Tropical update: Tropical Storm Francine expected to become Cat. 2 hurricane with Louisiana landfall

Published: Sep 09, 2024 Duration: 00:04:34 Category: News & Politics

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Weather impact alert day tomorrow and it's really two forecasts, one for the inland areas. So Houston, this is our forecast for tomorrow. We're mostly clouding some sun a breezy day but no significant rain for inland areas. Tomorrow. It's the coast that has a much higher rain chance tomorrow, beginning at sunrise and lasting all day long. Thus the coastal flood warning uh and expecting wet roads up and down the coast and high water spots on roads there. Here's where we stand right now. There's the storm center of, it's about 90 miles southeast of Brownsville max winds at 65. It's still just a tropical storm. It's expected to be a cat one hurricane. By the time we get up tomorrow morning, I expect that Cheetah will reporting on hurricane Francine in the morning. It's moving northwest at five forecast track from the hurricane center and this has been very consistent all day long morning, midday and this evening and now tonight, it's the same forecast cone. And in talking to doctor Brennan earlier today, uh he was saying they're feeling pretty confident about this cone, taking it into Louisiana. So, yeah, from east of Lake Charles Vermillion Bay. That would be Lafayette taking one of the hardest hits and then over to New Orleans getting a lot of rain. That'd be Wednesday during the day. What's gonna happen though for us is it's gonna be tomorrow night into the early hours of Wednesday. That's 7 a.m. Wednesday. The storm expect it to be a cat two right here. Now, at that point, most of the bad weather with this is going to be to the north and to the east of the center, we'll be on the weak side. So we get a north breeze, but we don't get all that mess on the strong side. And that makes a huge difference in our impacts. Rain forecast tomorrow 7 a.m. on the coast, rain is likely. So again, this is well ahead of the center getting close to us by noon tomorrow, rain on the coast, likely not so much inland but maybe a few showers inland. The coast is wet at five o'clock. The coast is still getting wet by 10 o'clock. Then we go into 2:30 a.m. This particular run has the center about 100 and 15 miles southeast of Galveston. That may be its closest point to us. But you can see how all the really bad stuff is north and east of that center. We get a north breeze and hopefully not too much of a significant impact here. If that track will hold what's making it move that way. It's the upper level wins. You've got the southern branch of the jet moving west to east across Texas and Louisiana. There's the system right there. So as it lifts north, it's gonna begin to feel that west to east motion and that's gonna give a little kick to the east. And then at the same time, a ridge of high pressure, a clockwise flow is gonna form here and strengthen over the Gulf. And, well, you can just follow that flow and everything's flowing that way. And that's why the storm is getting lifted up and not moving due north toward Houston, but bending northeast in that flow toward Louisiana wind forecast. These are gusts not sustained but potential gusts 5 a.m. tomorrow morning, gusting to 23 on the coast 17 inland by noon tomorrow, gusting to 32 on the coast gusting to 17 inland. So this is not a big power outage threat. At least not in that. Maybe a gust of 36 Galveston by 7 p.m. tomorrow evening. You know, we I saw a gust in there to 39. So maybe a minimal tropical storm force gust on the coast which would give you a minimal power outage right on the coast uh tomorrow night. But if that track verifies, that's gonna be the worst of it. But you can clearly see, you know, if that thing decides to come closer to us by 30 40 50 miles, we would have much stronger winds and rain and it'd be a whole different ball of wax. This is one o'clock Wednesday afternoon. The systems into Louisiana, we're getting a north breeze gusting to 20 but it's pleasant. We do have a coastal flood warning. Uh, seas and tides gonna run 1 to 3 ft above normal, low lying roads around the bay and the coast are gonna see high water spots, especially at high tide. Rain totals are not over the top 1 to 2 inches by most models. Again, if it's closer, we would get more. So we just watch it like a hawk until it goes into Louisiana. And of course, we're thinking about our neighbors there and then here's our forecast for tomorrow, 30% rain chance by noon, 80% rain chance in the afternoon. I still think most of that is on the coast. It's a breezy day. Weather impact day on Tuesday. Stay close to the forecast with us all day long. Uh, download the app. You'll get the, uh, get the alerts, turn the notifications and then the weather is nice. Wednesday, Thursday, Friday warming up. It's still a pretty nice weekend. Saturday rain chance returns 20% on Sunday. That's where we stand guys that.

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