NO MORE MOMENTUM! | Kamala Harris LOSES MOMENTUM as Trump's betting odds SKYROCKET! No path forward

hello everyone welcome back to yet another political episode so today we got news the Biden Administration has hit Russia with new sanctions on on probably the most stupidest reason ever and this once again points at the issue of National Security an issue that Democrats themselves don't want to focus on and here they it think that oh elections can be rigged oh elections can be other countries can collide with different candidates to make them win and ever since this Russia collusion hoax which is a hoax that we know Russia didn't at all cide with the said Trump admit campaign to help him win we know that didn't happen the Democrats are so egotistical they don't even want to admit that they lost they cannot they're so arrogant and so uh just prideful that they cannot admit or humble themselves a bit and said hey we lost and even though they they won the popular vote but hey you know what the Electoral College it wasn't a good night for them but ever since the 2016 election we've been talking about Russian collusion and for like since 2020 we've been now we're talking about Russia collusion again and now what seems to be an effort to guarantee Russia to step back and here's the funny thing Russia is like scratching his head its head like what are why am I getting sanctioned now the reason why uh Russia is being said sanctioned is they're being accused of manipulating um US public opinion and you could go as far as making that argument but uh just to go and sanction Russia because of that this is what the neocon this is a neoc another neocon scam okay and this is what the Democrats will do in order to contain their power the Democrats will not only violate the rights of American people in the rights of as you know their political opponents but they will go ahead and attack countries for no reason like Russia which honestly did did not did nothing this time to deserve sanctions Russia has been sanctioned due to the war of Ukraine and its recent uh human rights abuse record but this is probably the first time uh Russia is being sanctioned in regards to something that isn't done militarily or isn't done in in involving dehumanization this happens to to involve the Russian people's having a word and edgewise speaking a word of edgewise and now we have the Democrats going out and saying oh you are you're trying to manipulate the American people let's remember that Vladimir Putin endorsed Joe Biden he endorsed Joe Biden he said that Joe Biden would be more better now honestly this is Joe Biden's this is I my opinion Vladimir Putin's tactic in keeping Biden and for four more years because he knows that if Trump happened to win the election of 2024 that Trump's not going to tolerate that Ukraine war going on for much longer Putin needs time Putin needs more another four years so of course he's going to applaud and support the administration that is not going to that he doesn't deem a threat um because he's intimidated by Trump we know that people because if he wasn't intimidated by Donald Trump he wouldn't have he wouldn't have invaded a country he hasn't invaded not one country during the Trump Administration not one country Putin invaded Georgia in 2008 under the Bush Administration Putin invaded Ukraine for the first time in 2015 2014 at kind of have a hard time remember what year that was uh under Barack Obama Barack Obama was the king of drone strikes he took out myamar Gaddafi the most BR the Mad Dog of the Middle East one of the most brutalist African probably the most brutalist African dictator in world history he took that dictator out and he was in the process of getting rid of uh Assad and Vladimir Putin has the urge to go and invade another country ah I'm not afraid of Barack Obama I'm gonna evade a country but Donald Trump who has zero political experience a businessman Putin's suddenly afraid of him Putin doesn't want to invade he actually halts Ukraine operations and says hang on hang on we're going to wait we're going to start we will talk with Trump and kind of wait for him to get out then Joe Biden comes in what happens when Joe Biden gets in big Invasion big invasion of Ukraine and uh this is obviously the pretty obvious that the reason why it's not because Vladimir Putin thinks Biden is more smarter than Donald Trump and we know that's false it's because Joe Biden's more incompetent than Donald Trump in his Minds do Joe Biden is less than a threat than Donald Trump so really Putin wants the leader that's going to be the weakest leader to win in the United States and that's what you have to do with your political opponents you got to root always for the weakest leader despite what politics he or she may uh believe so yeah so it's not looking it's not looking good at all for said uh KLA Harris because Donald Trump's uh chances are rising despite poll results as you know saying KLA Harris is going to win a 3.15% win in the popular vote and you know what this is still the best Donald Trump's ever done because Donald Trump was supposed to lose to Biden by 10 Donald Trump was supposed to lose to Hillary Clinton by 15 and now out of the blue out of the sudden Donald Trump is losing to kamla Harris by three it's like we jumped eight points ahead Donald Trump is as popular as ever and the funny thing is the Democrats care less about it and poly Market knows it poly Market I have a feeling even though I think some polls are obviously biased uh you'll see Donald Trump's chances I wouldn't say have skyrocketed but they've always uh been in the middle you'll see 53% chance in winning this election so uh And in regards to percentage wise Donald Trump's chances in winning I would say in Georgia indefinitely