is not going to reflect the debate because we have we don't have
those numbers yet we'll get those hopefully in in a few days we'll start seeing some polls come out
that will reflect the debate but we don't have it so this is what we have so far now there are some
changes uh slight changes that I want to show you guys on the real clear politics polling averages
so when we're looking at Trump in Arizona uh Trump is ahead right now and he is ahead by plus 1.6
I'm zooming in a lot closer now because I did have some people say that they couldn't see the screen
I try to zoom it out so you can see everything but if you can't see the screen then I I'll go ahead
and zoom it in a little bit closer but we won't be able to see exactly where those polls are coming
from I'll have to zoom out in order to do that so latest polling we'll just see see some of
the latest polling here we have a tie we have trumpet plus one we have trumpet plus three
and then trumpet plus five and then another tie so when it comes to Arizona Trump is doing much
better than he was just a few weeks ago okay so let's go and take a look at Nevada looking at
Nevada we have Harris at plus 0.6 and so she has the advantage in Nevada looking at some of
the latest polling I know this was The Insider Advantage poll Trump is at plus one then we have
Harris at plus one another Harris at plus one Harris at plus two and then Harris at plus4 so
Harris is doing she's doing well in Nevada and we'll have to see if this continues now moving
on down to Wisconsin looking at Wisconsin we have Harris at plus 1.5 and so she's doing well she
continues to do well in Wisconsin and Michigan latest polling is showing Harris at plus two
Trump at plus one Trump at plus one Harris at Plus 8 and then Harris at plus one okay let's
move down to Michigan looking at Michigan we have Harris at plus 1.2 looking at some of the
latest polling you have Harris at plus one we have a tie we have Harris at plus three and then
Trump at plus one okay looking at Pennsylvania if you look at Pennsylvania we have a tie and looking
at some of the latest polling we have another tie we have trumpet plus two another tie another tie
and then Harris at plus4 so right now things are heating up in Pennsylvania and it is a tossup
at this point looking at North Carolina we have Trump at plus 0.1 and latest polling shows Harris
at plus three Harris at another plus three Trump at plus one Trump at plus one Trump at plus one
and then Trump at plus one so Harris is starting to do better in North Carolina and you see that
is pretty much a toss up when it comes to North Carolina looking at Georgia Georgia we have
Trump at plus 0.3 and looking at some of the latest polling Trump at plus three a tie Harris
at plus one Harris at plus two and then Harris at another plus two so when it comes to Georgia
Georgia's also very very close it's pretty much a tossup and so what I want to take a look at now
is I want to take a look at the electoral map and when we start plugging in some of these numbers it
gets really interesting because we know that Trump really only has one Pathway to Victory and that's
through Georgia North Carolina and Pennsylvania if he wins those three states he'll get to 270
and that's what you need 270 or more in order to win but the only problem is in Pennsylvania it's a
tie in North Carolina he's only up by 0.1% and in Georgia he's only up by 0.3% so it's really close
in all three of these states and these are the three states that he needs to win he needs to win
every state if he doesn't win all of these states then he is not going to win and B this is based on
looking at the polling so for saying Wisconsin is going to go for Harris which he's been leading
in Wisconsin for the last few weeks as well as Michigan she's been leading for the last few weeks
if Michigan goes for Harris then now Trump he has to win these three states he has no other and
let me let me just show you what I'm talking about he doesn't have another option he can win
Nevada he can win Arizona he can win Georgia he can win North Carolina that puts him at 268 he has
to win Pennsylvania in order to win and so you see the Pathway to Victory for Harris is a lot easier
than it is for Trump and I'll show you that when it comes to Harris if Harris wins Pennsylvania 270
she'll win if she wins let's say she doesn't win Pennsylvania but let's say she wins North Carolina
and then she's able to pull off Nevada which she's leading in Nevada then now she gets a 273 she wins
the same goes for if she were to win Georgia so let's say she doesn't win North Carolina but she
wins Georgia she'll still get 273 and she'll win and so just looking at the map the way it is right
now Harris has more options more opportunities to win and Trump is really stuck to only three states
and if he loses one of those states he is not going to be able to win unless he's able to win
Wisconsin and our Michigan which is going to be much harder for him because when we're looking
at the way things are going in these different states his strongest state right now is Arizona
that's his only strong State everything else is pretty much a tossup and so we'll have to see what
happens in the future but right now Harris has the advantage and looking at last night's debate
Harris is probably going to get a bounce from that we'll have to see debates don't generally
give you a huge surge but she's probably going to see a bounce from the debate because she had
a better performance so in a few days we'll know more information as far as post debate polls and
I'll bring that to you guys so you guys can see exactly the impact but as of right now it does
look like Harris is doing better than Trump she did a better job than him in the in the debate
as well as when we're looking at the electoral map she's doing a better job and so we'll see if
that correlates to bigger numbers when it comes to if you guys have any questions let me know in the
comments below if you like this video please give me a thumbs up please subscribe for more and
I'll talk to you in the next one bye [Music]