a renowned elections forecaster known for successfully predicting the outcome of US presidential elections has released his prediction for the US polls he predicts that vice president kamla Harris will win against former president Donald Trump in November's election my prediction based on the keys to the White House system which has been right for 40 years is that we are going to have a precedent breaking president that kamla Harris will become the first woman president of the United States Alan lickman has successfully predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 presidential elections in the US using his election model based on 13 true or false questions that ignore the views of political pundits and pollsters he said while his election model favors Harris to win the candidates stances on foreign policy and real world event could influence the outcome of the race eventually can things change of course I can't predict uh what's going to happen in the world and we have two fluid Wars but I've taken that into a in my call even if Harris lost both of my foreign military Keys failure and success she still would be down only five Keys one short of the six keys that it takes to predict an incumbent party defeat earlier liman had batted for Biden and warned the Democrats against dropping him out of the race after his debate debacle with Trump back then he had said it could prove to be a tragic mistake for the party furthermore the White House has reacted to Russian President Vladimir Putin's recent quip he supports kamla Harris and not Donald Trump White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said Putin must stop interfering in US elections Mr Putin ought to stop talking about our elections period he shouldn't be favoring anybody one way or another the only people who should get to determine who the next president of the United States is is the American people and and we would greatly appreciate it if Mr Putin would a stop talking about our election and B stop interfering in it meanwhile Republican president presidential candidate Donald Trump warned Jewish voters that an election win for his Democratic rival kamla Harris would mean the end of Israel speaking remotely to a crowd of more than 1,000 Republican Jewish Coalition donors in Las Vegas he also said he will ban Refugee resettlement from what he called Terror infested areas like Gaza if Cala Harris wins terrorist armies will wage an unceasing War to drive Jews out of the holy land and you know it and we've had a great relationship with Israel but I can say honestly that we got 25% of the vote we got 26% after four years after I did more for Israel than any other president by far earlier speaking at the New York economic Club Donald Trump said he will establish a government efficiency commission headed by billionaire supporter Elon Musk if he wins the November 5th election during a wide- ranging speech he also out his economic vision for the country I will create a government efficiency commission task with conducting a complete financial and performance audit of the entire federal government and making recommendations for drastic reforms we need to do it can't go on the way we are [Applause] now and Elon because he's not very busy has agreed to head that task force [Music]