this is the current map situation we took back Arizona according to RCP average Georgia unfortunately is still uh for kamla Harris I think that's BS I Georgia going to comma Harris before Arizona that's just ridiculous and reason being Georgia is as you know a state with the black population where the black population is going to determine the outcome of the election but then then again I've made it clear in other videos KLA Harris needs black men and black women to work together yes she's getting a lot of black women in Georgia and that's probably why we're seeing KL Harris winning some polls from Georgia uh but in order to win the state at large you need the the male the black female and black male vote to work together in in the Democrat Party you need that to work together sort of how that one did in 2020 you'll see black men and black woman they worked together to get Trump out and they barely won Georgia uh yeah they're not going to win much and that's expected but we're what we're seeing right now is black men are divided just in general gender like I said are divided men they are defecting to Republicans they are they are going to Trump why are they going for Trump because the Democratic party has is becoming more feminine basically now we got a feminist label on the Democrat Party and the feminist label is KLA Harris okay KLA Harris has basically turned into this Beyonce Taylor Swift all these uh genen Z women are excited about kamla Harris and it's apparent appeared that all this momentum we are feeling we're feeling here it's the young gen Z woman it's not just Jen woman it's just woman in general but it what they're not telling us is we have men gen Z men they're going for Trump because then again uh it's not we a lot of jenz men voted for Biden because the Democratic party was genderless right but now you got a female candidate which men can be a little skeptical about there are s certain things that the women like about KLA Harris and there's certain a lot of things that men don't like about KLA Harris um and and they'll go ahead and say there's a lot of things that men like about Donald Trump there's something that a lot of things that uh women don't like about Donald Trump and this is the state of the race it's going to be determined by gender so this is how I think it's going to go and Arizona well I I'm I've always been skeptical with Arizona Donald Trump has a 60% chance in winning the state and yeah 61% and you guys can make a bet yourself just as you know go to poly Market 60 cents it's only 60 cents well I think you can d double it amount double the amount if you so I encourage you because this is also the chance uh yeah it is a front we need to in this case be concerned about so yes you'll see kamla Harris has um it seems ever since uh like August late August Trump took back the lead because realistically you got two states Wisconsin Arizona and Georgia okay these are states that Joe Biden ended up winning barely barely his 81 million votes barely could win these states and I could say right now Georgia goes Republican Donald Trump pretty much guaranteed to get 250 okay and I would say ideally Trump I would expect would get a Rust Belt State and I would say go ahead and give Wisconsin I would be super surprised if Donald Trump didn't get a red Russ belt State at all and that KL Harris goes ahead and wins Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania I would be very surprised that would be a horrible scenario but uh let's just say Donald K Harris overperforms and expectations with the rust Bill we actually thought you know what Auto Workers um industrial workers they're not going to be in so much favor for KLA Harris well apparently that is wrong now and you'll see KLA Harris wins Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump mildly wins with Wisconsin guess what it's not the end of the world all we got to do is win Arizona and guess what Trump wins because looking at 2020 this is the easiest path to Victory everyone says oh go to Georgia go to North Carolina go to Pennsylvania we win the election well that here's the problem with that though because Pennsylvania uh voted for uh Joe Biden by 1.17 1.17 I I want to believe 80,000 more votes for Biden and yeah it's just it's it's really ridiculous like in order to win we got to start off with the easiest states so start easy and honestly we'll probably stay easy because going to the results you'll see Georgia 11,779 votes the yeah we just got it to gain flip these amount of votes we just need to gain these amount of votes seven 11,000 votes and we win the state of Georgia we got to look at Arizona okay we gotta do get 10,000 votes we if we do that we win Arizona and then Wisconsin 20,000 votes if we do that we win Wisconsin and we win the election it's more easier than they think because Republicans in turnout wies this is is how it usually goes in elections especially when the president is the incumbent Administration is doing somewhat sort of bad uh every state tends to Trend a certain direction take 2012 for example 2012 we saw like pretty much every state Trend to the right despite Mitt Romney failing to carry key swing States like Florida and Virginia and Ohio okay these states were obviously won by Barack Obama but that didn't mean they Trend didn't Trend right okay so how did Obama perform in 2008 okay Obama performed 2.8% of the popular vote in Florida okay 2.8% and you'll see Romney ended up pushed Obama from 2 eight okay I'm looking for the actual number okay look it says um right here nonetheless Obama's margin of Victory decreased substantially from 2.81% % in 2008 and his percentage of the vote decreased from 50.9% okay and his percentage number despite T okay yeah oh despite Tampa having been the