couldn't you tell almost entirely based on how Pennsylvania votes what's going to happen in the national race there are three states that will decide this election Georgia North Carolina and Pennsylvania those are the three um if it it guarantee whatever happens in those three states there is no way for the winner of those three states to lose nationally so yeah Pennsylvania is one of the three and it is the larg electoral getter of the three l Mar most lot most amount of Electoral College votes of the three but those are the three that decide they're all on the east coast and most of the ones that factor in things like polling errors North Carolina and Georgia are within Trump have Trump at a very small lead and have Harris has a very small lead in Pennsylvania they average out that North Carolina and um and Georgia have about a lead of about half a point for Trump and a lead for Harris by one point in Pennsylvania