we'll start with kamla Harris all of the State polling is very tight but the the best polling relatively speaking for Harris and the Democrats has been in we talk about them all the time these Great Lake States Big 10 states whatever you want to call them Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania now if Harris could win those three states just for the sake of argument turn them blue there exactly 270 electoral votes for her now if she slips up Pennsylvania in particular is one Republicans of these three think they have a a good shot at here let's say she were to slip up Harris did and lost Pennsylvania Pennsylvania is the biggest of all the swing States 19 electoral votes Harris would have to compensate by winning at least two from the Sun Belt here and for Trump's easiest path quickly here it's to get Pennsylvania it's to hold North Carolina like he did in 20 and it's to win back Georgia which he very narrowly lost that would get him to exactly the magic number