sight of the 2012 Republican National Convention and that's the thing usually when you you you have a state uh with a con to have a convention state we had Wisconsin that's where we had the convention typically and usually it's not guaranteed but usually when you have a convention at a certain state that state is probably going to go to your direction right uh because in 2020 uh Democrats had their convention in Milwaukee well guess what as a result Biden won Biden won Wisconsin and now I can't say the same for Florida in this case you'll see Barack Obama won of Florida this time I think for a while Republicans of Mitt Romney thought they were going to carry it uh but then again that didn't mean that Republicans admitt robney didn't do good because take this number 50 taking this number minus all right 0.88 that is insane so how much a shift look shiftwise 2008 we saw a let's see I want to know how the shift goes I haven't done this math before so if I'm doing it wrong so yes 2.81 minus 0 88 okay the shift was 1.93 a 1.93 shift to the right in 2012 okay that was a one point shift okay 1% so in total in other words Romney gained around almost two points two percentage points I want to believe of said Republicans that originally or didn't vote at all so 2012 he gained back 2% of Voters now looking back at in this case 2020 2% all we got to do guys I can guarantee you we will do it but all we got to do is crank back the 0.23 we just need to gain 0.23% more in Georgia 0.31% more in Arizona 0.63% more in Wisconsin so I'm not surprised Trump's betting odds are all the way up because in in great reality and I'm telling you polls they really don't matter why do the polls matter like seriously it's the Electoral College Wisconsin it's just pathetic what we're seeing in Wisconsin right now 57% 56% um and I do think in the end I think it's not going to look like that 56% change you go to Democrat really I I don't think so I really doubt that wi Wisconsin and is going to go blue and Pennsylvania is going to go Republican before that and Michigan is going to go uh Republican before Wisconsin no because polls have shown the polls have proven multiple times that Wisconsin polls are just skewed Biden was supposed to win 88.1% where was his 88.1% where was it in instead he got a 0.6 60% of a popular vote win that's not eighto win 2016 go to 2016 polling uh yes it was polling likely Democrat leaning Democrat tilting democ it was getting closer by election day but Democrats were still winning and here you got Donald Trump winning this election by I don't know 0.77% of the popular vote that is literally almost one percentage point one percentage point and you're saying that every single channel here even Fox News was saying oh Hillary Clinton's gonna do pretty well in uh Wisconsin I don't blame them because 2012 you'll see Barack Obama handing Le defeated Mitt Romney in Wisconsin yeah I but the thing is the GOP was different back then compared to it the GOP right now you'll see by taking back you here's another example Wisconsin Landslide scenario for 2008 Barack Obama swept the state of Wisconsin in o land slide and you'll see it went from so like solid States you don't have to win the state but re ideally and realistically so this is 13. 91% of the popular vote 2012 yes he won a 64 said percent margin of Victory uh so what we're going to do take the number 1391 and we're going to subtract 6. 94 and you're going to see okay that didn't work we got a percentage sign in there that's why 6.97% shift to the right okay that was a 6 point shift from the Obama wave four years later that's Wisconsin it trended more to left compared to in this case it shifted even more shifted over six points in 2016 so Wisconsin has been shifting left right rightward to the right in 2016 2012 2008 it shifted to the left uh because you'll see pretty close race in uh Wisconsin uh it shifted to the left dramatically but to be honest in uh all the respect things weren't good for republicans in 2008 they have the on their side Democrats were had the issues like the economy Democrats had the issues when it comes to like housing crisis there was a Great Recession everyone blamed the Republicans for the Great Recession the housing crisis and you would think okay seeing the current state the situation right now you would think yeah there's no way Republicans are going to win like I would say there's no way Wisconsin's going to Trend more right like what did we do to gain more Republicans to Trend more right in Wisconsin so as a result with as a result backlash and uh you'll see a huge leftward shift and this was the same deal in 2020 uh because Wisconsin shift left but not by much it Shi shifted left by one percentage point one percentage point and maybe it's because we getting more polarized and the Democrats will jump up and down and will'll say oh oh oh maybe it'll shift one percentage point back to the right but that then again here's the thing guys Trump still wins Wisconsin because I'm not saying oh Trump I'm not saying Trump's gonna g six points in Wisconsin no I think that's ridiculous I think he's gonna gain one point but I definitely think he's going to gain back that two that zero 60% he's going to probably shift uh Wisconsin to the right by I would say 0.60% of percent to the right so that is something to keep in mind so yes ideally uh this it's not it's like yeah this is far from over guys we are in a great great great situation I don't care what the polls say and who knows I'm hoping by October we got the El we get the Electoral College back and if we don't guess what uh if we don't that's fine because we need to trust the data from the previous election because what's more accurate data that is taken by 1% of the population in the United States or data taken by an official poll the most important poll in the country four years ago from the previous election and how it uh changes now what what's more important so yes the polls say it's going to look like this well that doesn't mean it's going to be like it and just because I have this as for my September forecast or my October forecast doesn't mean kamla Harris is going to win Georgia before Pennsylvania it doesn't that's a forecast a forecast is different than a presidential election because I guarantee you this forecast is raw this is wrong it's not going to look like this absolutely not no it's not because Auto Workers Trump is doing great with Auto Workers and what it's looking like right now Trump's Pro it's debatable Trump could win all all three Auto Workers States like you have WIC Michigan Pennsylvania or you'll see Trump just wins One auto worker State that's Wisconsin Russ belt State and or Trump just wins Pennsylvania in Wisconsin so it's a 5050 a tight battle when it comes to the autoworker vote but a tight battle would involve one state one state going for one state in the Rust Belt going for Trump and I would say Wisconsin because that's the most State and that's the most likely state to pick up like literally the people that think oh it's going to look like this Michigan has a higher chance of go Republican than Wisconsin come on let's see what poly Market says because the betting odds and here's the thing what's the percent of people that take the poly Market Betty arms 59% okay 59% 57% okay fair enough because I can guarant but I've seen it many times guys KLA Harris was pulling more to win Wisconsin than Michigan uh so yes this is what it currently looks like Donald Trump is pulling to looks like he's pulling to win Pennsylvania 54% of the popular vote no not the popular vote 54% chance you got a close lead a close race in Nevada but what do you you guys think in regards to our two topics today just complete Democrat disarray and they're not going to say we're doomed because here's the thing Republicans will openly admit we're screwed we're screwed because you don't know how many much dooming I've seen from Republicans after the midterms we're screwed well to be fair the democ RS did admit they were screwed after the debate but here's the thing very little Democrats admitted that weby surrendering Trump presidency if you were a true Democrat you would never do that and if the Democrat Party was filled with doomsday Democrats like we have so many doomsday Republicans here in the GOP they W Joe Biden would still be in the RS but no the whole party including Barack Obama turned on Biden they do not give up that's that means we shouldn't either we shouldn't either and the odds are on our side the numbers from the most important data from four years ago is on our side the most important data TR Trump almost won and it doesn't matter if he lost the popular vote by three points I don't care the the popular vote it's not surrounded by the popular vote it's surrounded by the Electoral College that's what really matters so whatever the popular vote the polls say like right here well this isn't the 2020 page but if it says KLA Harris wins by three oh in popular vote oh well because all that matters is trying to swing and gain um and I can guarantee you we will gain bring some voters back you'll see Zero 63% we we just need to Trend more to the right bring it more to the right and after all Joe Biden has done for I I don't know four years like day one I'm why wouldn't you Trend to the right I mean you trended to the right over you trended to the left because of trump derangement in 2020 you even trended to the right in 2012 but six points over Obama what did Obama do Obama didn't get us into a recession crisis Obama was controversial though Obama did was super Progressive but the country uh wasn't in a recession in fact I would say the Great Recession was over I'm giving Obama the benefit of the doubt believe it or not I'm not trying to but I'm making a point the thing is if the it doesn't matter if you're in a good situation or a bad situation the fact you're at 0.63% and you're in office is not good sign it's not a good side for you in the next election because let's just say Biden is should be concerned uh he won Wisconsin barely 0.63% if he would run for reelection he should continuously look at his previous results of four years ago and say hey look the fact I won 0.63% I'm incumbent in office people are judging me people have second thoughts about me there's a huge chance that number is going to Trend back right and being 0.63% that is not a lot that is not a lot that's going to be super easy for Trump gain 0.63% more Donald Trump wins the election period that's in Wisconsin that's in Arizona and that is in Georgia and it's done Donald Trump in my opinion has a 70% chance because I can guarantee you a lot of these people do not realize in 2020 data they just get they they just probably got involved into politics now politics is just a recent uh phase of theirs of of a recent hobby a recent interest well guess what I've been in politics for six years and when I I I've been through the 2020 election I've studied the 2020 election I've done predictions of the 2020 election I was wrong of course but you know what I've learning from that experience I've learned stuff uh even in the midterms I've learned stuff not that I didn't consider and especially the 2020 election really does help seeing hey look this does these results when Wisconsin Georgia and Arizona and they help us in a future election this this really helps us uh so what do you guys think in regards to uh the current state of the race let me know down below and as always I'll see you all in the next political episode